Severe Thunderstorm Warning 111, NWS Lincoln, IL

806 
WWUS53 KILX 132259
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
559 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

ILC033-079-101-159-132309-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-160713T2300Z/
CRAWFORD-JASPER-RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
559 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD...JASPER...RICHLAND
AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 600 PM CDT...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY AND EASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM.

LAT...LON 3857 8814 3917 8828 3918 8775 3915 8763
      3915 8765 3912 8763 3911 8765 3906 8757
      3899 8756 3899 8758 3896 8751 3890 8752
      3889 8754 3886 8755 3879 8750 3869 8752
      3864 8762 3859 8762 3859 8764 3857 8765
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 268DEG 49KT 3916 8824 3860 8823 

$$

MILLER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
306 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

SPC issued a severe thunderstorm watch until 9 pm across our CWA.
A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms was over eastern parts
of Vermilion, Edgar and Clark counties pushing ENE around 30 mph
into IN. A large MCS with a line of strong to severe thunderstorms
was pushing into far western IL near MS river valley from IA/MO.
CAPES have risen to 3-4k J/kg across CWA ahead of the storms and 0-6
km bulk shear was increasing between 30-45 kts over western IL at
mid afternoon near the storms. Dewpoints in the low to mid 70s and
temps in the mid 80s to lower 90s was supporting these higher CAPES.
Heat indices were 100-105F in southeast IL where more sunshine today
and in the 90s over central IL. MCS is moving eastward around 30 mph
and HRRR brings these thunderstorms east toward the IL/IN border by
00Z and then diminishing from west to east during mid/late evening.
Pops were lowered overnight behind this MCS with lingering 30-50%
chance pops over southeast IL while slight chances in central IL.
Muggy lows overnight mostly in the lower 70s with some upper 60s nw
of IL river.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

SPC day2 outlook has expanded the marginal risk of severe
thunderstorms Thu afternoon to as far north as I-72. A frontal
boundary over the upper MS river valley over nw parts of WI/IA is
progged to track southeast across central IL Thu morning and thru
southeast IL during Thu afternoon. Still some instability along and
ahead of the front supporting marginal risk of severe storms south
of I-72 Thu afternoon though coverage will be much lower than today.
High Thu in the mid to upper 80s while dewpoints in the mid 60s nw
over IL river valley, and lower 70s in southeast IL. Afternoon heat
index values peak in mid 90s in southeast IL south of I-70.

Lingered slight chance of showers/thunderstorms over southeast IL
Thu night into Fri night closer to frontal boundary and some weak
instability over southern IL. Cooler highs around 80F from I-74
north on Friday with mid 80s southeast of I-70. Saturday still looks
dry across CWA with highs of 80-85F and dewpoints in the low to mid
60s. Have slight chance of showers/thunderstorms far nw CWA
overnight Sat night ahead of approaching weather system moving into
the upper Midwest. Most of our CWA should still be dry on Sat night
though. Have 20-40% pops arriving on Sunday with the higher pops
west of I-57. Seasonable highs Sunday in the mid to upper 80s while
dewpoints rising into the lower 70s by Sunday afternoon so getting
more humid again.

Have chances of showers and thunderstorms continuing Sunday night
through Monday night across CWA with slight pops on Tuesday
especially in eastern IL. A strong 600 dm 500 mb high builds over
the central plains early next week and have disturbances riding over
top of it across central and southeast IL. Models expand this
subtropical ridge eastward into IL by middle of next week as 500 mb
heights rise above 594 dm by Wed, with heat and humidity increasing
and having dry conditions Tue night and Wed.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1217 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

Area of thunderstorms currently pushing east across Missouri, and
is projected to move into west central Illinois toward mid-
afternoon. Added in a TEMPO period at all TAF sites for the
heavier storms, which may produce brief IFR conditions as they
move through. Cold front is expected to arrive late Thursday
morning, with a gradual wind shift toward the west-northwest.

&&

.ILX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...Geelhart

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1145 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>053-141100-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-
MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-
TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
1145 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...MOVING EAST OUT OF MISSOURI. THE PRIMARY THREAT IS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL OR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO.

HEAT INDEX VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES IN SOME
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA TO START NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FRAME IS BETWEEN 3 PM AND 8 PM.

ILZ044>046-054>057-061-141100-
CHAMPAIGN-COLES-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SHELBY-VERMILION-
1145 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY DURING VERY
LATE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL OR AN ISOLATED
TORNADO.

HEAT INDEX VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO EARLY THURSDAY. AFTER A
COUPLE DAYS OF QUIET WEATHER... THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME IS BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9 PM.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-141100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
1145 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
MORE LIKELY THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO BE SEVERE...MAINLY THIS EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE
PRIMARY THREAT. HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL OR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO.

HEAT INDEX VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO FRIDAY. AFTER A BRIEF LULL
ON SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING...MAINLY BETWEEN
5 PM AND 10 PM.

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
453 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     TSTM WND DMG     N SPRINGFIELD           39.78N 89.64W
07/13/2016                   SANGAMON           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            NUMEROUS SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
455 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW LAURA              40.94N 89.94W
07/13/2016                   PEORIA             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS/BRANCHES DOWN

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
457 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EDINBURG                39.66N 89.39W
07/13/2016                   CHRISTIAN          IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            12 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
501 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     W LINCOLN               40.15N 89.37W
07/13/2016                   LOGAN              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON WEST SIDE OF TOWN

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT PULASKI           40.01N 89.28W
07/13/2016                   LOGAN              IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN AT VINE STREET

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
511 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PEORIA                  40.74N 89.61W
07/13/2016                   PEORIA             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            2 TREES DOWN...3 FOOT DIAMETER AT ROUTE 78 AND LAWRENCE

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
515 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARQUETTE HEIGHTS       40.62N 89.60W
07/13/2016                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            1.5 FOOT DIAMETER TREE SNAPPED

&&

JRP