Freeze Warning 1, NWS Jackson, MS

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

037 
WWUS74 KJAN 192138
NPWJAN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
338 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2016

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS
TONIGHT...

.STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES WILL RESULT
IN A SIGNIFICANT RADIATIONAL COOLING EFFECT LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO OR
BELOW FREEZING AREAWIDE.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
200545-
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.W.0001.161120T0700Z-161120T1400Z/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
338 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CST
SUNDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO BETWEEN 27 AND
  32 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR 
  VEGETATION IF LEFT UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

28

509 
WWUS74 KJAN 200257
NPWJAN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
857 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2016

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS TONIGHT...

.STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES WILL RESULT
IN SIGNIFICANT RADIATIONAL COOLING LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO OR BELOW FREEZING.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
201100-
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.W.0001.161120T0700Z-161120T1400Z/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
857 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CST
SUNDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 27 AND 32 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR 
  VEGETATION IF LEFT UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

26

399 
WWUS74 KJAN 201000
NPWJAN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
400 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2016

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS...

.STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES
WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RADIATIONAL COOLING THIS MORNING AND
TONIGHT/TOMORROW MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW
FREEZING AREAWIDE.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
201800-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FZ.W.0002.161121T0400Z-161121T1500Z/
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161120T1400Z/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
400 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST
MONDAY. 

* TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 26 AND 32 
  DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR 
  VEGETATION IF LEFT UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

754 
WWUS74 KJAN 201414
NPWJAN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
814 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2016

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR AGAIN TONIGHT ACROSS THE
ARKLAMISS...

.STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR
SKIES WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT/TOMORROW
MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW FREEZING
AREAWIDE.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
202215-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161120T1400Z/
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.W.0002.161121T0400Z-161121T1500Z/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
814 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
9 AM CST MONDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SATURDAY MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 26 AND 32 
  DEGREES. 

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR 
  VEGETATION IF LEFT UNCOVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

28

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1216 AM CST Sat Nov 19 2016

.UPDATE...
Updated to include the 06Z Aviation Discussion.

&&

.Aviation...
A cold front that brought showers and thunderstorms to the region
has almost exited the area with almost all stations, with the
exception of KHBG, reporting northerly winds. Trailing low stratus
has resulted in some MVFR Cigs at a few sites but conditions will
improve as drier air continues to filter into the region. A few
scattered post-frontal showers are possible over the next few hours
at KGTR, so VCSH was added through 9Z. Gusty winds from the north
will impact each TAF site today before subsiding after sunset.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail today./JPM3/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 943 PM CST Fri Nov 18 2016/

UPDATE...
Updated for the evening discussion.

Discussion...
As of 330z, a surface low was centered over the western Michigan
Upper Peninsula with an attendant sharp cold front draped across the
Mississippi Valley. Convection along the front produced a few
isolated strong winds gusts in the 40mph range across our NW CWA
this afternoon where the best overlap of 500-800 J/kg MUCAPE,
moisture, deep shear and forcing were located. These storms have
since dissipated due to the loss of daytime heating and the best
forcing lifting north of the area. A broken line of showers
currently located along the I-55 corridor will continue to push east
through the CWA over the next few hours before exiting the area. CAA
behind the front will lead to clearing overnight and quickly usher
in a much cooler and drier airmass with temps dropping off into the
mid/upper 40s by daybreak. The main updates were to adjust PoPs to
match current trends and tweak overnight min temps in line with a
raw guidance blend. /TW/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 603 PM CST Fri Nov 18 2016/

.COLD FRONT TO USHER IN DRY AIRMASS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES THIS
WEEKEND...

DISCUSSION...
Tonight and Saturday,

A cold front is located across central Arkansas this afternoon with
showers and thunderstorms along/ahead of the front. This will
steadily move across the region through evening and overnight hours.
Hi-res model data continues to suggest that the rain associated with
this front will diminish as it tracks further east. The highest QPF
associated with this will be in the Delta, where almost 0.50 inches
will be possible. Further east, some may be lucky to get 0.05 to
0.10 inches. Behind the front, a dry airmass will move into the
region as sfc high pressure will track across the Southern Plains
and into the Lower Mississippi River Valley. The pressure gradient
will be tightened across the region, which will result in gusty
northerly winds on Saturday. Our warm temperatures will be gone for
Saturday as highs will only reach into the upper 50s and around 60
degrees. /28/

Saturday night through Friday morning,

Big story for the weekend is the dry air and cold temperatures will
be ushering in the wake of the cold front. Strong surface ridge,
near 1030mb, will be building into the area Sunday morning.
Dewpoints could fall into the low 20s and upper and surface ridge
moving over the area. With any recent rainfall the highest totals
only expected in the ArkLaMiss Delta and such dry soils, lows look to
easily fall near freezing in northeast Mississippi on Sunday morning.
As the upper ridge axis moves through the region Sunday, expect
efficient mixing and humidity values combined with gusty winds to
lead to an elevated fire danger risk, especially in east Mississippi.
We will be much cooler near or slightly below normal on highs but
could still get into the low 60s Sunday. Refer to the fire weather
discussion below for more information.

The coldest night of the season looks in store Monday morning as the
surface ridge axis moves over. Less than the 1st percentile for PW's
is possible through Sunday and Monday mornings. Expect extremely
efficient radiational cooling with the coldest night on Monday
morning, over central to east-northeast Mississippi. Went near
colder GFS guidance due to such anomalously dry air and soils,
efficient radiational cooling and decoupling possible. Monday morning
looks the coldest and a widespread freeze is expected areawide while
a hard freeze is possible east of I-55. Freeze warnings can be
expected on future shifts as we get closer. Graphics/HWO were updated
to expand the significant area in the HWO further southwest while
areas in the southwest will remain in the elevated area. Fire
weather concerns will continue into Sunday afternoon as we mix and
warm into the mid 60s areawide as humidity values could fall into the
teens but winds will be lighter. Monday night could reach near
freezing in the east as the surface high moves out of the area. Went
slightly cooler in the east as the dry air and surface ridge build
east.

Expect conditions to moderate as we go through the work week as the
upper ridge moves through our area before another cold front brings
some storms and much needed beneficial rainfall to the area mid-week.
Drier air will move in the wake with slightly cooler conditions late
week into the weekend. /DC/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Fire danger will be elevated for this weekend behind today's cold
front. Drier air will move in, allowing minimum RH values on Saturday
to be around 25-30% areawide and around 18-24% on Sunday. Gusty
northerly winds on Saturday will also allow for elevated fire
concerns. Speeds will be around 15-20mph with gusts 20-25mph. Speeds
on Sunday won't be quite as strong, generally around 5-10mph. We
opted not to go with a Red Flag Warning for Saturday but will allow
future shifts to upgrade if necessary and monitor ongoing conditions
on Saturday. /28/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       83  45  59  32 /   5  70   0   0
Meridian      81  44  61  30 /   2  50   0   0
Vicksburg     83  43  59  30 /  20  59   0   0
Hattiesburg   81  50  63  31 /   6  50   0   0
Natchez       81  45  58  32 /   9  62   0   0
Greenville    83  43  58  33 /  67  19   0   0
Greenwood     81  41  58  29 /  22  71   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

JPM3/JAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
326 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
192130-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
326 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

FIRE WEATHER
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...DAYTIME HOURS ON SATURDAY

DRY GROUND CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND A
COLD FRONT AND LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN INCREASED FIRE
DANGER ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS SATURDAY.
PLEASE REMEMBER TO HEED ALL LOCAL BURN BANS THAT ARE IN EFFECT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.GIF)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING AND AGAIN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. THE GREATEST PROBABILITY FOR A FREEZE WILL BE EAST OF A
LINE FROM HATTIESBURG TO BROOKHAVEN TO TALLULAH TO GREENVILLE TO
PARCHMAN. A HARD FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY MORNING OVER
PORTIONS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI. FOR MOST LOCATIONS, THIS WILL BE THE
FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON AND ANY EXPOSED SENSITIVE VEGETATION WILL
BE IMPACTED.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE3.GIF)

INCREASED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN DURING THE DAYTIME
SUNDAY. THOUGH WINDS WILL BE LESS GUSTY, DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE LOWER THAN ON SATURDAY WITH CONTINUED DRY GROUND
CONDITIONS. PLEASE REMEMBER TO HEED ALL LOCAL BURN BANS THAT ARE IN
EFFECT.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.GIF)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

28/DC/DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FIRE WEATHER*
EXTREME...CONDITIONS WELL IN EXCESS OF RED FLAG WARNING
 CRITERIA WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40 MPH. FIRES
 WILL SPREAD VERY QUICKLY AND WILDFIRES ARE COMMON. FIRE
 CONTROL IS VERY DIFFICULT, EVEN FOR EXPERIENCED FIREFIGHTERS.
SIGNIFICANT...CONDITIONS MEET MINIMUM RED FLAG WARNINGS
 CRITERIA. OPEN BURNING SHOULD NOT BE ATTEMPTED AS FIRES CAN
 QUICKLY ESCAPE AND BECOME VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL, EVEN
 FOR EXPERIENCED FIREFIGHTERS.
ELEVATED...ANY OPEN BURNING IS DISCOURAGED DUE TO INCREASED
 WIND, LOWER HUMIDITY, AND RECENT DRY CONDITIONS. FIRES
 ESCAPE CONTROL MORE EASILY IN THESE CONDITIONS AND THEIR
 CONTAINMENT CAN BE DIFFICULT. REMEMBER TO HEED ANY LOCAL
 BURN BANS THAT ARE IN EFFECT!
LIMITED...EXTRA CAUTION IS ADVISED FOR OPEN BURNING DUE TO
 INCREASED WIND, LOWER HUMIDITY, OR VERY DRY CONDITIONS.
 REMEMBER TO HEED ANY LOCAL BURN BANS THAT ARE IN EFFECT!

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/SAFE
LATEST WEATHER BRIEFING...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/WEATHER_BRIEFING

TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FIRE WEATHER ISSUES...

CURRENT HEAT INFORMATION...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/SAFE_EXTREMEHEAT

FIRE WEATHER...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/FIREWEATHER
LATEST WEATHER BRIEFING...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/WEATHER_BRIEFING

MISSISSIPPI FORESTRY COMMISSION...
   WWW.MFC.MS.GOV/
FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FIRE_WX/
   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1002 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
200000-ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-
RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-
CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-INCLUDING THE CITIES
OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST
CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK
GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON... ST.
JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA... YAZOO
CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL
SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST
HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
1002 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2016

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER RISK THIS WEEKEND...

THE EXTENDED PERIOD OF DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAS LED TO VERY DRY SOIL
AND PARCHED VEGETATION. AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS HAVE ISSUED BURN
BANS FOR NEARLY ALL OF THE ARKLAMISS REGION...AND OUTDOOR BURNING IS
EITHER LIMITED OR NOT PERMITTED. A COLD FRONT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
MUCH DRIER AIR AND GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY RESULTING IN AN INCREASED
FIRE DANGER THREAT. ALTHOUGH THE WIND WILL DECREASE SUNDAY...THE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE LOWER...SO THE FIRE DANGER THREAT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED. AS A RESULT...MANY ROUTINE ACTIVITIES COULD
LEAD TO WILDFIRES AND CAUTION SHOULD BE USED.

THE FORESTRY COMMISSION REPORTS...NATIONWIDE NINE OUT TEN WILDFIRES
ARE CAUSED BY PEOPLE AND CAN BE PREVENTED WITH PROPER CARE. A SPARK
FROM EQUIPMENT...THE HEAT FROM A CATALYTIC CONVERTER...OR ANY DIRECT
HEAT SOURCE COULD START A GRASS OR BRUSH FIRE. DO NOT THROW LIT
CIGARETTES ON THE GROUND. PLEASE EXTINGUISH AND DISPOSE OF THEM
PROPERLY. WHEN GRILLING...DO NOT DUMP ASHES OR LIVE COALS UNLESS THEY
ARE COMPLETELY OUT. LIVE COALS CAN BURN NEARLY TWO DAYS AFTER BEING
USED. PLEASE HEED ALL STATE AND LOCAL BURN BANS.

REMEMBER...WILDFIRES PLACE AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...FIRE DEPARTMENTS...
AND OTHER FIRE CONTROL AGENCIES IN LIFE THREATENING SITUATIONS AND
CAN ENDANGER COMMUNITIES. PLEASE USE CAUTION AND HELP PREVENT FOREST
AND GRASS FIRES.