Small Craft Advisory 31, NWS Northern Indiana

027 
WHUS73 KIWX 070301
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1101 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

LMZ043-046-071115-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0031.160507T1600Z-160508T0300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1101 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 11 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS: VEERING NORTH 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY MIDDAY SATURDAY... 
  BACKING NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS SATURDAY EVENING...THEN 
  WEST AT 5 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

301 
WHUS73 KIWX 070745
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
345 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016

LMZ043-046-071545-
/O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0031.160507T1500Z-160508T0300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
345 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS: NORTH 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

742 
WHUS73 KIWX 071436
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1036 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016

LMZ043-046-072245-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0031.160507T1500Z-160508T0300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1036 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 30 KNOTS THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...3 TO 5 FEET THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

005 
WHUS73 KIWX 071959
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
359 PM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016

LMZ043-046-080300-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-160508T0300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
359 PM EDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTH 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH EARLY
  EVENING...THEN DIMNINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS BY MIDNIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 7 FEET...SUBSIDING TO 4 FEET OR LESS LATE THIS
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
304 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 234 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

A PLEASANT EVENING IN STORE FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE 50S. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WET CONDITIONS WILL
THEN RETURN FOR MONDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED IN THE 60S THROUGH MOST OF THE
PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 234 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

PERFECT EARLY MAY DAY ACROSS THE REGION WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
CLOUD COVER AND TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 60S TO AROUND 70.
EXPECT MUCH OF TONIGHT TO BE QUIET AS THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST
REMAINS TO THE NORTH. LOWS WILL BE MUCH WARMER THAN PAST FEW
NIGHTS WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S.

MODELS CONTINUE WITH A SOMEWHAT FASTER ARRIVAL TO ANY PRECIP
CHANCES AS SFC FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DROP
SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA STARTING NEAR 12Z SAT AND THEN PROGRESSING
SE THROUGH THE DAY. MOISTURE STILL NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE WITH GULF
MOISTURE WELL SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTH BUT SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR A
FEW SHOWERS...RUMBLE OF THUNDER AS THE FRONT PASSES. BEST CHANCE
FOR CONVECTION STILL RESIDES ACROSS SOUTHERN HALF OR SO OF AREA
GIVEN MORE FAVORABLE TIMING OF LATE AM INTO EARLY PM BUT SEVERE
CHANCES REMAIN MINIMAL (BUT NOT NON-ZERO). SPC DAY 2 OUTLOOK HAS
PUSHED MARGINAL RISK BACK SOUTH OF THE AREA WHICH GIVEN FASTER
TRENDS SEEMS REASONABLE. AS FOR TEMPERATURES HIGHS IN THE NW WILL
BE REACHED EARLY WITH STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING TEMPERATURES BEFORE
SOME CHANCE FOR LATE AFTERNOON RECOVERY IF CLOUDS CAN CLEAR FAST
ENOUGH. HAVE MAINTAINED A CHC OF SHOWERS IN FAR SOUTHERN AREAS
INTO SAT EVENING...BUT NEXT FORECAST MAY BE ABLE TO REMOVE AS
FRONT REMAINS PROGRESSIVE.

&&

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MEANDER AROUND THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE
PERIOD WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS AS WELL AS VARIABLE
TEMPERATURES DEPENDING ON PROXIMITY TO THE FRONT AND ANY
PRECIPITATION. FRONT WILL BEGIN TO RETURN NORTH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY AS FIRST IN A SERIES OF WAVES MOVES INTO THE AREA.
BEST CHANCES ARRIVES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS MAIN SFC
LOW IMPACTS THE REGION. SUPERBLEND OF GUIDANCE WANTED TO INTRODUCE
CATEGORICAL POPS...BUT AGREE WITH PREVIOUS SHIFT THAT EVEN LIKELY
POPS MAY BE A BIT HIGH GIVEN CONVECTIVE NATURE AND TIME FRAME.
WITH GULF OPEN CANNOT RULE OUT SOME STRONGER STORMS DURING HEIGHT
OF THE EVENT AS SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE SHEAR
REMAIN NEAR BY. PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH TRENDS.

THE FRONT WILL SETTLE SOUTH AS THE LOW PASSES TO BRING DECREASING
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS. HOWEVER...MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL REMAIN CLOSE
ENOUGH TO WARRANT CHC POPS THROUGH REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. SOME
BRIEF DRY PERIODS WILL LIKELY OCCUR...BUT CONFIDENCE IN MODELS TOO
LOW TO GET THAT DETAILED IN GRIDS AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAINS FAIRLY SEASONABLE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 105 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. ONLY WX CONCERN IS
POSSIBLE LLWS LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD...AS LOW LEVEL JET RAMPS UP
AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. MODELS SHOWING NOSE OF JET JUST
INTO NW IN BEFORE SINKING SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS BY THE END OF
THIS TAF PD. THEREFORE...WILL LEAVE OUT LLWS IN THIS FORECAST AND
WILL REASSESS POTENTIAL DURING NEXT FORECAST PERIOD. SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE TS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION NEAR AND JUST BEYOND THE
TAF PERIOD...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING/COVERAGE PRECLUDES
MENTION IN THIS FORECAST.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...FISHER
SHORT TERM...FISHER
LONG TERM...FISHER
AVIATION...NG

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
432 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-070845-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...
LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...KENDALLVILLE...
LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...PLYMOUTH...
BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...
FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...MONON...BROOKSTON...
LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...
DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...HARTFORD CITY...
MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...
ST. JOSEPH...FAIR PLAIN...BENTON HEIGHTS...BUCHANAN...PAW PAW LAKE...
DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
WHITE PIGEON...MENDON...COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...
JONESVILLE...LITCHFIELD...BRYAN...EDGERTON...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...
SWANTON...DELTA...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...
DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING...ANTWERP...PAYNE...OTTAWA...
LEIPSIC...COLUMBUS GROVE...CONTINENTAL...PANDORA...VAN WERT...
OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE
432 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016 /332 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AND AGAIN
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXCPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-070845-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
432 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX