Special Weather Statement, NWS Northern Indiana

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
757 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 757 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

A SURGE OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
LIKELY INITIATE SHOWERS AND SOME STORMS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF A FEW STRONG STORMS THIS EVENING MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
MARION TO FORT WAYNE TO TOLEDO OHIO LINE. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THIS LINE...AND THIS AREA OF RAINFALL
WILL SWEEP EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING WILL
DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN TO THE LOWER LOWER 40S
ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO TO EAST CENTRAL INDIANA. DRY AND COOLER AIR
WILL INFILTRATE FOR MONDAY. HIGHS WILL ONLY BE JUST A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL...PRIMARILY INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 416 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

AWAITING RELATIVELY SHORT WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR CONDITIONAL
STORM/SEVERE POTENTIAL 22-02 UTC TIMEFRAME EAST OF A LOGANSPORT TO
THREE RIVERS MICHIGAN LINE. LATEST HRRR3 CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY RAMP
MLCAPE TO 1000-1500 J/KG RANGE ACROSS SERN CWA IN 22-23 UTC AS 20-30
KT 1-6KFT SOUTHERLY FLOW TAPS THROUGH SHARP ISODROSOTHERMAL GRADIENT
KFWA TO FAR SERN INDIANA WHERE UPPER 50S SURFACE DEWPOINTS RESIDE.
ADDITIONAL CYCLOGENESIS OF NWRN INDIANA SURFACE LOW ANTICIPATED PER
SLOT OF LEADING 4 MB/3HR FALLS KRCR-KHUF SHOULD AID IN MAINTAINING
EFFICIENT MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE NORTHWARD. DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE
SHEAR ON ORDER OF 35-40 KTS WITH STORM INITIATION THOUGH BOTH
INSTABILITY AND DYNAMICS QUICKLY FALTER BEYOND 02 UTC WITH QUICK
EASTWARD SWEEP OF SURFACE FRONT INTO NORTHWEST OHIO. LARGE HAIL
POSSIBLE SHOULD STORMS BREAK WEAKENING CAPPING INVERSION AND TAP
INTO DEEP LAYER 7.5-8 C/KM LAPSE RATE LAYER AS WELL AS A MARGINAL
WIND RISK. FARTHER WEST...CWA IMPACTED BY TRAILING ANAFRONTAL
LIFT/MOISTURE FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL MOVING INTO WRN CWA BEYOND 00
UTC...SAVE FOR POSSIBLE SPRINKLES/BRIEF LIGHT SHRA PRIOR. TURNING
NOTICEABLY COLDER/ALBEIT STILL ONLY A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. DRY
AIR ADVECTION TO AFFORD AT LEAST PARTIAL CLEARING MONDAY AFTERNOON
AS CP AIRMASS/PLAINS RIDGE DENOTED BY 0.2-0.3 PWAT VALUES SETTLES
INTO WRN GRTLKS/MID MS VLY BY 00 UTC.

&&

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 416 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

SFC RIDGE CNTRD THROUGH THE WRN LAKES TO START WILL SHUNT QUICKLY
EWD IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING CYCLONE DVLPG ACRS THE CNTRL PLAINS
TO START THE PD. LL THERMAL TROUGH BLDS IN EARNEST WED W/RTN OF
WELL ABV NORMAL TEMPS LINGERING INTO THU. GIVEN MULTI-CYCLE
CONSOLIDATION/SLWG TRENDS OF GFS/CMC TWD PREFERRED EC
SOLUTION...WILL FOREGO PRIOR POP MENTION ON WED. OTRWS SEASONABLY
STG FROPA XPCD LT WED NIGHT/ERLY THU FOLLOWED BY TEMPERED LL CAA
WING INITIALLY. SECONDARY SW DIGGING/PHASING IN WAKE OF LEAD SYS
EJECTING UP THROUGH WRN QB WILL DRIVE SIG POLAR INTRUSION SWD SAT
NIGHT ALTHOUGH CORE OF COLDEST AIR WILL HOLD NORTH. SOME SHRA PSBL
W/THIS SYS.

STG MODERATION FOLLOWS THEREAFTER AS SIG SW ENERGY DRIVES EWD
INTO THE SRN ROCKIES MID NXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 756 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

EXITING TSRA IN KFWA AREA FOLLOWED BY BRIEF/FEW HOURS PERIOD LULL
BEFORE UPSTREAM ANAFRONTAL SHRA /CURRENTLY STARTING TO ENCROACH
UPON KSBN REGION/ SHIFTS FARTHER EASTWARD. SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR
ADVECTION/LAGGED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
FUELING/ALTERNATE CRITERIA FOR MUCH OF THE LATE NIGHT/EARLY
MORNING HOURS. EVENTUAL DRY AIR ADVECTION SHOULD BRING CIGS AT OR
ABOVE CRITICAL 2KFT AGL LEVEL AROUND DAYBREAK WITH FURTHER
LIFT/DECAY OF CLOUD COVER INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SIG PRESSURE
RISES BEHIND FROPA TO AFFORD SOME SIG GUSTS OVERNIGHT/HIEST AT
KFWA.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MURPHY
SHORT TERM...MURPHY
LONG TERM...T
AVIATION...MURPHY

VISIT US AT WW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
525 AM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-280930-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...
LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...KENDALLVILLE...
LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...PLYMOUTH...
BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...
FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...MONON...BROOKSTON...
LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...
DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...HARTFORD CITY...
MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...
ST. JOSEPH...FAIR PLAIN...BENTON HEIGHTS...BUCHANAN...PAW PAW LAKE...
DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...
JONESVILLE...LITCHFIELD...BRYAN...EDGERTON...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...
SWANTON...DELTA...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...
DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING...ANTWERP...PAYNE...OTTAWA...
LEIPSIC...COLUMBUS GROVE...CONTINENTAL...PANDORA...VAN WERT...
OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE
525 AM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016 /425 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM MONTICELLO INDIANA TO
WARSAW INDIANA TO BRYAN OHIO. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH
OF US ROUTE 24. THE MAIN THREAT IS ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...
BUT LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY.

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

AN ARCTIC FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES...WINDY CONDITIONS...AND SOME
SNOW SHOWERS FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...MAINLY FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE US ROUTE 24
CORRIDOR.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-280930-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
525 AM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...AND AGAIN NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
745 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     HAIL             1 E SPENCERVILLE        41.28N 84.90W
03/27/2016  M0.75 INCH       DE KALB            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.5 INCH TO 0.75 INCH HAIL.

&&

MCD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
752 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

OHZ004-005-015-016-280015-
PUTNAM-HENRY-DEFIANCE-PAULDING-
752 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN DEFIANCE...
NORTHEASTERN PAULDING...EASTERN HENRY AND NORTHWESTERN PUTNAM
COUNTIES...

AT 752 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 7 MILES SOUTH OF
DEFIANCE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DEFIANCE AROUND 800 PM EDT.
  HOLGATE AROUND 810 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE NORTH CREEK...
GALLUP...BRUNERSBURG...STANDLEY...NEW BAVARIA...AYERSVILLE...
WISTERMAN...ARTHUR...OAKWOOD AND JEWELL.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4108 8438 4126 8450 4145 8417 4121 8392
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 236DEG 36KT 4118 8439

JBALL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
754 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0654 PM     HAIL             2 SSE WALLEN            41.13N 85.15W
03/27/2016  M0.88 INCH       ALLEN              IN   PUBLIC

&&

MCD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
804 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             BRYAN                   41.47N 84.55W
03/27/2016  M0.50 INCH       WILLIAMS           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            0.25-0.50 INCH HAIL.

&&

MCD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
813 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

OHZ005-280045-
HENRY-
813 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HENRY COUNTY...

AT 813 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER HOLGATE...OR 8 MILES
SOUTH OF NAPOLEON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DESHLER AND MCCLURE AROUND 830 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE GRELTON...MALINTA...
PLEASANT BEND...GALLUP...NEW BAVARIA...TEXAS...HAMLER...ELERY...
FLORIDA AND COLTON.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4117 8412 4117 8420 4141 8420 4148 8388
      4118 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 253DEG 32KT 4127 8412

JBALL