Alert archive / Kentucky / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Louisville, KY

May 12, 2016Taylor County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this special weather statement at May 12, 2016, 4:15 PM EDT for Taylor County, Kentucky. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 12, 2016, 4:15 PM EDT (20:15 UTC)
Expired: May 12, 2016, 4:45 PM EDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY

County Taylor County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 134 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -93 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 832 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 12, 3:23 PM EDT, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 12, 3:23 PM EDT, 52 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
323 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016

.SHORT TERM (Now through Friday Night)...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu May 12 2016

Well-defined shortwave on water vapor is continuing into southern
Illinois and generating a line of storms over central TN/KY this
hour. Additional storms have formed along the remnant boundary from
storms yesterday, which made it well south of the KY/TN border.
Actual cold front is just west of the Wabash Valley this hour and
expected to move across the region by this evening. That should
bring an end to significant storms.

Friday, expect high pressure briefly to ridge into the region from
the Lower Mississippi Valley. Winds likewise briefly will turn to
northwesterly and allow temperatures to fall a little below normal
for highs despite good sunshine. Another cool front will approach
the region Friday night and bring a good chance for light rains,
perhaps some embedded thunder. The most available moisture looks to
stay just north of the Parkways, so will keep higher rain chances in
our north.

.LONG TERM (Saturday through Thursday)...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu May 12 2016

Lingering light rain showers are possible Saturday behind the above-
mentioned front. Otherwise, much cooler air will come into the
region as high pressure builds in from the Central Plains. We should
stay dry for the weekend. Temperatures may not get out of the 60s
during the day Saturday and Sunday we should rise further into the
60s. Lows Sunday morning could flirt with near frost readings.

Rain chances look to return Monday, as the high gets east of our
longitude. The GFS/GEM/EC all show a low organizing over Oklahoma
Monday night, which forms a more organized warm front somewhere in
our vicinity. They both show this feature staying in our area at
least through Wednesday, potentially causing another round of flash
flood concerns. GFS then dries us out for Thursday. The ensembles
have large spreads for Tuesday through Thursday, so confidence in
any one solution is not high. Will continue to run with the blended
model solution, leaning toward some of the models that have been
performing better in the long range.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 105 PM EDT Thu May 12 2016

VFR conditions will prevail through early this afternoon, before
convection moving into the southwest affects all sites through the
middle of this afternoon into early this evening.

The highest confidence in seeing a line of thunderstorms is at BWG.
Have tried to time the expected line of convection through there,
which will bring IFR vsbys and gusty/variable winds. Confidence in
convective coverage is a bit lower at SDF and LEX, where lower
instability should result in less organized storm potential.  Think
LEX has the better chance, thus will include a TEMPO group there.
SDF may be on the northern edge of the better storm potential, so
will not add in a TEMPO group at this time.  Otherwise, all sites
will dry out tonight and go mostly clear, with WNW winds around 10
knots persisting.

&&

.LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KY...Flash Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/ this evening for
     KYZ026-027-040>043-046>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082.

IN...NONE.
&&

Short Term........RJS
Long Term.........RJS
Aviation..........KJD

Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 3:50 PM EDT, 25 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
350 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>025-028>039-045-132000-
ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON-
FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-HARDIN-BULLITT-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-
HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON-NELSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
BRANDENBURG...ELIZABETHTOWN...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...
LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...
FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...
BARDSTOWN
350 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016 /250 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A COUPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
EVENING. STORMS THAT POTENTIALLY DEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING
COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN
THREATS. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO A THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA FOR THE NEXT WORK WEEK AS
A COLD FRONT STALLS IN THE VICINITY OF THE OHIO VALLEY. AN
ADDITIONAL ROUND OF FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR...DEPENDING ON HOW
THIS FRONT MOVES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING
THIS EVENING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

KYZ026-027-040>043-046>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-132000-
OHIO-GRAYSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-WASHINGTON-MERCER-
JESSAMINE-CLARK-LARUE-MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-
MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...VERSAILLES...
LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...
NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...
LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
350 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016 /250 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A COUPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
EVENING. STORMS THAT POTENTIALLY DEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING
COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN
THREATS.

RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS SATURATED THE GROUND...AND ADDITIONAL
STORMS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT. SEE THE LATEST STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA FOR THE NEXT WORK WEEK AS
A COLD FRONT STALLS IN THE VICINITY OF THE OHIO VALLEY. AN
ADDITIONAL ROUND OF FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR...DEPENDING ON HOW
THIS FRONT MOVES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING
THIS EVENING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

RJS

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 12, 2:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
240 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     HAIL             3 WNW WINDYVILLE        37.24N 86.37W
05/12/2016  M0.50 INCH       EDMONSON           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KDW

Special weather statement, May 12, 2:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
243 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016

KYZ027-028-053-061>064-121915-
HART-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-HARDIN-GREEN-GRAYSON-
243 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL HARDIN...
SOUTHEASTERN GRAYSON...EAST CENTRAL BUTLER...LARUE...NORTHERN HART
AND NORTHERN EDMONSON COUNTIES...

AT 242 PM EDT/142 PM CDT/...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR
BROWNSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HODGENVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...UPTON...SONORA...BONNIEVILLE...STOCKHOLM...
PROSPERITY...RIDERS MILL...MAXINE AND WABASH.

IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR A BODY OF WATER...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND
MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE
OUT TO 15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3721 8656 3761 8573 3756 8562 3754 8562
      3755 8560 3753 8559 3752 8557 3753 8556
      3749 8548 3746 8556 3747 8558 3745 8558
      3714 8632 3717 8640
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 234DEG 30KT 3727 8631

JDG

Special weather statement, May 12, 3:26 PM EDT, 49 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
226 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

KYZ061-070>072-122000-
BUTLER-WARREN-SIMPSON-LOGAN-
226 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN WARREN...
NORTHWESTERN SIMPSON...LOGAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTIES...

AT 226 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR RUSSELLVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOWLING GREEN...RUSSELLVILLE...PLUM SPRINGS...CRESTMOOR...MOUNT VICTOR...
DELAFIELD...MEMPHIS JUNCTION...ANDERSON...AUBURN AND LEWISBURG.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3674 8706 3676 8705 3687 8706 3696 8705
      3722 8650 3699 8633 3664 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 240DEG 41KT 3684 8697

KJD

Local storm report, May 12, 4:09 PM EDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
409 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     HAIL             2 ENE PRICEVILLE        37.38N 85.96W
05/12/2016  E1.00 INCH       HART               KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MRC

Local storm report, May 12, 4:11 PM EDT, 4 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special weather statement, May 12, 4:15 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
415 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016

KYZ053-054-063>065-122045-
HART-LARUE-GREEN-MARION-TAYLOR-
415 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN MARION...
NORTHWESTERN GREEN...SOUTHEASTERN LARUE...NORTHEASTERN HART AND
NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTIES...

AT 415 PM EDT/315 PM CDT/...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 12 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HODGENVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...RAYWICK...WHITE ROSE...WARDS...SPURLINGTON...NEW MARKET...
SALOMA...ARISTA...ATTILLA AND BLOYD.

LAT...LON 3747 8576 3754 8559 3752 8556 3753 8555
      3755 8555 3756 8553 3755 8552 3756 8552
      3764 8532 3738 8521 3732 8569
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 250DEG 25KT 3741 8564

KJD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 11, 8:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Meade	30 min
May 11, 8:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Oldham, Shelby	29 min
May 11, 8:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Meade	24 min
May 11, 8:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Breckinridge, Butler, Grayson, Ohio	35 min
May 11, 8:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Hardin, Jefferson, Meade	32 min
May 11, 8:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Jefferson	27 min
May 11, 8:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Edmonson, Grayson, Hardin, Larue, Warren	49 min
May 11, 9:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler, Edmonson, Grayson	33 min
May 11, 9:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Hardin, Nelson	46 min
May 11, 9:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Oldham, Trimble	29 min
May 11, 9:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin, Larue, Marion, Nelson	28 min
May 11, 9:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Shelby, Spencer	24 min
May 11, 9:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Trimble	30 min
May 11, 9:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Boyle, Mercer, Washington	35 min
May 11, 9:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle, Marion, Mercer, Washington	32 min
May 11, 9:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Oldham, Shelby, Trimble	32 min
May 11, 9:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Anderson, Franklin, Shelby	27 min
May 11, 9:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Adair, Barren, Casey, Cumberland, Green, Marion and 4 more	46 min
May 11, 10:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle, Lincoln, Mercer	25 min
May 11, 10:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Fayette, Franklin, Harrison, Jessamine, Mercer, Scott and 1 more	24 min
May 11, 10:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Grayson	24 min
May 11, 10:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard	34 min
May 11, 10:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Lincoln	30 min
May 11, 10:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Harrison, Jessamine, Nicholas and 1 more	39 min
May 11, 11:06 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Madison	24 min
May 11, 11:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Green	37 min
May 12, 2:48 AM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	LMK	Adair, Allen, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle, Butler and 27 more	20 hr
May 12, 3:00 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LMK	Breckinridge, Grayson, Ohio	4 hr
May 12, 8:33 AM EDT	River Flood Advisory	LMK	Warren	36 hr
May 12, 2:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Edmonson, Larue	32 min
May 12, 3:13 PM EDT	River Flood Advisory	LMK	Ohio	36 hr
May 12, 3:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Logan, Warren	34 min
May 12, 3:37 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LMK	Boyle, Garrard, Jessamine, Lincoln, Madison	3 hr
May 12, 3:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green, Hart, Larue, Marion, Nelson, Taylor	29 min
May 12, 3:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Cumberland, Monroe	47 min
May 12, 4:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Edmonson, Warren	36 min
May 12, 4:57 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LMK	Hart	63 min
May 11, 9:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark, Floyd	25 min
May 11, 9:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark, Jefferson, Scott	22 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kentucky, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.