Beach Hazards Statement 1, NWS Chicago, IL

402 
WHUS43 KLOT 070439
CFWLOT

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1139 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

INZ001-002-071245-
/O.CON.KLOT.BH.S.0001.160607T0900Z-160608T0200Z/
LAKE IN-PORTER-
1139 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT
TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* HIGH WAVE ACTION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

* FORECAST WAVE HEIGHTS...3 TO 5 FT.

* STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND STRUCTURAL CURRENTS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LIFE THREATENING WAVES AND CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES.
PEOPLE VISITING THE BEACHES SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE... WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN
SANDBARS. RIP CURRENTS CAN SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER.

STRUCTURAL CURRENTS FORM ALONG PIERS WHERE LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
WAVE ACTION FLOW INTO THE STRUCTURE. STRUCTURAL CURRENTS CAN
SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER ALONG THE PIER STRUCTURE.

EXPOSED BEACHES ARE MORE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT WAVE AND CURRENT IMPACTS. IMPACTS AT BEACHES WITH
PROTECTIVE BREAKWALLS OR JETTIES WILL BE SUBJECT TO THE
ORIENTATION OF STRUCTURES AS WELL AS WIND AND WAVE DIRECTION.

&&

$$

BMD

127 
WHUS43 KLOT 070809
CFWLOT

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
309 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

INZ001-002-071615-
/O.CON.KLOT.BH.S.0001.160607T0900Z-160608T0200Z/
LAKE IN-PORTER-
309 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* HIGH WAVE ACTION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

* FORECAST WAVE HEIGHTS...3 TO 5 FT.

* STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND STRUCTURAL CURRENTS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LIFE THREATENING WAVES AND CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES.
PEOPLE VISITING THE BEACHES SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE... WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN
SANDBARS. RIP CURRENTS CAN SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER.

STRUCTURAL CURRENTS FORM ALONG PIERS WHERE LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
WAVE ACTION FLOW INTO THE STRUCTURE. STRUCTURAL CURRENTS CAN
SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER ALONG THE PIER STRUCTURE.

EXPOSED BEACHES ARE MORE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT WAVE AND CURRENT IMPACTS. IMPACTS AT BEACHES WITH
PROTECTIVE BREAKWALLS OR JETTIES WILL BE SUBJECT TO THE
ORIENTATION OF STRUCTURES AS WELL AS WIND AND WAVE DIRECTION.

&&

$$

BMD

813 
WHUS43 KLOT 071319 CCA
CFWLOT

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
819 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

INZ001-002-080130-
/O.COR.KLOT.BH.S.0001.000000T0000Z-160608T0200Z/
LAKE IN-PORTER-
819 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...BEACHES FROM GARY TO MICHIGAN CITY.

* HIGH WAVE ACTION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

* FORECAST WAVE HEIGHTS...3 TO 5 FT.

* STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND STRUCTURAL CURRENTS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LIFE THREATENING WAVES AND CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES.
PEOPLE VISITING THE BEACHES SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE... WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN
SANDBARS. RIP CURRENTS CAN SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER.

STRUCTURAL CURRENTS FORM ALONG PIERS WHERE LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
WAVE ACTION FLOW INTO THE STRUCTURE. STRUCTURAL CURRENTS CAN
SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER ALONG THE PIER STRUCTURE.

EXPOSED BEACHES ARE MORE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT WAVE AND CURRENT IMPACTS. IMPACTS AT BEACHES WITH
PROTECTIVE BREAKWALLS OR JETTIES WILL BE SUBJECT TO THE
ORIENTATION OF STRUCTURES AS WELL AS WIND AND WAVE DIRECTION.

&&

$$

BMD

382 
WHUS43 KLOT 071551
CFWLOT

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1051 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

INZ001-002-080000-
/O.CON.KLOT.BH.S.0001.000000T0000Z-160608T0200Z/
LAKE IN-PORTER-
1051 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...BEACHES FROM GARY TO MICHIGAN CITY.

* HIGH WAVE ACTION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

* FORECAST WAVE HEIGHTS...3 TO 5 FT.

* STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND STRUCTURAL CURRENTS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LIFE THREATENING WAVES AND CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES.
PEOPLE VISITING THE BEACHES SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE... WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN
SANDBARS. RIP CURRENTS CAN SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER.

STRUCTURAL CURRENTS FORM ALONG PIERS WHERE LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
WAVE ACTION FLOW INTO THE STRUCTURE. STRUCTURAL CURRENTS CAN
SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER ALONG THE PIER STRUCTURE.

EXPOSED BEACHES ARE MORE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT WAVE AND CURRENT IMPACTS. IMPACTS AT BEACHES WITH
PROTECTIVE BREAKWALLS OR JETTIES WILL BE SUBJECT TO THE
ORIENTATION OF STRUCTURES AS WELL AS WIND AND WAVE DIRECTION.

&&

$$

KREIN

508 
WHUS43 KLOT 072010
CFWLOT

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
310 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

INZ001-002-080200-
/O.CON.KLOT.BH.S.0001.000000T0000Z-160608T0200Z/
LAKE IN-PORTER-
310 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...BEACHES FROM GARY TO MICHIGAN CITY.

* HIGH WAVE ACTION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

* FORECAST WAVE HEIGHTS...3 TO 5 FT.

* STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND STRUCTURAL CURRENTS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LIFE THREATENING WAVES AND CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES.
PEOPLE VISITING THE BEACHES SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE... WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN
SANDBARS. RIP CURRENTS CAN SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER.

STRUCTURAL CURRENTS FORM ALONG PIERS WHERE LONGSHORE CURRENTS AND
WAVE ACTION FLOW INTO THE STRUCTURE. STRUCTURAL CURRENTS CAN
SWEEP YOU INTO DEEPER WATER ALONG THE PIER STRUCTURE.

EXPOSED BEACHES ARE MORE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT WAVE AND CURRENT IMPACTS. IMPACTS AT BEACHES WITH
PROTECTIVE BREAKWALLS OR JETTIES WILL BE SUBJECT TO THE
ORIENTATION OF STRUCTURES AS WELL AS WIND AND WAVE DIRECTION.

&&

$$

BEACHLER

099 
WHUS43 KLOT 080158
CFWLOT

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
858 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

INZ001-002-080300-
/O.EXP.KLOT.BH.S.0001.000000T0000Z-160608T0200Z/
LAKE IN-PORTER-
858 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH AND WAVES SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 3
FEET HAS ALLOWED THE SWIM RISK TO DECREASE THIS EVENING. THE BEACH
HAZARD STATEMENT WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 9 PM
CDT.

$$

RATZER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL
317 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...
316 PM CDT

Through Tuesday...

Breezy and warm afternoon will give way to diminishing winds and
another window of isolated to scattered showers/thundershowers this
evening.  Better forcing with initial upper level short wave trof
has moved off to our east and taken the days initial round of
isolated convection with it.  Winds will continue to gust 25-30 mph
with strong mixing per model forecast soundings into the evening
before easing back toward sunset. Impressive mixing to 780 mb has
helped mix surface dew points into the mid-upper 40s.

Second upper level trof will rotate through this evening however
instability lacking and forcing limited hence expect minimal if any
rain.  Cloud cover will also diminish overnight with loss of diurnal
heating. Overnight lows will reach values typical for early June.

Expect winds to increase and become gusty again Tuesday albeit a
notch below today, as we remain on the periphery of the impacts
of the deep upper trough over eastern Canada. With diurnally
enhanced cloud cover again tomorrow may see an isolated pop up
shower during the afternoon... mainly over the east half of the
forecast area. Coverage again will be minimal and most areas will
stay dry. Max temps Tuesday will click in about 6-9 degrees below
normal for this time of year.

Ed F

&&

.LONG TERM...
201 PM CDT

Tuesday night through Monday...
After a brief lull between vort lobes, another wave will quickly
dive southeast from Lake Superior towards Lake Michigan and
eventually Lower Michigan Tuesday evening. With the continued
northwest flow over the forecast area, it is possible that some
moistening through the column may occur as this feature approaches
from the North. At this time the areas that could see an isolated
shower will end up being far Northeast Illinois stretching
southeast across Northwest Indiana Tue eve. With an elongated
surface ridge stretching from Alberta through the Ozarks, any
precip will be short- lived and limited in coverage.

High pressure will be overhead by early Wednesday, bringing an end
to any precip chances late Tue ngt. This will also bring lighter
winds to the forecast area with temps falling into the upper 40s to
lower 50s, and with minimal cloud cover and thermal trough beginning
to retreat Wed, highs will rebound to the middle to upper 70s. With
the lack of a pressure gradient Wed afternoon, the setup is
favorable for a lake breeze to develop and bring cooler temps to far
Northeast Il/Northwest IN, pushing temps Wed aftn into the lower
60s.

Thursday through Monday... Heading into the second half of the week
and upcoming weekend, the main weather feature will continue to be
on heat and humidity. The surface ridge will shift east Wed ngt,
allowing flow to turn southwesterly. Ensembles continue to prog
minimal spread in the 500mb ridge amongst solutions across the
Northern Plains Thursday, then the wave will further amplify Friday
across Central Canada. A warm frontal boundary is progged to lift
north/northeast Thursday, and could bring a period of showers and
thunderstorms to the area.

Then with steadily increasing low level moisture, as dewpoints push
towards the upper 60s Fri/Sat, not only will temps be around 90 but
apparent temps are progged to push into the lower 90s Fri. For Sat
apparent temps are currently progged to be in the middle/upper 90s.
Towards the second half of the weekend chances for convection will
increase, which could help to hold temps in the middle to upper
80s.

Beachler

&&

.AVIATION...
For the 18Z TAFs...

Going forecast for the terminals on track with concerns confined
to isolated to scattered convection and winds. Thunderstorms
should be confined to areas mainly north of I-90 this afternoon
into early evening with two separate windows of minimal
opportunity. The first coming 18-19z and the second 21-23z with
spill over of an hour or so to either side. Still chances of
actual terminal being imacted very small and will continue to
cover this with VCSH in the TAF.

Winds occasionally gusting 25-28 kts this afternoon will ease back
toward sunset with gusts ceasing by dusk. VFR conditions continue
overnight with diurnal cumulus returning Tuesday. Expect winds
to become occasionally gusty again Tuesday as well after 14-15z...
however winds will only gust into the upper teens and close to 20
kt.

Ed F

&&

.MARINE...
217 PM CDT

An area of low pressure over eastern Ontario will continue to
slide northeast across Quebec, with a trailing frontal boundary
sliding south across Lake Michigan this afternoon. Meanwhile high
pressure over the Central Plains will strengthen a gradient along
the eastern edge, or over Wisconsin and influence Lake Michigan.
This will result in increased westerly to northwesterly winds
through Tuesday. A small craft advisory will end early this
evening, with a brief lull in winds before increasing yet again
early Tuesday morning through much of the day. This will result in
another small craft headline for Tuesday, but with winds turning
northwest to north, the combo of winds and waves will be a bigger
impact to the nearshore waters Tuesday. The high will build
across the Mississippi Valley Wednesday night then across Lake
Michigan Wednesday with winds diminish through that time frame.
Lake breezes are expected to develop Wednesday afternoon in the
light flow.

Beachler

&&

.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
IN...Beach Hazards Statement...INZ001-INZ002...4 AM Tuesday TO 9 PM
     Tuesday.

LM...Small Craft Advisory...NEARSHORE WATERS
     UNTIL 7 PM Monday.

     Small Craft Advisory...LMZ743-LMZ744-LMZ745...4 AM Tuesday TO 7
     PM Tuesday.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1227 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-
071730-
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE ILLINOIS-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-
DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-
IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE INDIANA-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-
1227 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016 /127 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM RISK.
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

DISCUSSION:

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-90... AND NORTH OF US-20 FROM
ROCKFORD WESTWARD. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
AROUND 30 PERCENT WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASED RISK OF FIRE GROWTH
THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY SOUTH OF I-80 AND WEST OF I-57.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THURSDAY...
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM RISK.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

SUNDAY...
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NECESSARY THROUGH TONIGHT.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

EAST AT 40 MPH.

&&

LMZ740>745-071730-
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
1227 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS NEARSHORE
WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE INDIANA NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON.
THERE ALSO IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE LIKELY DURING THE DAY
ON TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE INDIANA NEARSHORE WATERS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-071730-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO THE
MACKINAC BRIDGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLEVOIX MI TO SOUTH
FOX ISLAND 5 NM OFFSHORE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5 NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST. JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
1227 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

ED F

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