Alert archive / Kentucky / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Jackson, KY
NWS Jackson, KY issued this special weather statement at Jun 2, 2016, 6:13 PM EDT for Whitley County, Kentucky. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 2, 2016, 6:13 PM EDT (22:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 2, 2016, 6:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 32 min
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, KY
County Whitley County, KY
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 235 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 207 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -99 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 865 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 33 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 2, 4:29 PM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 4:29 PM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson KY 429 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night) Issued at 429 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016 The JKL forecast area remained largely devoid of precip until late afternoon. This was despite CAPE of 1-2K J/kg and no significant cap. The issue has been weak forcing/focusing, and the general scenario should continue. That being the case, it is a low confidence forecast for precip into tonight. There is still time for development to occur, and chance pops have been used for the late afternoon/evening time frame. Think that there will again be an overall decline in precip during the night. The weak frontal boundary well north of the Ohio River is expected to stall and become even more diffuse during the forecast period. What is left of it should remain nearby, without any meaningful change in our air mass occurring. That being the case, we will have a similar scenario for Friday and Friday night. Convection can be expected for some locations, mainly in the afternoon or evening, but pinning down the timing and location is too problematic. Our precipitable water will remain high (generally in the 1.5-1.75" range) and steering currents will be light. That being the case, if convection can get going with some minimal organization, locally heavy rainfall would be a concern. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 350 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016 The period will be met initially with muggy and unsettled weather, but we transition to cooler and drier conditions moving into early next week. Models remain in good agreement with the overall upper level patterns seen by the spaghetti plots. That said we begin the period Saturday with the upper level low positioned across the Western Great Lakes. This trough axis will extend south into the Southern Mississippi River Valley. This will all couple with weak waves and defuse front near by to lead to likely pops area wide Saturday afternoon into early Sunday. Right now severe parameters are weak, but heavy rain remains the primary threat through the weekend. This given PWATS remaining in the 1.5 to 1.7 range which nears plus 2 standard deviations above normal and deep warm cloud layer with freezing levels near to or greater than 12 KFT. Right now will hold off on any watches until we see how antecedent convection shapes up for the rest of the week. The trough will eventually progress east and sweep the front across the region later Sunday. We will then be met with generally broad cyclonic flow aloft for the remainder of the long term period. This will team up with a surface high pressure, and continue the trend of cooling temperatures and drying conditions across the Ohio and Tennessee Valley regions. The CIPS analog by Wednesday suggest little if any chance of greater than 90 degree temps east of the Mississippi River, with even eastern Kentucky seeing little signal for great than 80s by Wednesday. We do look to eventually warm back into the 80 by the end of next week, as wind come back around to west/southwest and 588mb ridge builds east. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon) ISSUED AT 234 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016 Only sparse showers were occurring at the start of the period. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected during the afternoon and evening, but confidence in timing and location of development is low. What activity there is should go through an overall decline by later in the evening. Overnight, breaks in the clouds along with a calm and moist air mass should allow fog to develop. Most places can expect IFR for a time by dawn. Fog will dissipate during the morning on Friday. && .JKL Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && SHORT TERM...HAL LONG TERM...DJ AVIATION...HAL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 4:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 435 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-031100- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO... JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD... IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON... MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG... BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE... PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN... PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN... JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY... PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON 435 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEY COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE A RISK IF SOME PLACES HAVE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HAL
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:16 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
516 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016
KYZ084-085-022145-
WHITLEY-MCCREARY-
516 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WHITLEY...MCCREARY...
AT 515 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER STRUNK...OR NEAR
WHITLEY CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILLIAMSBURG...WHITLEY CITY...REDBIRD...BON...BEULAH HEIGHTS...
HOLLYHILL...KRUPP...PINE KNOT...CUMBERLAND FALLS S.P....
MARSHES SIDING...HONEYBEE...CLIO...GOLDBUG...STRUNK...DUCKRUN...
STEARNS...BOUNTY...JELLICO CREEK...WOFFORD AND LIBERTY.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 12 AND 18.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 8450 3662 8455 3693 8440 3681 8411
3659 8430
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 208DEG 20KT 3665 8441
JMWSpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 6:13 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 613 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016 KYZ080-085-086-022245- LAUREL-KNOX-WHITLEY- 613 PM EDT THU JUN 2 2016 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LAUREL...KNOX...WHITLEY... AT 613 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER DEERING...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF WILLIAMSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DORTHAE...RYE...YOUNGS CREEK...MOORE HILL...FABER...WALDEN... BERTHA STATION...KEAVY...WILTON...ROSSLAND...WOODBINE...GRAY... ROCKHOLDS...NORTH CORBIN...CLIO...DEERING...GOLDBUG... BARTON AND CORBIN. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... INTERSTATE 75 IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 16 AND 31. U.S. HIGHWAY 25 EAST IN KNOX COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 22 AND 26. U.S. HIGHWAY 25 EAST IN LAUREL COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 2. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3679 8417 3685 8426 3705 8416 3693 8397 TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 211DEG 21KT 3687 8419 JMW
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 11:23 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | Fleming | 112 min |
| Jun 2, 5:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | McCreary | 29 min |
| Jun 2, 5:42 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | McCreary, Whitley | 3 hr |
| Jun 2, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | McCreary, Whitley | 31 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Kentucky, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.