Alert archive / Louisiana / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Lake Charles, LA

August 7, 2016Acadia Parish, Louisiana

NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this special weather statement at Aug 7, 2016, 5:10 PM CDT for Acadia Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2016, 5:10 PM CDT (22:10 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2016, 6:15 PM CDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
NWS Lake Charles, LA

County Acadia Parish, LA

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2016-08-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2083 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2016-08-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -41 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2083 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
918 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 7, 3:09 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 3:09 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
309 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
The forecast area this afternoon is between a weakening upper
level ridge centered over west Texas and a building upper level
trough from the lower southeast U.S. into the northeast Gulf of
Mexico. Abundant Gulf moisture remains over the forecast area. The
07/12Z upper air sounding from KLCH showed a precipitable water
value around 2.2 inches, and latest GPS-MET data from 07/18Z had
PWAT values remaining around 2.2 inches across the forecast area.
With convective temperatures in the low to mid 90s being met,
scattered showers and thunderstorms are forming, with the best
focus along a settle low level boundary/convergence zone from
roughly Toledo Bend to Lower Atchafalaya Basin. VAD wind profiles
show north winds above 5k feet, so activity that forms will move
slowly to the south. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, high
rainfall rates in a short period of time, and gusty winds around
35 to 40 mph, look to be the main hazards from the storms this
afternoon.

Rua

&&

.DISCUSSION...
With the late start to convection, and guidance showing some short
wave energy rotating around the ridge into the forecast area
tonight, showers and thunderstorms may take a little longer to
diminish, therefore will hold on to scattered pops for most of the
forecast area until around 04Z or 11 pm local, then activity over
land should diminish with nocturnal activity redeveloping over
the Gulf late in the overnight.

Through the week, the upper level ridge over Texas will continue
to weaken, and the southeast U.S. upper level trough will continue
to expand to the west. This will leave a weakness in the
subtropical ridge over the forecast area. Abundant Gulf moisture
will continue to be trapped over the region, therefore, decent
chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms each day, with the
best chance during the late morning through the afternoon. Main
upper level trough axis is expected to stay east of the forecast
area, and this should keep the best chance for excessive rainfall
amounts also to the east over the Gulf South into the Florida
Panhandle.

Over the weekend, subtropical ridge begins to strengthen and build
westward from off the Southeast U.S. coast. In this scenario, the
remnant upper level trough/shear axis will get pushed into the
immediate region and forecast area...keeping better than normal
rain chances in place. Latest GFS run actually keeps more of a
closed upper level low in place rather than a weaker shear axis
like the ECMWF. If the GFS does verify, then a better chance of
heavy rainfall and equal chances of rainfall through the day and
night may occur. However, that is still a week out.

Rua

&&

.MARINE...
Mainly a weak pressure pattern will prevail for the next few days
over the coastal waters. Therefore, mainly light winds and low
seas will also prevail. A weakening upper level high and abundant
Gulf moisture will allow for decent chances for showers and
thunderstorms each day this week. Winds and seas will be locally
higher near the storms.

Rua

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  76  95  75  95 /  30  40  20  40
LCH  77  95  78  94 /  20  40  20  50
LFT  78  93  77  93 /  30  50  20  50
BPT  78  96  77  96 /  20  30  20  40

&&

.LCH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

PUBLIC...07
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 5:48 AM CDT, 11 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
548 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
081100-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
548 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TODAY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL AVERAGE AROUND 105 DEGREES TODAY.
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD BE LIMITED DURING THE PEAK HEAT OF THE
DAY. THOSE WHO MUST WORK OUTSIDE SHOULD DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND
TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IN SHADED AREAS OR IN AIR CONDITIONED PLACES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED...BUT STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-081100-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
548 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER
NEAR THE STORMS...ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
MAINLY FROM LATE NIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING...AND DURING THE DAYTIME
NEAR SHORE AND FOR THE COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS. NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...BUT STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ONE
MILE. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED NEAR
STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

13

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:23 PM CDT, 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
423 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

LAZ043-044-052-072230-
ACADIA-VERMILION-LAFAYETTE-
423 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
VERMILION...SOUTHEASTERN ACADIA AND SOUTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE
PARISHES...

AT 422 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE CLUSTERED OVER RIDGE...OR 7
MILES SOUTHEAST OF RAYNE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAFAYETTE...CROWLEY...ABBEVILLE...RAYNE...KAPLAN...DUSON...MAURICE...
BRANCH...MEAUX...RIDGE...INDIAN BAYOU...LYONS POINT AND MILTON.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3036 9228 3018 9205 2995 9208 3004 9247
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 032DEG 14KT 3015 9218

K. KUYPER
Special weather statement, Aug 7, 5:10 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
510 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

LAZ042-043-052-072315-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-VERMILION-
510 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL
VERMILION...NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS AND WESTERN ACADIA
PARISHES...

AT 509 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MOWATA TO NEAR KAPLAN. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CROWLEY...JENNINGS...KAPLAN...IOTA...GUEYDAN...MERMENTAU...
EVANGELINE...MORSE...RICEVILLE...WRIGHT...MAXIE...EGAN...
LYONS POINT...ESTHERWOOD...HATHAWAY AND MIDLAND.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 2984 9245 3045 9277 3047 9255 3040 9244
      3000 9218
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 055DEG 19KT 3037 9244 3001 9224

K. KUYPER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 6, 8:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLCHAcadia48 min
Aug 6, 8:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLCHAcadia49 min
Aug 6, 10:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLCHSaint Martin42 min
Aug 7, 2:36 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLCH39 min
Aug 7, 3:11 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLCH49 min
Aug 7, 4:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLCHLafayette67 min
Aug 7, 6:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLCHCameron48 min
Aug 6, 9:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLCHNewton50 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Louisiana, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.