High Surf Advisory 4, NWS JSJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
255 PM AST THU JAN 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN AS THE MAIN
WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ENTERING THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL INDUCE A
SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC OVER THE WEEKEND. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN NORTH OF
THE AREA ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS BY NEXT WEEK. MODERATE TRADES
WILL TRANSPORT PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM TIME TO TIME
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED TODAY ACROSS
ALL LOCAL ISLANDS. A FEW LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS WERE NOTED ACROSS
THE COASTAL ATLANTIC WATERS. HOWEVER...NO RAINFALL WAS DETECTED
OVER LAND AREAS AS OF 2 PM AST. MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
REMAIN AS THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...MAINTAINING DRY AIR ALOFT AND SUBSIDENCE CAP UNTIL AT
LEAST NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A GENERALLY DRY WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ONLY A FEW LIGHT TRADE WIND SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE USVI AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
DURING THE NIGHT TIME AND EARLY MORNING HOURS...FOLLOWED BY
LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE WESTERN AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
PR IN THE AFTERNOON. AS RIDGE ALOFT HOLDS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD OVER THE CARIBBEAN...POLAR TROFS AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS WELL
NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ISOLD SHRA DVLPG BTWN 19-22Z WRN INTERIOR PR WITH LCL MTN
OBSCURATIONS UNTIL ARND 15/02Z. EASTERLY FLOW 5 TO 15 KT...HIGHEST
ON THE COAST WITH LAND AND SEA BREEZE INFLUENCES. WINDS ALF BCM
WESTERLY ABV FL230. MAX WIND UP TO 50 KT AT FL400-450.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BETWEEN 5-7 FEET ACROSS
THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. THEREFORE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL CONTINUE IN
EFFECT FOR THOSE WATERS. NE SWELL IS SLOWLY SUBSIDING BUT STILL
WILL CREATE DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE OF ALL LOCAL ISLANDS. THEREFORE A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS CONTINUES IN EFFECT THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY EVENING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  74  85  72  86 /  10  10  10  20
STT  73  84  73  83 /  20  20  20  20

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR CULEBRA-
     MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHEAST-NORTHWEST-SAN
     JUAN AND VICINITY-SOUTHEAST-VIEQUES-WESTERN INTERIOR.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON FOR CULEBRA-
     MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHEAST-NORTHWEST-SAN
     JUAN AND VICINITY-SOUTHEAST-WESTERN INTERIOR.

VI...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR ST CROIX-ST.
     THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ST CROIX-
     ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS.

AM...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR ATLC WATERS OF
     PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF
     PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN
     PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND
     CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO
     RICO OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND
     EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL
     WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-COASTAL
     WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT
     10 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING FOR CARIBBEAN
     WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-COASTAL WATERS OF
     NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN
     USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN
     PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI
     VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-MONA PASSAGE
     SOUTHWARD TO 17N.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM AST FRIDAY FOR ANEGADA PASSAGE
     SOUTHWARD TO 17N-ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM
     10NM TO 19.5N.

&&

12/13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST THU JAN 14 2016

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-151000-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
600 AM AST THU JAN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

.RIP CURRENTS...THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
FOR THE NORTH FACING BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE NORTH
FACING BEACHES OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO AND CULEBRA. PLEASE REFER
TO THE RIP CURRENT STATEMENT AND THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE WILL BE A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE
NORTH FACING BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RIP CURRENTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-151000-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
600 AM AST THU JAN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

.RIP CURRENTS...THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
FOR ST. THOMAS...ST. JOHN AND ST. CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE NORTH
FACING BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE WILL BE A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE
NORTH FACING BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RIP CURRENTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN.