Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Jackson, KY

140 
WWUS53 KJKL 162252
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
652 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

KYC199-231-162315-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160616T2315Z/
PULASKI KY-WAYNE KY-
652 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN PULASKI AND NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 652 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOMERSET...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...SCIENCE HILL...BURNSIDE...
PULASKI COUNTY PARK...NAOMI...FRAZER...DELTA...BENT...MILL SPRINGS...
GREGORY...FAUBUSH...SOMERSET PULASKI AIRPORT...BARRIER...KIDDER...
GENERAL BURNSIDE S.P....DENNEY...GRADE...STEUBENVILLE AND QUINTON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 80 IN PULASKI COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 17 AND
27.
 LOUIS B. NUNN PARKWAY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3692 8496 3696 8494 3695 8490 3700 8484
      3704 8486 3708 8483 3719 8461 3708 8431
      3706 8432 3704 8430 3702 8433 3700 8431
      3699 8435 3696 8436 3686 8459 3685 8461
      3681 8464 3677 8473 3676 8492 3688 8503
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 298DEG 40KT 3709 8465 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

GREIF

083 
WWUS53 KJKL 162303
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
703 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

KYC199-231-162315-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160616T2315Z/
PULASKI KY-WAYNE KY-
703 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN PULASKI AND NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 703 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ELIHU...OR
NEAR SOMERSET...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...BURNSIDE...FRAZER...DELTA...BENT...
MILL SPRINGS...GREGORY...SOMERSET PULASKI AIRPORT...BARRIER...
KIDDER...GENERAL BURNSIDE S.P....DENNEY...GRADE...STEUBENVILLE...
QUINTON...ELIHU...COOPER...RUTH AND TATEVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3692 8496 3696 8494 3695 8490 3700 8484
      3699 8462 3707 8462 3715 8449 3708 8431
      3706 8432 3704 8430 3702 8433 3700 8431
      3699 8435 3696 8436 3686 8459 3685 8461
      3681 8464 3677 8473 3676 8492 3688 8503
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 298DEG 40KT 3705 8456 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

GREIF

441 
WWUS53 KJKL 162312
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
712 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

KYC199-231-162322-
/O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160616T2315Z/
PULASKI KY-WAYNE KY-
712 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN PULASKI AND NORTHERN
WAYNE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
JACKSON KY.

LAT...LON 3692 8496 3696 8494 3695 8490 3700 8484
      3699 8462 3707 8462 3715 8449 3708 8431
      3706 8432 3704 8430 3702 8433 3700 8431
      3699 8435 3696 8436 3686 8459 3685 8461
      3681 8464 3677 8473 3676 8492 3688 8503
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 298DEG 40KT 3705 8456 

$$

GREIF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson KY
404 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 359 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

An upper level trough and associated surface low pressure system located
over Central Ohio continue their southeasterly track this
afternoon, bringing with them scattered showers and thunderstorms
as a cold front advances through the region. Substantial diabatic
heating in the presence of ample surface moisture have brought
about substantial destabilization with some regions in the area in
excess of 2500 J/kg of SBCAPE. The current instability combined
with 40 kts bulk shear is more than suitable for organized
convection, however the question still remains as to whether or
not forcing will be present to get storms going this afternoon.
Currently, short range models are forecasting most of the upper
level support to remain to the east, however as the cold front
advances south, convergence may be just enough to initiate
convection. Confidence in the convective forecast for this
afternoon to evening has been further muddled by a lack of run to
run consistency among the CAMs. That being said, the HRRR has
seemed to be a bit too quick to turn winds to the west ahead of
the cold front as noted by obs. If winds are able to stay out of
the southwest a bit longer, the potential for thunderstorms this
afternoon will likely increase as a result of enhanced low level
convergence. Overall, with the parameters in place, whatever
storms do form will have the potential to become severe with the
primary threat being strong winds and heavy rainfall.

As the cold front makes its way through the state through the
overnight hours, a calmer regime should begin to take hold as
ridging builds back into the region. While some showers and storms are
possible Friday afternoon, the cooler and drier air will inhibit
any notable thunderstorm activity. Otherwise calm and clear
weather with mild temperatures will set the stage for a pleasant
weekend.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 308 AM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

The weather during most of the extended period will be dominated
by a large ridge of high pressure that is expected to settle
across the CONUS east of the Mississippi River. According to the
current model data, this ridge will become entrenched across the
region through early next Tuesday. After the ridge finally weakens
and pushes off to our south and southeast, a weak cold front is
forecast to make its way across the Ohio and Tennessee valley
regions Tuesday through Wednesday. Instability will be limited
during this time, at least according to the latest model
soundings, so the forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday will feature
only a slight chance of thunder across the area. The precipitation
should exit the area by early Wednesday evening as the front
pushes across the area. The rest of the forecast after that
should be dry.

Temperatures during the period should run at or slightly above
normal, with day time highs in the 80s expected each day. Nightly
lows will vary between the 50s and 60s depending upon the amount
of night time cloud cover and wind.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 204 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

Cumulus and gusty southwest winds will be on the increase this
afternoon as an upper level disturbance and associated cold front
move south out of the Great Lakes region. Thunderstorms will
subsequently develop, with the best chances likely occurring at
KJKL/KSJS with KSYM also standing a noteworthy chance. Not
currently expecting high enough coverage to warrant prevailing
mention at any site. The storm threat will diminish this evening
as low stratus filters in from the northeast overnight, lowering
ceilings into the IFR/MVFR range. Could even see a period of LIFR
develop at KSJS and/or KJKL. Have left visibility reductions out
of the forecast for now given expected cooler/drier air advecting
south behind the front, but will monitor rainfall amounts near
sites through the evening, especially KSME nearer a larger source
of moisture. Drier air continuing to filter south should lead to
prevailing VFR conditions returning prior to 18Z Friday.

&&

.JKL Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...GOUDEAU/GUSEMAN
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...GUSEMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
412 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-172315-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
412 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. SOME OF THEM MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BEING
THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

HAL/GUSEMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
617 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

KYZ079-083-084-162315-
WAYNE-MCCREARY-PULASKI-
617 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WAYNE...MCCREARY...PULASKI...

AT 616 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
LIBERTY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOMERSET...WHITLEY CITY...SCIENCE HILL...BURNSIDE...
PULASKI COUNTY PARK...BEULAH HEIGHTS...NAOMI...FRAZER...DELTA...
MILL SPRINGS...FAUBUSH...SOMERSET PULASKI AIRPORT...MAGNUM...
KIDDER...GENERAL BURNSIDE S.P....GRADE...QUINTON...ELIHU...
GREENWOOD AND HOGUE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 80 IN PULASKI COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 17 AND
25.
 LOUIS B. NUNN PARKWAY

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3698 8486 3700 8484 3705 8491 3712 8490
      3723 8474 3704 8430 3702 8433 3700 8431
      3699 8435 3695 8437 3694 8430 3690 8432
      3686 8432 3684 8434 3683 8432 3681 8436
      3678 8435 3669 8446
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 301DEG 43KT 3727 8507

GREIF