Alert archive / Louisiana / Flood Watches in 2016
Flood Watch 2, NWS New Orleans, LA
NWS New Orleans, LA issued this flood watch at Dec 30, 2016, 3:00 PM CST for 5 counties in Mississippi; 13 parishes in Louisiana. It took effect at Dec 31, 2016, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 60 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 30, 2016, 3:00 PM CST (21:00 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 31, 2016, 6:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 2, 2017, 6:19 PM CST
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New Orleans, LA
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Assumption Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Amite County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2522 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -181 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 8 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
918 WGUS64 KLIX 302100 FFALIX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 300 PM CST FRI DEC 30 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED FOR SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF SOUTH WILL MOVE EAST BY SATURDAY MORNING. IN DOING SO...A DEEP FETCH OF SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF STATES OVER THE WEEKEND. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING OVER THE REGION SATURDAY WILL BRING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM WEST TO EAST ONSETTING MID TO LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH NEW YEAR'S MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO THEN BECOME MORE INTERMITTENT AND PATCHY IN COVERAGE SUNDAY. THEN ANOTHER STRONGER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY TO BRING RENEWED ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS PROLONGED WET THREE DAY PERIOD WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION THAT WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE...AND SOME TO EXCEED THEIR FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY OR TUESDAY. LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>058-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082- 312100- /O.NEW.KLIX.FA.A.0002.161231T1200Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION- LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST- NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE... COVINGTON...LACOMBE...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WATSON... WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...CONVENT... LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...AMITE...KENTWOOD... ROSELAND...WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA... CENTREVILLE...DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG... GLOSTER...SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM... TYLERTOWN...CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS... WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 300 PM CST FRI DEC 30 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ASCENSION...ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON ROUGE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE...LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA... POINTE COUPEE...SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST. HELENA...ST. JAMES... ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... WEST BATON ROUGE AND WEST FELICIANA. IN MISSISSIPPI...AMITE... HANCOCK... HARRISON...JACKSON...PEARL RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL AND WILKINSON. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL BE TAPPING INTO DEEP GULF MOISTURE TO BRING EFFICIENT RAINFALL IN AT LEAST TWO ROUNDS FOR MUCH OF SATURDAY AND AGAIN FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH A LARGER PORTION OF MONDAY. THE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE COMBINED RAIN DAYS SHOULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. THE PARISHES OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA BELOW THE TIDAL LAKES INCLUDING THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA ARE CURRENTLY NOT WITHIN THE FLOOD WATCH. THIS AREA CAN STILL EXPECT ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OVER THE THREE DAY PERIOD...WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS...BUT SHOULD BE CAPABLE OF DRAINING EFFICIENTLY. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. BASED ON CONTINGENCY SCENARIOS FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATED RAINFALL OVER THE RIVER BASINS...SEVERAL RIVERS ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE PARISHES AND THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES ARE INDICATED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND NEAR AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ 24/RR
10 follow-up statements
887 WGUS64 KLIX 310331 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 931 PM CST FRI DEC 30 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED FOR SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF SOUTH WILL MOVE EAST BY SATURDAY MORNING. IN DOING SO...A DEEP FETCH OF SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF STATES OVER THE WEEKEND. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING OVER THE REGION SATURDAY WILL BRING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM WEST TO EAST ONSETTING MID TO LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH NEW YEAR'S MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO THEN BECOME MORE INTERMITTENT AND PATCHY IN COVERAGE SUNDAY. THEN ANOTHER STRONGER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY TO BRING RENEWED ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS PROLONGED WET THREE DAY PERIOD WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION THAT WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE... AND SOME TO EXCEED THEIR FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY OR TUESDAY. LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>058-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082- 010345- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.161231T1200Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION- LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST- NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE... COVINGTON...LACOMBE...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WATSON... WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...CONVENT... LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...AMITE...KENTWOOD... ROSELAND...WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA... CENTREVILLE...DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG... GLOSTER...SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM... TYLERTOWN...CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS... WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 931 PM CST FRI DEC 30 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ASCENSION... ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON ROUGE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE... LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA...POINTE COUPEE...SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST. HELENA...ST. JAMES...ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST... ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON...WEST BATON ROUGE AND WEST FELICIANA. IN MISSISSIPPI...AMITE...HANCOCK...HARRISON... JACKSON...PEARL RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL AND WILKINSON. * FROM 6 AM CST SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL BE TAPPING INTO DEEP GULF MOISTURE TO BRING EFFICIENT RAINFALL IN AT LEAST TWO ROUNDS FOR MUCH OF SATURDAY AND AGAIN FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH A LARGER PORTION OF MONDAY. THE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE COMBINED RAIN DAYS SHOULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. THE PARISHES OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA BELOW THE TIDAL LAKES INCLUDING THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA ARE CURRENTLY NOT WITHIN THE FLOOD WATCH. THIS AREA CAN STILL EXPECT ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OVER THE THREE DAY PERIOD...WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS...BUT SHOULD BE CAPABLE OF DRAINING EFFICIENTLY. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. BASED ON CONTINGENCY SCENARIOS FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATED RAINFALL OVER THE RIVER BASINS...SEVERAL RIVERS ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE PARISHES AND THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES ARE INDICATED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND NEAR AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
086 WGUS64 KLIX 311023 FFALIX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 423 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST. THIS IS ALREADY SETTING UP A DEEP FETCH OF SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF STATES OVER THE WEEKEND. THE COMBINATION OF MULTIPLE FEATURES WILL ALIGN THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING OVER THE REGION WHICH WILL BRING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM WEST TO EAST. RAIN WILL BEGIN MID TO LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH NEW YEAR'S MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO THEN BECOME MORE INTERMITTENT AND PATCHY IN COVERAGE SUNDAY. THEN ANOTHER STRONGER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY TO BRING RENEWED ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS PROLONGED WET THREE DAY PERIOD WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION THAT WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE... AND SOME TO EXCEED THEIR FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY OR TUESDAY. LAZ059>065-011030- /O.EXA.KLIX.FA.A.0002.161231T1200Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS- UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE... DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...KENNER...EAST NEW ORLEANS... NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...VIOLET...HOUMA... BAYOU CANE 423 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS EXPANDED THE * FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD AND UPPER TERREBONNE. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL BE TAPPING INTO DEEP GULF MOISTURE TO BRING EFFICIENT RAINFALL IN AT LEAST TWO ROUNDS FOR MUCH OF SATURDAY AND AGAIN FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH A LARGER PORTION OF MONDAY. THE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE COMBINED RAIN DAYS SHOULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. BASED ON CONTINGENCY SCENARIOS FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATED RAINFALL OVER THE RIVER BASINS...SEVERAL RIVERS ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE PARISHES AND THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES ARE INDICATED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES. $$ LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>058-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082- 011030- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.161231T1200Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION- LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST- NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE... COVINGTON...LACOMBE...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WATSON... WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...CONVENT... LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...AMITE...KENTWOOD... ROSELAND...WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA... CENTREVILLE...DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG... GLOSTER...SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM... TYLERTOWN...CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS... WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 423 AM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ASCENSION... ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON ROUGE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE... LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA...POINTE COUPEE...SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST. HELENA...ST. JAMES...ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST... ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON...WEST BATON ROUGE AND WEST FELICIANA. IN MISSISSIPPI...AMITE...HANCOCK...HARRISON... JACKSON...PEARL RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL AND WILKINSON. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL BE TAPPING INTO DEEP GULF MOISTURE TO BRING EFFICIENT RAINFALL IN AT LEAST TWO ROUNDS FOR MUCH OF TODAY AND AGAIN FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH A LARGER PORTION OF MONDAY. THE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE COMBINED RAIN DAYS SHOULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. BASED ON CONTINGENCY SCENARIOS FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATED RAINFALL OVER THE RIVER BASINS...SEVERAL RIVERS ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE PARISHES AND THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES ARE INDICATED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES. $$
933 WGUS64 KLIX 312201 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 401 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .A SERIES OF UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES AND A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THIS PROLONGED PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE...AND SOME TO EXCEED THEIR FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY. LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>065-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082- 012215- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION- LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST- UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS- UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE... COVINGTON...LACOMBE...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WATSON... WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...CONVENT... LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND... LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...KENNER... EAST NEW ORLEANS...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE... VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...AMITE...KENTWOOD...ROSELAND... WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA...CENTREVILLE... DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG...GLOSTER... SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM...TYLERTOWN... CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND... DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 401 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ASCENSION... ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON ROUGE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE... LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ORLEANS...POINTE COUPEE... SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST. CHARLES...ST. HELENA...ST. JAMES... ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...UPPER TERREBONNE...WASHINGTON...WEST BATON ROUGE AND WEST FELICIANA. IN MISSISSIPPI...AMITE...HANCOCK...HARRISON... JACKSON...PEARL RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL AND WILKINSON. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP GULF MOISTURE AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY. THE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. BASED ON CONTINGENCY SCENARIOS FOR 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATED RAINFALL OVER THE RIVER BASINS...SEVERAL RIVERS ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE PARISHES AND THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES ARE INDICATED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
331 WGUS64 KLIX 010333 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 933 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .A SERIES OF UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES AND A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THIS PROLONGED PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE...AND SOME TO EXCEED THEIR FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY. LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>065-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082- 020345- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION- LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST- UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS- UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE... COVINGTON...LACOMBE...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WATSON... WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...CONVENT... LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND... LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...KENNER... EAST NEW ORLEANS...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE... VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...AMITE...KENTWOOD...ROSELAND... WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA...CENTREVILLE... DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG...GLOSTER... SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM...TYLERTOWN... CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND... DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 933 PM CST SAT DEC 31 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ASCENSION... ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON ROUGE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE... LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ORLEANS...POINTE COUPEE... SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST. CHARLES...ST. HELENA...ST. JAMES... ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...UPPER TERREBONNE...WASHINGTON...WEST BATON ROUGE AND WEST FELICIANA. IN MISSISSIPPI...AMITE...HANCOCK...HARRISON... JACKSON...PEARL RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL AND WILKINSON. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP GULF MOISTURE AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY. THE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. BASED ON CONTINGENCY SCENARIOS FOR 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATED RAINFALL OVER THE RIVER BASINS...SEVERAL RIVERS ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE PARISHES AND THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES ARE INDICATED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
192 WGUS64 KLIX 012113 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 313 PM CST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES AND A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THIS PROLONGED PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TO CONTINUE RISING...AND SOME TO EXCEED THEIR FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY. LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>065-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082- 022115- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION- LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST- UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS- UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE... COVINGTON...LACOMBE...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WATSON... WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...CONVENT... LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND... LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...KENNER... EAST NEW ORLEANS...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE... VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...AMITE...KENTWOOD...ROSELAND... WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA...CENTREVILLE... DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG...GLOSTER... SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM...TYLERTOWN... CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND... DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 313 PM CST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ASCENSION... ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON ROUGE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE... LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ORLEANS...POINTE COUPEE... SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST. CHARLES...ST. HELENA...ST. JAMES... ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...UPPER TERREBONNE...WASHINGTON...WEST BATON ROUGE AND WEST FELICIANA. IN MISSISSIPPI...AMITE...HANCOCK...HARRISON... JACKSON...PEARL RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL AND WILKINSON. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP GULF MOISTURE AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY. BETWEEN 2 AND 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. SOME THREE DAY STORM TOTALS MAY APPROACH OR SLIGHTLY EXCEED 10 INCHES BY MONDAY EVENING. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. NEARLY ALL OF THE STREAMS ARE RISING WITH SEVERAL NOW FORECAST TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ 24/RR
406 WGUS64 KLIX 020338 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 938 PM CST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES AND A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THIS PROLONGED PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TO CONTINUE RISING...AND SOME TO EXCEED THEIR FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY. LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>065-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082- 030345- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION- LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST- UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS- UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE... COVINGTON...LACOMBE...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WATSON... WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...CONVENT... LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND... LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...KENNER... EAST NEW ORLEANS...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE... VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...AMITE...KENTWOOD...ROSELAND... WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA...CENTREVILLE... DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG...GLOSTER... SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM...TYLERTOWN... CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND... DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 938 PM CST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ASCENSION... ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON ROUGE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE... LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ORLEANS...POINTE COUPEE... SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST. CHARLES...ST. HELENA...ST. JAMES... ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...UPPER TERREBONNE...WASHINGTON...WEST BATON ROUGE AND WEST FELICIANA. IN MISSISSIPPI...AMITE...HANCOCK...HARRISON... JACKSON...PEARL RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL AND WILKINSON. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP GULF MOISTURE AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY. BETWEEN 2 AND 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY. SOME THREE DAY STORM TOTALS MAY APPROACH OR SLIGHTLY EXCEED 10 INCHES BY MONDAY EVENING. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. NEARLY ALL OF THE STREAMS ARE RISING WITH SEVERAL NOW FORECAST TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
688 WGUS64 KLIX 021432 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 832 AM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... .ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES AND A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE REGION TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY...AND MAY CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THIS PROLONGED PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TO CONTINUE RISING...AND SOME TO EXCEED THEIR FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING. LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>065-071-072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082- 030600- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION- LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST- UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS- UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE... COVINGTON...LACOMBE...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WATSON... WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...CONVENT... LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND... LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...KENNER... EAST NEW ORLEANS...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE... VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...AMITE...KENTWOOD...ROSELAND... WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA...CENTREVILLE... DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG...GLOSTER... SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM...TYLERTOWN... CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND... DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 832 AM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ASCENSION... ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON ROUGE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE... LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ORLEANS...POINTE COUPEE... SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST. CHARLES...ST. HELENA...ST. JAMES... ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...UPPER TERREBONNE...WASHINGTON...WEST BATON ROUGE AND WEST FELICIANA. IN MISSISSIPPI...AMITE...HANCOCK...HARRISON... JACKSON...PEARL RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL AND WILKINSON. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * ONE MORE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON THAT WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TODAY. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TODAY. SOME THREE DAY STORM TOTALS MAY APPROACH OR SLIGHTLY EXCEED 10 INCHES BY THIS EVENING. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. NEARLY ALL OF THE STREAMS ARE RISING WITH SEVERAL NOW FORECAST TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
175 WGUS64 KLIX 022151 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 351 PM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... .A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE PASSAGE OF THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL END THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH THIS SYSTEM. LAZ034>037-039-046>050-056-057-071-072-MSZ068>071-022300- /O.CAN.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON- IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON- ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA- WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LETTSWORTH...LIVONIA... SPILLMAN...ST. FRANCISVILLE...WAKEFIELD...JACKSON...CLINTON... FELPS...DARLINGTON...EASLEYVILLE...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... BOGALUSA...ENON...FRANKLINTON...BAYOU SORREL...PLAQUEMINE... WHITE CASTLE...PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE... GONZALES...DONALDSONVILLE...PRAIRIEVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS... WATSON...WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE... CONVENT...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...AMITE...KENTWOOD...ROSELAND... WILMER...HAMMOND...ROBERT...PONCHATOULA...CENTREVILLE... DOLOROSA...FORT ADAMS...WOODVILLE...GILLSBERG...GLOSTER... SMITHDALE...LIBERTY...MCCOMB...DEXTER...SALEM...TYLERTOWN 351 PM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED TO THE EAST OF THESE AREAS. $$ LAZ040-058>065-MSZ077-080>082-030600- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. TAMMANY-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES- UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD- UPPER TERREBONNE-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON... LACOMBE...LAPLACE...RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE... DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...KENNER...EAST NEW ORLEANS... NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...VIOLET...HOUMA... BAYOU CANE...CROSSROADS...MCNEIL...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS... WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS... MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 351 PM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD AND UPPER TERREBONNE. IN MISSISSIPPI...HANCOCK... HARRISON...JACKSON AND PEARL RIVER. * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT * A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON THAT WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. NEARLY ALL OF THE STREAMS ARE RISING WITH SEVERAL NOW FORECAST TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
906 WGUS64 KLIX 022256 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 456 PM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... .A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE PASSAGE OF THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL END THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH THIS SYSTEM. LAZ058-MSZ077-030000- /O.CAN.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-PEARL RIVER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAPLACE...RESERVE...CROSSROADS... MCNEIL...PICAYUNE 456 PM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA...BRINGING AN END TO THIS PROLONGED WET PERIOD. $$ LAZ040-059>065-MSZ080>082-030600- /O.CON.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. TAMMANY-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS- UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-HANCOCK- HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON... LACOMBE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO... METAIRIE...KENNER...EAST NEW ORLEANS...NEW ORLEANS... BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE... BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA... OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 456 PM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...ST. TAMMANY...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE... UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD AND UPPER TERREBONNE. IN MISSISSIPPI...HANCOCK...HARRISON AND JACKSON. * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT * A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON THAT WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. * THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE WATER LEVEL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. NEARLY ALL OF THE STREAMS ARE RISING WITH SEVERAL NOW FORECAST TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ 24/RR
891 WGUS64 KLIX 030019 FFALIX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 619 PM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...HEAVY RAIN THREAT ENDING ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... .SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OUT OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THIS WILL END THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. LAZ040-059>065-MSZ080>082-030130- /O.CAN.KLIX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170103T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. TAMMANY-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS- UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-HANCOCK- HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON... LACOMBE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO... METAIRIE...KENNER...EAST NEW ORLEANS...NEW ORLEANS... BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE... BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...PASCAGOULA... OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN 619 PM CST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OUT OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. THIS WILL END THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR THE INFORMATION ON AREA RIVERS THAT ARE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Dec 30, 11:27 AM CST, 3 hours 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 30, 11:27 AM CST, 3 hours 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1127 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2016
.AVIATION...
Still seeing quite a bit of cirrus across all terminals, but with
very little moisture currently below that, no flight restrictions.
This should continue through at least 06Z Saturday. Beyond that
period, isentropic lift processes will start saturating the column
from the top down. This will mean gradually lowering ceilings
during the morning hours, falling into the MVFR range around mid-
morning. Likely to see at least some ceilings below FL015 during
the afternoon hours Saturday with embedded TSRA probably holding
off until closer to 01/00Z. 35
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 656 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2016/
..SOUNDING DISCUSSION...
The sounding depicts a big difference in the airmass from
yesterday with much cooler and drier air in place. Winds are still
northerly from behind the cold front to 800 mb then become
westerly through the rest of the profile. Peak wind is 110 kts at
200 mb in the subtropical jet. There is a sfc inversion and strong
elevated inversion at 800 mb. PW is near the minimum for this time
of year at 0.2 inches and just some high clouds are expected
through the day.
Krautmann
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2016/
SYNOPTIC...Large area of high pressure centered over eastern
TX is dominating all of the Plains and MS Valley while stretching
east across the Gulf coast states. Yesterdays cold front has surged
south well into the Gulf. In the mid levels the trough which
helped push the cold front through our area was now located over
the eastern seaboard. Cutoff low was still sitting west of the CA
and Baja coast while a potent S/W is dropping south along the Pac
NW coast. /CAB/
DISCUSSION...Rather quiet and much colder night. Colder air has
pushed into the region and along with rather dry conditions. This
obviously is a big change from the warm and rather foggy nights we
have seen the past 5 days or so.
Today will be uneventful with below normal temperatures and partly
cloudy skies. Dont get too comfortable with todays weather as
this airmass will be very short lived. High pressure at the sfc will
quickly shift east across the CWA today and towards the extreme
southeastern CONUS by this evening.
As we have mentioned the last few days the year will end and begin
on a wet note. The pattern still looks quite favorable for a wet 2.5
to 3 days beginning tomorrow. As the sfc high shifts east through
today and tonight we will move back into southerly flow in the LL
and moisture will quickly return. As for the mid levels we will
transition from zonal to weak/moderate southwesterly flow and
transport deeper Pac moisture over the region. This is in response
to multiple strong S/W's dropping south along the Pac coast over
the next few days thus amplifying a L/W trough over the western
CONUS. This will also kick out the cutoff low currently sitting
just west of the CA and Baja coast. This low will quickly open up
as it lifts east-northeast across the southern/central plains Sat
and Sat night. As this occurs Sat a weak sfc feature will develop
over the southern Plains then moving twrds the ARKLATEX. With
increasing moisture and lift showers should begin to develop from
west to east through the day Sat. By late Sat aftn and early evng
a LL jet will develop in response to the approaching sfc feature
and increasing divergence aloft. This will enhance the LL
convergence over the region and should lead to widespread showers
with embedded thunderstorms. Pws will be around 1.75" with K index
values of 34 to 36C. All of this suggest efficient storms and the
first bout of locally heavy rain looks to impact the region during
your New Years Eve celebrations.
There should be a small break from the moderate to heavy rain early
Sun as the first impulse shifts east, however more rain will impact
the region through the day Sun and Sun night as we remain under the
influence of southwest flow aloft. The next S/W to kick out from
the southwest could move over the region Mon. This wave should be a
little stronger and lead to another bout of widespread moderate rain
with embedded heavier storms. Storms could be more sfc based with
this feature and thus can not rule out a few strong to possibly
severe storms Mon.
Still thinking widespread 3 to 5 inches of rain over the area with
rain beginning by early Sat and likely ending Mon night or even
early Tue. Locally higher amounts will be possible so we can not
rule out the small risk for localized flash flooding or even a few
points along area rivers approaching minor flood.
By Tue things should begin to quiet down and could cool off
significantly late next week. The mdls do begin to diverge by mid to
late next week as the ECMWF develops a significant L?W trough which
dominates all of the CONUS. The GFS never really amplifies the L/W
trough and thus keeps the srn CONUS under mostly zonal flow. Will
not make any significant changes to the extended fcst and stick
closer to the advertisement of cooler weather late next week. /CAB/
AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail at each of the terminals through the TAF
forecast period. Winds will continue to relax though the day as
surface high pressure moves overhead this afternoon. /MEFFER/
MARINE...
Small craft conditions continue across most of the coastal waters
outside of the tidal lakes and Mississippi Sound as cold air
advection persists. Observations indicate that waters closer to the
coast are already seeing weakening winds, thus have gone with
exercise caution headline in those locations. Winds will steadily
increase through the morning as the center of a ridge of high
pressure moves across the northern Gulf Coast. The expiration time
of 18z for the SCA may be slightly on the generous side.
Southeasterly flow will return Saturday and continue into Sunday as
the ridge slides east. Wind speeds will approach high-end exercise
caution as the pressure gradient tightens. Models show a Pacific
front moving into the coastal waters Monday. This will gradually
shift winds to the southwest or west but attm the boundary looks to
be fairly weak. /MEFFER/
DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS code: Blue.
Deployed: None.
Activation: None.
Activities: Small Craft Advisories. Heavy rain/convective potential
over the weekend.
Decision Support Services (DSS) Code Legend
Green = No weather impacts that require action.
Blue = Long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or
high visibility event.
Yellow = Heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning or
advisory issuances; radar support.
Orange = High Impacts; Slight to Moderate risk severe; nearby
tropical events; HazMat or other large episodes.
Red = Full engagement for Moderate risk of severe and/or
direct tropical threats; Events of National Significance.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 56 43 63 60 / 0 0 80 90
BTR 56 45 66 63 / 0 10 90 90
ASD 56 45 67 64 / 0 0 70 90
MSY 56 50 69 65 / 0 0 60 80
GPT 56 47 65 63 / 0 0 60 90
PQL 56 43 66 63 / 0 0 60 90
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ536-538-550-552-
555-557-570-572-575-577.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ538-550-552-555-
557-570-572-575-577.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 30, 9:35 AM CST, 5 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 935 AM CST FRI DEC 30 2016 GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037- 039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-310345- LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA- EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE- WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION- ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES- UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD- UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON- LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA- SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER- HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- 935 AM CST FRI DEC 30 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THIS MORNING FOR HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS WILL CAUSE RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND POTENTIALLY BRING A FEW LOCATIONS CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE. PERSONS LIVING NEAR AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND FOR ANY POTENTIAL WATCHES...WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2016Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2016Every flood watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.