Alert archive / Louisiana / Flash Flood Watches in 2016

Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS Lake Charles, LA

December 3, 201610 parishes in Louisiana; 4 counties in Texas

NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this flash flood watch at Dec 3, 2016, 3:22 AM CST for 10 parishes in Louisiana; 4 counties in Texas. It took effect at Dec 3, 2016, 4:00 AM CST. It was in force for 59 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 3, 2016, 3:22 AM CST (09:22 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 3, 2016, 4:00 AM CST
Expired
Dec 5, 2016, 2:53 PM CST
In force
59 hr
Issued by
NWS Lake Charles, LA
Flood severity
None

Counties Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Newton County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2016-12-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2016-12-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1751 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
365 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

650 
WGUS64 KLCH 030922
FFALCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
322 AM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.A STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEM AND MULTIPLE AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
CREATE HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS EAST TEXAS, WEST AND CENTRAL
LOUISIANA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

LAZ027-028-030-031-041-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-040000-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.A.0009.161203T1000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-CALCASIEU-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...
FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...KINDER...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...
TOWN BLUFF...FRED...HILLISTER...IVANHOE...SPURGER...WARREN...
WOODVILLE...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...BEAUMONT...SABINE PASS...
SEA RIM STATE PARK...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...
HOLLY SPRINGS...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...
MT. UNION...ROGANVILLE...BURKEVILLE...FARRSVILLE...JAMESTOWN...
NEWTON...WIERGATE...BLEAKWOOD...CALL...GIST...BUNA...EVADALE...
DEWEYVILLE
322 AM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST 
  TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ALLEN...
   BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...RAPIDES AND VERNON. IN SOUTHEAST 
  TEXAS...HARDIN...JEFFERSON...NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN 
  NEWTON...ORANGE...SOUTHERN JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON AND TYLER. 

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA THROUGH
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
620 
WGUS64 KLCH 031637
FFALCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1037 AM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.A STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEM AND MULTIPLE AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
CREATE HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS EAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST AND
CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL OF 5 TO 8
INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY.

LAZ042-040000-
/O.EXA.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JEFFERSON DAVIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HATHAWAY...JENNINGS...TOPSY...ROANOKE...
WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR
1037 AM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST 
  LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...JEFFERSON DAVIS. 

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA 
  THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ027-028-030-031-041-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-040000-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-CALCASIEU-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...
FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...KINDER...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...
TOWN BLUFF...FRED...HILLISTER...IVANHOE...SPURGER...WARREN...
WOODVILLE...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...BEAUMONT...SABINE PASS...
SEA RIM STATE PARK...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...
HOLLY SPRINGS...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...
MT. UNION...ROGANVILLE...BURKEVILLE...FARRSVILLE...JAMESTOWN...
NEWTON...WIERGATE...BLEAKWOOD...CALL...GIST...BUNA...EVADALE...
DEWEYVILLE
1037 AM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ALLEN...BEAUREGARD... 
  CALCASIEU...RAPIDES AND VERNON. IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...HARDIN... 
  JEFFERSON...NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN NEWTON...ORANGE... 
  SOUTHERN JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON AND TYLER. 

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA 
  THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

RUA
335 
WGUS64 KLCH 032119
FFALCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
319 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.A STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEM AND MULTIPLE AREAS OF LOW
PRESSURE...ALONG WITH A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
CREATE HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST
AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS
STILL POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL BE ON
TOP OF THE AREAL AVERAGE OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN THAT FELL DURING SATURDAY.

LAZ073-074-041200-
/O.EXA.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HACKBERRY...JOHNSON BAYOU...
GRAND LAKE...KLONDIKE...CAMERON...CREOLE...GRAND CHENIER...
RUTHERFORD BEACH
319 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST 
  LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...EAST CAMERON AND 
  WEST CAMERON. 

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE
  WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
  POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ027-028-030-031-041-042-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-041200-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-TYLER-
HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-
SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...
FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...KINDER...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...
HATHAWAY...JENNINGS...TOPSY...ROANOKE...WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...
TOWN BLUFF...FRED...HILLISTER...IVANHOE...SPURGER...WARREN...
WOODVILLE...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...BEAUMONT...SABINE PASS...
SEA RIM STATE PARK...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...
HOLLY SPRINGS...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...
MT. UNION...ROGANVILLE...BURKEVILLE...FARRSVILLE...JAMESTOWN...
NEWTON...WIERGATE...BLEAKWOOD...CALL...GIST...BUNA...EVADALE...
DEWEYVILLE
319 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ALLEN...BEAUREGARD... 
  CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...RAPIDES AND VERNON. IN SOUTHEAST 
  TEXAS...HARDIN...JEFFERSON...NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN 
  NEWTON...ORANGE...SOUTHERN JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON AND TYLER. 

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE
  WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
  POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

RUA
810 
WGUS64 KLCH 040920
FFALCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
320 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.A STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEM AND MULTIPLE AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE...
ALONG WITH A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CREATE HIGH
RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
LOUISIANA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF
2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS STILL POSSIBLE
IN THE WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL BE ON TOP OF THE
AREAL AVERAGE OF 3 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN THAT FELL DURING SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

LAZ029-032-033-043>045-052-053-050000-
/O.EXA.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EFFIE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...
COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...VILLE PLATTE...BEAVER...
ST. LANDRY...MAMOU...REDDELL...LAWTELL...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...
CROWLEY...RAYNE...BRANCH...CHURCH POINT...RICHARD...LAFAYETTE...
BREAUX BRIDGE...CADE...ST. MARTINVILLE...ABBEVILLE...
INTRACOASTAL CITY...MEAUX...FORKED ISLAND...KAPLAN...NEW IBERIA
320 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA... 
  SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...INCLUDING 
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AVOYELLES... 
  EVANGELINE AND ST. LANDRY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... 
  IBERIA...LAFAYETTE AND UPPER ST. MARTIN. IN SOUTHWEST 
  LOUISIANA...ACADIA AND VERMILION. 

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE 
  WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  ARE POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ027-028-030-031-041-042-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
050000-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...
FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...KINDER...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...
HATHAWAY...JENNINGS...TOPSY...ROANOKE...WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...
HACKBERRY...JOHNSON BAYOU...GRAND LAKE...KLONDIKE...CAMERON...
CREOLE...GRAND CHENIER...RUTHERFORD BEACH...TOWN BLUFF...FRED...
HILLISTER...IVANHOE...SPURGER...WARREN...WOODVILLE...LUMBERTON...
SILSBEE...BEAUMONT...SABINE PASS...SEA RIM STATE PARK...ORANGE...
VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...HOLLY SPRINGS...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...
MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...MT. UNION...ROGANVILLE...BURKEVILLE...
FARRSVILLE...JAMESTOWN...NEWTON...WIERGATE...BLEAKWOOD...CALL...
GIST...BUNA...EVADALE...DEWEYVILLE
320 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ALLEN...BEAUREGARD... 
  CALCASIEU...EAST CAMERON...JEFFERSON DAVIS...RAPIDES...VERNON 
  AND WEST CAMERON. IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...HARDIN...JEFFERSON... 
  NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN NEWTON...ORANGE...SOUTHERN JASPER...
   SOUTHERN NEWTON AND TYLER. 

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE 
  WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  ARE POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
229 
WGUS64 KLCH 042100
FFALCH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
300 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.RAINFALL RATES AND INTENSITY WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND ON
MONDAY AS A SURFACE LOW...ALONG WITH A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. ANTECEDENT WET GROUND
CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY OVER A MAJORITY OF THE AREA FROM THE
RECENT RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL AREAWIDE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLOODING. THE RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST
LATE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

LAZ027>033-041>045-052-053-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
051200-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...EFFIE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...
COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...
FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...BEAVER...
ST. LANDRY...MAMOU...REDDELL...LAWTELL...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...
LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...HATHAWAY...JENNINGS...TOPSY...ROANOKE...
WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...BRANCH...CHURCH POINT...
RICHARD...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...CADE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
ABBEVILLE...INTRACOASTAL CITY...MEAUX...FORKED ISLAND...KAPLAN...
NEW IBERIA...HACKBERRY...JOHNSON BAYOU...GRAND LAKE...KLONDIKE...
CAMERON...CREOLE...GRAND CHENIER...RUTHERFORD BEACH...
TOWN BLUFF...FRED...HILLISTER...IVANHOE...SPURGER...WARREN...
WOODVILLE...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...BEAUMONT...SABINE PASS...
SEA RIM STATE PARK...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...
HOLLY SPRINGS...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...
MT. UNION...ROGANVILLE...BURKEVILLE...FARRSVILLE...JAMESTOWN...
NEWTON...WIERGATE...BLEAKWOOD...CALL...GIST...BUNA...EVADALE...
DEWEYVILLE
300 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES... 
  BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...EAST CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA... 
  JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. 
  MARTIN...VERMILION...VERNON AND WEST CAMERON. IN SOUTHEAST 
  TEXAS...HARDIN...JEFFERSON...NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN 
  NEWTON...ORANGE...SOUTHERN JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON AND TYLER. 

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE
  WATCH AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
  ALSO POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

RUA
271 
WGUS64 KLCH 051125
FFALCH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
525 AM CST MON DEC 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.RAINFALL RATES AND INTENSITY WILL INCREASE THROUGH TODAY AS A
SURFACE LOW...ALONG WITH A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. WET GROUNDS ARE CURRENTLY PREVALENT OVER
A MAJORITY OF THE AREA FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS...AND AN ADDITIONAL
1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE
FLOODING. THE RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EVENING...ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

LAZ027>033-041>045-052-053-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
052100-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...EFFIE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...
COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...
FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...BEAVER...
ST. LANDRY...MAMOU...REDDELL...LAWTELL...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...
LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...HATHAWAY...JENNINGS...TOPSY...ROANOKE...
WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...BRANCH...CHURCH POINT...
RICHARD...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...CADE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
ABBEVILLE...INTRACOASTAL CITY...MEAUX...FORKED ISLAND...KAPLAN...
NEW IBERIA...HACKBERRY...JOHNSON BAYOU...GRAND LAKE...KLONDIKE...
CAMERON...CREOLE...GRAND CHENIER...RUTHERFORD BEACH...
TOWN BLUFF...FRED...HILLISTER...IVANHOE...SPURGER...WARREN...
WOODVILLE...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...BEAUMONT...SABINE PASS...
SEA RIM STATE PARK...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...
HOLLY SPRINGS...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...
MT. UNION...ROGANVILLE...BURKEVILLE...FARRSVILLE...JAMESTOWN...
NEWTON...WIERGATE...BLEAKWOOD...CALL...GIST...BUNA...EVADALE...
DEWEYVILLE
525 AM CST MON DEC 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN LOUISIANA...ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES... 
  BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...EAST CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA... 
  JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. 
  MARTIN...VERMILION...VERNON AND WEST CAMERON. IN SOUTHEAST 
  TEXAS...HARDIN...JEFFERSON...NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN 
  NEWTON...ORANGE...SOUTHERN JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON AND TYLER. 

* UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON

* AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
  AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE ALSO
  POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

25
587 
WGUS64 KLCH 051902
FFALCH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
102 PM CST MON DEC 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.RAINFALL RATES AND INTENSITY WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. WET GROUNDS
ARE CURRENTLY PREVALENT OVER A MAJORITY OF THE AREA FROM RECENT
HEAVY RAINS...AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...MAINLY OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO CAUSE FLOODING. THE RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EVENING...ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-052015-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-
SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOWN BLUFF...FRED...HILLISTER...
IVANHOE...SPURGER...WARREN...WOODVILLE...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...
BEAUMONT...SABINE PASS...SEA RIM STATE PARK...ORANGE...VIDOR...
BRIDGE CITY...HOLLY SPRINGS...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...
MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...MT. UNION...ROGANVILLE...BURKEVILLE...
FARRSVILLE...JAMESTOWN...NEWTON...WIERGATE...BLEAKWOOD...CALL...
GIST...BUNA...EVADALE...DEWEYVILLE
102 PM CST MON DEC 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. ONLY A FEW SHOWERS WITH MAINLY LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THESE RAINFALL RATES ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO CAUSE ANY ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING...AND THEREFORE
THE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

LAZ027>033-041>045-052-053-073-074-052100-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...EFFIE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...
COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...
FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...BEAVER...
ST. LANDRY...MAMOU...REDDELL...LAWTELL...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...
LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...HATHAWAY...JENNINGS...TOPSY...ROANOKE...
WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...BRANCH...CHURCH POINT...
RICHARD...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...CADE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
ABBEVILLE...INTRACOASTAL CITY...MEAUX...FORKED ISLAND...KAPLAN...
NEW IBERIA...HACKBERRY...JOHNSON BAYOU...GRAND LAKE...KLONDIKE...
CAMERON...CREOLE...GRAND CHENIER...RUTHERFORD BEACH
102 PM CST MON DEC 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... 
  SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AVOYELLES... 
  EVANGELINE...RAPIDES AND ST. LANDRY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL 
  LOUISIANA...IBERIA...LAFAYETTE AND UPPER ST. MARTIN. IN 
  SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...ACADIA...ALLEN...BEAUREGARD... 
  CALCASIEU...EAST CAMERON...JEFFERSON DAVIS...VERMILION AND 
  WEST CAMERON. IN WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...VERNON. 

* UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON

* AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE 
  WATCH AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE 
  ALSO POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS INCLUDE DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS ELEVATED LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS AND 
  STREAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

RUA
097 
WGUS64 KLCH 052053
FFALCH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
253 PM CST MON DEC 5 2016

...RAINFALL WILL BE ENDING THIS EVENING...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL LEAVE THE REGION THIS EVENING
ENDING RAIN CHANCES. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE
UNTIL THE RAIN CHANCES END. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING.

LAZ027>033-041>045-052-053-073-074-052200-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161205T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT POLK...PICKERING...LEESVILLE...
SLAGLE...ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...EFFIE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...
COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...BUNDICK LAKE...DE RIDDER...
FIELDS...ORETTA...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...BEAVER...
ST. LANDRY...MAMOU...REDDELL...LAWTELL...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...
LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...HATHAWAY...JENNINGS...TOPSY...ROANOKE...
WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...BRANCH...CHURCH POINT...
RICHARD...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...CADE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
ABBEVILLE...INTRACOASTAL CITY...MEAUX...FORKED ISLAND...KAPLAN...
NEW IBERIA...HACKBERRY...JOHNSON BAYOU...GRAND LAKE...KLONDIKE...
CAMERON...CREOLE...GRAND CHENIER...RUTHERFORD BEACH
253 PM CST MON DEC 5 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL
LOUISIANA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAINFALL RATES WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING.

$$

RUA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Dec 2, 11:50 PM CST, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 2, 11:50 PM CST, 3 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1150 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

.Discussion...
For the 03/06Z Taf issuance.

&&

.Aviation...
Winds were strengthening over the southeast Texas coast with
Beaumont reporting wind gusts to 30 knots and sustained winds over
20 knots. Winds will likely spread inland into southwest Louisiana
in a short bit. Already seeing gusty winds along the coast at
Cameron. This is mainly in response to lowering surface pressure
along the middle and lower coast of Texas. Therefore...have kept
elevated winds in the southern TAF sites overnight and continuing
through the day Saturday. Cloud cover has been lowering the last few
hours. Now beginning to see some MVFR conditions at BPT/LCH Taf
sites. This is expected to continue with other sites deteriorating
toward morning and into the afternoon Saturday. Kept rain in the
TAF's since overrunning conditions are still favoring rain
developing at anytime. Looks messy through the taf package with
IFR/LIFR conditions possible on Saturday.

&&

.UPDATE...
KHGX radar is giving indications that the old frontal boundary has
moved closer to the coast this eve. This boundary is expected to
migrate over the next several days but is expected to remain along
or near the se Tx and srn La coast through the weekend. Current
zones look fine no updates are planned at this time.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 641 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2016/

Discussion...
For the 02/00Z Taf Issuance.

Aviation...
Southwesterly flow aloft overrunning cooler air at the surface
generally resulting in overcast conditions with some light rain or
shower activity. Clouds are still in the VFR range with lowering
to around 5K feet at a few locations. MVFR likely will begin
tomorrow morning after 12Z and deterioration likely to continue
through the day as low surface low pressure develops over the
Texas coastal area resulting in showers and thunderstorms
developing through the day here on Saturday. Easterly winds
tonight will begin to strengthen and remain gusty into Saturday
as the above mentioned surface low tightens up.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 424 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2016/

.Added Event Rainfall Totals in the Discussion Section...

SYNOPSIS...
Surface analysis shows a coastal trough over the Northwest Gulf of
Mexico from roughly off the South Central Louisiana coast to just
off the Lower Texas coast. Meanwhile...water vapor imagery shows
an upper level low over the Baja Peninsula with increasing moist
southwest flow ahead of this system across Northern Old Mexico
through Texas into the Gulf South. Local radars showing the
initial area of mainly light rain and sprinkles moving into the
forecast area.

Rua

DISCUSSION...
Looking like the ingredients for a long duration rainfall event
for portions of the forecast area setting up. The upper level low
will move slowly across the Baja Peninsula into Northern Old
Mexico this weekend, and will not kick out until Monday. The
surface coastal trough will continue just offshore the Louisiana
and Texas coast. Increasing flow mid and upper level flow will
transport elevated East Pacific moisture, with low level flow
transporting elevated Gulf of Mexico moisture. This moisture will
be lifted over the coastal trough producing periods of over-
running shower activity until the upper level low finally kicks
out.

Moisture will be elevated through this event, with Precipitable
Water values increasing to 1.50 to 1.75 inches tonight...roughly
over 150 percent of norm...then between 1.75 to 2 inches...or
over twice the standard deviation...on Saturday into Sunday. With
these moisture values...combined with the increasing upper level
divergence aloft...the potential of some decent rainfall amounts,
with pockets of heavy rainfall will exist.

Still tough to say where the heavy rainfall pockets will be.
Mostly likely close to where the best 1000mb-850mb convergence
will be and where elevated instability will provide a chance for
elevated convection and heavier rainfall. For tonight into
Saturday, this looks to take place over Southeast Texas into
extreme Southwest and West Central Louisiana before moving
eastward throughout the forecast area on Sunday. Severe weather
threat looks minimal at this point with low level and surface
based instability on the low side through Sunday.

Event will come to an end on Monday. As the upper level low kicks
out, a surface low will develop along the coastal trough and move
northeastward. This will wiggle the coastal trough north as a warm
front, with the potential for the southeastern portion of the
forecast area getting into the warm sector. Therefore, there will
be a chance of severe storms during Monday afternoon as the
surface low move across the forecast area and thunderstorms could
become more robust with the increasing instability.

Rainfall totals for this event through Monday will range from 3 to 6
inches with locally higher amounts. On average the higher amounts
will be over Southeast Texas into West Central and Southwest
Louisiana.

Drier air will move in on Tuesday, behind the departing low. A
strong cold front will move across late Wednesday, with a few
showers developing out ahead of it.

A cold Canadian air mass will settle over the region late next
week behind the cold front. Lows on Thursday Night/Friday Morning
and Friday Night/Saturday Morning look to be below freezing
possibly down to the I-10 corridor and some upper 20s for the
northern zones.

Rua

AVIATION...
For the 02/18Z TAF issuance...
Expect rain to increase and become more steady throughout the
night. Ceilings/Visibilities at first will be VFR Levels, then
gradually reducing to MVFR during the overnight into early
Saturday.

Rua

MARINE...
A coastal trough at the surface will strengthen off the Texas
coast tonight. This will allow for easterly winds to increase to
20 to 25 knots with gusts close to Gale Force through the night
into Saturday. A Small Craft Advisory will be in effect. Also,
with the easterly winds, tidal piling up will be possible along
the Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas coast tonight...with
tide levels 1 to 1.5 feet above predicted levels and actual tide
readings at high tide near 3.0 to 3.5 feet mllw. Therefore, some
minor coastal flooding may take place and a Coastal Flood Advisory
will be in effect for that area.

Winds will become westerly late Monday, as a surface low develops
along the coastal trough and kicks the system off to the east.

Rua

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  47  53  49  56 / 100 100  80  80
LCH  52  65  59  67 / 100 100  70  80
LFT  52  66  61  72 / 100  70  60  80
BPT  54  65  59  67 / 100 100  80  80

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Saturday for LAZ052-073-074.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 AM CST Saturday for LAZ052-073-
     074.

TX...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Saturday for TXZ215.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 AM CST Saturday for TXZ215.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST Saturday for GMZ450-452-455-
     470-472-475.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Saturday for GMZ430-432-435.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION from 6 AM CST Saturday through
     Saturday afternoon for GMZ430-432-435.

&&

PUBLIC...19
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 2, 6:20 AM CST, 21 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
620 AM CST FRI DEC 2 2016

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-TXZ180-201-216-259>262-031200-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-HARDIN-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
620 AM CST FRI DEC 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH EMBEDDED HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SPREADING INLAND TONIGHT AHEAD OF A SLOW
MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. NO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED, BUT RAINFALL COULD BE LOCALLY
HEAVY AT TIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY, WITH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
EXPECTED OVER EAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA, AND 4 TO 8 INCHES
EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF WESTERN LOUISIANA AND EAST TEXAS. LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BECOME
NECESSARY. RAINFALL WILL COME TO AN END ON MONDAY AS A FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA, BUT THERE WILL BE A WINDOW ON MONDAY FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRIOR TO AND ALONG THE
FRONT.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT, WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

LAZ073-074-TXZ215-031200-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-JEFFERSON-
620 AM CST FRI DEC 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH EMBEDDED HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SPREADING INLAND TONIGHT AHEAD OF A SLOW
MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. NO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED, BUT RAINFALL COULD BE LOCALLY
HEAVY AT TIMES.

EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN TONIGHT, ALONG THE COAST
AND OVER THE GULF WATERS, RESULTING IN A MINOR TIDAL PILE UP
ALONG THE COAST, WITH ACTUAL TIDE LEVELS AVERAGING NEAR 3.5 FEET
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR AND MAINLY NUISANCE COASTAL FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS. A WIND ADVISORY MAY ALSO BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY, WITH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
EXPECTED, AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL WILL COME
TO AN END ON MONDAY AS A FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT, WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-031200-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
620 AM CST FRI DEC 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF WATERS TODAY AND
TONIGHT DUE TO STRENGTHENING EAST WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS. GUSTS
TO NEAR GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY, BUT BEGIN TO
SUBSIDE SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON MONDAY FROM
THE SOUTH AND THEN WEST AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTH OUT
OF THE GULF AND PULLS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE UNTIL THIS FRONTAL
PASSAGE.

WEST WINDS WILL SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY BECOMING LIGHT AND FROM THE
SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER APPROACHING FRONT. THIS FRONT
IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WITH STRONG
AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS IN ITS WAKE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 3, 1:30 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH2 hr
Dec 3, 2:48 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH42 min
Dec 3, 3:30 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH2 hr
Dec 3, 5:22 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH83 min
Dec 3, 6:48 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH87 min
Dec 3, 8:50 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLCHRapides11 days
Dec 3, 8:50 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLCHCalcasieu6 days
Dec 3, 9:26 AM CSTSmall Craft AdvisoryLCH6 hr
Dec 3, 10:51 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH39 min
Dec 3, 10:59 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHCameron31 min
Dec 3, 2:13 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLCHCalcasieu2 hr
Dec 3, 3:48 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLCHCalcasieu117 min
Dec 3, 4:56 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLCHAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Jefferson Davis2 hr
Dec 3, 7:18 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLCHJefferson4 hr
Dec 3, 10:36 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHJefferson, Orange24 min
Dec 3, 12:06 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLCHHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange114 min
Dec 3, 1:36 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLCHJefferson, Orange24 hr
Dec 3, 2:04 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLCHHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange116 min
Dec 3, 3:58 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLCHHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2016Flash Flood Watches in Texas, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.