Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1136 PM CST FRI JAN 8 2016

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR OR LOWER CATEGORY CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT THE
TERMINALS THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS BEFORE
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR CONDITIONS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF
SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRAVERSE THE FORECAST
AREA FROM WEST TO EAST BETWEEN ABOUT 08Z AND 14Z. MVFR CEILINGS
WILL LIKELY MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA SATUDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. 11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  54  66  40  47 /  90  60  10   0
BTR  57  67  41  49 /  90  30  10  10
ASD  56  68  45  51 /  60  60  10   0
MSY  58  69  45  50 /  70  50  10   0
GPT  56  68  46  52 /  30  70  10   0
PQL  56  69  47  53 /  30  70  10   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST SATURDAY FOR LAZ040-049-050-
     056>070-072.

GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ530-532-534-
     536-538-550-552-555-557.

MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST SATURDAY FOR MSZ080>082.

GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ532-534-536-
     538-550-552-555-557.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
435 PM CST FRI JAN 8 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-091400-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
435 PM CST FRI JAN 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND PERSIST
FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT ACROSS AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3AM FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 10/12 CORRIDOR. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR THE NEAR COASTAL WATERS...SOUNDS...AND TIDAL LAKES. VISIBILITIES
ARE LIKELY TO DROP TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED MAINLY LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE AREA. ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE. THE MAIN THREATS FROM ANY SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL...HOWEVER A BRIEF
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
PARTS OF THE LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WILL LEAD
TO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY.

COLDER WEATHER WILL LEAD TO A LIGHT TO POSSIBLY MODERATE FREEZE
SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS NORTH AND WEST OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN INTO
SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. A BRIEF LIGHT FREEZE COULD ALSO OCCUR IN SOME
AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1243 AM CST SAT JAN 9 2016

LAZ034-035-090715-
WEST FELICIANA-POINTE COUPEE-
1243 AM CST SAT JAN 9 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL WEST FELICIANA AND
CENTRAL POINTE COUPEE PARISHES...

AT 1242 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR MELVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEW ROADS...ST. FRANCISVILLE...FORDOCHE AND MORGANZA.

LAT...LON 3098 9142 3073 9129 3072 9129 3070 9132
      3067 9130 3055 9172 3060 9175 3066 9175
      3067 9173 3071 9173 3075 9176
TIME...MOT...LOC 0642Z 240DEG 49KT 3067 9169