River Flood Warning 52, NWS New Orleans, LA

297 
WGUS84 KLIX 131501
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1001 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...The flood warning has been cancelled for the following river in 
Mississippi...
 
The East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County


&&

MSC109-131531-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-160314T0100Z/
/CREM6.1.ER.160313T0120Z.160313T0800Z.160313T1250Z.NO/
1001 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for
  The East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* At 9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  7:50 AM Sunday.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...No flooding is forecast or expected in the near future.

&&

LAT...LON 3082 8951 3082 8960 3053 8971 3049 8959



$$

AREA FORECAST DISSCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
419 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

.SHORT TERM...
THE PESKY LOW PRESSURE THAT BROUGHT HISTORIC FLOODING TO A LARGE
PORTION OF THE SOUTH IS FINALLY LIFTING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE AREA.
THIS FORECASTER IS HAPPY TO SEE IT GO. WE STILL HAVE A SHOT AT
SOME RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE LAST PUNCH OF THIS
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. RIGHT NOW WILL CARRY HIGH POPS THROUGH THE
EVENING...EXPECTING LESS THAN AN INCH OF RAIN. WE FINALLY DRY OUT
SUNDAY AS TEMPERATURES REACH NEAR 80 WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED IN OUR
AREA. A QUICK MOVING WAVE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA. THAT SYSTEM MOVES EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE
AND WARM...DRY WEATHER MOVES IN FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
13/MH

.LONG TERM...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE IN SOLUTIONS FROM
WEDNESDAY ONWARD..BUT HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT. A SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES STATES AT MIDWEEK. MODELS
STILL INDICATE A FRONT PUSHING INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...BUT
THE STALLING OVER THE AREA. THERE IS COOLER AIR WITH THIS
SYSTEM...BUT THE QUESTION IS THE MAGNITUDE OF THE COLD AIR PUSH.
AFTER THURSDAY THE GFS AND ECMWF DIVERGE. THE GFS IS A DRIER
SOLUTION AND THE EURO HAS SOME OTHER ENERGY MOVING THROUGH WITH
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. WILL KEEP A BLENDED APPROACH IN THE FORECAST
AND HAVE KEPT RAIN CHANCES IN FOR WEDNESDAY ONWARD. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS THIS EVENING. A
FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A COMBINATION OF STRONGER SOUTHEAST WINDS AND SEAS UP TO 7 FEET IS
EXPECTED TO KEEP SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPROVING
FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES
OVERNIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH
SHOULD CAUSE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO RISE BACK TO AROUND 15 KNOTS
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD THEN RELAX
AGAIN WITH WINDS EASING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE....ORANGE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...COASTAL FLOODING
             FLASH FLOODING
             MAJOR RIVER FLOODING

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  77  60  80 /  70  10  10  10
BTR  59  79  62  81 /  30  10  10  10
ASD  61  78  62  80 /  60  10  10   0
MSY  62  78  64  80 /  30  10  10  10
GPT  62  75  62  76 /  70  10  10  10
PQL  61  76  62  78 /  70  10  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ034>037-039-
     040-046>050-056>072.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR LAZ057-060>064-
     066>070.

     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR LAZ040-049-050-
     058-072.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ532-536-
     538-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ068>071-077-
     080.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR MSZ081-082.

     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR MSZ080.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ536-538-
     555-557-570-572-575-577.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
313 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-130915-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
313 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM...EXCLUDING PARTS
OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 INCH WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE LOW PRESSURE MOVES
NORTHEAST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING.

COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 7
AM SUNDAY MORNING.

NUMEROUS RIVERS ARE IN FLOOD ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. FOR DETAILED INFORMATION CONSULT THE LATEST
FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLOOD STATEMENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. FOR DETAILED INFORMATION
CONSULT THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS.

OTHERWISE THE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TODAY...MAINLY FOR FLOOD
REPORTING.