Small Craft Advisory 33, NWS New Orleans, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1216 AM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

.AVIATION...

An area of moderate rain currently impacting KBTR should linger
for the next couple of hours resulting in continued IFR
visibilities around 2 to 3 miles. Around 12Z, some lower ceilings
are expected to develop at all of the terminals. Ceilings should
generally range around 1000 to 2000 feet resulting in MVFR
restrictions through the remainder of the morning hours. Some
lingering light rain will be in the area, and this could also push
visibilities down to around 5 miles at times this morning. Any
rain is expected to be clear of the area by 18Z.  The ceilings
should gradually improve to around 3000 to 4000 feet by 20 to 22Z
and then continue to improve further after 00Z as some drier air
advects in from the west. As a result...prevailing VFR conditions
are forecast for all of the terminals by 00Z. 32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  80  66  82  66 /  40  20  50  30
BTR  81  68  83  68 /  40  20  50  20
ASD  81  69  84  69 /  60  20  50  20
MSY  81  72  83  72 /  60  20  50  20
GPT  79  70  83  71 /  60  30  50  20
PQL  80  69  84  69 /  60  30  50  20

&&

.LIX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
951 PM CDT MON MAY 16 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-171500-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
951 PM CDT MON MAY 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED PUSH EAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA OVERNIGHT. SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL REMAIN LIMITED OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND WEAK FRONTS MOVING INTO
THE AREA WILL KEEP A RISK OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN PLACE
THROUGH FRIDAY. A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

SEVERE WEATHER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY ISOLATED, BUT IF
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS ON WEDNESDAY.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEK...SOME AREAS MAY
SEE AS MUCH AS THREE TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN IN THE TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY TIME PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.