Small Craft Advisory 45, NWS Northern Indiana

806 
WHUS73 KIWX 100203
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1003 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

LMZ043-046-101015-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0045.160910T1400Z-160911T1200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1003 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
8 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS

* WAVES: 4 TO 8 FEET

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

941 
WHUS73 KIWX 101455
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1055 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2016

LMZ043-046-102300-
/O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-160911T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1055 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY.

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS VEERING NORTHWEST THIS EVENING...
  THEN DIMINISHING SUNDAY

* WAVES: 4 TO 7 FEET

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

906 
WHUS73 KIWX 101950
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
350 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2016

LMZ043-046-110400-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-160911T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
350 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT AND
  SUNDAY.

* WAVES: 5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

713 
WHUS73 KIWX 110154
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2016

LMZ043-046-111000-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-160911T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT 
  AND SUNDAY. 

* WAVES: 5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET 
  SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

998 
WHUS73 KIWX 110741
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
341 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2016

LMZ043-046-111500-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-160911T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
341 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BACKING SOUTH.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 4 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

248 
WHUS73 KIWX 111451
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1051 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2016

LMZ043-046-111600-
/O.EXP.KIWX.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-160911T1500Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1051 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW 4 FEET AND ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE FURTHER
THIS AFTERNOON.

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
354 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 349 PM EDT Fri Sep 9 2016

Showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight ahead of a warm
front. Locally heavy rain is possible along with the potential for
strong to severe storms. Lows will be in the middle 60s. A cold
front will sweep across the area on Saturday with additional
chances for showers and thunderstorms...mainly along and east of
Interstate 69.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 349 PM EDT Fri Sep 9 2016

Focus of forecast on this evening with increasing concerns for at
least 1 round of widespread rain, with embedded storms both in and
on back edge of the rain. Radar currently showing returns over the
SW parts of the area struggling to reach the ground as any
moisture goes to saturation of a large EML as reflected on 12z ILX
sounding. Attention will shift more to the southwest where 2
features of interest reside. The first is the effective surface
warm front located from northeast of St Louis to across the Ohio
River. The second is the remnants of Hurricane Newton work into
the region tonight with surface low pressure developing somewhere
between Chicago and Ft Wayne. These 2 features will help bring the
following elements in 1) Tropical moisture with PWATS in excess of
2 inches resulting in efficient rain producers 2) Increase in low
level jet to 40 kts or more resulting in pockets of increased bulk
shear 3) 0- 1 km Helicity increasing to potentially 100 to 200
m2/s2. HRRR has been fairly consistent in area of rain/embedded
storms taking shape SW of the area and moving in near/just after
00z. SWOMCD just issued highlighting this threat with potential
for watch out to our SW shortly. Have adjusted pop trends faster
with cat pops across the area by late evening. Mention of heavy
rain added to grids tonight but no hydro headlines as convection
should be progressive. This doesn't eliminate any threat for brief
training/redevelopment from boundary interactions.

Everything may exit the area after 6z with potential for a lull
until the cold front approaches from the NW Saturday. At the present
time it appears that locations around and east of I-69 stand the
best chance for shower/storm redevelopment with trends increasing as
they leave the forecast area. Only minor changes for the time being
given greater focus on this evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 349 PM EDT Fri Sep 9 2016

Few changes to long term given potential short term weather
concerns and overall lack of sensible weather issues outside
Tuesday/Tuesday night. Longwave trough will dig into the western
states with a piece of it breaking off and heading east across the
northern Lakes to bring a chance of showers/storms. Otherwise high
pressure should dominate conditions before and after this feature
with seasonable temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 142 PM EDT Fri Sep 9 2016

Fog/stratus mixed out into sct cu deck which should persist this
aftn. Shra over ern IL expected to lift ne across nrn IN this eve
and expand/intensify as llj strengthens south of warm front
resulting in sct ts during this time. Flight conditions expected
to grdly lower to mvfr/ifr overnight as warm front moves through.
Shra should decrease in coverage in warm sector Sat morning with
increasing coverage of shra/ts early aftn as cdfnt approaches.

&&

.IWX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IN...Beach Hazards Statement from Saturday morning through Sunday
     morning for INZ003.

MI...Beach Hazards Statement from Saturday morning through Sunday
     morning for MIZ077.

OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Saturday to 8 AM EDT Sunday for
     LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Fisher
SHORT TERM...Fisher
LONG TERM...Fisher
AVIATION...JT

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1244 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-101645-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...
LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...KENDALLVILLE...
LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...PLYMOUTH...
BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...
FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...MONON...BROOKSTON...
LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...
DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...HARTFORD CITY...
MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...
ST. JOSEPH...FAIR PLAIN...BENTON HEIGHTS...BUCHANAN...PAW PAW LAKE...
DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...
JONESVILLE...LITCHFIELD...BRYAN...EDGERTON...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...
SWANTON...DELTA...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...
DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING...ANTWERP...PAYNE...OTTAWA...
LEIPSIC...COLUMBUS GROVE...CONTINENTAL...PANDORA...VAN WERT...
OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE
1244 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016 /1144 AM CDT FRI SEP 9 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR 2. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR TORNADOES LOOKS TO BE EAST OF A LOGANSPORT TO ANGOLA
LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND AGAIN TUESDAY.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-101645-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1244 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. AN ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS DUE TO
HIGH WAVES AND RIP CURRENTS.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX