Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Lake Charles, LA

772 
WWUS54 KLCH 271142
SVSLCH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
642 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

TXC199-241-245-351-361-457-271215-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-160427T1215Z/
TYLER TX-ORANGE TX-JEFFERSON TX-HARDIN TX-JASPER TX-NEWTON TX-
642 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TYLER...ORANGE...JEFFERSON...EASTERN HARDIN...JASPER
AND NEWTON COUNTIES...

AT 639 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM HEMPHILL TO NEAR JAMESTOWN TO NEAR KIRBYVILLE TO 6
MILES WEST OF OLD SALEM TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BUNA TO WRIGHTS
SETTLEMENT TO NEAR GIST TO NEAR VIDOR TO 6 MILES EAST OF HIGH
ISLAND...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEAUMONT...PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE...NEDERLAND...GROVES...PORT NECHES...
LUMBERTON...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...JASPER...SILSBEE...WEST ORANGE...NEWTON...
KIRBYVILLE...NOME...DEWEYVILLE...FRED...BON WEIR...HAMSHIRE AND
BURKEVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED WIDESPREAD
WIND DAMAGE ACROSS TYLER AND HARDIN COUNTIES AND ARE PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS JASPER...WESTERN ORANGE AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.
 
INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THESE STORMS MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 2989 9436 2989 9444 2998 9444 3040 9427
      3038 9429 3089 9419 3108 9421 3112 9354
      3103 9351 3100 9358 3082 9356 3054 9374
      3044 9370 3033 9376 3029 9371 3006 9370
      2999 9386 2984 9395 2971 9386 2956 9435
TIME...MOT...LOC 1139Z 271DEG 38KT 3134 9388 3088 9380 3066 9385 3052
9387 3037 9390 3042 9388 3035 9391 3030 9393 3014 9395 2956 9429

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RUA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
507 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 114 IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY.
SOUTHERN END OF SQUALL LINE DEVELOPED NEW MCS AND MOVING ESE AT 50
KNOTS (55-60 MPH)...WITH WIND GUSTS OF SAME VALUES REPORTED BEHIND
IT ACROSS SE TX. AT THIS SPEED...THE LINE WILL BE ENTERING TYLER/
HARDIN/JEFFERSON COUNTIES WITHIN THE HOUR...BPT BY 6:15-6:30
AM...SABINE RIVER BY 6:30-6:45 AM...POE TO LCH LINE BY 7 AM...
AEX/3R7(JENNINGS) BY 8 AM...AND OPL/LFT/ARA BY 9-10 AM.

ONGOING FORECAST GENERALLY THE SAME...EXCEPT MOVED UP ARRIVAL OF
TSRA FOR THE ABOVE REASONS.

&&

DML

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...
WX MAP SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST WITH LOW PRESSURE ACROSS
THE PLAINS...KEEPING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ELEVATED WITH A SE FLOW
CONTINUING. WITH THE ELEVATED WINDS...TEMPS IN THE MID 70S
CONTINUE AREAWIDE...WITH DEWPTS IN THE LOWER 70S. SHV & LCH RADAR
SHOWING SEMI-BROKEN SQUALL LINE OVER NE TX JUST ENTERING EXTREME
NW LA APPROACHING SHV...WITH THE ENTIRE LINE MOVING SE AT 30 TO
35 MPH. THE LINE HAS WEAKENED A BIT OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF
HOURS.

FOR THIS MORNING...MCS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SE ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF SE TX...APPROACHING THE SABINE RIVER JUST AFTER
DAYBREAK...AND CONTINUE SPREADING SE OVER C AND S LA FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING...AND SC LA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A
SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSRA REMAINS OVER MOST OF THE REGION ALONG AND
N OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR...MAINLY FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISO HAIL
THE PRIMARY WX THREAT.

NOT EXPECTING TO REALLY CLEAR OUT AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WASHES OUT
BEFORE MOVING THROUGH HERE. KEEPING ~20-40% THU-FRI AS LINGERING
PERTUBATIONS IN THE SW FLOW KEEP THESE CHANCES OVER THE REGION.
EXPECTING ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT BUT SLOWER STORM SYSTEM TO MOVE OVER
THE MIDWEST OVER THE WEEKEND...BRINGING INCREASED POPS LATE FRI
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BEYOND THIS...MODELS GETTING AMBIGUOUS DAY TO
DAY RUNS ON SOLUTIONS FOR ENDING OF RAIN OR NOT. FOR
NOW...CONSENSUS BRINGS BETTER WX FOR LATE SUN INTO MON...WITH THE
RETURN OF PRECIP FOR TUE.

DML

MARINE...
THE COMBINATION OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE ATLANTIC OFF
THE CAROLINA COAST AND A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE PLAINS STATES WILL MAINTAIN AN ONSHORE FLOW
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE PASSAGE OF
SEVERAL UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING A DAILY CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  83  68  87  70 /  80  30  20  10
LCH  82  71  86  73 /  80  20  20  10
LFT  83  71  86  73 /  80  40  40  10
BPT  82  70  85  73 /  80  20  20  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR
     GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

&&

PUBLIC...04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
350 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

GMZ435-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-
259>262-281100-
VERMILION BAY-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-
EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
350 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF
MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON AS A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM TEXAS MOVES SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY WEATHER THREATS. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
LINGERING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY. ANOTHER SLOWER MOVING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING
INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

GMZ430-432-450-452-455-470-472-475-281100-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
350 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON AS A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM TEXAS MOVES SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY WEATHER THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
LINGERING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY. ANOTHER SLOWER MOVING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING
INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.