River Flood Warning 71, NWS New Orleans, LA

598 
WGUS84 KLIX 010148
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
848 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC109-020748-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0071.160502T0600Z-160502T1200Z/
/CREM6.1.ER.160502T0600Z.160502T0600Z.160502T0600Z.NO/
848 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* from late Sunday night to Monday morning.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water over a few roads in the city of 
  Picayune will cause traffic problems. School bus traffic may need 
  alternate routes. A few homes on Northwood Drive will be 
  threatened. Beech Street and Westchester Subdivision below the 
  confluence of the east and west branches is subject to flooding in 
  low places.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will pool on isolated low areas of 
  unimproved roads near the creek. Minor overflow will occur in 
  agricultural areas near stream.

&&

LAT...LON 3082 8951 3082 8960 3053 8971 3049 8959

$$

996 
WGUS84 KLIX 011657
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1157 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill affecting Pearl River County
  
  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC109-021800-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0070.160502T1200Z-160502T1800Z/
/MNLM6.1.ER.160502T1200Z.160502T1200Z.160502T1200Z.NO/
1157 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill.
* from Monday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 11:45 AM Sunday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Some secondary roads near the stream north 
  of Picayune will be inundated. Beech Street and Westchester 
  Subdivision below the confluence of the east and west branches will
  be subject to flooding in low places.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Minor agricultural and forestry flooding 
  will develop in rural areas.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bank full with minor over bank flow will 
  occur at low spots just below gage.


&&

LAT...LON 3066 8959 3080 8961 3079 8966 3071 8968




$$

MSC109-021800-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0071.160502T1200Z-160502T1800Z/
/CREM6.1.ER.160502T1200Z.160502T1200Z.160502T1200Z.NO/
1157 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* from Monday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 11:45 AM Sunday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water over a few roads in the city of 
  Picayune will cause traffic problems. School bus traffic may need 
  alternate routes. A few homes on Northwood Drive will be 
  threatened. Beech Street and Westchester Subdivision below the 
  confluence of the east and west branches is subject to flooding in 
  low places.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will pool on isolated low areas of 
  unimproved roads near the creek. Minor overflow will occur in 
  agricultural areas near stream.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bankfull at gage. Some minor overflow will 
  occur in flood plain downstream of gage.


&&

LAT...LON 3082 8951 3082 8960 3053 8971 3049 8959




$$

287 
WGUS84 KLIX 020151
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
851 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill affecting Pearl River County
  
  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC109-030751-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0070.160503T1200Z-160504T0000Z/
/MNLM6.1.ER.160503T1200Z.160503T1200Z.160503T1800Z.NO/
851 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill.
* from Tuesday morning to Tuesday evening.
* At  7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Some secondary roads near the stream north 
  of Picayune will be inundated. Beech Street and Westchester 
  Subdivision below the confluence of the east and west branches will
  be subject to flooding in low places.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Minor agricultural and forestry flooding 
  will develop in rural areas.

&&

LAT...LON 3066 8959 3080 8961 3079 8966 3071 8968




$$

MSC109-030750-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0071.160503T1200Z-160504T0000Z/
/CREM6.1.ER.160503T1200Z.160503T1200Z.160503T1800Z.NO/
851 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* from Tuesday morning to Tuesday evening.
* At  7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water over a few roads in the city of 
  Picayune will cause traffic problems. School bus traffic may need 
  alternate routes. A few homes on Northwood Drive will be 
  threatened. Beech Street and Westchester Subdivision below the 
  confluence of the east and west branches is subject to flooding in 
  low places.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will pool on isolated low areas of 
  unimproved roads near the creek. Minor overflow will occur in 
  agricultural areas near stream.

&&

LAT...LON 3082 8951 3082 8960 3053 8971 3049 8959




$$

031 
WGUS84 KLIX 021433
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
933 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill affecting Pearl River County
  
  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC109-032033-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0070.160504T0600Z-160504T1200Z/
/MNLM6.1.ER.160504T0600Z.160504T0600Z.160504T0600Z.NO/
933 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill.
* from late Tuesday night to Wednesday morning.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage late 
  Tuesday night.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Some secondary roads near the stream north 
  of Picayune will be inundated. Beech Street and Westchester 
  Subdivision below the confluence of the east and west branches will
  be subject to flooding in low places.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Minor agricultural and forestry flooding 
  will develop in rural areas.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bank full with minor over bank flow will 
  occur at low spots just below gage.


&&

LAT...LON 3066 8959 3080 8961 3079 8966 3071 8968




$$

MSC109-032032-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0071.160504T0000Z-160504T1200Z/
/CREM6.1.ER.160504T0000Z.160504T0000Z.160504T0600Z.NO/
933 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* from Tuesday evening to Wednesday morning.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water over a few roads in the city of 
  Picayune will cause traffic problems. School bus traffic may need 
  alternate routes. A few homes on Northwood Drive will be 
  threatened. Beech Street and Westchester Subdivision below the 
  confluence of the east and west branches is subject to flooding in 
  low places.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will pool on isolated low areas of 
  unimproved roads near the creek. Minor overflow will occur in 
  agricultural areas near stream.

&&

LAT...LON 3082 8951 3082 8960 3053 8971 3049 8959




$$

753 
WGUS84 KLIX 022350
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
650 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill affecting Pearl River County
  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local TV and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC109-030020-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-160504T1200Z/
/MNLM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
650 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill.
* At  5:45 PM Monday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 10.9 feet 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bank full with minor over bank flow will 
  occur at low spots just below gage.

&&

LAT...LON 3066 8959 3080 8961 3079 8966 3071 8968




$$

MSC109-030020-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-160504T1200Z/
/CREM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
650 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* At  5:45 PM Monday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 13.4 feet. The 
  river will fall to 12.2 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will pool on isolated low areas of 
  unimproved roads near the creek. Minor overflow will occur in 
  agricultural areas near stream.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bankfull at gage. Some minor overflow will 
  occur in flood plain downstream of gage.

&&

LAT...LON 3082 8951 3082 8960 3053 8971 3049 8959




$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
831 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...
THE SOUNDING THIS MORNING INDICATES A VERY WARM AND MOIST
ENVIRONMENT BELOW AN ELEVATED INVERSION AT 900 MB. ONSHORE FLOW
OFF THE GULF IS 20 TO 35 KTS JUST ABOVE THE SFC THROUGH THIS
LAYER. THE LCL IS LOW AT 400 FEET. DRIER AIR IS PRESENT ABOVE TO
ABOUT 550 MB. OVERALL PW IS ABOVE AVERAGE AT 1.43 INCHES. ANOTHER
ELEVATED INVERSION IS NEAR 630 MB... WHERE WINDS BEGIN TO TURN
MORE WESTERLY. CAPE IS RELATIVELY LONG AND SKINNY THROUGH THE
PROFILE WITH MOST UNSTABLE AT 2000 J/KG. WARM CLOUD LAYER IN A
STORM WOULD BE 14000 FT SO EFFICIENT RAINFALL PROCESSES AND FLASH
FLOODING IS A CONCERN AGAIN TODAY. SFC TO 6 KM SHEAR IS 35 KTS...
THAT IS ENOUGH FOR SEVERE WIND TO AT LEAST BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS
AS WELL. WE EXPECT THIS ENVIRONMENT TO ALLOW THE MCS CURRENTLY AT
THE LA/MS BORDER TO CONTINUE EAST. THE SOUNDING FROM LAKE CHARLES
THIS MORNING WAS JUST AHEAD OF THE LINE. THE LCH PROFILE HAS A BIT
MORE SHEAR AND ALSO SUPPORTS MCS MAINTENANCE. ONE LAST CONCERN FOR
TODAY WOULD BE THE LINE OF STORMS SLOWING IN SOUTHEAST LA AND
TRAINING ALONG A COASTAL BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON... WHERE THERE
DOES APPEAR TO BE MOISTURE POOLED AT 925 MB ALONG THE NORTHSHORE AND
THE MS GULF COAST.

KRAUTMANN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016/

SHORT TERM...

A FEW SHOWERS HAVE STARTED TO DEVELOP OVER POINTE COUPEE AND WEST
FELICIANA PARISHES THIS MORNING AND ARE PUSHING NORTH AND EAST.
CONTINUED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OUT AHEAD OF A STRONG
SQUALL LINE MOVING THROUGH THE SHREVEPORT AREA AND STRETCHING TO
LUFKIN AND THEN NORTH OF HOUSTON IN EASTERN TEXAS.

OVERALL...I HAVE ELECTED NOT TO MAKE MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
UPDATE SENT OUT A FEW HOURS AGO BUT THERE ARE A FEW ADDITIONS. THE
MAIN ONE IS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUANCE BEGINNING AT 12Z AND
RUNNING TO 00Z ON SUNDAY. THE CONFIDENCE LEVEL OF THE PROBABILITY
OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS HIGHER GENERALLY WEST OF I-55 AND NORTH OF
I-10 AND THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ADDED. OTHER
THAN THAT...INCREASED THE RAIN CHANCES TODAY A BIT MORE IN THE
EASTERN PART OF THE AREA. THE HRRR CONTINUES TO SHOW A SQUALL LINE
EXTENDING FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED LINE DEVELOPING AND MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA MUCH SOONER THAN EXPECTED AT THIS TIME LAST
NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND ADDRESS ANY CHANGES AS NEEDED
AS THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF WHAT ULTIMATELY MOVES INTO THE AREA
IS PROVING DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE.

LONG TERM...

NEXT BEST CHANCE OF RAIN CONTINUES TO BE ON TUESDAY WITH CLEARING
AND DRYING OUT OCCURRING ON WEDNESDAY.

AVIATION...

MVFR CEILINGS ARE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE TERMINAL AREAS THIS MORNING.
CANNOT RULE OUT CEILINGS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER END OF THE IFR
CATEGORY...BUT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE
SIGNIFICANT VISIBILITY ISSUES.

MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM IS TIMING OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. MESOSCALE MODELING HAS SLOWED DOWN TIMING FROM WHAT
THE EVENING SHIFT WAS LOOKING AT. WILL NEED TO MAKE ADJUSTMENTS ON
TIMING WITH 12Z TAF PACKAGE BASED ON LATEST MESOSCALE MODELING
SOLUTIONS. WILL TRY TO USE ABOUT A 2 HOUR WINDOW WHERE TSRA WILL BE
PREDOMINANT. BASED ON LATEST HRRR SOLUTION...CONVECTION SHOULD CLEAR
MOST OR ALL TERMINALS BY 00Z SUNDAY. LIKELY TO SEE MVFR CEILINGS
AGAIN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AFTER 06Z SUNDAY.

MARINE...

WILL CONTINUE EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS
WHERE THEY ARE CURRENTLY IN PLACE. SHOULD SEE SOME WEAKENING OF
PRESSURE GRADIENT AFTER TODAY FOR SEVERAL DAYS. FRONT NOT LIKELY TO
PUSH THROUGH COASTAL WATERS UNTIL SOMETIME AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK.

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE....BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...MINOR RIVER FLOODING. MONITOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  83  68  81  67 /  90  70  70  30
BTR  82  70  84  68 /  90  50  70  30
ASD  84  68  84  67 /  60  40  60  30
MSY  83  73  82  71 /  60  50  60  30
GPT  83  72  84  67 /  60  40  60  30
PQL  84  69  83  67 /  60  40  50  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ034>037-039-
     040-046>050-056>058-071-072.

GM...NONE.
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ068>071.

GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
526 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-302230-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
526 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS MORNING AND
THIS AFTERNOON. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN LOUISIANA
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING AND
THIS AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS...BUT ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO ACCOMPANY THE
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WEST OF THE PEARL RIVER AND NORTH OF A
SLIDELL TO DONALDSONVILLE LINE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN
EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FOR THIS AREA. RAIN AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE REPEAT
THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOST NUMEROUS ON SUNDAY
AND TUESDAY. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
NORTHWEST OF A SLIDELL TO HOUMA LINE ON SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS
WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO
POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON.