Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
913 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

.UPDATE...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SQUALL LINE CONTINUING
EASTWARD PUSH OVER OUR FAR WESTERN COUNTIES WHILE GRADUALLY
WEAKENING. LARGE STRATIFORM AREA BEHIND LINE IS ALSO STARTING
TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE. LATEST HRRR CONTINUES TO SPREAD LARGE
AREA OF PRECIP ACROSS FORECAST AREA 02Z-08Z...WHICH MAY BE A
BIT OVERDONE AS WE COULD SEE GREATER DECREASE IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY AS ACTIVITY MOVES OVER MORE STABLE AREA IN
THE EASTERN HALF OF OUR GA COUNTIES. HAVE ADJUSTED HOURLY POP
TREND TO REFLECT HIGH VALUES OVER THE WESTERN PART OF FORECAST
AREA NEXT FEW HOURS... THEN SPREADING EAST AND SOUTHEAST...WHILE
GRADUALLY DECREASING IN COVERAGE.

SCATTERED T-STORMS DEVELOPED...POSSIBLY WITH SOME HAIL...OVER OUR
SE COUNTIES EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT IS ALSO ON WEAKENING TREND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING...BUT DECREASE TO MVFR
AS AREA OF SHOWERS/ISOLATED TSRA SPREADS IN LATER TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...SURFACE HIGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT TO THE WEST WILL MAINTAIN MOSTLY S TO SE WINDS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT EXTENDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE FRONT STALLS OVER
THE AREA. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO SCEC CRITERIA OFFSHORE TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND MODERATE RISK
FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  64  79  64  76 /  80  70  40  40
SSI  64  76  64  73 /  60  70  40  50
JAX  65  83  66  77 /  60  60  40  50
SGJ  66  83  67  76 /  60  60  40  40
GNV  65  82  67  78 /  80  60  50  50
OCF  65  82  67  81 /  60  60  40  50

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

WOLF/GUILLET/WALKER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
318 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-251930-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-
BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
318 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND
TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
ASSOCIATED WITH A MEANDERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

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