Severe Thunderstorm Warning 246, NWS North Platte, NE

697 
WWUS53 KLBF 292134
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
334 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

NEC069-101-292215-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-160729T2215Z/
GARDEN NE-KEITH NE-
334 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN GARDEN AND NORTHWESTERN KEITH COUNTIES...

AT 334 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
OSHKOSH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSHKOSH...LEWELLEN...CLEAR CREEK STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...
BLUEWATER BATTLEFIELD STATE HISTORICAL PARK...RUTHON AND ASH HOLLOW
STATE HISTORICAL PARK.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 115 AND 122.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4153 10230 4142 10198 4130 10199 4130 10251
      4150 10244
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 335DEG 10KT 4147 10235 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KULIK

744 
WWUS53 KLBF 292158
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
358 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

NEC069-101-292215-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-160729T2215Z/
GARDEN NE-KEITH NE-
358 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN GARDEN AND NORTHWESTERN KEITH COUNTIES...

AT 358 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
OSHKOSH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSHKOSH...LEWELLEN...CLEAR CREEK STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...
BLUEWATER BATTLEFIELD STATE HISTORICAL PARK...RUTHON AND ASH HOLLOW
STATE HISTORICAL PARK.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 115 AND 122.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4145 10225 4142 10198 4130 10199 4130 10251
      4144 10240
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 326DEG 17KT 4140 10229 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

POWER

145 
WWUS53 KLBF 292209
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
409 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

NEC069-101-292218-
/O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-160729T2215Z/
GARDEN NE-KEITH NE-
409 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GARDEN AND
NORTHWESTERN KEITH COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 415 PM MDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT FOR
THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4145 10225 4142 10198 4130 10199 4130 10251
      4144 10240
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 330DEG 9KT 4140 10229 

$$

POWER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
335 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016

A bit of a tricky forecast going into the rest of the afternoon and
overnight. Models are very inconsistent with the timing and
placement of convection. Have opted to stick with a fairly similar
forecast to the previous forecast with the best chance of
thunderstorms across the north and western counties (mainly north of
I-80). While an isolated storm could develop south of I-80,
confidence is not high for this location and therefore, have dropped
pops below 20 percent. As we head into the overnight period, the
thinking is that the greatest precipitation location will shift from
the northern/western counties to the eastern counties (east of US-
83)as a very weak upper level wave slides over northern and eastern
Nebraska. Severe potential with these storms tonight is low, but
heavy rain, small hail, and gusty winds are still possible.
Overnight lows will drop into the low 60s for all locations.

Current thinking is that after about 6am, the majority of the
showers will have either diminished or moved eastward. However, a
slight chance for precipitation will stick around across the eastern
CWA through Saturday as some showers try to develop out of southern
South Dakota. For the remainder of the CWA (south and west), dry
conditions and partly cloudy skies will dominate. High temperatures
for everybody will be in the mid-80s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016

Models have been all over with waves moving through northwest flow
the last several days and while I have confidence in the general
features with the forecast the timing and onset of precipitation I
do not have good confidence in. Upper closed low over western
Canada will continue to deepen into the Pacific northwest tonight
sharpening the ridge ahead of it and allowing the ridge to the
south to build back into the northern plains. As the ridge builds
temperatures aloft will warm. Precipitation will continue over
eastern portions of the CWA Saturday evening...generally east of
highway 83. Southerly flow and cloud cover will keep the lows in
the mid to upper 60s. Dewpoints similar and with upslope flow and
clearing skies late the argument could be made for some stratus
and fog similar to this mornings. Will defer to later forecasts.
Gusty southerly flow on Sunday with temperatures rising into the
upper 80s and lower 90s. Warmer temperatures aloft will keep
atmosphere capped until wave moves across western Nebraska
through the evening. Similar scenario on Tuesday with highs in the
lower 90s and late afternoon into evening thunderstorms over the
eastern zones. Better chances Thursday as we get on the backside
of upper closed low over south central Canada and a cool front
pushes south across northern plains into western Nebraska. Highs
in the 90s wednesday and the 80s on Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop again late this
afternoon and early evening. Development will start off in the
northern portions of Nebraska by late afternoon and slowly develop
further south. Therefore have included a mention of thunderstorms
near KVTN starting around 22Z. Have added showers and thunderstorms
to the aviation forecast across the KLBF terminal starting around
00Z. Uncertainty still remains how widespread these showers can
become. Will just keep vicinity storms in the forecast for now until
it becomes more clear if these showers will become widespread.
Otherwise, stratus develops across both sites towards daybreak
bringing ceilings down below 2000 feet. VFR conditions slowly
return by mid-morning Saturday.

&&

.LBF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Power
AVIATION...Kulik

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
351 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-302100-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
351 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016 /251 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE AREA OF
CONCERN IS GENERALLY WEST OF A MERRIMAN TO BIG SPRINGS LINE.

THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL THEN SHIFT EASTWARD OVERNIGHT,
IMPACTING MAINLY EAST OF US-83 IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING. THE AREA OF CONCERN IS
GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM VALENTINE TO BREWSTER AND
OCONTO.

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY EVENING. THE AREA OF CONCERN IS
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM HAY SPRINGS TO
BROWNLEE AND ONEILL.

HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS WILL SET IN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HEAT INDICES
IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 ARE POSSIBLE. THE HEAT WAVE COULD
LAST INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

KULIK