Severe Thunderstorm Warning 158, NWS North Platte, NE

463 
WWUS53 KLBF 290227
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
827 PM MDT TUE JUN 28 2016

NEC101-135-290237-
/O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0158.000000T0000Z-160629T0230Z/
KEITH NE-PERKINS NE-
827 PM MDT TUE JUN 28 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN KEITH AND NORTHERN
PERKINS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM MDT...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM MDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4087 10205 4102 10205 4125 10176 4126 10127
      4085 10125
TIME...MOT...LOC 0226Z 325DEG 53KT 4135 10172 4096 10197 

$$

SNIVELY

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
635 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 304 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2016

H5 analysis from this morning has broad northwesterly
flow across the central CONUS. High pressure was located across
southern Colorado and over southeastern Utah. Embedded on the
periphery of this high a couple of shortwaves were noted. The first
over northwestern Arizona and a second over southeastern New Mexico.
North of the high, a nice shortwave was noted over the Idaho
panhandle. Across the eastern CONUS, a trough of low pressure
extended from eastern Ontario south into the upper Ohio Valley.
Little or no height falls were noted across the CONUS this morning
with the exception of the upper midwest where 50 to 90 meter falls
were noted over the eastern Great Lakes. At the surface, high
pressure was located over Minnesota and the eastern Dakotas.
Southwest of the high, southeast and southerly winds were noted
across western and north central Nebraska. An area of multi-cell
thunderstorms had bisected the forecast area today, and as of 3 PM
CDT, was exiting Custer county. Skies were clear to partly cloudy
and 3 PM CDT readings were in the 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 304 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2016

Surface based thunderstorms will develop across the northern
Nebraska panhandle and southwest South Dakota late this afternoon.
Initially supercells with large hail and damaging winds are
expected, with right storm motion to the SSE. Later this evening an
MCS should evolve with a bowing segment and damaging winds possible
across southwest Nebraska by mid evening. Farther east across north
central and central Nebraska, thunderstorm development will be
possible as well, but the most widespread activity will be across
western Nebraska closer to the shortwave aloft.

Expecting that an outflow boundary will be pushed well south of the
area Wednesday by tonight's MCS. This could limit the thunderstorm
potential some Wednesday afternoon. The most likely scenario will be
for development in the upslope favored areas of the Nebraska
panhandle, western South Dakota and eastern Wyoming during the late
afternoon. Shear supports some of these being severe. Other storms
aided by a shortwave aloft may form across southern South Dakota by
late afternoon as well, these could track into northern nebraska by
Wednesday evening.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 304 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2016

Mid term: Wednesday night through Friday: In the mid range,
thunderstorm chances are the main forecast concerns. For Wednesday
night, the shortwave currently over northwestern Arizona, will
rotate around the western periphery of the upper level high and will
cross northern Colorado on Wednesday. At the same time, a second
disturbance will track southeast from Montana and will approach the
western CWA Weds afternoon. The surface focus for thunderstorm
initiation will be somewhat in doubt though and will be dependent on
the strength and location of thunderstorms tonight and where the
boundaries lie down on Wednesday. There is some disagreement with
the GFS and NAM solutions this am on where the surface focus will
lie. The NAM has this boundary well south of the forecast area Weds,
which would favor location west and south of the forecast area for
the bulk of convection Weds night. In fact, the NAM this morning
lifts the Montana shortwave into northeastern Nebraska Weds night
and focuses the bulk of convection there while leaving the west dry.
The GFS soln is not as aggressive pushing the boundary west and south
and is preferred attm. That being said, have placed my highest pops
in the west and north for Weds night. On Thursday a reinforcing shot
of surface high pressure will build south into the Dakotas and
eastern Nebraska. This will keep the surface boundary locked down
across Kansas. Winds will be from the east on Thursday leading to
highs in the upper 70s to near 80. With the surface boundary well
south and west of the forecast area, precipitation chances will be
most favored in the south and west with dry conds expected in the
northeastern CWA. For Friday, the surface high will lift east into
Minnesota, switching the winds to the southeast, which will allow
the frontal boundary to lift north and east into the panhandle and
northeastern Colorado. Thunderstorm chances will expand east into
the remainder of the CWA for Friday/Friday Night as the frontal
boundary lifts onto the high plains of western Nebraska.

Long term: Saturday through Tuesday: A low amplitude pattern will
continue across the central CONUS through the weekend into next
week. This will facilitate an active weather pattern with periods of
showers and thunderstorms continuing. With the downstream pattern
becoming more zonal next week, warmer air will push into the region
from the swrn CONUS. This will allow highs to reach back into the
upper 80s lower 90s after highs in the lower to mid 80s this
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 635 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2016

Thunderstorms and severe weather should be numerous tonight along
and west of Valentine through Broken Bow. The forecast follows the
HRRR model which is the fastest and suggests storm activity could
be clear of the area by 10z. VFR is expected all areas thereafter
through 21z. Isolated thunderstorms are possible across northern
Nebrasksa west of Valentine from 21z onward.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 304 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2016

Minor flooding is occurring along the North Platte river
at Lewellen and a flood warning was issued earlier today. Minor
flooding is forecast to continue for the next 48 hours at Lewellen.
River levels along the North Platte river at North Platte will
remain elevated through the weekend. However, at this time, no
flooding is expected along the North Platte river at North Platte.

&&

.LBF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Buttler
SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Buttler
AVIATION...CDC
HYDROLOGY...Buttler

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
804 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-300115-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
804 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016 /704 PM MDT TUE JUN 28 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FROM PINE RIDGE AND VALENTINE
SOUTH THROUGH BIG SPRINGS...IMPERIAL AND STOCKVILLE. LARGE
HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA AS A FRONT STALLS ACROSS THE REGION. THE FRONT WILL
BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EACH DAY.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS NORTHWEST NEBRASKA AND THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE...ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM MERRIMAN TO OSHKOSH.

PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER WESTERN
NEBRASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
846 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 PM     HAIL             8 NNW GORDON            42.91N 102.26W
06/28/2016  M1.00 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

0643 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 WNW HAY SPRINGS       42.69N 102.71W
06/28/2016  E65.00 MPH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH

0705 PM     TSTM WND GST     12 S RUSHVILLE          42.54N 102.47W
06/28/2016  E65.00 MPH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            WINDS WERE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 60 TO 70 MPH.

0732 PM     TORNADO          8 N ASHBY               42.14N 101.93W
06/28/2016                   CHERRY             NE   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTS A TORNADO NORTH OF ASHBY

0734 PM     TORNADO          15 N ASHBY              42.24N 101.93W
06/28/2016                   CHERRY             NE   STORM CHASER

            VISIBLE 15 TO 20 MILES NORTH OF ASHBY. REPORT RELAYED BY
            DISPATCH.

0734 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 N ANTIOCH             42.13N 102.62W
06/28/2016  E70.00 MPH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            SHINGLES TORN OFF THE ROOF OF THE RESIDENTS.

0807 PM     HAIL             4 NW HYANNIS            42.04N 101.82W
06/28/2016  M1.00 INCH       GRANT              NE   PUBLIC

            70 MPH WIND DRIVEN HAIL

0807 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW HYANNIS            42.04N 101.82W
06/28/2016  E70.00 MPH       GRANT              NE   PUBLIC

            IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
            QUARTERS ALSO FELL.

0810 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 W HYANNIS             42.00N 101.86W
06/28/2016  E70.00 MPH       GRANT              NE   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

CCOLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
851 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     HAIL             14 S JOHNSTOWN          42.37N 100.06W
06/28/2016  M1.00 INCH       BROWN              NE   PUBLIC

&&

MOLDAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
855 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     TSTM WND GST     15 ENE OSHKOSH          41.49N 102.08W
06/28/2016  E75 MPH          GARDEN             NE   PUBLIC

            WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 MPH.

&&

MOLDAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
857 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

NEZ008-290230-
BROWN NE-
857 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL BROWN AND WESTERN
ROCK COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 856 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LONG PINE...OR NEAR AINSWORTH...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LONG PINE...HOFELD LAKE AND JONES LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4233 9967 4232 9987 4253 9986 4254 9968
TIME...MOT...LOC 0156Z 348DEG 16KT 4248 9978

SNIVELY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
902 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     TSTM WND GST     10 NE OSHKOSH           41.51N 102.21W
06/28/2016  E70 MPH          GARDEN             NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SOME TREE DAMAGE AT RESIDENCE. LARGE HAY BAILS BLOWN DOWN
            THE FIELD.

&&

BTAYLOR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
903 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     TSTM WND DMG     10 W BIG SPRINGS        41.06N 102.27W
06/28/2016                   DEUEL              NE   PUBLIC

            SEMI BLOW OVER NEAR EXIT 95 ON INTERSTATE 80

0850 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BIG SPRINGS             41.06N 102.07W
06/28/2016                   DEUEL              NE   PUBLIC

            POWER POLE AND LINES BLOWN DOWN IN BIG SPRINGS

&&

MOLDAN