River Flood Warning 65, NWS New Orleans, LA

980 
WGUS44 KLIX 281627
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1127 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...

  Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC047-292227-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.160428T2116Z-160501T0430Z/
/GLFM6.2.ER.160428T2116Z.160429T1200Z.160430T2230Z.NO/
1127 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* from this afternoon to Saturday evening.
* At 8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 3.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will be in several homes along the 
  river near the Bells Ferry Road bridge. Bells Ferry Road will be 
  closed within a mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by 
  swift moving river current.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be closed within a 
  mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by swift moving 
  river current.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be impassable with deep
  water on the east bridge approach.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will begin to flood. There 
  will be water over the access road just upstream of the bridge and 
  the road will become impassable very quickly.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917

$$

102 
WGUS84 KLIX 282000
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
300 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC047-300200-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.160428T2120Z-160501T0430Z/
/GLFM6.2.ER.160428T2120Z.160429T1200Z.160430T2230Z.NO/
300 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 5.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by tomorrow morning.the river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will be in several homes along the 
  river near the Bells Ferry Road bridge. Bells Ferry Road will be 
  closed within a mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by 
  swift moving river current.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be closed within a 
  mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by swift moving 
  river current.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be impassable with deep
  water on the east bridge approach.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will begin to flood. There 
  will be water over the access road just upstream of the bridge and 
  the road will become impassable very quickly.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917

$$

699 
WGUS44 KLIX 282038
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
338 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

...Observed Flooding Changed from Moderate to Nonflood Severity for 
the following rivers in Mississippi...

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Major Severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...

The Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC047-300238-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.160428T2056Z-160501T0000Z/
/GLFM6.3.ER.160428T2056Z.160429T1200Z.160430T1800Z.NR/
338 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 5.5 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late 
  this afternoon and then continue to rise until cresting at around 
  15.0 feet by tomorrow morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Major flooding of the area will occur. 
  Several homes on Magnolia Drive will be flooded along with business
  structures along Menge Avenue. The Menge Avenue bridge will be 
  under water. Water will be in several homes along the river near 
  the Bells Ferry Road bridge. Bells Ferry Road will be closed within
  a mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by swift moving 
  river current.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will be in several homes along the 
  river near the Bells Ferry Road bridge. Bells Ferry Road will be 
  closed within a mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by 
  swift moving river current.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be closed within a 
  mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by swift moving 
  river current.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be impassable with deep
  water on the east bridge approach.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will begin to flood. There 
  will be water over the access road just upstream of the bridge and 
  the road will become impassable very quickly.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917




$$

098 
WGUS84 KLIX 290108
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
808 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local TV and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC047-300708-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-160430T1836Z/
/GLFM6.3.ER.160428T2143Z.160429T1200Z.160430T1236Z.NR/
808 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.0 feet  
  Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Major flooding of the area will occur. 
  Several homes on Magnolia Drive will be flooded along with business
  structures along Menge Avenue. The Menge Avenue bridge will be 
  under water. Water will be in several homes along the river near 
  the Bells Ferry Road bridge. Bells Ferry Road will be closed within
  a mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by swift moving 
  river current.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will be in several homes along the 
  river near the Bells Ferry Road bridge. Bells Ferry Road will be 
  closed within a mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by 
  swift moving river current.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be closed within a 
  mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by swift moving 
  river current.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917




$$

479 
WGUS84 KLIX 291338
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
838 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC047-301938-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-160430T2315Z/
/GLFM6.2.ER.160428T2143Z.160429T1800Z.160430T1715Z.NO/
838 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 8:00 AM Friday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.5 feet by this
  afternoon. 
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will be in several homes along the 
  river near the Bells Ferry Road bridge. Bells Ferry Road will be 
  closed within a mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by 
  swift moving river current.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917

$$

541 
WGUS84 KLIX 291525
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1025 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC047-302125-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-160501T0000Z/
/GLFM6.2.ER.160428T2143Z.160429T1300Z.160430T1800Z.NO/
1025 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will be in several homes along the 
  river near the Bells Ferry Road bridge. Bells Ferry Road will be 
  closed within a mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by 
  swift moving river current.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be closed within a 
  mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by swift moving 
  river current.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917

$$

688 
WGUS84 KLIX 300217
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
917 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  Jourdan River Near Kiln/Bay St. Louis affecting Hancock County 
  Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County 
  Biloxi River Near Lyman affecting Harrison County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC045-301200-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160430T1200Z/
/KLNM6.1.ER.160429T1610Z.160429T2330Z.160430T0600Z.NO/
917 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Jourdan River Near Kiln/Bay St. Louis.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage  
  after 1 am tonight.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Water will cover most of the River Dock 
  Resturant property and residential property on the south bank.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...The boat dock at the River Dock Restaurant 
  will be under water and property along both north and south banks 
  will begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3040 8939 3043 8947 3039 8951 3036 8943

$$

MSC047-302336-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-160430T2336Z/
/GLFM6.2.ER.160428T2143Z.160429T1300Z.160430T1736Z.NO/
917 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9:00 PM Friday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to fall below 
  flood stage around noon Saturday. 
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be closed within a 
  mile of the bridge as the road will be covered by swift moving 
  river current.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will be impassable with deep
  water on the east bridge approach.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will begin to flood. There 
  will be water over the access road just upstream of the bridge and 
  the road will become impassable very quickly.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917

$$

MSC047-302337-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160430T2337Z/
/LYMM6.2.ER.000000T0000Z.160429T1200Z.160430T1737Z.NO/
917 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Biloxi River Near Lyman.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...At 14 feet homes on lower Fisherman Trail 
  will begin to flood and lower River Road will be impassable. 
  Driving on Loraine Road will be hazardous due to the high water.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Loraine Road will begin to flood at 13 feet 
  making driving hazardous. River Road near Three Rivers Road bridge 
  will begin to flood.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Road near Three Rivers Road bridge 
  will begin to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...The river will be bankfull at the Three 
  Rivers Road bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 3055 8912 3055 8917 3048 8914 3048 8909

$$

24/RR

492 
WGUS84 KLIX 301433
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
933 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County 
  
  Biloxi River Near Lyman affecting Harrison County 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

MSC047-302251-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-160430T2251Z/
/GLFM6.2.ER.160428T2143Z.160429T1300Z.160430T1651Z.NO/
933 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* until this afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Bells Ferry Road will begin to flood. There 
  will be water over the access road just upstream of the bridge and 
  the road will become impassable very quickly.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8919 3041 8922 3037 8922 3039 8917




$$

MSC047-010000-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160501T0000Z/
/LYMM6.2.ER.000000T0000Z.160429T1200Z.160430T1800Z.NO/
933 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Biloxi River Near Lyman.
* until this evening.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Loraine Road will begin to flood at 13 feet 
  making driving hazardous. River Road near Three Rivers Road bridge 
  will begin to flood.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Road near Three Rivers Road bridge 
  will begin to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...The river will be bankfull at the Three 
  Rivers Road bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3055 8912 3055 8917 3048 8914 3048 8909




$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
409 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

.SHORT TERM... RADAR BEGAN SHOWING SHOWER INITIATION AROUND 07Z ALONG
THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN WITH COVERAGE CONTINUING TO EXPAND NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE TYPING OF THIS DISCUSSION. THE WIDTH OF ACTIVITY EXTENDS
FROM WEST OF BTR TO AROUND BIX. THIS REGION IS FULL OF MOISTURE RICH
SURFACE AIR WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE  70S. NORTH OF BTR SHOWS TD'S
DROPPING OF CONSIDERABLY. FEW CHANGES SYNOPTICALLY WILL ALLOW FOR
FAIRLY STEADY SW TO NE STREAM OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THUNDER WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED THIS MORNING
ALTHOUGH DO HAVE SOME STRIKES OBSERVED JUST NORTH OF THE WFO THIS
MORNING. SO WENT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING PERIOD
AND MORE WIDESPREAD STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. OVERALL COVERAGE SHOULD
REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY TODAY PER MESO AND MEDIUM RANGE MODELS. MODEL
SOUNDINGS DO SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS TODAY WITH MID LEVELS COLD ENOUGH TO PRODUCE MILDLY
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND CAPE VALUES UPWARDS OF 3000 J/KG. THIS IN
COMBINATION WITH WBZ UNDER 10KFT SUGGEST HAIL WILL BE THE GREATEST
THREAT TODAY. INSTABILITY BEING QUITE ELEVATED AND WARM LOW LEVELS
SHOULD AIDE IN HAIL MELTING AND LIMIT SIZE TO MARGINALLY SEVERE
LEVELS.

ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO TAPER THIS EVENING THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SWRN GULF OF MEXICO BUILDS NORTHEAST.
THIS WILL LIMIT CONVECTION TO NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE CWA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY...TEMPS WILL LIKELY RESPOND TO INCREASING
HEIGHTS SO INCREASED HIGHS INTO THE UPPER 80S FOR ALL EXCEPT COASTAL
AREAS.
&&

.LONG TERM...
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ROTATE NORTHEAST
OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...WEAKENING AS IT DOES SO. THE RIDGE OVERHEAD WILL BEGIN TO
SUPPRESS SOUTHWARD AND ALLOW FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TO SPREAD
SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA. COULD HAVE A RELATIVELY HIGH GRADIENT IN
RAIN CHANCES RANGING FROM BARELY 20 PERCENT ON THE MS COAST TO
NEARLY 50 PERCENT IN POINT COUPEE PARISH.

WEAK COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL FINALLY REACH
THE AREA ON SUNDAY AS THE TROUGH IS ABSORBED BY GENERAL TROUGHING
ALREADY IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE
PROMOTE MORE WIDESPREAD DEVELOPMENT WITH POPS AS HIGH AS 70 PERCENT.
ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL LOWER GOING INTO NEXT WEEK AS THE
BOUNDARY WEAKENS...LIKELY TO HAVE UNSETTLED WEATHER UNTIL SECONDARY
UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS SOUTH OUT OF CANADA AND PUSHES MOISTURE SOUTH
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

MEFFER
&&

.AVIATION... MOST TERMINALS HAVE DEVELOPED MVFR CEILINGS OVER THE
LAST COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH KHUM REPORTING IFR CEILINGS. EXPECT THIS
TREND TO CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO
MID-MORNING. RADAR HAS SHOWN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHRA OVER THE LAST
HOUR OR SO...AS WAS INDICATED BY THE MESOSCALE SHORT TERM MODELING.
HAVE NOT SEEN ANY THUNDER REPORTED YET...BUT CANNOT RULE IT OUT.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR RADAR TRENDS WITH AN EYE TOWARD REMOVING
MENTION OF THUNDER AND JUST GO WITH SHRA. DO EXPECT AN IMPROVEMENT
TO VFR CONDITIONS BY 18Z. LIKELY TO BE A REPEAT OF MVFR CEILINGS
AFTER 06Z FRIDAY. 35

&&

.MARINE...

SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT SHOULD ALLOW WIND AND WAVE CONDITIONS TO
RELAX FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS BEFORE GRADIENT BEGINS TO TIGHTEN AGAIN AS
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER WEST TEXAS. LIKELY TO RENEW EXERCISE
CAUTION HEADLINES OVER THE WESTERN WATERS BY MIDDAY FRIDAY. DO NOT
ANTICIPATE WINDS/WAVES TO BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES THOUGH. THE EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES MAY BE
NECESSARY THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND...AT LEAST OVER THE WESTERN
WATERS. 35

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE....BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...MINOR RIVER FLOODING.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  86  68  87  68 /  40  20  20  10
BTR  86  70  88  70 /  50  10  10  10
ASD  83  70  86  70 /  60  10  10  10
MSY  82  72  86  71 /  60  10  10  10
GPT  82  72  83  71 /  60  10  10  10
PQL  82  68  84  68 /  60  10  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
527 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-282230-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
527 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ON TODAY WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS WINDS BEING THE MAIN
THREATS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY
DURING THE PERIOD...WITH MORE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS ON SUNDAY COULD BE STRONG.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE SEND ANY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
740 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 ESE LYMAN             30.47N 89.06W
04/28/2016                   HARRISON           MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER RESCUE ON ONEAL DRIVE IN GULFPORT.

0726 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GULFPORT                30.39N 89.07W
04/28/2016                   HARRISON           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STANDING WATER NORTH AND SOUTH OF I-10 IN LONG
            BEACH...GULFPORT...BILOXI...DIBERVILLE AND RURAL HARRISON
            COUNTY. WATER ENTERING A HOME ON KIMBERLY DRIVE IN
            GULFPORT.

&&

ANSORGE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
748 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SAUCIER                 30.64N 89.14W
04/28/2016  M6.50 INCH       HARRISON           MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

0733 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NW BILOXI             30.47N 88.99W
04/28/2016  M4.50 INCH       HARRISON           MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PERSONAL WEATHER STATION REPORTED 4.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN
            WOOLMARKET. VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

ANSORGE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
831 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 NW BILOXI             30.49N 89.01W
04/28/2016  M9.98 INCH       HARRISON           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AS OF 810AM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN HARRISON COUNTY
            MEASURED NEAR 10 INCHES OF RAIN AT 7473 WOOLMARKET RD.

&&

CBANNAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
843 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 N GULFPORT            30.44N 89.07W
04/28/2016  M6.66 INCH       HARRISON           MS   COCORAHS

0830 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W MCNEIL              30.67N 89.66W
04/28/2016  M3.23 INCH       PEARL RIVER        MS   COCORAHS

0830 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LYMAN                   30.50N 89.13W
04/28/2016  M9.48 INCH       HARRISON           MS   COCORAHS

&&

CBANNAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
845 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SE SAUCIER            30.58N 89.08W
04/28/2016  M5.33 INCH       HARRISON           MS   COCORAHS

&&

CBANNAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
907 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 ESE BILOXI            30.39N 88.87W
04/28/2016                   HARRISON           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY 90 EAST OF BILOXI IS FLOODED.

0854 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 WSW GULFPORT          30.35N 89.14W
04/28/2016                   HARRISON           MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            AVENUE OF THE OAKS AND BEAR CREEK DRIVE ON THE UNIVERSITY
            OF SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GULF PARK CAMPUS ARE FLOODED.

&&

ANSORGE