Special Weather Statement, NWS Elko, NV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
300 PM PDT Sun Oct 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Showers and thunderstorms over most of northern Nevada
as well as windy conditions across central Nevada will all
diminish into this evening. Dry and mild early on Monday with
showers moving in from west to east later in the day. Showers
linger over northern Nevada Monday night into Tuesday. Dry
conditions return on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday. Widespread showers and
isolated thunderstorms across most of northern and portions of
central Nevada this afternoon will diminish into this evening.
Some showers may be moderate or heavy with reduced visibility.
While CAPE is relatively low...shear values are high to the west
of and along the line from Gabbs up toward Carlin and
Midas with moderate shear east of that line. As such there may be
some moderate to potentially strong thunderstorms late this
afternoon and early evening. Across central Nevada strong
southerly winds will continue into the early evening and diminish
into the late evening and overnight hours.

A brief pause in the rain late this evening into Monday
morning...however by Monday afternoon a second trough will bring
another round of showers to mainly northern Nevada. It is still
likely to be dry in the Elko area early Monday evening...however
before midnight light rain is expected to begin. Showers continue
overnight Monday and through Tuesday afternoon across northern
Nevada.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday night through Sunday. Benign weather
through the first half of the weekend as a ridge of high pressure
sits over the area. However the EC model shows some moisture being
advected northward around a upper level low in western AZ into
east central NV near the UT border on Friday. The GFS however
keeps this upper level low and associated moisture well to the
south across far southern NV. For now kept the forecast dry for
Friday due to model uncertainty. Models do agree that a short
wave will move across northern NV on Sunday, but differ on the
strength, with the GFS bringing precip down into central NV while
the EC keep precip confined to northern NV.

&&

.AVIATION...Widespread rain showers with local mvfr conditions
mainly affecting the keko and kely terminals through 03z. South
winds gusting to 50 mph through 02z impacting the KTPH and KELY
terminals, and up to 40 mph at the KEKO terminal. Isolated
thunderstorms possibly impacting the KEKO terminal through 01z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms late
this afternoon and early evening over northern and portions of
central Nevada will taper off later this evening. Some showers
will be moderate to heavy with wetting rains. The strong
southerly winds across central Nevada will also diminish into this
evening and overnight. Dry tonight into Monday however more rain
is expected over mainly northern Nevada later on Monday on through
Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until 9 PM PDT this evening for Northeastern
Nye County-Ruby Mountains/East Humboldt Range-South Central Elko
County-Southeastern Elko County-White Pine County.

Wind Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Northwestern Nye
County-Southern Lander County and Southern Eureka County.

&&

96/91/91/96

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
419 PM PDT SUN OCT 30 2016

NVZ030-302345-
HUMBOLDT COUNTY NV-
419 PM PDT SUN OCT 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY
UNTIL 445 PM PDT...

AT 418 PM PDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF PARADISE VALLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PARADISE VALLEY AND CHIMNEY DAM RESERVOIR.

LAT...LON 4124 11758 4135 11774 4155 11784 4192 11733
      4141 11705
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 239DEG 49KT 4141 11760

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
423 PM PDT SUN OCT 30 2016

NVZ036-038-310000-
SOUTHWEST ELKO COUNTY NV-
NORTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND NORTHERN EUREKA COUNTY NV-
423 PM PDT SUN OCT 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL EUREKA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ELKO COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM PDT...

AT 423 PM PDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
PINE VALLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PINE VALLEY AND EMIGRANT MINE.

LAT...LON 4025 11613 4042 11629 4077 11600 4047 11566
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 222DEG 55KT 4041 11614

DS

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