Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Wilmington, OH

957 
WGUS71 KILN 270400
FFSILN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1200 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

KYC037-OHC001-015-025-061-145-270410-
/O.EXP.KILN.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160427T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMPBELL KY-SCIOTO OH-CLERMONT OH-HAMILTON OH-ADAMS OH-BROWN OH-
1200 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL CAMPBELL...NORTHWESTERN
SCIOTO...CENTRAL CLERMONT...SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...NORTHERN ADAMS
AND CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED AND ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT
TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY ROAD CLOSURES.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS FLASH FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMITTING YOUR REPORT
VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

LAT...LON 3898 8443 3909 8443 3903 8387 3902 8387
      3895 8306 3881 8305

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
655 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT ALONG A SLOW MOVING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL SAG SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. THE THREAT
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY LATE WEDNESDAY WHEN THE BOUNDARY IS FORECAST
TO LIFT BACK NORTH AHEAD OF A POTENT WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE. HIGH
PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED ALONG I-71 IS MOVING GRADUALLY SOUTH...
PUSHED BY SHORT WAVE ENERGY EMBEDDED IN A MEAN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED NEAR THE BOUNDARY IN A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS CONTAINING AROUND 2000 J/KG CAPE.
SEVERE THREAT EXISTS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS THE MAIN CONCERN.

CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN COVERAGE AS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. WARNINGS ARE BEING ISSUED
MAINLY FOR LARGE HAIL. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 111 IS NOW IN
EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. ANOTHER SHOT OF CONVECTION
CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA IS LIKELY TO ARRIVE AS THE FRONT
MOVES SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER LATER TONIGHT...THOUGH IT MAY BE
DIMINISHED IN INTENSITY BY LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE INFLUENCED BY THE POSITION OF THE BOUNDARY.
LOWS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE MID 40S FAR NORTH...TO THE
UPPER 50S FAR SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE SOUTH OF THE AREA EARLY
WEDNESDAY...BEFORE IT LIFTS NORTH TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR
THE OHIO RIVER BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE AND FORCING WILL
INCREASE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHEN A POTENT WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL BE PUSHING TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE WEST. MARGINAL SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST MAINLY IN SOUTHERN LOCATIONS CLOSER TO
THE BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED FORCING.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO VARY WITH RESPECT TO FRONTAL
POSITION. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S FAR
NORTH TO THE MID 70S FAR SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THURSDAY STARTS OUT WITH A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE MIDWEST AND A
WARM FRONT SOUTHWEST OF THE CWA LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. PRECIPITATION
SHOULD TURN OFF OVERNIGHT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AS A H5 S/W
MOVES INTO THE AREA. AS THE H5 S/W CROSSES...ANY CHANCE FOR
LINGERING SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH.

BROAD HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL PROVIDE A LULL IN ANY
RAINFALL WITH AN EASTERLY DRYING WIND ON SATURDAY AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A
REPEATED PATTERN WILL SEE ANOTHER SURFACE LOW IN THE MIDWEST WITH AN
EASTERLY ORIENTED WARM FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP STARTING WITH
THE HEATING OF THE DAY SATURDAY AND CULMINATING DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY WHEN THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS OVER OHIO.  UPPER LEVEL PATTERN
HAS ANOTHER S/W MOVING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH SHOULD TURN OFF
ANY RAIN MONDAY. GFS...EUROPEAN...AND HPC GUIDANCE ALL DIFFER BEYOND
SUNDAY AS THE GFS IS PROGRESSIVE WITH THE SURFACE WAVE AND SHOULD BE
THE WAY THE PATTERN EVOLVES GIVEN H5 ZONAL FLOW. EUROPEAN HOLDS BACK
THE SURFACE LOW MONDAY AND HPC GOES EVEN FURTHER WITH KEEPING THE
CIRCULATION IN OHIO THROUGH TUESDAY. LEANED TOWARD THE MORE
PROGRESSIVE GFS AND KEPT A COOLER FORECAST UNTIL MON/TUES AS THE
CLEAR SKIES WITH HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN WILL OFFSET ANY WEAK COLD
ADVECTION WITH A HIGH IN THE UPPER MIDWEST.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLY MILD IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S FOR

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SCATTERED SHRA AND CONVECTION BEGINNING TO DEVELOP MAINLY SOUTH OF
I-70. HAVE INCLUDED VCTS FOR THE AFTERNOON IN NORTHERN TAF SITES
WITH MORE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SOUTH NEAR OHIO RIVER
DURING THE EVENING. MODELS INDICATING AT LEAST MVFR CIGS ACROSS FCST
AREA AFTER 03Z INTO THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. WILL KEEP THOSE IN FCST
WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT NEAR 18Z WEDNESDAY. EXPECT SCATTERED SHRA TO
RETURN TO SOUTHWEST TAF SITES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WINDS GENERALLY WEST TURNING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY NEAR 10 KNOTS.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO
NEAR TERM...CONIGLIO
SHORT TERM...CONIGLIO
LONG TERM...FRANKS
AVIATION...PADGETT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
504 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-064-065-074-270915-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-
HOCKING-
504 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL
OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ060>063-070>073-077>082-
088-270915-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
FAYETTE OH-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
504 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND
MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION GOING INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THE MOST LIKELY
TIMING FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE
BETWEEN 4 PM AND 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY.
A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY AND THURSDAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
624 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     HAIL             4 ESE FORT THOMAS       39.06N 84.39W
04/26/2016  M1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1/2 TO 1 INCH HAIL.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
641 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             HIGHLAND HEIGHTS        39.04N 84.45W
04/26/2016  M1.00 INCH       CAMPBELL           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
644 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GROVE CITY              39.87N 83.07W
04/26/2016  M2.30 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FELL IN ONE HOURS TIME.

&&

JOHNF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
645 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0644 PM     HAIL             COLD SPRING             39.01N 84.43W
04/26/2016  M0.50 INCH       CAMPBELL           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KURZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
645 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

INZ066-074-OHZ070-071-077-262315-
DEARBORN IN-FRANKLIN IN-HAMILTON OH-WARREN OH-BUTLER OH-
645 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN DEARBORN...
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHWESTERN HAMILTON...WEST CENTRAL WARREN
AND BUTLER COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 645 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH
OF OXFORD...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CINCINNATI...HAMILTON...MIDDLETOWN...FAIRFIELD...FOREST PARK...
SHARONVILLE...MONROE...TRENTON...SPRINGDALE...HARRISON...NORTH COLLEGE
HILL...WYOMING...MOUNT HEALTHY...FINNEYTOWN...WEST CHESTER...ROSS...SEVEN
MILE...COLERAIN TOWNSHIP...WETHERINGTON AND OLDE WEST CHESTER.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 I-74 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 169 AND 171.
 I-74 IN OHIO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 2.
 I-75 IN OHIO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 14 AND 31.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3948 8485 3947 8429 3917 8450 3930 8495
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 273DEG 39KT 3939 8477

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
650 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HAIL             GROVEPORT               39.85N 82.88W
04/26/2016  E0.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&