Alert archive / Kentucky / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Louisville, KY

June 15, 2016Cumberland County, Metcalfe County, Monroe County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this special weather statement at Jun 15, 2016, 4:52 PM CDT for Cumberland County, Metcalfe County, Monroe County, Kentucky. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2016, 4:52 PM CDT (21:52 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2016, 5:15 PM CDT
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY

Counties Cumberland County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 307 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 664 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 15, 2:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 2:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
315 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2016

.SHORT TERM (Now through Thursday Night)...
Issued at 219 PM EDT Wed Jun 15 2016

Widespread storms late this afternoon and early this evening, some
possibly severe with torrential rain and gusty winds, will taper off
as the evening wears on, with little if any activity after midnight.
Patchy haze or fog may form around dawn Thursday, but given lack of
fog over the past few days will leave mention out of the grids. It
will be another muggy night with low temperatures around 70.

The upper low near Duluth this afternoon will dive southeast into
Ohio tomorrow, dragging its attendant trailing trof through the Ohio
Valley Thursday evening. A lack of deep moisture and weak mid level
lapse rates will keep thunderstorm coverage isolated. The best
chances will be over southern Kentucky and the Blue Grass from mid
afternoon into the evening hours.

High temperatures will be in the lower and middle 90s but with
afternoon dew points mixing down into the 60s heat index values
won't be too far off from the temperature. There will be a decent
west breeze around 10 to 15 mph, too.

Storms will taper off Thursday night, with lows dropping down into
the 60s.

.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
Issued at 231 PM EDT Wed Jun 15 2016

Upper ridging blossoming from the Desert Southwest to the East Coast
will keep us dry and warm Friday through Monday night.

By Tuesday/Wednesday the ridge will get suppressed by an upper low
diving south out of eastern Canada while a surface cold front drops
in from the north. Will go ahead and keep thunderstorm chances in
the forecast for those two days.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 108 PM EDT Wed Jun 15 2016

Multiple surface boundaries combined with the very warm and moist
air mass will result in scattered to numerous clusters of storms
across central Kentucky this afternoon through evening. The highest
chances of strong winds and torrential rainfall is at SDF and BWG,
though LEX certainly could see a line of storms by early evening.

Earlier IFR stratus has lifted and mixed out to MVFR levels and this
will continue to lift to VFR over the next couple of hours. Plan on
south to southwesterly winds around 10 kts.

After storms end tonight, attention turns to fog or stratus
potential. Guidance hints that LEX and BWG may have better chances,
similar to this morning. This could be fuel alternate MVFR or even
IFR by sunrise Thursday.

&&

.LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Short Term........13
Long Term.........13
Aviation..........ZT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 2:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
312 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2016

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>035-038>040-045>047-053>055-
061>067-070>078-081-082-161915-
ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON-
FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-
NELSON-MERCER-LARUE-MARION-BOYLE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-
CASEY-LINCOLN-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-
ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
BRANDENBURG...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...
NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...
VERSAILLES...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...HODGENVILLE...
LEBANON...DANVILLE...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
312 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2016 /212 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016/

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 258 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM
CDT/ THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. THE MAIN THREAT WILL
BE LOCAL FLOODING FROM TORRENTIAL RAIN...WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE
AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED STORMS ARE FORECAST LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY OVER THE BLUEGRASS AND LAKE CUMBERLAND REGIONS.
THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND
HAIL.

HEAT INDEX VALUES THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 90S
TO AROUND 100.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE INVITED TO REPORT INSTANCES OF FLOODING OR SEVERE
WEATHER TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

KYZ036-037-041>043-048-049-056-057-161915-
SCOTT-HARRISON-FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-JESSAMINE-CLARK-GARRARD-
MADISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...LEXINGTON...
PARIS...CARLISLE...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...LANCASTER...RICHMOND
312 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH LIGHTNING
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED STORMS ARE FORECAST LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY OVER THE BLUEGRASS AND LAKE CUMBERLAND REGIONS.
THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND
HAIL.

HEAT INDEX VALUES THURSDAY AFTERNOON RANGE FROM THE MID 90S TO
AROUND 100.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE INVITED TO REPORT INSTANCES OF FLOODING OR SEVERE
WEATHER TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

13

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:02 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
502 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ESE JEFFERSONTOWN     38.19N 85.51W
06/15/2016                   JEFFERSON          KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN. MINOR ROOF DAMAGE. POWER LINES
            DOWN AS WELL. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

NWS LOUISVILLE KY
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:04 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
504 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FRANKLIN                36.73N 86.58W
06/15/2016                   SIMPSON            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AT SPORTSMAN LAKE
            ROAD AND AT AKIN AVENUE.

&&

TT/RP

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 4:15 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
415 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

KYZ073-152200-
ALLEN-
415 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ALLEN COUNTY...

AT 415 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER SCOTTSVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SCOTTSVILLE...CEDAR SPRINGS...CLARE...SETTLE...GAINESVILLE...HALIFAX...
POPE...AMOS...HOLLAND AND ALONZO.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3666 8641 3668 8642 3669 8642 3678 8641
      3689 8627 3693 8617 3691 8618 3693 8614
      3690 8615 3686 8611 3690 8610 3690 8607
      3681 8607 3681 8605 3676 8604 3674 8598
      3666 8595 3663 8597
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 236DEG 48KT 3676 8619

JDG

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:18 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
518 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FRANKLIN                36.72N 86.58W
06/15/2016                   SIMPSON            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON HENRY CLAY SMITH RD.

&&

TT/MD

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:49 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
549 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WNW SHEPHERDSVILLE    38.00N 85.76W
06/15/2016                   BULLITT            KY   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN.

&&

TT/MD

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 4:52 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
452 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

KYZ074>077-081-152215-
METCALF-ADAIR-CUMBERLAND-MONROE-BARREN-
452 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MONROE...METCALFE...
EASTERN BARREN...SOUTHWESTERN ADAIR AND CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 451 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 7 MILES WEST OF EDMONTON...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...BURKESVILLE...LESLIE...JEFFREY...KINO...NEW
LIBERTY...CEDAR FLATS...ELLINGTON AND WISDOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3674 8592 3716 8583 3717 8573 3697 8534
      3665 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 281DEG 38KT 3699 8575

JDG/MED

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 10:37 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Nicholas	23 min
Jun 15, 12:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Jefferson	43 min
Jun 15, 1:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Jefferson	36 min
Jun 15, 2:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Ohio	34 min
Jun 15, 2:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler, Logan, Ohio	42 min
Jun 15, 2:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler, Ohio	41 min
Jun 15, 2:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler, Logan, Simpson, Warren	54 min
Jun 15, 3:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Bullitt	38 min
Jun 15, 3:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Hardin, Meade	33 min
Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen, Barren, Butler, Edmonson, Warren	47 min
Jun 15, 3:22 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LMK	Logan	113 min
Jun 15, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Hardin, Larue, Nelson	32 min
Jun 15, 3:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Logan, Simpson	31 min
Jun 15, 3:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen, Logan, Simpson	25 min
Jun 15, 3:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Larue	33 min
Jun 15, 4:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Allen	45 min
Jun 15, 6:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Henry	39 min
Jun 15, 11:17 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Orange	28 min
Jun 15, 11:29 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Orange, Washington	31 min
Jun 15, 11:55 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Washington	35 min
Jun 15, 12:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Clark, Floyd	32 min
Jun 15, 2:01 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LMK	Dubois, Orange	119 min
Jun 15, 3:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Dubois, Orange	43 min
Jun 15, 4:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Orange, Washington	33 min
Jun 15, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Dubois, Orange	50 min
Jun 15, 5:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Dubois	24 min
Jun 15, 5:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Crawford, Dubois, Perry	31 min
Jun 15, 6:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Crawford, Perry	36 min
Jun 15, 6:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Jefferson	31 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kentucky, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.