Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2016

Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Jackson, MS

April 29, 201629 counties in Mississippi; 9 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood watch at Apr 29, 2016, 4:06 PM CDT for 29 counties in Mississippi; 9 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2016, 4:06 PM CDT (21:06 UTC)
Expired
Apr 30, 2016, 4:06 PM CDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
None
All 40 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1635 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 27 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1635 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-100 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
762 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

061 
WGUS64 KJAN 292106
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
406 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE ARKLAMISS AS WE GO
INTO THE WEEKEND...

.THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST AS WE GO FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. FOR TONIGHT...THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT WILL BE MAINLY OVER
THE ARKLAMISS DELTA REGION. THEN AS WE GO INTO SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT...THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT WILL EXPAND EASTWARD TO ENCOMPASS
THE AREA ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM EUPORA TO FOREST TO
MONTICELLO. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FIVE INCHES ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS MOSTLY LIKELY WEST OF THE
INTERSTATE 55 CORRIDOR.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-
300515-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.A.0004.160429T2106Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...
GREENWOOD...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...MAYERSVILLE...
ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA
406 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... 
  NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...ASHLEY AND CHICOT. IN 
  NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EAST CARROLL...FRANKLIN LA...MADISON 
  LA...MOREHOUSE...RICHLAND AND WEST CARROLL. IN MISSISSIPPI... 
  BOLIVAR...HUMPHREYS...ISSAQUENA...LEFLORE...SHARKEY... 
  SUNFLOWER AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED
  FLASH FLOODING.

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ024>026-MSZ026>029-032-036-037-042>044-047>050-053>055-059>063-
300515-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.A.0004.160430T1800Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-
CHOCTAW-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...
EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...ACKERMAN...WEIR...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...YAZOO CITY...
RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...
PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...
MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON
406 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST 
  LOUISIANA...CATAHOULA...CONCORDIA AND TENSAS. IN MISSISSIPPI...
   ADAMS...ATTALA...CARROLL...CHOCTAW...CLAIBORNE...COPIAH... 
  FRANKLIN MS...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES...JEFFERSON... 
  LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LINCOLN...MADISON MS...MONTGOMERY... 
  RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...WARREN...WEBSTER AND YAZOO. 

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

* RAINFALL OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH
  FLOODING. 

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

EC
4 follow-up statements
028 
WGUS64 KJAN 300329 AAA
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1029 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE ARKLAMISS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. OVERNIGHT...THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT
WILL BE MAINLY OVER THE ARKLAMISS DELTA REGION. SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT...THE THREAT WILL EXPAND EASTWARD TO ENCOMPASS THE
AREA ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM EUPORA TO FOREST TO MONTICELLO.
RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FIVE INCHES ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 55
CORRIDOR.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-
301130-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...
GREENWOOD...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...MAYERSVILLE...
ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA
1029 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST 
  ARKANSAS...ASHLEY AND CHICOT. IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EAST 
  CARROLL...FRANKLIN LA...MADISON LA...MOREHOUSE...RICHLAND AND 
  WEST CARROLL. IN MISSISSIPPI...BOLIVAR...HUMPHREYS... 
  ISSAQUENA...LEFLORE...SHARKEY...SUNFLOWER AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES WILL LEAD TO 
  LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. 

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ024>026-MSZ026>029-032-036-037-042>044-047>050-053>055-059>063-
301130-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.160430T1800Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-
CHOCTAW-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...
EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...ACKERMAN...WEIR...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...YAZOO CITY...
RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...
PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...
MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON
1029 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING 
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CATAHOULA... 
  CONCORDIA AND TENSAS. IN MISSISSIPPI...ADAMS...ATTALA... 
  CARROLL...CHOCTAW...CLAIBORNE...COPIAH...FRANKLIN MS... 
  GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES...JEFFERSON...LAWRENCE...LEAKE... 
  LINCOLN...MADISON MS...MONTGOMERY...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...
   WARREN...WEBSTER AND YAZOO. 

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH 
  FLOODING. 

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

DL
624 
WGUS64 KJAN 300932
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
432 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF
THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL INCREASE
THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FOUR INCHES
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

LAZ024>026-MSZ026>029-032-036-037-042>044-047>050-053>055-059>063-
301745-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.A.0004.160430T1500Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-
CHOCTAW-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...
EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...ACKERMAN...WEIR...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...YAZOO CITY...
RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...
PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...
MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON
432 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING 
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CATAHOULA... 
  CONCORDIA AND TENSAS. IN MISSISSIPPI...ADAMS...ATTALA... 
  CARROLL...CHOCTAW...CLAIBORNE...COPIAH...FRANKLIN MS... 
  GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES...JEFFERSON...LAWRENCE...LEAKE... 
  LINCOLN...MADISON MS...MONTGOMERY...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...
   WARREN...WEBSTER AND YAZOO. 

* FROM 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-
301745-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...
GREENWOOD...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...MAYERSVILLE...
ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA
432 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST 
  ARKANSAS...ASHLEY AND CHICOT. IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EAST 
  CARROLL...FRANKLIN LA...MADISON LA...MOREHOUSE...RICHLAND AND 
  WEST CARROLL. IN MISSISSIPPI...BOLIVAR...HUMPHREYS... 
  ISSAQUENA...LEFLORE...SHARKEY...SUNFLOWER AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES EXPECTED, WITH LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

DL
243 
WGUS64 KJAN 301457 AAA
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
957 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS
OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL INCREASE
THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FOUR
INCHES ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

LAZ024>026-MSZ026>029-032-036-037-042>044-047>050-053>055-059>063-
302300-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.160430T1500Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-
CHOCTAW-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...
EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...ACKERMAN...WEIR...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...YAZOO CITY...
RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...
PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...
MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON
957 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING 
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CATAHOULA... 
  CONCORDIA AND TENSAS. IN MISSISSIPPI...ADAMS...ATTALA... 
  CARROLL...CHOCTAW...CLAIBORNE...COPIAH...FRANKLIN MS... 
  GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES...JEFFERSON...LAWRENCE...LEAKE... 
  LINCOLN...MADISON MS...MONTGOMERY...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...
   WARREN...WEBSTER AND YAZOO. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-
302300-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...
GREENWOOD...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...MAYERSVILLE...
ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA
957 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST 
  ARKANSAS...ASHLEY AND CHICOT. IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EAST 
  CARROLL...FRANKLIN LA...MADISON LA...MOREHOUSE...RICHLAND AND 
  WEST CARROLL. IN MISSISSIPPI...BOLIVAR...HUMPHREYS... 
  ISSAQUENA...LEFLORE...SHARKEY...SUNFLOWER AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES EXPECTED... WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS...FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
257 
WGUS64 KJAN 302106
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
406 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016



ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-032-
034>037-040>044-047>050-053>055-059>063-302215-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160501T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CHOCTAW-
WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...ACKERMAN...WEIR...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...
ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...
KOSCIUSKO...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...YAZOO CITY...
RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...
PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...
MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON
406 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVED ACROSS THE AREA QUICKLY...LIMITING THE CHANCE FOR FLASH
FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS ADDITIONAL RAIN
DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE RE-
EVALUATED FOR THE ENTIRE REGION.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Apr 29, 3:59 PM CDT, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 3:59 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
359 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE
AN INCREASING THREAT IN THE SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
ROCKIES...WHICH HAD BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED WITH AN ASSOCIATED
NEARLY CLOSED LOW NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. AN UPPER JET SEGMENT
OF 110 KNOTS WAS COMING AT THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES WAS COMING OUT OF THE UPPER TROUGH IN THE SOUTHERN
STREAM FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE SUBTROPICAL JET WAS NOTED TO THE
SOUTH OVER THE GULF. OTHERWISE AN MCS WAS NOTED AROUND THE MIDSOUTH
REGION...WHICH HAS SOME SEVERE AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN RISKS. THE
ACTIVITY WAS STAYING NORTH OF I-20 DUE TO THE STRENGTH FO THE CAP
ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF OF THE REGION. ON THE SURFACE A WARM FRONT WAS
NOTED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST.

FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...EXPECT AN ACTIVE PERIOD AS THE
CLOSED LOW NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BRINGS IN A SERIES OF SHORT
WAVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL BRING A RISK OF SOME SEVERE
WEATHER FOR THE NORTH TONIGHT AND FOR THE WESTERN AREAS ON SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE GOOD INSTABILITY AND FORCING WITH
THESE SHORT WAVES. THE PRIMARY RISKS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS...GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AND A POSSIBLE TORNADO.  PER
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION IT WILL PROBABLY BECOME MORE OF A HEAVY RAIN
ISSUE AS WE PUSH INTO THE SATURDAY NIGHT.

AS FAR AS HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL IS CONCERN MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BE
IMPRESSIVE WITH PWATS AROUND 1.8 TO 2 INCHES...WHICH WILL BRING SOME
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL BE LOOKING AT
AROUND 3-5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WPC HAS A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCEEDING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FOR THE EXTREME
NORTHWEST FOR TONIGHT...THEN MOST OF THE AREA FOR SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. SO WITH THE MODELS BRINGING WAVE AFTER WAVE OVER THE
CWA WILL PUT OUT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WILL BEGIN IN THE NORTHWEST
AREA FOR TONIGHT...THEN EXPAND ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION FOR
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. SO WITH THIS IN MIND PUT IN HEAVY RAIN
WORDING IN THE GRIDS.

FOR SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...OUR CHANCES OF CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE SHORT TERM. WPC HAS A SLIGHT
RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FOR THE SOUTH
DURING THE PERIOD GENERALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. FOR NOW
WILL NOT MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY ON ANY GRAPHICS FOR THIS PERIOD.

AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERN HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S AND LOWS
WILL BE IN THE 60S./17/

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL CONTINUE OUR RAIN CHANCES THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. A SHARP SHORTWAVE WILL FINALLY END THE RAIN FROM THE WEST
BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PUT THE REGION UNDER A DEEP UPPER TROUGH
WITH A BLOCKING RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES. SO DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL SET UP A DRY PERIOD REGIME OVER THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WORK WEEK. AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND MODELS DIFFER ON WHAT
KIND OF UPPER RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION IN ANY CASE THIS WILL
CONTINUE OUR BOUT OF DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND ACCORDING TO
THE GFS...WHILE THE EURO TRIES TO BRING IN SOME RAIN BY THE END OF
THE WEEKEND.

AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERN HIGHS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS
WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 50S./17/

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSRA WILL CONTINUE OVER
AREAS NORTH OF I-20. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE ABILITY TO BRIEFLY
DROP CIGS/VSBYS TO IFR AS THEY PASS OVER AN AERODROME. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.
THEREAFTER...MVFR/IFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN BY 30/06Z AND LINGER
THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       67  84  66  80 /  21  51  71  60
MERIDIAN      66  86  67  81 /  17  30  55  61
VICKSBURG     70  83  66  81 /  39  67  70  52
HATTIESBURG   69  87  70  82 /   6  28  36  65
NATCHEZ       71  82  67  80 /  28  65  67  61
GREENVILLE    68  81  65  82 /  63  61  65  35
GREENWOOD     66  82  66  81 /  49  51  66  50

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 6:29 AM CDT, 9 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
629 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-025>028-034>036-301100-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-
629 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS...AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...NORTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...MIDDAY THROUGH MID EVENING

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...MIDDAY THROUGH MID EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MIDDAY THROUGH MID
EVENING. A TORNADO CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT. IN
ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE A FEW INCIDENTS OF FLASH
FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR
GREATER AND/OR HAIL 1 INCH OR LARGER ARE POSSIBLE FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...AND MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
EVENING. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY TORRENTIAL RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE AT
LEAST A FEW FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS THESE AREAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE OF A FLASH FLOODING THREAT
DEVELOPING WILL BE ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS DELTA WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT COULD BE WELL IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES IN SOME
SPOTS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

LAZ008-009-015-016-023-MSZ029>033-037>046-301100-
WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-WEBSTER-
CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
629 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MID EVENING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR
GREATER AND/OR HAIL 1 INCH OR LARGER ARE POSSIBLE FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...AND MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
EVENING. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY TORRENTIAL RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE AT
LEAST A FEW FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS THESE AREAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE OF A FLASH FLOODING THREAT
DEVELOPING WILL BE ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS DELTA WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT COULD BE WELL IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES IN SOME
SPOTS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

LAZ024>026-MSZ047>066-072>074-301100-
CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
629 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR
GREATER AND/OR HAIL 1 INCH OR LARGER ARE POSSIBLE FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...AND MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
EVENING. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY TORRENTIAL RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE AT
LEAST A FEW FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS THESE AREAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE OF A FLASH FLOODING THREAT
DEVELOPING WILL BE ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS DELTA WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT COULD BE WELL IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES IN SOME
SPOTS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 29, 2:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
237 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

LAZ007-292000-
MOREHOUSE LA-
237 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISH
UNTIL 300 PM CDT...

AT 237 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR STERLINGTON...OR 10 MILES WEST OF BASTROP...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BASTROP AROUND 255 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3274 9205 3276 9206 3279 9205 3283 9207
      3288 9189 3268 9189 3266 9195 3268 9196
      3271 9197 3270 9202 3271 9204 3270 9204
      3269 9205 3273 9207
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 256DEG 28KT 3273 9208

CME
Special weather statement, Apr 29, 2:58 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
258 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

MSZ028-029-032-292045-
CHOCTAW MS-WEBSTER MS-MONTGOMERY MS-
258 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MONTGOMERY...WEBSTER AND
NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 258 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR EMBRY TO NEAR POPLAR CREEK. MOVEMENT
WAS EAST AT 40 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BELLEFONTAINE AND EMBRY AROUND 305 PM CDT.
  CLARKSON AROUND 320 PM CDT.
  EUPORA AROUND 330 PM CDT.
  SHERWOOD AROUND 335 PM CDT.
  MATHISTON AROUND 340 PM CDT.
  CUMBERLAND AROUND 345 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE MANTEE AND WALTHALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8903 3363 8903 3364 8902 3356 8902
      3356 8909 3345 8909 3331 8964 3334 8964
      3357 8958 3368 8942 3372 8931 3372 8919
      3374 8919 3374 8904
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 248DEG 35KT 3364 8940 3339 8957

CME
Local storm report, Apr 29, 3:06 PM CDT, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
306 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0302 PM     HAIL             2 NW BASTROP            32.79N 91.93W
04/29/2016  E1.75 INCH       MOREHOUSE          LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

CME
Local storm report, Apr 29, 3:27 PM CDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
327 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             BASTROP                 32.77N 91.91W
04/29/2016  E1.75 INCH       MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

27
Local storm report, Apr 29, 3:33 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
333 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0148 PM     HAIL             6 NNW GRENADA           33.86N 89.85W
04/29/2016  E1.00 INCH       GRENADA            MS   POST OFFICE

&&

27
Local storm report, Apr 29, 4:02 PM CDT, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
402 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0344 PM     HAIL             MER ROUGE               32.78N 91.79W
04/29/2016  E1.00 INCH       MOREHOUSE          LA   PUBLIC

&&

27

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 11:56 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar34 min
Apr 29, 12:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSunflower27 min
Apr 29, 12:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWashington40 min
Apr 29, 12:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower46 min
Apr 29, 1:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada58 min
Apr 29, 2:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Montgomery2 hr
Apr 29, 2:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCarroll, Montgomery25 min
Apr 29, 2:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWebster47 min
Apr 29, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWebster32 min
Apr 29, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes58 min
Apr 29, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena28 min
Apr 29, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes53 min
Apr 29, 5:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLowndes3 hr
Apr 29, 11:10 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse50 min
Apr 29, 12:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse24 min
Apr 29, 2:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse23 min
Apr 29, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse50 min
Apr 29, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll77 min
Apr 29, 10:53 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAshley52 min
Apr 29, 11:37 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAshley, Chicot38 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2016Flash Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2016Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.