River Flood Warning 86, NWS Jackson, MS

984 
WGUS84 KJAN 310159
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
859 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-010759-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.160401T1640Z-160404T2024Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.160401T1640Z.160402T1200Z.160404T1424Z.NO/
859 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Friday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast....Over 2 inches of rainfall is predicted over the
  next 24 hours which will cause the river to rise above flood 
  stage by early Friday afternoon and will continue to rise to
  near 25.7 feet by Saturday morning. 
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land and agriculture land near the creek
  is flooded.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  15.0 Wed 08 PM  15.2  21.6  25.7  25.7 07 AM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-010758-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0086.160401T1657Z-160404T2015Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.160401T1657Z.160402T1200Z.160404T1415Z.NO/
859 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* from Friday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...Over 2 inches of rainfall is predicted over the
  next 24 hours which will cause the river to rise above flood 
  stage by early Friday afternoon and will continue to rise to
  near 29.6 feet by Saturday morning. 
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Farm land near the river begins to flood.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land near the river is flooded.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26   7.8 Wed 08 PM   8.7  24.1  29.6  29.6 07 AM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$

743 
WGUS84 KJAN 311456
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
956 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
for these points. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-012056-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.160401T1500Z-160404T2125Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.160401T1500Z.160402T1200Z.160404T1525Z.NO/
956 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Friday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 26.3 feet by Saturday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land and agriculture land near the creek
  is flooded.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  15.2 Thu 09 AM  22.4  26.3  25.3  26.3 07 AM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-012055-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0086.160401T2242Z-160404T0916Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.160401T2242Z.160402T1800Z.160404T0316Z.NO/
956 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* from Friday afternoon to late Sunday night.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 28.7 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Farm land near the river begins to flood.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land near the river is flooded.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26   8.2 Thu 09 AM  19.7  28.5  28.1  28.7 01 PM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$

059 
WGUS84 KJAN 010126
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
826 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-020726-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0080.160401T1648Z-160404T2024Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.160401T1648Z.160402T1200Z.160404T1424Z.NO/
826 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Friday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 25.6 feet by Saturday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  17.4 Thu 07 PM  21.8  25.6  24.8  25.6 07 AM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-020726-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0086.160402T1255Z-160403T1330Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.160402T1255Z.160402T1800Z.160403T0730Z.NO/
826 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* from Saturday morning to Sunday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 27.1 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land near the river is flooded.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  10.5 Thu 08 PM  15.4  25.8  25.1  27.1 01 PM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$

037 
WGUS84 KJAN 011435
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
935 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-011505-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160404T2024Z/
/TBBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee.
* At  8:30 AM Friday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 22.5 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  19.2 Fri 08 AM  22.4  22.2  20.9  22.5 01 PM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-011505-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-160403T1330Z/
/MCNM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Noxubee River At Macon.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 23.2 feet this
  evening.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  20.6 Fri 09 AM  22.6  18.3  15.4              


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
435 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASING FOR LATE TODAY
INTO THURSDAY...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...THE PRIMARY CONCERN
WILL BE A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WITH A FLOOD AND SEVERE WEATHER RISK
FOR THE PERIOD. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A LARGE UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE WESTERN US WITH AN ASSOCIATED CLOSED LOW NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUING TO
DEEPEN OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. IT WILL SEND AN UPPER JET WITH BROAD
DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION FOR THE PERIOD. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES
WILL BRING MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. MODELS HINT THAT FOR TODAY WINDS MAY COME CLOSE TO
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE NORTHWEST DELTA FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING. PUT IN SOME GUSTY WINDS IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE WILL
LOOK AT THE PARAMETER FOR SEVERE AND FLOODING ISSUES.

SEVERE RISK...THE MODELS HAVE SLOWED DOWN THE TIMING OF THE
CONVECTION CROSSING THE CWA FOR TODAY WITH THE LOW LEVEL CAP IN
PLACE TO LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL UNTIL THIS EVENING. MODEL SOUNDINGS
LOOK RATHER INTENSE WITH SOME IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS FOR
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO EARLY THURSDAY. STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL
AID IN BRINGING MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS INTO THE CWA ALONG WITH
STRONG CONVECTION. STRONG TORNADO PARAMETERS ARE SHOWING 4 PLUS
VALUES ACROSS THE REGION FOR TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. LOW
LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE ON THE STRONG SIDE. SPC HAS PUT PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN AREA INTO THE ENHANCED RISK FOR TONIGHT. MIXED LAYER
INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH FOR THE RISK OF TORNADOES,
DAMAGING WINDS, AND A LOWER END HAIL RISK. SO WILL ADD A SIGNIFICANT
RISK TO THE HWO FOR A FEW TORNADOES COULD BE STRONG FOR TONIGHT WHICH
WILL MATCH WELL WITH THE HATCHED AREA PER DAY 1 SPC OUTLOOK. SOME OF
THE HIRES GUIDANCE SHOWED AN INTENSE LINE CROSSING THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. A BRIEF LULL IN THE ACTIVITY WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR THURSDAY MORNING. THE SECOND ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED
FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE AID OF THE MID TO UPPER
LEVEL JET DYNAMICS. THERE WILL BE MUCH BETTER INSTABILITY FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODELS HAVE INCREASED THE SHEAR IN
THE LOW LEVELS WITH THE 00Z RUN FOR INCREASED TORNADO POTENTIAL. SPC
HAS PUT THE REGION UNDER AN ENHANCED RISK WITH THE ADDED RISK OF
TORNADOES. SO HAVE ADDED THE TORNADO RISK TO THE HWO FOR THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT COMING THROUGH. MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOWS THAT THE FLOW WILL BECOME UNIDIRECTIONAL AS WE PUSH
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...EVENTUALLY ENDING THE TORNADO RISK.

FLOOD RISK...FOR TONIGHT A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL FEED RICH THETA
E RIDGE AIR INTO THE REGION WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AROUND 50-
60 KNOTS. PWATS WILL BE APPROACHING 2 INCHES WITH STRONG UPPER
DIVERGENCE OVER THE CWA. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
HEAVY CONVECTION MOVING OVER THE REGION FOR MAINLY TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THAT OCCURRED EARLIER
THIS MONTH OVER MUCH OF THE ARKLAMISS DELTA, THE GROUND IS QUITE
SATURATED. IN FACT, LARGE AREAS OF STANDING WATER REMAIN OUTSIDE OF
ONGOING RIVER FLOODING AREAS. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AROUND 2 TO 5
INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE CWA. LATEST HI-RES MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
OVER 6 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.  GIVEN ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND THE
EXPECTATION FOR MULTIPLE INCHES OF RAIN, THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT IS
ELEVATED ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA AND PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE
DELTA. A SIGNIFICANT THREAT MAY NEED TO BE INTRODUCED IN FUTURE
FORECAST PACKAGES IF CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN HIGHER END
RAINFALL TOTALS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND MAY HAVE TO BE
EXPANDED AT A LATER TIME./17/

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...CONVECTION ONGOING AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD SHOULD BE MAKING ITS WAY TO THE SOUTHEASTERN
PART OF THE FORECAST AREA AS THE SFC FRONT PUSHES ITS WAY INTO THE
DELTA REGION. WHILE CONVECTION MAY NOT BE THE STRONGEST OF THE
NIGHT...THERE DOES REMAIN SOME SMALL POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS EARLY BEFORE THE FRONT COMPLETELY MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
INSTABILITY PER THE ECMWF LOOKS SUFFICIENT AS MUCAPE WILL BE AROUND
800J/KG AND SBCAPE WILL BE AROUND 400J/KG. WHILE LOWER LEVEL SHEAR
DOESNT LOOK IMPRESSIVE FOR TORNADOES...THERE REMAINS DECENT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR OF AROUND 40-50KTS. LAPSE RATES REMAIN SOLID WITH MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7.5C/KM AND VERTICAL TOTALS AROUND
28C...WHICH MAY RESULT IN A HAIL AND SOME WIND THREAT VERY EARLY IN
THE PERIOD FOR A FEW HOURS. THIS THREAT WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST AS
THE FRONT MAKES ITS SLOW TREK THAT WAY. HOWEVER MODELS CONTINUE TO
SLOW THE FRONT/STALL IT JUST SOUTH OF MY CWA THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
ECMWF HAS IT MUCH CLOSER TO MY CWA WHILE THE GFS IS FASTER IN MOVING
IT COMPLETELY THROUGH. IT ISN'T UNTIL A SFC LOW DEVELOPS AND RIDES
NORTHEAST ALONG IT ACROSS SOUTHERN LA/MS/AL THAT IT BEGINS TO PUSH
FURTHER EAST LATER FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING. THIS WILL KEEP SOME
RAIN/STORMS CHANCES IN MY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EARLY PARTS OF
FRIDAY...BUT MOST OF THIS SHOULD BE POST FRONTAL BEYOND THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. CURRENT DAY 3 SPC OUTLOOK PUTS A VERY SMALL PART OF MY
SOUTHEAST IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR THIS STORM POTENTIAL NOTED ABOVE.
GIVEN HOW ACTIVE THE AREA WILL BE IN THE SHORT TERM...WILL HOLD OFF
ON MENTIONING THIS IN THE HWO/GRAPHICS AT THIS TIME AND WILL
REEVALUATE ADDING IT IF THESE TRENDS CONTINUE.

THE FRONT FINALLY PUSHES FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE GULF SATURDAY AND
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH THROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MODELS DIFFER IN HOW
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE BETWEEN RIDGING PER THE GFS AND SOME
COMBO OF ZONAL/NORTHWEST FLOW PER THE ECMWF BUT OVERALL NO MAJOR
WEATHER SYSTEMS LOOK TO MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD. THIS WILL LEAD TO DRY WEATHER(WHICH WILL COME AS A HAPPY
BREAK FOR MANY). TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY PLEASANT WITH HIGHS
MOSTLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CHANGE TO MVFR
CONDITIONS FROM WEST TO EAST FROM EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT AS CLOUD CEILINGS LOWER IN ADVANCE OF AN INCOMING WEATHER
DISTURBANCE. EXPECT RAIN AND STORMS TO COME IN LATE TODAY INTO
TONIGHT...AT WHICH POINT IFR CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
COMMON...ALTHOUGH WITH TYPICAL AVIATION DANGERS FROM POWERFUL
SPRINGTIME STORMS. MAY GET A LOW STRATUS AND FOG COMBO FOR KHBG.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH FOR TODAY./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       78  66  79  58 /  44  86  96  82
MERIDIAN      78  64  78  58 /  28  75  95  83
VICKSBURG     78  68  79  55 /  60  90  94  67
HATTIESBURG   78  67  81  63 /  30  71  91  77
NATCHEZ       78  68  79  58 /  57  82  98  71
GREENVILLE    76  65  78  52 /  73 100  92  56
GREENWOOD     77  65  79  52 /  61 100  92  79

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-025>042-047.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

17/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
610 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-
040>042-047-311115-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
WARREN-
610 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING TO THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
THEREFORE...AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS OVER THE
ARKLAMISS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE TIME PERIOD FOR TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME. A FEW
TORNADOES MAY BE STRONG.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS
AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS PROLONGED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED. THEREFORE...AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS OVER
THE ARKLAMISS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE TIME PERIOD FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS
AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS PROLONGED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

LAZ024-026-MSZ028>033-037>039-311115-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
610 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING TO THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
THEREFORE...AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS OVER THE
ARKLAMISS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE TIME PERIOD FOR TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS
AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS PROLONGED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED. THEREFORE...AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS OVER
THE ARKLAMISS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE TIME PERIOD FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS
AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS PROLONGED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

MSZ043>046-048>051-053>055-059>062-311115-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
610 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING TO THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
THEREFORE. AN LIMITED THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS OVER THE ARKLAMISS
TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE TIME PERIOD FOR TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS
AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS PROLONGED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED. THEREFORE...AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS OVER
THE ARKLAMISS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE TIME PERIOD FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS
AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS PROLONGED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)
D

MSZ052-056>058-063>066-072>074-311115-
LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
610 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING TO THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
THEREFORE...AN LIMITED THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS OVER THE ARKLAMISS
TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE TIME PERIOD FOR TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS
AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS PROLONGED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED. THEREFORE...AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS OVER
THE ARKLAMISS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE TIME PERIOD FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS
AND OUTLOOKS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS PROLONGED
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!