Severe Thunderstorm Warning 249, NWS Louisville, KY

230 
WWUS53 KLMK 062012
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
312 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

KYC183-062021-
/O.CAN.KLMK.SV.W.0249.000000T0000Z-160706T2030Z/
OHIO KY-
312 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN OHIO COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3706 8705 3707 8694 3709 8690 3711 8689
      3715 8693 3718 8692 3718 8689 3721 8690
      3725 8687 3734 8663 3711 8663 3665 8677
      3664 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 257DEG 63KT 3735 8710 3704 8698 3675 8719 

$$

KYC031-141-062030-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0249.000000T0000Z-160706T2030Z/
LOGAN KY-BUTLER KY-
312 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR LOGAN AND BUTLER COUNTIES...

AT 311 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR CENTRAL CITY TO NEAR DUNMOR TO NEAR ELKTON...
MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSSELLVILLE...MORGANTOWN...ANDERSON...AUBURN...ADAIRVILLE...LEWISBURG...
ROCHESTER...WOODBURY...LICKSKILLET AND COOPERSTOWN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
WIND DAMAGE ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3706 8705 3707 8694 3709 8690 3711 8689
      3715 8693 3718 8692 3718 8689 3721 8690
      3725 8687 3734 8663 3711 8663 3665 8677
      3664 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 257DEG 63KT 3735 8710 3704 8698 3675 8719 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SCHOETTMER

570 
WWUS53 KLMK 062030
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
330 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

KYC031-141-062039-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0249.000000T0000Z-160706T2030Z/
LOGAN KY-BUTLER KY-
330 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LOGAN AND BUTLER COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT 330 PM CDT...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

LAT...LON 3706 8705 3707 8694 3709 8690 3711 8689
      3715 8693 3718 8692 3718 8689 3721 8690
      3725 8687 3734 8663 3711 8663 3665 8677
      3664 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 258DEG 63KT 3735 8710 3704 8698 3675 8719 

$$

SCHOETTMER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
325 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

.SHORT TERM (Now through Thursday Night)...
Issued at 319 PM EDT Wed Jul 6 2016

Many challenges in the short term, with each subsequent period's
weather largely dependent on what happened in the previous period.
For right now, it does look like the storms coming in from the west
will proceed into southern Kentucky and then possibly shift
southward into mid Tennessee. In addition, scattered storms will
arise in the unstable atmosphere over the rest of central Kentucky
south of the outflow boundary from this morning's MCS. Severe
weather in the form of strong gusty winds will be possible as a
result during the late afternoon/early evening hours.

Talked with neighboring offices about the possibility of a Flash
Flood Watch. Three to over five inches of rain have fallen on the
southwest 2/3rds of the CWA over the past three days. The system
coming in from western Kentucky is progressive and the storms
popping up over central Kentucky are small in individual size. While
local flooding issues are possible under the strongest downpours, it
was felt that widespread flooding would be unlikely and we would
hold off on a watch for now. However if the western KY system gels
with storms over central Kentucky and forms a large area of heavy
showers and storms, a headline may become necessary.

Thunderstorm chances for the remainder of the night are in question.
Currently keeping an eye on eastern Iowa and northern Illinois for
renewed thunderstorm development. If storms do go up there, they may
coalesce into another MCS. 850-300 flow would take it due east, but
as was shown by this morning's MCS, if it can get a good cold pool
going it could dive to the SE. Lots of "if"s. Bottom line, we'll
hold on to storm chances through the night. That is in line with the
above scenario, and also with other model solutions that re-fire
convection in the Ohio Valley overnight.

More "if"s tomorrow. If we do have morning storms, they should clear
out early enough for redevelopment in the afternoon. Though we'll be
well in the warm sector ahead of a cold front over the Midwest and a
warm from there to the upper Ohio Valley, the trigger for new storms
may come in the form of a 5H wave coming in from the west by late
afternoon/evening. There will also be upstream convection over the
Midwest that could spread this way, or at least send out an outflow
boundary for storms to form on.

Any storms Thursday should wane diurnally Thursday night. MCS
development will again be possible over the Midwest Thursday night,
but it appears that if one does form it would move more to the east
rather than southeast, along the aforementioned warm front and in
deep westerly flow. So, it would stay to our north.

Hot, humid weather will contniue. Heat index readings will peak
around 100 Thursday afternoon.

.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
Issued at 323 PM EDT Wed Jul 6 2016

Friday an actual cold front will move in from the northwest,
crossing the region during the evening. Much of the day will
probably be quiet, but storms may erupt in the late afternoon and
continue into the evening hours as we destabilize and the front
plows through. Shear will be unimpressive, freezing levels high, and
there will be some capping to overcome, but some strong wind gusts
will be possible in the storms.

Heat index values will again peak around 100 degrees in the
afternoon.

After a mostly dry weekend behind the departing cold front, early
next week we'll get into warm, unstable return flow with largely
diurnal thunderstorm chances each day.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 119 PM EDT Wed Jul 6 2016

Two separate convective complexes are colling over the Ohio River
Valley this afternoon, with all terminals expected to experience
thunderstorm activity.

SDF...A weakened line of storms will impact SDF between 130 and 230
PM EDT with 2-3 SM visibility, CG lightning, heavy rain, and gusty
NW winds between 25 - 35 mph. These storms should stabilize the area
for the rest of the afternoon, before another round of storms
potentially moves into the area early this evening.

BWG...An organized and severe complex of storms is racing across the
MO bootheel and is expected to be around the BWG terminal between 3
and 4 PM CDT. At this point, it is expected that the storms will be
severe with widespread W winds over 50 mph for a brief period. Ahead
of this line of storms scattered storms will be possible with gusts
in the 35-45 mph range, reduced visibility in heavy rain, and
lightning.

LEX...Expecting scattered thunderstorm activity to pick up after 3
PM EDT and persist for much of the afternoon and evening. There will
be lulls in t-storms activity, followed by enhanced activity. With
no real mechanisme to focus a time, will go with VCTS and try to
amend when more clear T-storm impact times are clear. Expect 2-3
miles in heavy rain, gusty winds to 40-45 mph and CG lightning with
any storm.

Confidence is low for tonight as convective complexes will
ultimately control what happens later. Will go with a standard low
VFR/high MVFR vis/cig in the moist low level airmass with variable
winds following t-storm complexes. Another round of strong/severe
storms is expected tomorrow.

&&

.LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Short Term........13
Long Term.........13
Aviation..........BJS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
343 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

KYZ023>029-038>040-045>048-053>056-061>067-070>078-081-082-071945-
HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-BULLITT-SPENCER-
ANDERSON-WOODFORD-NELSON-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-LARUE-MARION-
BOYLE-GARRARD-BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-
CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
BRANDENBURG...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...
BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...
HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...MORGANTOWN...
BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...
STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...
SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...
JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
343 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 /243 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016/

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 337 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM
CDT/ THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. SOME
OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS SEVERAL
DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH A WARM...MOIST ATMOSPHERE. ANY STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE 100
TO 105 DEGREE RANGE.

SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
WELL...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY STRONGER WIND GUSTS...DAMAGE...AS WELL
AS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ030>037-041>043-049-057-071945-
ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON-
FLOYD-CLARK-OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-FAYETTE-BOURBON-
NICHOLAS-MADISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...
NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...WINCHESTER...RICHMOND
343 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 /243 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS SEVERAL
DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH A WARM...MOIST ATMOSPHERE. ANY STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE 100
TO 105 DEGREE RANGE.

SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
WELL...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY STRONGER WIND GUSTS...DAMAGE...AS WELL
AS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
233 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

KYZ034-035-039-061900-
FRANKLIN-SHELBY-ANDERSON-
233 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...
SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY AND NORTH CENTRAL ANDERSON COUNTIES...

AT 233 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR SHELBYVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FRANKFORT...SHELBYVILLE...BRYANT...HATTON...HEMP RIDGE...BIG EDDY...WADDY...
AVENSTOKE...EVERGREEN AND CLAY VILLAGE.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3814 8486 3814 8487 3809 8488 3811 8529
      3821 8527 3828 8480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1833Z 276DEG 36KT 3816 8523

SCHOETTMER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
244 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

KYZ027-028-061915-
HARDIN-GRAYSON-
244 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN HARDIN AND
NORTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTIES...

AT 244 PM EDT/144 PM CDT/...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 8 MILES EAST OF
LEITCHFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEITCHFIELD...CLARKSON...WEST CLIFTY...ROCK CREEK...ROYAL...WHITE MILLS
JUNCTION...LACON...SPURRIER...FRAGRANT AND SPIKE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3751 8628 3764 8608 3752 8592 3745 8603
      3745 8604 3744 8605 3744 8604 3743 8605
      3739 8611
TIME...MOT...LOC 1844Z 232DEG 17KT 3749 8614

ZT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
309 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

KYZ028-061930-
HARDIN-
309 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTY...

AT 309 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELIZABETHTOWN...RADCLIFF...VINE GROVE...LONG VIEW...FOUR CORNERS...
RINEYVILLE...KRAFT AND ROGERSVILLE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3782 8601 3784 8600 3785 8589 3773 8584
      3770 8612 3780 8613
TIME...MOT...LOC 1909Z 261DEG 27KT 3778 8602

ZT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
225 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

KYZ061-070-062000-
BUTLER-LOGAN-
225 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN LOGAN AND SOUTH CENTRAL
BUTLER COUNTIES...

AT 225 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR RUSSELLVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSSELLVILLE...ANDERSON...AUBURN...LEWISBURG...EPLEYS...SPA...COOPERSTOWN...
BUFFALO FORK...CHANDLERS CHAPEL AND JERICO.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3715 8665 3708 8664 3700 8667 3691 8662
      3688 8662 3682 8702 3697 8704
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 250DEG 35KT 3694 8691

SCHOETTMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
326 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NW CECILIA            37.68N 85.97W
07/06/2016  M54 MPH          HARDIN             KY   MESONET

            .

&&

MRC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
242 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

KYZ026-061-062015-
BUTLER-OHIO-
242 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN OHIO AND CENTRAL
BUTLER COUNTIES...

AT 242 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR MORGANTOWN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MORGANTOWN...CASEY...WOODBURY...MONFORD...FLENER...ABERDEEN...HORSE BRANCH...
SOUTH HILL...HULDEVILLE AND SHULTZTOWN.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3747 8667 3723 8648 3718 8659 3718 8662
      3717 8662 3717 8661 3709 8677 3733 8693
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 239DEG 31KT 3728 8677

ZT