Alert archive / Nebraska / River Flood Advisories in 2016

River Flood Advisory 5, NWS North Platte, NE

September 3, 2016Lincoln County, Nebraska

NWS North Platte, NE issued this river flood advisory at Sep 3, 2016, 8:22 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Nebraska. It took effect at Sep 4, 2016, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 3, 2016, 8:22 PM CDT (01:22 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 4, 2016, 1:00 AM CDT
Expired
Sep 10, 2016, 11:16 AM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS North Platte, NE
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Lincoln County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North Platte River at North Platte (NPTN1).

Action stage
5.5 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
6.5 ft
Major stage
7 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06693000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

907 
WGUS83 KLBF 040122
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
822 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...The National Weather Service in North Platte has issued a Flood 
Advisory for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Downstream releases from Lake McConaughy are causing the North Platte 
River to run near flood stage. This is expected through Thursday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-051322-
/O.NEW.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.160904T0600Z-160909T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
822 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016

The National Weather Service in North Platte has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* from late tonight to Thursday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 6.0 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

Roberg
11 follow-up statements
396 
WGUS83 KLBF 041401
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
901 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Downstream releases from Lake McConaughy are causing the North Platte 
River to run near flood stage. Expect elevated river levels through Thursday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-060201-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160909T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
901 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2016

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Thursday evening.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 6.0 feet by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

kulik
067 
WGUS83 KLBF 051524
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1024 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...

  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Due to releases from Lake McConaughy, the North Platte River at
North Platte is flowing near flood stage. The elevated river
level is expected to continue through the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-070324-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160909T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1024 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Thursday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain around 6.0 feet.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

Masek
502 
WGUS83 KLBF 060056
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
756 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

 ...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Downstream releases from Lake McConaughy are causing the North
Platte River to run near flood stage. Expect elevated river levels
through Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-071256-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160909T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
756 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Thursday evening.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 6.1 feet by tomorrow 
  evening and then fluctuate around 6.0 feet through Saturday.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$
675 
WGUS83 KLBF 061557
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1057 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Releases from Lake McConaughy are causing the North Platte River to 
run near flood stage. Expect river levels to remain near flood stage 
for the next several days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-080357-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160909T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1057 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 6.0 feet.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

Taylor
610 
WGUS83 KLBF 070134
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
834 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Releases from Lake McConaughy are causing the North Platte River to 
run near flood stage. Expect river levels to remain near flood stage 
for the next several days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-081334-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160909T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
834 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2016

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Thursday evening.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 6.0 feet through Sunday.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$
967 
WGUS83 KLBF 071616
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1116 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Releases from Lake McConaughy are causing the North Platte River to 
run near flood stage. Expect river levels to remain near flood stage 
for the next several days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-090000-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160909T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1116 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2016

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Further Notice.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 6.0 feet for the next several 
  days. 
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

Taylor
293 
WGUS83 KLBF 080125
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
825 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Releases from Lake McConaughy are causing the North Platte River to 
run near flood stage. Expect river levels to remain near flood stage 
for the next several days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-091325-
/O.EXT.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160913T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
825 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2016

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Monday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 6.1 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

ET
584 
WGUS83 KLBF 081521
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1021 AM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Releases from Lake McConaughy are causing the North Platte River to 
run near flood stage. Expect river levels to remain near flood stage 
for the next several days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-100321-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160913T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1021 AM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Monday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain steady around 6.0 feet over
  the next several days.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

Buttler
951 
WGUS83 KLBF 090129
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
829 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Releases from Lake McConaughy have caused the North Platte River to 
run near flood stage. Expect river levels to remain near flood stage 
through Saturday morning. A decrease in the releases from Lake
McConaughy tonight will cause river levels to fall below flood 
stage Saturday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-101329-
/O.EXT.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160911T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
829 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will stay near 6.0 feet through tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

ET
505 
WGUS83 KLBF 091441
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
941 AM CDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...The Flood Advisory continues for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.Releases from Lake McConaughy have caused the North Platte River to 
run near flood stage. Expect river levels to remain near flood stage 
through Saturday. A decrease in the releases from Lake McConaughy
tonight will cause river levels to fall below flood 
stage late Saturday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-110000-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160911T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
941 AM CDT FRI SEP 9 2016

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 6.0 feet through Saturday. 
  The river will begin to fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Minor flooding of low 
  lying and agricultural land begins along the north bank of the 
  North Platte River from Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of
  Highway 83 south of North River Road.  Minor water intrusions into 
  low lying areas of Cody Park in North Platte begins. People should 
  be cautioned against being in the water along the banks of the 
  river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$
367 
WGUS83 KLBF 101616
FLSLBF
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1116 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the North Platte River...
  North Platte River near North Platte affecting Lincoln County

.River levels along the North Platte River at North Platte have
fallen below flood stage and no additional flooding is expected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned for further developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
Radio, radio and television stations or online at 
www.weather.gov/northplatte.

&&

NEC111-101646-
/O.CAN.KLBF.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160911T0000Z/
/NPTN1.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1116 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  The North Platte River near North Platte.
* until this evening.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 5.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain steady around 5.6 feet by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 5.7 feet...Minor overflows of low lying and agricultural
  land begins along the north bank of the North Platte River from 
  Highway 83 to approximately 4 miles west of Highway 83 south of 
  North River Road. People should be cautioned against being in the 
  water along the banks of the river especially near Cody Park. 

&&

LAT...LON  4124 10087 4119 10087 4115 10075 4110 10069 
      4112 10064 4114 10067      

$$

Buttler

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Sep 3, 5:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 3, 5:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
555 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Sep 3 2016

Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to initiate across the
western Nebraska panhandle at this time. Thunderstorms are
expected to develop and move across the eastern Panhandle through
the remainder of the afternoon and into early evening and slowly
migrate into southwestern/southern Nebraska by late evening. At
this time northern and eastern portions of the forecast area are
expected to miss out on the thunderstorms. With plenty of
instability across the southwest portion of Nebraska, SPC has
recently put out a slight risk for this area. Severe storms will
definitely be possible as the evening progresses with large hail
and strong winds being the main concern. Showers diminish by early
morning with low temperatures dropping into the mid-60s.

Thunderstorm chances return on Sunday as a frontal system moves
across the northern plains. With most of the forecast area under
a slight risk on Sunday, severe storms are anticipated once again.
Best chances for thunderstorms will be after 18Z (1pm) as the
front slides across the region and surface heating reaches a
maximum. High temperatures on Sunday will rise into the upper 80s,
with locations mainly south of I-80 rising into the low 90s. One
limiting factor that could play a part on thunderstorm development
could be the cloud cover that is expected through much of Sunday.
If clouds stick around longer or are thicker than expected, the
lack of significant diurnal heating could inhibit thunderstorm
development or at least slow down the development of stronger or
severe storms.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Sep 3 2016

Sunday Night through Tuesday: Western and north central NE will be
under southwest flow aloft through the period. An amplified long
wave trough is positioned across the western CONUS while a ridge
is downstream over the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Lower
Great Lakes at the start of the period. The large scale pattern
aloft doesn't change too much during the period, over 48 hours,
though the upper trough will slowly moving east and the ridge will
build more over the Ohio and Tennessee valleys.

Rain showers and thunderstorms are expected to have developed and
be underway across portions of the forecast area at the start of
the period. A 500 hPa short wave trough within the southwesterly
flow moving from southern CO to south central SD Sunday will
help provide large scale ascent and steepen lapse rates,
especially mid-levels, across the forecast area. An inverted
surface trough will become positioned across NE CO-western NE-
south central SD at the start of the period, having deepened
during the day, and a dry line is expected to extend southward
from the trough through southwest NE as well. Wherein enhanced
convergence is expected and will help provide focus for
development, however, there is still some uncertainty in location
of these features and the evolution of the dry line based on
latest deterministic guidance with the NAM and GFS. The former
seems to better depict the dry line and its evolution as it mixes
east. Strong-severe thunderstorms are possible with large winds
and hail the primary threats. 0-6 km bulk shear of 35-40 kts
across portions of the area suggest multicells and some supercells
possible with respect to storm mode. SPC Day 2 Outlook has much of
the CWA in a SLGT risk area, this appears appropriate given the
overall severe weather parameter space and forcing.

Monday, risk of strong to severe storms will again be possible,
with the best chances across the eastern-third of the forecast
area. The aforementioned surface trough will move eastward with
its axis is expected to be over the southeast-third of the
forecast area extending from a lee side low in northeast CO. SPC
Day 3 Outlook has a portion of the forecast area, the northeast
quad, in a SLGT risk area with a marginal risk area present across
roughly the eastern-third of the forecast area. Sufficient
instability and surface convergence with the trough will provide
another opportunity for rain showers and thunderstorms though it
appears large scale forcing/ascent will not be as strong Monday
compared to Sunday. Another weak disturbance Tuesday will bring
increased chances for precipitation to portions of the forecast
area, mainly over north central NE and the extreme western portion
of the forecast area. Wherein, a trough and cold front will now be
near the extreme southern portion of the forecast area.

Monday should be unseasonable warm for much of the southern half
of the forecast area with seasonal normal values now in the lower
80s. Wherein, highs in the lower 90s are expected along and south
of Interstate 80, about 9-12 degrees above normal. Highs
elsewhere will be in the 80s. Above normal low temperatures are
expected Sunday Night and Monday Night with mid 50s-mid 60s and
lower 50s-mid 60s, respectively. Cooler high temperatures will
follow on Tuesday as cooler air pushes into the rest of the area
behind a cold front pushing southward Monday Night.

Tuesday Night through Saturday: Looking beyond Tuesday, high
temperatures will approach seasonal values with near normal
temperatures expected Thursday through Saturday. Highs Wednesday
will be mild with low to mid 80s expected. Deterministic guidance
have a decent amount of QPF forecast north of a surface
trough/front west to east across western and north central NE
Tuesday night as a disturbance aloft moves through in the
southwest flow. There is some uncertainty in the large scale
pattern with this and, while details are difficult to figure out
at this time, it's worth noting given the forecast location of
low-level frontal boundary, sufficient available moisture
(precipitable water ~1.25-1.75 inches west to east across north
central NE progged by 12Z GFS), and instability. Otherwise, there
are opportunities for slight chance-chance PoPs, mainly outside of
western NE, Wednesday and Thursday Night-Friday Night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 555 PM CDT Sat Sep 3 2016

Showers and thunderstorms will develop across the western and
southwestern forecast area this evening, but should remain
isolated in coverage. Any storms should remain outside the KLBF
vicinity and have no mention attm. will monitor colsely however.
Storms should remain south of KVTN and the only real impact will
be increasing clouds. Ceilings at both sites drop off below 2500
feet by 09Z- 10Z, with KLBF even dropping below 1000 feet by 14Z.
Increasing winds are expected at both terminals by mid Sunday
morning.

&&

.LBF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...ET
AVIATION...Roberg
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 3, 3:53 PM CDT, 4 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
353 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-042100-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
353 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016 /253 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER ALL WESTERN NEBRASKA. LOCATION FOR STRONGEST
STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN
NEBRASKA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
MOVES ACROSS THE DAKOTAS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EAST OF HIGHWAY 61 OR EAST OF A MERRIMAN TO IMPERIAL
LINE.

THE SEVERE RISK WILL SHIFT EAST INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE
AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM SPRINGVIEW TO BROKEN BOW.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

KULIK

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 3, 6:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
531 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016

NEZ022-056-040015-
GARDEN NE-DEUEL NE-
531 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GARDEN AND WESTERN
DEUEL COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM MDT...

AT 531 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR LODGEPOLE...OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHAPPELL...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHAPPELL AND MOUNT VERNON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN NEBRASKA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 78 AND
88.

LAT...LON 4136 10261 4137 10244 4105 10242 4105 10261
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 226DEG 16KT 4123 10264

SNIVELY
Special weather statement, Sep 3, 6:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
554 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016

NEZ004-040045-
SHERIDAN NE-
554 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SHERIDAN COUNTY
UNTIL 645 PM MDT...

AT 553 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES SOUTHEAST OF RED CLOUD CAMPGROUND...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HAY SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HAY SPRINGS...WALGREN LAKE STATE RECREATION AREA...INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 87 AND ANTELOPE ROAD AND INTERSECTION OF BEAVER CREEK ROAD
AND WHITE CLAY CREEK ROAD.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 74 AND 87.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4285 10253 4242 10251 4241 10275 4244 10275
      4244 10277 4278 10277 4279 10279 4284 10279
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 236DEG 11KT 4256 10286

SNIVELY
Special weather statement, Sep 3, 7:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
617 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016

NEZ022-035-056>058-040100-
GARDEN NE-DEUEL NE-KEITH NE-ARTHUR NE-PERKINS NE-
617 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARTHUR...SOUTHERN
GARDEN...EASTERN DEUEL...KEITH AND PERKINS COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM
MDT...

AT 616 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CRESCENT LAKE NWR TO 7 MILES WEST
OF LEMOYNE TO NEAR VENANGO. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OGALLALA...GRANT...OSHKOSH...BIG SPRINGS...BRULE...MADRID...
LEWELLEN...VENANGO...KINGSLEY DAM...ROSCOE...BARTON...KEYSTONE...
LEMOYNE...INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 27 AND 9 MILE ROAD...BELMAR...
GOLDENEYE STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...RACKETT...
LAKE VIEW CAMPGROUND...OTTER CREEK CAMPGROUND AND BRANDON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 55 AND 119.
 HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 115 AND 138.
 INTERSTATE 80 IN NEBRASKA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 98 AND 136.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4172 10254 4166 10186 4132 10153 4072 10151
      4071 10205 4100 10205 4101 10223
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 275DEG 29KT 4173 10240 4133 10194 4079 10207

ROBERG

The office that day

Everything else NWS North Platte, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 3, 7:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFGarden, Keith, Perkins43 min
Sep 4, 3:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFSheridan40 min
Sep 4, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase40 min
Sep 4, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Perkins35 min
Sep 4, 5:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFGarden45 min
Sep 4, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFDeuel, Garden, Keith, Perkins34 min
Sep 4, 6:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFSheridan39 min
Sep 4, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFSheridan49 min
Sep 4, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Garden, Keith24 min
Sep 4, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarden, Sheridan47 min
Sep 4, 6:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFSheridan49 min
Sep 4, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Grant42 min

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in Nebraska, 2016Every river flood advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.