Small Craft Advisory 3, NWS Northern Indiana

033 
WHUS73 KIWX 130613
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
113 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LMZ043-046-131415-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160113T1600Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
113 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND DECREASING TO
  10 TO 20 KNOTS TOWARD DAYBREAK.

* WAVES: 4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

099 
WHUS73 KIWX 131007
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
507 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LMZ043-046-131815-
/O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T1100Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
507 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 2 TO 5 FEET.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

776 
WHUS73 KIWX 131531
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1031 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LMZ043-046-132345-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T1100Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1031 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 2 TO 5 FEET.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

550 
WHUS73 KIWX 132043
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
343 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LMZ043-046-132145-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T1100Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
343 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
402 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 356 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...PRIMARILY CONFINED
TO NORTH OF THE TOLL ROAD...WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST.
A WEAK CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE ENTIRE
REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. HIGHS WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID TEENS NEAR HILLSDALE MICHIGAN TO LOWER 20S NEAR
MONTICELLO INDIANA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 355 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

SHALLOW YET EFFICIENT LAKE EFFECT ONGOING. VSBYS CONTINUE AOB 1SM IN
HEAVIER SNOWBANDS...AGITATED BY STRONG POST ARCTIC FRONT/GRADIENT
FLOW/BLSN. GIVEN ONGOING EVENT/LOW VSBYS AT ISSUANCE WILL ALLOW
HEADLINES TO CONTINUE AS IS WITH 00 UTC EXPIRY OVERALL GOOD. DGZ
JUST OFF THE GROUND AND INTO LOWER HALF OF SUPERSATURATED CLOUD
BEARING LAYER. AS FLOW BACKS THE REMAINDER OF EVENING...LES TO BE
CONFINED TO ALONG/NORTH OF TOLL ROAD WITH INLAND EXTENT LESSENED BY
OVERWHELM OF UNDERLYING DEEP LAYER SUBSIDENCE AMID 100-150M/12 HR
MID TROP HEIGHT RISES AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WITH SUBZERO SURFACE
DEWPOINTS BEGINNING TO UNDERCUT SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. CONTINUE TO
UNDERCUT MOS WITH MIN TEMPS AMID FRESH SNOWPACK/CORE OF LOW LEVEL
THERMAL TROF OVERHEAD. TRANSITION/FOCUS SHIFTS TO SERIES OF LEE SIDE
NORTHERN ROCKIES WAVES TO A STRONGER WAVE OVER CENTRAL ALBERTA. THIS
WAVE TO FOLLOW INTO SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF DOWNSTREAM TROF...REACHING
MOUTH OF OHIO RIVER AROUND 18 UTC WED. WHILE OVERALL SURFACE
REFLECTION OF CLIPPER SYSTEM IS WEAK...CWA WITHIN STRONGLY
DIFFLUENT/DIVERGENT EXIT REGION OF 140-150KT 3H JET CORE.
ADDITIONALLY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS SHOULD BECOME EASILY SATURATED
AMID ARRIVAL OF 2-2.5G/KG ON I285 SURFACE...VOID OF TYPICAL
SUBCLOUD SATURATION CONCERNS IN SIMILAR EVENTS. DEGREE OF MOISTURE
FLUX CONVERGENCE/ISENT UPGLIDE POINTS TO HIGH POP/LOW QPF EVENT
WITH QUICK SNOW BURST IN 18-24 UTC TIMEFRAME...EXITING INTO
NWRN/NORTH CENTRAL OHIO LATE WED EVENING. MINIMUM APPARENT ABOUT
M10F...JUST ABOVE ADVISORY LEVEL OVERNIGHT AND COVERED IN HWO.

&&

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 355 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES AS FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS WITH SHORT
WAVE ENERGY ROUNDING THE BASE OF DEEP UPPER LOW OVER HUDSON BAY
WITH WEAK CLIPPER SFC REFLECTION OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES.
LIGHT SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE
AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING ANOTHER INCH OF SNOW TO MUCH OF THE
CWA. NEXT SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE PLAINS WILL TAP INTO SOUTHERN
STREAM ENERGY INDUCING DOWNSTREAM HEIGHT RISES IN EXCESS OF 100M
OVER THE MIDWEST THURSDAY...BRINGING A QUICK REBOUND FROM ARCTIC
INTRUSION AS TEMPS CLIMB INTO THE MID 30S. ONSET OF PRECIP
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT IN WAA
PATTERN AHEAD OF DEVELOPING LOW RESULTING IN RAIN FOR PRECIP TYPE.
PLENTY OF SPREAD AND UNCERTAINTY AMONG THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
WITH TRACK OF SFC LOW ACROSS OUR AREA ON FRIDAY AS PHASING OF
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS HAS MODELS STRUGGLING. SYSTEM
ULTIMATELY MAKES ITS WAY TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY SATURDAY WITH
ANOTHER STRONG ARCTIC INTRUSION WAITING BEHIND IT AS UPPER LOW
ROTATES INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY. SO AFTER TEMPS
TOP OUT NEAR 40 ON FRIDAY...EXPECT RAIN FRIDAY TO TRANSITION BACK
TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN BROAD CYCLONIC
FLOW ON SATURDAY WILL BECOME PURELY LAKE EFFECT SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS BOTTOM OUT BY MONDAY MORNING AS THERMAL TROF
ROTATES INTO THE AREA AS UPPER LOW SHIFTS EASTWARD...EXPECT ANY
CLOUD FREE AREAS TO DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR LOWS AND HIGHS
MONDAY ONLY IN THE TEENS. LES LINGERS THRU THE END OF THE PERIOD
THANKS TO PERSISTENCE OF LAKE AGGREGATE TROF AS SFC HIGH SLOW TO
BUILD INTO THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1245 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

ANTICIPATE CONTINUED GRADUAL DWINDLING OF LAKE EFFECT FOR KSBN
THIS AFTERNOON AMID LOWERING INVERSION HEIGHTS. AT KFWA
SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER TRANSITION TO VFR AS DOWNWARD VERTICAL
MOTION...OUTSIDE OF LES BANDS THAT BECOME RELEGATED CLOSER TO THE
LAKE/FARTHER NW WITH TIME...AND BACKING/GRADUALLY WEAKENING FLOW
BRING END TO SHSN/BLSN THERE. SOME INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER LATE IN
FORECAST PERIOD AS CLIPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES. SOME REDUCTIONS IN
VSBY LIKELY IN LATER FORECASTS FOR WED AFTN.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     INZ004>007.

MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MIZ080-
     081.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MIZ077>079.

OH...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MURPHY
SHORT TERM...MURPHY
LONG TERM...JAL
AVIATION...MURPHY

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
651 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

MIZ077>081-131000-
BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
COLDWATER...HILLSDALE
651 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO
OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN ZERO AND 10 BELOW ZERO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE SNOW MAY CAUSE ROADS TO BECOME SLIPPERY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE ENCOURAGED AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-
024-025-131000-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-WILLIAMS-
FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...BRYAN...
WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...
OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
651 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 /551 PM CST TUE JAN 12 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO AND
NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO
OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 BELOW ZERO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE SNOW MAY CAUSE ROADS TO BECOME SLIPPERY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE ENCOURAGED AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-131000-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
651 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HAZARD CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXIST OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS WEEKEND.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
324 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     SNOW             5 SW FORT WAYNE         40.98N  85.19W
01/12/2016  M1.9 INCH        ALLEN              IN   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            STORM TOTAL AS OF 1 PM EST

&&

NG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
325 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     SNOW             2 N NORTH WEBSTER       41.36N  85.70W
01/12/2016  M3.4 INCH        KOSCIUSKO          IN   NWS OFFICE

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR AS OF 1 PM EST

&&

NG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
408 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     SNOW             2 SE GEORGETOWN         41.71N  86.21W
01/12/2016  M4.2 INCH        ST. JOSEPH         IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR

&&

NG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
511 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0332 PM     HEAVY SNOW       GEORGETOWN              41.73N  86.23W
01/12/2016  M6.5 INCH        ST. JOSEPH         IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR

&&

NG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
514 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 PM     HEAVY SNOW       3 N MISHAWAKA           41.71N  86.15W
01/12/2016  M6.2 INCH        ST. JOSEPH         IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR. 5 INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT.

&&

NG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
600 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HEAVY SNOW       NILES                   41.83N  86.25W
01/12/2016  M6.0 INCH        BERRIEN            MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STORM TOTAL AS OF 530 PM EST IN DOWNTOWN NILES

&&

NG