Small Craft Advisory 20, NWS Lake Charles, LA

391 
WHUS74 KLCH 100920
MWWLCH

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE...

.A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN AN
EXTENDED FETCH OF STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
AND CARIBBEAN SEA WITH EXTREMELY ROUGH AND DANGEROUS SEAS.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER OF A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OFF THE TEXAS COAST MOVES NORTH ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND THEN EXPECTED TO MEANDER ACROSS THE LONE
STAR STATE THROUGH SATURDAY.

GMZ475-102200-
/O.CAN.KLCH.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160310T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0020.160310T0920Z-160311T0600Z/
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

* WINDS...25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...10 TO 14 FEET THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ472-102200-
/O.CAN.KLCH.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160310T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0020.160310T0920Z-160311T0000Z/
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

* WINDS...25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ470-102100-
/O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-160310T2100Z/
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ430-432-101600-
/O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-160310T1600Z/
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...LAKE WATERS EXTREMELY ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ455-102200-
/O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-160311T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ435-102100-
/O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-160310T2100Z/
VERMILION BAY-
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...LAKE WATERS EXTREMELY ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ452-102200-
/O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ450-102100-
/O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-160310T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
320 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

476 
WHUS74 KLCH 101635
MWWLCH

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1035 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE...

.A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN AN
EXTENDED FETCH OF STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
AND CARIBBEAN SEA WITH EXTREMELY ROUGH AND DANGEROUS SEAS. WINDS
WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER OF A SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE TEXAS COAST MOVES NORTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS...AND THEN MEANDERS OVER EASTERN TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY.

GMZ435-101745-
/O.CAN.KLCH.SC.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-160310T2100Z/
VERMILION BAY-
1035 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS ARE DIMINISHING BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER...WINDS
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

GMZ452-101745-
/O.CAN.KLCH.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
1035 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS ARE DIMINISHING BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER...WINDS
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

GMZ450-101745-
/O.CAN.KLCH.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-160310T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
1035 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS ARE DIMINISHING BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER...WINDS
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

GMZ475-110100-
/O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-160311T0600Z/
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1035 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...10 TO 14 FEET THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ470-102100-
/O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-160310T2100Z/
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1035 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ472-110000-
/O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1035 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ455-110100-
/O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-160311T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
1035 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

061 
WHUS74 KLCH 102200
MWWLCH

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
400 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT...

.STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS ACROSS THE AREA. 

GMZ475-110600-
/O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-160311T0600Z/
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
400 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ455-110600-
/O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-160311T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
400 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...2 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ472-110000-
/O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
400 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
643 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 00Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXTENSIVE AREA OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDER NOW OVER EAST
TEXAS AND INTO WEST CENTRAL LA...WITH MORE SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY FARTHER EAST. EARLIER EASTWARD PROPAGATION OF THIS MAIN
CONVECTIVE BAND APPEARS TO HAVE SLOWED NEAR A FT POLK TO PORT
ARTHUR LINE. TAF PACKAGE WAS CONSTRUCTED WITH AT LEAST SOME
EASTWARD PROGRESSION IN MIND THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...AS
INDICATED BY MOST MODEL GUIDANCE. THIS MAY HAVE TO BE RE-
EVALUATED IN TERMS OF TSRA TIMING PENDING RADAR TRENDS. IN ANY
CASE...MVFR TO GENERALLY PREVAIL AWAY FROM CONVECTION...WITH
ELEVATED AND AT TIMES GUSTY SOUTH WINDS...ESPECIALLY KLCH-KLFT-
KARA. IFR TO LIFR IN TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
CONVECTION.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 442 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016/

SYNOPSIS...
REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
EXTENDING FM ARK SSW INTO NRN LA/ERN TX DOWN TOWARD FAR S TX.
WHILE THIS LARGER AREA OF STORMS HAS BEEN ONGOING DUE TO DEEP
UPR LOW OVER NWRN MEXICO...THE ACTIVITY ACRS SE TX INTO WRN/CNTL
LA HAS BEEN AIDED BY LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A QUASI-STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG A MLU-JAS-IAH LINE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS HAVE RANGED FM 1.5 TO NEARLY 4 INCHES ACRS NRN
JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES AND NWRN VERNON PARISH...WHILE STORM
TOTALS SINCE YESTERDAY ARE NEARLY 7.5 INCHES ACRS THE SAME REGION.
THE OVERALL SVR THREAT HAS BEEN LIMITED TODAY THANKS TO LIMITED
INSTABILITY AND WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT...ALTHOUGH SHEAR HAS BEEN
ADEQUATE TO PRODUCE A FEW STORMS WITH ROTATION TODAY.

AS WAS THE CASE YESTERDAY...VERY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING ACRS THE AREA TODAY DUE TO A VERY TIGHT PRES GRADIENT OVER
THE REGION BETWEEN LOW PRES OVER TX AND HIGH PRES OFF THE SE COAST.
SUSTAINED WINDS TODAY AT SEVERAL SITES HAVE BEEN RUNNING BETWEEN 20
AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS MOSTLY BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ALTHOUGH A FEW
LOCATIONS HAVE AGAIN SEEN GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH AT TIMES.

DISCUSSION...
PERSISTENT VIGOROUS UPR LOW AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW PRES/FRONT WILL
MAINTAIN THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
THE SYSTEM MEANDERS OVER THE REGION. CURRENT HAZARDS...FLOOD
WATCH...WIND ADVISORY AND COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...REMAIN IN EFFECT
THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PRIMARY ISSUE FOR THIS FCST PKG WILL BE QPF OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME...LEANED TOWARD LATEST HRRR TRENDS WHICH
SEEM TO HAVE DONE A DECENT JOB ON PLACEMENT OF CONVECTION/HIGHER
QPF. THUS...KEPT HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS ACRS INTERIOR SE TX THIS
EVENING...WHICH LOOKS TO BE IN LINE WITH RECENT RADAR TRENDS...AS
WELL AS OVERNIGHT. WHILE THE OVERALL QPF TOTALS FM 00Z-12Z
INDICATE ABOUT 3 TO 5 INCHES ACRS SE TX...TRAINING OF STORMS WILL
SET UP THE POSSIBILITY OF MUCH HIGHER LOCALIZED AMOUNTS. AS IS
ALSO THE CASE IN THESE SITUATIONS...IDENTIFYING THE SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS THAT WILL SEE THE GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
CONVECTIVE FORCING AND THE TRANSLATION OF ENERGY ALOFT...WHICH CAN
IMPACT WHERE ACTUAL RAINBANDS AND TRAINING STORMS SET UP. THIS CAN
RESULT IN HEAVIER RAINS OCCURRING A LITTLE FURTHER EAST ACRS THE
WRN LA PARISHES OR WEST ACRS JEFFERSON/HARDIN/TYLER OR EVEN ACRS
MULTIPLE AREAS.

FOR THURSDAY...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL LOOKS TO BEGIN SHIFTING
EAST...PLACING MORE OF CNTL LA AND THE ACADIANA REGION UNDER THE
HEAVIEST BULLS-EYE. THE FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED OVER
THE EASTERN ZONES INTO FRIDAY SHOULD BANDS OF RAIN BEGIN TO TRAIN
OVER THESE AREAS.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT RAIN CHCS TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH...BUT NOT QUITE
COME TO AN END THROUGH SATURDAY UNTIL THE LARGE UPR LOW WEAKENS
AND LIFTS OUT. A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO SWING THROUGH
THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER SMALL CHC FOR
RAIN TO THE EXTREME NRN ZONES. THINGS THEN LOOK TO BEGIN DRYING
OUT BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN AN EXTENDED
FETCH OF STRONG SLY WINDS WITH EXTREMELY ROUGH SEAS THROUGH
THURSDAY. ADDITIONALLY...EXTENSIVE SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH STRONG TO SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BEGIN
TO DIMINISH LATE THURSDAY...WITH THE GALE WARNINGS LOWERING TO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN...GRADUALLY
BCMG MORE SWLY AS THE SFC LOW LIFTS NE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  68  77  67  74 / 100 100  90  80
LCH  69  77  65  74 /  80  90  80  70
LFT  71  76  67  74 /  60 100  90  80
BPT  68  77  64  76 / 100  90  80  60

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR LAZ052>055-073-
     074.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR LAZ028-029-
     031>033-042>045-052>055-074.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR LAZ033-041>045-052>055-
     073-074.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR LAZ027-030-041-
     073.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR LAZ041.

TX...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR TXZ215.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR TXZ215-216.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR TXZ180-201-215-
     216-259>262.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR TXZ216.

GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR GMZ455-475.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ472-475.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ450-452-455-
     470.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ430-432-435.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 AM CST THURSDAY THROUGH
     THURSDAY MORNING FOR GMZ430-432.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 AM CST THURSDAY THROUGH
     THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR GMZ435.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
428 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
101200-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
428 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA...EAST CENTRAL TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
TO THE ENTIRE AREA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
THURSDAY FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ADDITIONALLY...STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. A LONG FETCH OF SOUTHERLIES OVER THE GULF WATERS WILL
BRING A THREAT FOR FLOODING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS 40 TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THE AFOREMENTIONED THREATS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. BY
FRIDAY...ELEVATED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MEANDERS CLOSER OVER EAST TEXAS. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES FINALLY DIMINSH BY SATURDAY AS THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE REGION. A WEAKER UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MIGHT BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY...BUT
MUCH IMPROVED WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION REQUESTED FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-101200-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
428 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A VIGOROUS UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE OVER TEXAS AND THE WESTERN GULF...YIELDING AN TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT AS IT COMBINES WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE JUST
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. THIS WILL PRODUCE AN EXTENDED FETCH
OF STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND CARIBBEAN
SEA. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TO IGNIFICANT AND DANGEROUS
LEVELS. FOR THIS...A GALE WARNING CONTINUES TODAY...WITH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE INLAND LAKES AND BAYS. ADDITIONALLY...EXTENSIVE
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED WITH STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THE AFOREMENTIONED THREATS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. BY
FRIDAY...ELEVATED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MEANDERS CLOSER OVER EAST TEXAS. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES FINALLY DIMINSH BY SATURDAY AS THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE REGION. A WEAKER UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MIGHT BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY...BUT
MUCH IMPROVED WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION REQUESTED FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
638 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SSE BEAUMONT          30.04N 94.11W
03/09/2016  M2.88 INCH       JEFFERSON          TX   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 4 SE BEAUMONT /BUMNT/

&&

NWS LAKE CHARLES LA
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
651 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SE BEAUMONT           30.06N 94.11W
03/09/2016                   JEFFERSON          TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORTS THAT MOST UNDER PASSES FLOODED. MLK
            IN FRONT OF LAMAR HAS WATER OVER IT.

&&

JB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
711 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      KIRBYVILLE              30.66N 93.90W
03/09/2016                   JASPER             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            HAM RADIO OPERATOR REPORTS SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER IN
            KIRBYVILLE...INCLUDING FM 1013 WEST...3RD ST...AND WEST
            LESTER HAWTHORNE ST...WHICH ARE ALL IMPASSABLE. RAINFALL
            AMOUNTS OF NEAR 4 INCHES IN AROUND 3 HOURS.

&&

13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
819 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 WSW ANACOCO           31.23N 93.43W
03/09/2016                   VERNON             LA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            LA 111 IS CLOSED AT LA 392.

&&

JB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
837 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0631 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE HOLLY SPRINGS     30.90N 93.88W
03/09/2016                   JASPER             TX   PUBLIC

            PICTURE OF FM 1408 WITH MELHOMES CREEK
            COVERING THE ROADWAY.

&&

JB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
842 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     FLASH FLOOD      KIRBYVILLE              30.66N 93.90W
03/09/2016                   JASPER             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER RESCUE UNDERWAY WITH WATER FLOWING
            INTO A HOME WITH 5 PEOPLE TRAPPED.

&&

JB