Special Weather Statement, NWS North Platte, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
345 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

LOW PRESSURE REMAINS STATIONARY OVER SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA RESULTING
IN RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS. FOR THE MOST PART...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WILL REMAIN TO THE EAST OF THE
LBF CWA. AS THE LOW PUSHES NORTH AND EASTWARD...SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL
COME TO AN END. FOR TONIGHT...THE MAJOR CONCERN WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CWA. AMPLE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR LIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT. HAVE PUT IN PATCHY FOG FOR
NOW...BUT THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES.
OVERNIGHT LOWS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE IN THE LOW TO UPPER
40S...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR WARMER LOW TEMPERATURES TOWARDS THE
EAST WHERE CLOUD COVER WILL LINGER LONGER OVERNIGHT.

FOR TUESDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CENTRAL NEBRASKA
DRY. FEW CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION WILL ALLOW TUESDAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO REACH UP INTO THE LOW 70S ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PORTION OF THE CWA. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID 60S IN THE
NORTHWEST CWA /SHERIDAN AND WESTERN CHERRY COUNTIES/. RAIN CHANCES
RETURN ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEBRASKA. PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA BEGINNING IN THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST COUNTIES
BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL LIFT FROM WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO SOUTHERN MANITOBA WEDNESDAY. A JET MAX OF 85-95
KTS WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THIS UPPER JET WILL PROVIDE A FAVORED
AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGNCE TO SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA
OVERNIGHT. THESE AREAS WILL BE UNDER LIKELY POPS. UP TO ONE HALF
INCH OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF A HAYES CENTER THROUGH
BROKEN BOW LINE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S. A DEEP HUDSON BAY LOW WILL DEVELOP THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST. COOL CANADIAN
AIR WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS RETURNS FRIDAY NIGHT AND PERSISTS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. HIGHS ONLY IN THE UPPER 50S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MOST
AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

FOR THE KVTN TERMINAL...RAIN SHOWERS ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE
AREA AT THIS TIME. CURRENTLY EXPECTING THESE SHOWERS TO
CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR
AFTER 08Z. FOR THE KLBF TERMINAL...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE KLBF AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND LOWERING OF CEILINGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS. AS
CLOUDS BECOME SCATTERED OVERNIGHT AND TEMPERATURES COOL...THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT EXISTS FOR THE NORTH
PLATTE AREA. AT THIS TIME CONFIDENCE IS NOT VERY HIGH IN REGARDS
TO FOG...HOWEVER...A MENTION HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN THIS TAF
ISSUANCE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

INCREASED RESERVIOR RELEASES IN WYOMING WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
RIVER LEVELS UP ALONG THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER ABOVE LAKE
MCCONAUGHY. AT LISCO...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND RISE TO NEAR 4.4 FEET FRIDAY. AT
LEWELLEN...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT 8.2 FEET
AND IS FORECAST TO RISE TO 8.4 FEET BY SATURDAY. THIS WOULD
APPRAOCH MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

ON THE SOUTH PLATTE RIVER...ROSCOE WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH
THE WEEK BUT REMAIN IN ACTION STAGE AND THE SOUTH PLATTE RIVER AT
NORTH PLATTE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOWER END OF ACTION
STAGE THROUGH THE WEEK.

RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE ELKHORN RIVER BASIN
WILL CAUSE SOME RIVER RISES. NEAR ATKINSON WHERE THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL OCCURRED...THE RIVER STAGE AT ATKINSON IS ON THE RISE AND
MAY REACH ACTION STAGE BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...KULIC
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...KULIK
HYDROLOGY...ROBERG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
344 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-102045-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
344 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016 /244 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE EAST OF AND AINSWORTH
THROUGH BURWELL LINE THIS EVENING.

THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER UPSTREAM OF LAKE MCCONAUGHY WILL SEE A
SLOW THROUGH TONIGHT. MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE NORTH
PLATTE RIVER NEAR LEWELLEN AS IT IS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY RISE.

THE SOUTH PLATTE RIVER IN WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL REMAIN ELEVATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BROKEN BOW TO IMPERIAL.

THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER UPSTREAM OF LAKE MCCONAUGHY WILL SEE
SIGNIFICANT RISES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK DUE TO INCREASED
RESERVOIR RELEASES IN WYOMING. RIVER LEVEL ABOVE MINOR FLOOD
STAGE ARE FORECAST OR OCCURRING AT LISCO AND LEWELLEN.

THE SOUTH PLATTE RIVER IN WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL REMAIN ELEVATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

KAR

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
955 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

NEZ038-059-100345-
LINCOLN NE-CUSTER NE-
955 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CUSTER AND
NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM CDT...

AT 955 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES NORTHEAST OF NORTH PLATTE AIRPORT...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF
NORTH PLATTE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ETNA.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 83 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 102 AND 104.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4120 10067 4139 10056 4131 10006 4104 10018
      4104 10023 4099 10023
TIME...MOT...LOC 0255Z 295DEG 19KT 4125 10053

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