Frost Advisory 4, NWS Jacksonville, FL

933 
WWUS72 KJAX 141329
NPWJAX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
829 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016


FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-141430-
/O.CAN.KJAX.FR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160214T1400Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JASPER...JENNINGS...WHITE SPRINGS...
LIVE OAK...LAKE CITY...WATERTOWN...MACCLENNY...LAKE BUTLER...
STARKE...TRENTON...GAINESVILLE
829 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE
FROST ADVISORY. 


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
151 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT...CLEAR AND COOL CONDITIONS TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NW. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE TONIGHT WITH WINDS DROPPING OVER INLAND AREAS. THIS WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S OVER SE GA AND THE
SUWANNEE VALLEY. A LIGHT BRIEF FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THOSE
AREAS WITH PATCHY INLAND FROST EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL
STAY UP AND BECOME ONSHORE ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S NEAR THE WATER.

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES ON SUNDAY AND OFF THE EAST COAST MONDAY. AN
INVERTED TROUGH WILL FORM ALONG THE SE COAST WITH INCREASING NE
WINDS AND MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS ON SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE OF COASTAL SHOWERS LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL RISE TO ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY AS INVERTED TROUGH BREAKS
DOWN AND WINDS VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTH. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE
LOW 50S NORTH TO LOW 60S SOUTH ON SUNDAY...WARMING INTO UPPER 60S
AND LOWER 70S MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BASE OF
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THROUGH TUESDAY DRIVING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD GIVE US A QUICK SHOT
OF RAIN ON TUESDAY. AFTER THAT THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION. THIS HIGH SHOULD
BRING A NORTHEASTERLY FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION INTO FRIDAY. AS
THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY HEAD OF THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM AND A DRY FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
NEXT SUNDAY.

OVERALL TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT WEEK
AND OTHER THAN TUESDAY CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...CLEAR SKIES WITH DECREASING WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT. STRATOCUMULUS WILL INCREASE ALONG THE EAST COAST EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING AFTER 10Z WITH MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND INVERTED TROUGH FORMING
OVER THE WATERS WILL PRODUCE NE WINDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AND SEAS. WILL STILL GO WITH SCEC
HEADLINE FOR TONIGHT. WINDS WILL VEER AROUND TO SOUTH ON MONDAY AS
HIGH AND TROUGH WEAKEN. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS
BRINGING RAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AS WINDS
SHIFT TO THE NW. ADVISORY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE OFFSHORE MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK BECOMING MODERATE ON SUNDAY AS WINDS
BECOME ONSHORE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  31  55  42  70 /   0   0  10  20
SSI  35  52  44  65 /   0  10  30  10
JAX  36  57  47  71 /   0  10  30  20
SGJ  40  59  52  70 /   0  20  20  20
GNV  34  63  47  72 /   0   0  10  10
OCF  37  66  50  74 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

ZIBURA/SANDRIK/GUILLET

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
228 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-140900-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-
BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
228 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA... SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER OVER INLAND AREAS THIS AFTERNOON
DUE TO BREEZY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.

A LIGHT INLAND FREEZE WITH PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.