Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 48, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Mar 10, 2016, 1:16 PM CST for Madison Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Mar 10, 2016, 8:24 PM CST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 10, 2016, 1:16 PM CST (19:16 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 10, 2016, 8:24 PM CST
- Expired
- Mar 11, 2016, 8:51 PM CST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Major
County Madison Parish, LA
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tensas River at Tendal (TDGL1). The gauge peaked at 24.35 ft at Mar 12, 2016, 8:00 PM CST.
- Action stage
- 24 ft
- Minor stage
- 25 ft
- Moderate stage
- 26 ft
- Major stage
- 27 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07369500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
786
WGUS44 KJAN 101916
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
116 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Louisiana...
Tensas River At Tendal affecting Madison Parish
Tensas River At Clayton affecting Catahoula...Concordia and Tensas
Parishes
Bayou Macon Near Como affecting Franklin Parish
Boeuf River Near Alto affecting Richland Parish
Synopsis...
An upper low pressure continues to meander over northern
Mexico this morning. This low is producing a southerly fetch
at all levels of the atmosphere in the hydrologic service area.
This is continuing to pump in a moisture rich airmass into
the region. The upper low will make a slow eastward progress
into Texas and a series of upper disturbances will rotate around
producing multiple waves of convection over the service area.
The orientation of convective systems will allow for training
over the areas. Flash flooding will be a problem and significant
river flooding can be expected especially across South Mississippi.
Western portions of the area has already experieced extreme flash
flooding and near record small stream and river flooding. Weather
Prediction Center forecast rainfall for the next 72 hours show
an additional 4 to 8 inches over western portions of region.
South Mississippi can expect 3 to 7 inches while Central and East
Mississppi can expect 2 to 5 inches.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC065-120116-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0048.160311T0224Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDGL1.3.ER.160311T0224Z.160312T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
116 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tensas River At Tendal
* from this evening until further notice.
* At 11:30 AM Thursday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening
and will continue to rise to near 30.5 feet by Saturday evening.
This crest exceeds the May of 1991 flood.
* Impact...River is spilling over it banks and will flood areas
not affected since 1991.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Tensas River
Tendal 25 19.1 Thu 11 AM 28.7 30.4 30.3 30.5 06 PM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3224 9148 3240 9143 3254 9139 3254 9131
3254 9121 3224 9127
$$
LAC025-029-107-120116-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0049.160313T1700Z-000000T0000Z/
/CYNL1.1.ER.160313T1700Z.160313T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
116 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tensas River At Clayton
* from Sunday afternoon until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 39.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 55.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Sunday afternoon. This crest is the highest the river has been
since 1991.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lowland and agricultural flooding is
occurring in areas not protected by levees.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Tensas River
Clayton 55 39.2 Thu 11 AM 43.3 50.1 54.8 55.0 06 PM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3173 9174 3180 9164 3194 9165 3189 9150
3170 9151 3160 9170
$$
LAC041-120116-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0050.160311T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/COGL1.1.ER.160311T1200Z.160312T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
116 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Bayou Macon Near Como
* from Friday morning until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 50.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 62.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
morning and will continue to rise to near 65.0 feet by early
Saturday afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest exceeds the previous crest of 64.5 feet
on Sep 5 2008 which occurred when Gustav moved across NE Louisiana.
* Impact...At 65.0 feet...Widespread flooding of farm and agricultural
land is occurring. Several thousand acres are inundated by the bayou
not including stand water from the heavy rainfall.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring along
and near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Bayou Macon River
Como 62 50.2 Thu 11 AM 62.0 65.0 65.0 65.0 12 PM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3201 9170 3240 9157 3240 9143 3225 9148
3201 9155 3194 9165
$$
LAC083-120116-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALGL1.1.ER.160310T0413Z.160310T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
116 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Boeuf River Near Alto.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 28.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is near crest and should begin to fall
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.2 feet
on May 28 1995.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Minor lowland and agricultural flooding is
occurring along and near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Boeuf River
Alto 25 29.7 Thu 11 AM 26.8 25.5 25.5 Near Crest
&&
LAT...LON 3212 9202 3233 9206 3265 9177 3259 9162
3230 9185 3218 9184
$$3 follow-up statements
135
WGUS84 KJAN 110408
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1008 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Tensas River At Clayton affecting Catahoula...Concordia and Tensas
Parishes
Bayou Macon Near Como affecting Franklin Parish
Tensas River At Tendal affecting Madison Parish
Boeuf River Near Alto affecting Richland Parish
Boeuf River Near Fort Necessity affecting Franklin Parish
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC065-121008-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDGL1.3.ER.160311T1324Z.160312T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1008 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tensas River At Tendal
* until further notice.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
morning and will continue to rise to near 30.5 feet by Saturday
morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and
farmland become inundated.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Tensas River
Tendal 25 21.9 Thu 09 PM 24.6 30.5 29.2 30.5 06 AM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3224 9148 3240 9143 3254 9139 3254 9131
3254 9121 3224 9127
$$
LAC025-029-107-121008-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.160313T1700Z-160316T0800Z/
/CYNL1.1.ER.160313T1700Z.160313T1700Z.160315T1700Z.NO/
1008 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tensas River At Clayton
* from Sunday afternoon to late Tuesday night.
* At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 42.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 55.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lowland and agricultural flooding is
occurring in areas not protected by levees.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Tensas River
Clayton 55 42.1 Thu 09 PM 43.3 50.0 54.9 55.0 06 PM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3173 9174 3180 9164 3194 9165 3189 9150
3170 9151 3160 9170
$$
LAC041-121008-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0050.160311T2334Z-000000T0000Z/
/COGL1.1.ER.160311T2334Z.160313T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1008 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Bayou Macon Near Como
* from Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 55.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 62.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
afternoon and will continue to rise to near 65.0 feet by Saturday
evening.
* Impact...At 65.0 feet...Widespread flooding of farm and agricultural
land is occurring. Several thousand acres are inundated.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring along
and near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Bayou Macon River
Como 62 55.0 Thu 09 PM 58.4 64.4 65.0 65.0 06 PM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3201 9170 3240 9157 3240 9143 3225 9148
3201 9155 3194 9165
$$
LAC083-121008-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALGL1.1.ER.160310T0413Z.160311T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1008 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Boeuf River Near Alto
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Minor lowland and agricultural flooding is
occurring along and near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Boeuf River
Alto 25 30.3 Thu 09 PM 26.3 25.3 25.6
&&
LAT...LON 3212 9202 3233 9206 3265 9177 3259 9162
3230 9185 3218 9184
$$
LAC041-121007-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NECL1.3.ER.160310T1839Z.160318T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1008 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Boeuf River Near Fort Necessity
* until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 50.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 50.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 63.5 feet by
Friday morning.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet...Extensive flooding of farm and agricultural
lands are occurring. Thousands of acres are underwater.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Several thousand acres of farm and
agricultural land are inundated.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Boeuf River
Fort Necessity 50 50.6 Thu 08 PM 51.4 54.9 57.1 63.5 06 AM 03/18
&&
LAT...LON 3186 9180 3196 9192 3205 9201 3212 9202
3218 9184 3195 9179
$$944
WGUS84 KJAN 111707
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1107 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Tensas River At Tendal affecting Madison Parish
Tensas River At Clayton affecting Catahoula...Concordia and Tensas
Parishes
Bayou Macon Near Como affecting Franklin Parish
Boeuf River Near Alto affecting Richland Parish
Boeuf River Near Fort Necessity affecting Franklin Parish
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC065-122307-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDGL1.3.ER.160311T2315Z.160312T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1107 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tensas River At Tendal
* until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this
afternoon and will continue to rise to near 27.0 feet by early
tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and
farmland become inundated.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Tensas River
Tendal 25 23.3 Fri 10 AM 27.0 26.6 26.2 27.0 12 PM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3224 9148 3240 9143 3254 9139 3254 9131
3254 9121 3224 9127
$$
LAC025-029-107-122306-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.160313T1100Z-000000T0000Z/
/CYNL1.1.ER.160313T1100Z.160313T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1107 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tensas River At Clayton
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 44.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 55.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lowland and agricultural flooding is
occurring in areas not protected by levees.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Tensas River
Clayton 55 44.4 Fri 10 AM 49.9 55.0 55.0 55.0 06 AM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3173 9174 3180 9164 3194 9165 3189 9150
3170 9151 3160 9170
$$
LAC041-122306-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0050.160312T1124Z-000000T0000Z/
/COGL1.1.ER.160312T1124Z.160313T1100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1107 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Bayou Macon Near Como
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 58.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 62.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow
and will continue to rise to near 64.5 feet by early Sunday
afternoon.
* Impact...At 65.0 feet...Widespread flooding of farm and agricultural
land is occurring. Several thousand acres are inundated.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring along
and near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Bayou Macon River
Como 62 58.1 Fri 10 AM 62.1 64.5 64.5 64.5 12 PM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3201 9170 3240 9157 3240 9143 3225 9148
3201 9155 3194 9165
$$
LAC083-122306-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALGL1.3.ER.160310T0413Z.160312T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1107 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Boeuf River Near Alto
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 30.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.1 feet by this
evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Minor lowland and agricultural flooding is
occurring along and near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Boeuf River
Alto 25 30.6 Fri 10 AM 30.4 28.3 28.5 31.1 06 PM 03/11
&&
LAT...LON 3212 9202 3233 9206 3265 9177 3259 9162
3230 9185 3218 9184
$$
LAC041-122306-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NECL1.3.ER.160310T1839Z.160318T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1107 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Boeuf River Near Fort Necessity
* until further notice.
* At 5:00 AM Friday the stage was 51.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 50.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 63.5 feet by
early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet...Extensive flooding of farm and agricultural
lands are occurring. Thousands of acres are underwater.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Several thousand acres of farm and
agricultural land are inundated.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Boeuf River
Fort Necessity 50 51.0 Fri 05 AM 55.0 57.2 58.8 63.5 12 PM 03/18
&&
LAT...LON 3186 9180 3196 9192 3205 9201 3212 9202
3218 9184 3195 9179
$$850
WGUS84 KJAN 120251
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
851 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Louisiana...
Tensas River At Tendal affecting Madison Parish
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC065-120321-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160312T0251Z/
/TDGL1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Tensas River At Tendal.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 24.2 feet
tomorrow evening.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Tensas River
Tendal 25 23.6 Fri 07 PM 24.0 22.0 19.3 24.2 06 PM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3224 9148 3240 9143 3254 9139 3254 9131
3254 9121 3224 9127
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 10, 11:03 AM CST, 2 hours 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 11:03 AM CST, 2 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1103 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016
.UPDATE...
MOISTURE SURGE/HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER THE AREA WITH THE SAME
AREA THAT HAS HAD DANGEROUS FLOODING OVER THE LAST 48 HOURS. SOME
AREAS HAVE SEEN BETWEEN A TOTAL OF TEN TO SEVENTEEN INCHES IN
NE LA AND SE AR...WHICH HAS RESULTED IN WATER ACROSS NUMEROUS ROADS
AND IN HOMES AND BUSINESSES. NUMEROUS WATER RESCUES AND EVACUATIONS
WERE ONGOING IN THE ARKLAMISS DELTA AND IN SOME CASES A LIFE-
THREATENING SITUATION IN THOSE AREAS.
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER NRN MEXICO...SURGING VERY ANOMALOUS
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. UPPER JET OVER THE SRN MS VALLEY IS HELPING
MAINTAIN DYNAMIC LIFT OVER THE REGION WHILE THE UPPER LOW IS CUTOFF
AND STALLED OVER NRN MEXICO. WITH CONVECTION ORIENTED IN AN N/NE
FASHION AND MORE FEEDING INTO THE REGION...EXPECT SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING THREAT TO CONTINUE. DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ONGOING
AND POSSIBLE AND ADDITIONAL 2-5 INCHES IN FAR NE LA AND SE AR...WENT
AHEAD AND INTRODUCED AN EXTREME THREAT AREA IN SE AR/NW MS AND NE LA AS
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR ONGOING. ADDING ANOTHER 2-5
INCHES ON TOP OF WHAT IS ONGOING WILL ONLY MAKE THE SITUATION MORE
DANGEROUS. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS ALSO EXTENDED FURTHER E INTO
GRENADA...MONTGOMERY...CARROLL...HOLMES TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME RAINFALL
THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS AND MORE IN STORE
BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. ADJUSTED QPF TO ACCOUNT
FOR CURRENT ORIENTATION OF LINE OF STORMS MOVING TO THE NE TO HAVE
HIGHEST QPF JUST W OF I-55. STILL EXPECT THIS MOISTURE/STORMS TO
SURGE E BUT MAY BE SLIGHTLY SLOWER CLOSER TO 18-20Z BEFORE MAKING
NEAR OR JUST E OF THE I-55 CORRIDOR. SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES TODAY
AND TONIGHT. MOST OF THE AREAS IN THE NW DELTA AND NE LA/SE AR ARE
WORKED OVER AND STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED BUT FURTHER E...AS
SHOWN WITH QLCS DEVELOPING CURRENTLY...BEST SEVERE THREAT IS DAMAGING
WINDS WHERE LINE CAN ORIENT MORE PERPINDICULAR TO THE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR. A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THESE BOWING STRUCTURES. STILL
BOTTOM LINE THE FLOODING THREAT IS THE MOST PERTINENT TO MONITOR
TODAY.
FOR FCST ELEMENTS...ADJUSTED QPF TO ACCOUNT FOR AREAS W OF I-55 TO
LIKELY RECEIVE MORE THROUGH 00Z. ADJUSTED WIND GUSTS HIGHER CLOSER TO
WHAT IS ONGOING. HIGHS LOOKED GOOD OTHER THAN COOLER AREAS IN THE
DELTA BEHIND THIS LINE OF STORMS. /DC/
&&
.AVIATION...IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS DUE TO LOW STRATUS AND RAIN PREVAIL
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING, AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY ADVANCE EAST...AND WILL AFFECT
ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. /26/
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 456 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016/
..SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA...
DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...A DANGEROUS SITUATION HAS
UNFOLDED OVERNIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF NE LOUISIANA AND SE ARKANSAS. PER
MRMS 12 HR RAINFALL ESTIMATES...A SWATH OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN FELL
ATOP AN AREA THAT HAD ALREADY SEEN SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
PREVIOUS 24 HOURS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN COUNTLESS ROADS BEING FLOODED
AND NOW EVACUATIONS OF HOMES IN MULTIPLE COUNTIES AND PARISHES. WATER
RESCUES WERE UNDERWAY THIS EARLY MORNING ACROSS CHICOT COUNTY AR AND
IN THE GREENVILLE AREA. UNFORTUNATELY WE MAY SEE A SIMILAR SCENE
UNFOLD ACROSS OTHER AREAS AS ADDITIONAL WAVES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MEANDER OVER NORTHERN MEXICO THIS MORNING,
WITH A STEADY SOUTHERLY FETCH AT ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
CONTINUING. THIS WAS CONTINUING TO PUMP IN A MOISTURE RICH AIRMASS,
WITH A CORRIDOR OF NEAR 2 INCH PW EXPANDING OVER THE REGION. THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT, THE UPPER LOW WILL MAKE SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESS INTO
TEXAS AND A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES WILL ROTATE AROUND PRODUCING
MULTIPLE WAVES OF CONVECTION OVER THE CWA. THIS CONVECTION WILL TEND
TO BE ORIENTED IN A GENERALLY NORTH TO SOUTH FASHION, RESULTING IN
TRAINING...AND ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOOD PROBLEMS. WHAT IS DIFFERENT
ABOUT TODAY...IS WE WILL BEGIN TO SEE ACTIVITY FARTHER EASTWARD IN
THE CWA. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO
INCLUDE AREAS FARTHER EAST (AND SOUTH OF I-2O). THE WATCH WAS ALSO
EXTENDED IN TIME THROUGH SATURDAY THE CULPRIT UPPER LOW REMAINS TO
OUR WEST THROUGH THAT TIME. FOR HWO/HAZARD GRAPHICS, WE HAVE SLIGHTLY
EXPANDED THE SIGNIFICANT THREAT AREA TO TAKE IN SOME AREAS OF
MISSISSIPPI ADJACENT TO THE MS RIVER WHERE CONSIDERABLE FLOODING IS
ALREADY ONGOING. OTHERWISE THE ELEVATED AREAS GENERALLY MATCH THE
AREA OF THE UPDATED WATCH. WPC FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 4-8
INCHES SEEMED QUITE REASONABLE, SO WE WILL REFLECT THESE AMOUNTS IN
OUR PRODUCTS.
THERE IS ALSO SOME LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY AS WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPS AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS MORE THAN SUFFICIENT ACROSS THE AREA. LARGE
SCALE FORCING WILL BE RATHER MODEST, HOWEVER, AND IT IS POSSIBLE
THERE WILL BE A SIMILAR SITUATION TO YESTERDAY WITH TRAINING
CONVECTION TENDING TO WORK OVER THE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF MORE POTENT
STORMS...CAUSING MANY OF THEM TO BE ELEVATED. STILL, WE WILL CONTINUE
TO HIGHLIGHT A LIMITED THREAT IN THE HWO WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS
THE MAIN THREAT, THOUGH A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. BOTTOM LINE,
THE MAIN STORY WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE IS THE FLOOD THREAT. /DL/
LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...THE PESKY UPPER LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO SPIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS COME SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO HELP FEED MOISTURE AND RAIN INTO OUR REGION.
SOME MODELS INDICATE SOME DRIER AIR THAT MAY REDUCE THE COVERAGE OF
THE STORMS ACROSS OUR AREA BY THIS TIME. HOWEVER...ANOTHER SURGE OF
HEAVY RAIN IS STILL BEING SHOWN NEAR THE COAST POTENTIALLY MOVING
NORTH INTO THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS COMES AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM FINALLY OPENS UP AND
STARTS TO LIFT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS COULD BRING ANOTHER COUPLE
OF INCHES PARTICULARLY TO THE EASTERN PART OF THE AREA...BUT STILL
EXACERBATE FLOODING ISSUES GIVEN ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS FROM ONGOING
RAINFALL FROM THE SHORT TERM. HAVE CONTINUED MENTION OF HEAVY RAIN
AND FLOODING IN GRAPHICS AND HWO THROUGH SATURDAY.
THE RAIN WILL PUSH OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN UPPER DYNAMICS
ALSO PULLS NORTHEAST. THIS COULD RESULT IN A LULL IN RAIN ACTIVITY
FOR SOME OF SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY FOR THE SOUTHERN
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...QUICK ON ITS HEELS IS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/LOW. UNLIKE THE CURRENT SYSTEM...THIS ONE IS
RATHER FAST MOVING AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PARTS OF THE
FORECAST AREA LATE SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. PARAMETERS WITH THIS
SYSTEM LOOK PRETTY DECENT FOR SEEING SEVERE POTENTIAL. VERTICAL
TOTALS ARE AROUND 28-30C THANKS TO VERY COLD 500MB TEMPERATURES
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSED LOW. IN ADDITION...WIND SHEAR IS GOOD FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS. WILL INTRODUCE AN AREA INTO THE HWO INITIALLY FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE DELTA BUT THIS MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED IN AREA
AND TIME AS THE EVENT NEARS. GIVEN THE PLETHORA OF GRAPHICS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CURRENT SHORT TERM HAZARDS...WILL FOREGO ADDING
ANOTHER ONE AT THIS TIME. DRIER WEATHER WILL MOVE IN FOLLOWING THIS
SYSTEM FOR A FEW DAYS. OVERALL TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TO
ACTUALLY FAIRLY WARM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
EVEN 80S LOOK LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEK WITH LOWS IN THE 60S. /28/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 77 67 70 64 / 95 77 85 59
MERIDIAN 77 66 70 62 / 54 62 69 56
VICKSBURG 73 68 71 65 / 99 80 90 64
HATTIESBURG 77 66 70 64 / 59 73 89 77
NATCHEZ 75 68 71 64 / 99 86 93 68
GREENVILLE 70 64 70 62 / 100 81 84 60
GREENWOOD 74 67 70 63 / 100 82 79 52
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR MSZ026>028-036-
043-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR MSZ018-019-025-
034-035-040>042-047-053-059>061.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-015-
016-023>026.
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR ARZ074-075.
&&
DC/28/26Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 10:00 AM CST, 3 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1000 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-MSZ018-111600- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-RICHLAND-BOLIVAR- 1000 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT FLOODING THREAT...EXTREME TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1) STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3) SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND REST OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. LAZ009-016-023-MSZ019-034-040-041-111600- EAST CARROLL-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-SUNFLOWER-WASHINGTON- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- 1000 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT FLOODING THREAT...SIGNIFICANT TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1) STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3) SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND REST OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-049>052-056>058-066-111600- GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA- HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA- KEMPER-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JONES- 1000 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT FLOODING THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT, POSSIBLY RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1) STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3) SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT, MAINLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-20. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND REST OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. LAZ024>026-MSZ025-035-047-048-053>055-059>065-072>074-111600- CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-LEFLORE-HUMPHREYS-WARREN-HINDS- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 1000 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT FLOODING THREAT...ELEVATED TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT HEAVY RAIN RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1) STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3) SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT, MAINLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-20. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND REST OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 26 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. *FLOODING* EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE. ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING. LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN HOME PAGE... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK... WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER... @NWSJACKSONMS ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/ SPC...MESO ANALYSIS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/# SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/ SPC...STORM REPORTS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/ NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Mar 10, 11:32 AM CST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1132 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016
MSZ019-025>027-101800-
LEFLORE MS-SUNFLOWER MS-CARROLL MS-GRENADA MS-
1132 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN GRENADA...
NORTHEASTERN SUNFLOWER...NORTHWESTERN CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES
UNTIL NOON CST...
AT 1132 AM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PARCHMAN TO NEAR
SUNNYSIDE TO NEAR SWIFTOWN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
PARCHMAN...SUNNYSIDE...MINTER CITY AND MONEY AROUND 1135 AM CST.
ROME AROUND 1140 AM CST.
GREENWOOD AROUND 1145 AM CST.
TEOC...MALMAISON AND AVALON AROUND 1155 AM CST.
LEFLORE AROUND 1200 PM CST.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE SCHLATER AND MORGAN
CITY.
LAT...LON 3399 9045 3381 9045 3381 9018 3376 9019
3374 9031 3370 9030 3369 9029 3374 9024
3372 9014 3381 9014 3382 8997 3352 8996
3336 9026 3337 9032 3335 9028 3330 9036
3364 9039 3392 9066 3399 9059
TIME...MOT...LOC 1732Z 230DEG 56KT 3390 9056 3368 9034 3337 9036
17Special weather statement, Mar 10, 11:45 AM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1145 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016
MSZ028-037-043-101815-
ATTALA MS-MADISON MS-MONTGOMERY MS-
1145 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...
CENTRAL ATTALA AND NORTHERN MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM CST...
AT 1144 AM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR DURANT TO NEAR
CAMERON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
POSSUMNECK AROUND 1150 AM CST.
MCADAMS AROUND 1205 PM CST.
KOSCIUSKO AND POPLAR CREEK AROUND 1210 PM CST.
HESTERVILLE AROUND 1215 PM CST.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE SALLIS.
LAT...LON 3346 8947 3296 8965 3293 8973 3291 8973
3278 8997 3320 8977 3329 8967 3329 8965
3331 8964
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 223DEG 48KT 3311 8981 3283 8993
17Special weather statement, Mar 10, 12:05 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1205 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 MSZ043-048-049-101830- MADISON MS-HINDS MS-RANKIN MS- 1205 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL RANKIN...SOUTH CENTRAL MADISON AND EAST CENTRAL HINDS COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM CST... AT 1204 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ANNANDALE TO NEAR JACKSON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... MADISON...RIDGELAND AND ANNANDALE AROUND 1210 PM CST. GLUCKSTADT AROUND 1215 PM CST. CANTON AND FLOWOOD AROUND 1220 PM CST. BRANDON AROUND 1225 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3263 8994 3228 8998 3223 9023 3251 9022 TIME...MOT...LOC 1804Z 247DEG 25KT 3247 9018 3228 9020 17
Special weather statement, Mar 10, 12:32 PM CST, 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1232 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
MSZ032-037-101900-
ATTALA MS-CHOCTAW MS-
1232 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN ATTALA AND CENTRAL
CHOCTAW COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CST...
AT 1232 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CHESTER TO NEAR KOSCIUSKO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
CHESTER AROUND 1240 PM CST.
REFORM AROUND 1250 PM CST.
SHERWOOD AROUND 1255 PM CST.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE WEIR...FRENCH
CAMP...MCCOOL AND ETHEL.
LAT...LON 3351 8909 3311 8930 3311 8932 3307 8932
3293 8969 3335 8939 3353 8909
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 231DEG 38KT 3332 8936 3301 8958
17Local storm report, Mar 10, 12:37 PM CST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1237 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1222 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NW RAYMOND 32.28N 90.45W
03/10/2016 HINDS MS PUBLIC
WATER COVERING PARTS OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE IN HINDS
COUNTY. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
&&
27Special weather statement, Mar 10, 12:53 PM CST, 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1253 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
MSZ029-030-032-033-038-101945-
OKTIBBEHA MS-WINSTON MS-CHOCTAW MS-WEBSTER MS-CLAY MS-
1253 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER...WESTERN
OKTIBBEHA...CHOCTAW...NORTHWESTERN WINSTON AND WESTERN CLAY COUNTIES
UNTIL 145 PM CST...
AT 1253 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTH OF PYLAND TO
12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACKERMAN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
ACKERMAN AROUND 110 PM CST.
CRAIG SPRINGS AROUND 130 PM CST.
LONGVIEW AROUND 135 PM CST.
STARKVILLE AROUND 140 PM CST.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE WEIR...MANTEE AND
STURGIS.
LAT...LON 3326 8892 3310 8932 3324 8932 3373 8915
3376 8893 3381 8893 3381 8875
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 242DEG 35KT 3378 8911 3317 8931
17The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 6:09 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Morehouse | 36 min |
| Mar 9, 6:15 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Morehouse | 6 hr |
| Mar 9, 9:17 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Morehouse, West Carroll | 28 min |
| Mar 9, 9:32 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Richland, West Carroll | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 9:46 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | West Carroll | 29 min |
| Mar 10, 12:15 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll | 9 hr |
| Mar 10, 12:19 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | East Carroll | 3 hr |
| Mar 10, 12:30 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Richland | 28 days |
| Mar 10, 12:30 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin | 66 days |
| Mar 10, 3:15 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Madison | 5 hr |
| Mar 10, 7:46 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Madison | 3 hr |
| Mar 10, 8:44 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll | 3 hr |
| Mar 10, 8:54 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin | 4 hr |
| Mar 10, 9:27 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Madison, Tensas, West Carroll | 48 min |
| Mar 10, 9:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Tensas | 39 min |
| Mar 10, 9:38 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Madison | 4 hr |
| Mar 10, 11:38 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Madison, Tensas | 4 days |
| Mar 10, 11:38 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Concordia | 22 days |
| Mar 10, 11:40 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll | 21 hr |
| Mar 10, 12:43 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin | 6 hr |
| Mar 10, 1:03 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Madison | 6 hr |
| Mar 10, 1:15 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Concordia | 6 hr |
| Mar 10, 1:16 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Concordia, Tensas | 47 hr |
| Mar 10, 1:16 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin | 4 days |
| Mar 10, 1:30 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Concordia | 29 days |
| Mar 10, 1:32 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Avoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia | 19 days |
| Mar 10, 1:43 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Madison, Tensas | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.