Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Wilmington, NC

091 
WWUS52 KILM 242040
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
440 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

SCC031-041-067-242049-
/O.EXP.KILM.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160624T2045Z/
FLORENCE SC-DARLINGTON SC-MARION SC-
440 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL FLORENCE...EAST
CENTRAL DARLINGTON AND NORTHERN MARION COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM
EDT...
        
THIS WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
THAT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM.

LAT...LON 3433 7980 3430 7961 3426 7956 3424 7955
      3427 7949 3421 7915 3397 7947 3418 7987
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 278DEG 25KT 3423 7974 

$$

MBB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
401 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Thunderstorms this evening and tonight may be severe. High heat
and humidity will result in elevated heat indices again today. A
cold front will drop very slowly south and across the area
Saturday. High pressure will build in behind the front bringing
drier weather for Sunday, but the risk for thunderstorms will
increase again next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 345 PM Friday...Impulse that is expected to enhance TSTM
intensity was skirting the northern TN/NC border. Activity thus
far has been focused on an W to E outflow boundary produced from
previous convection. As a result, am expecting renewed develop to
form later this afternoon and evening north and west of SE NC and
NE SC. This expected development stands a better chance of more
organized structure and stronger intensity through evening. The
SPC released a mesoscale discussion indicating only a 20% chance
of a watch through 5 PM, but again this does not speak for
tonight. Odds of damaging winds and large hail stands at 15% for
tonight and the 'slight risk' status remains intact. The severe
window in terms of peak intensity remains between 8PM and 3AM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 345 PM Friday...Rain showers and isolated TSTMS will linger
along the eastern half of NE SC and SE NC Saturday as a sluggish
frontal boundary briefly hangs up near the coast before being
pushed S and E. The SPC only carries general thunder for Saturday
and pop values will taper from NW to SE through the day. The air
mass will not see a great deal of change but clouds and rain will
keep maximums quite a bit cooler than today. Sunday will'feel' a
bit different as post-frontal drying lowers dewpoints a few ticks.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 3 PM Friday... The weather will be fairly seasonable but also
fairly unsettled through the long term. Monday and Tuesday bring
initially weak northwest flow that will ramp up slightly while the
piedmont trough and afternoon seabreeze both making contributions to
storms. And with the northwest flow even the immediate coast will
not be exempt from storms. Wednesday and Thursday will drop a front
into the area that should stall. Wherever this boundary stalls
should become the favored zone for storms and areas north and west
of it may become a local minimum. Future forecasts may be able to
add such detail. On friday the next upper trough passing by well to
our north looks to pull the front back out of the area once again.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

AS OF 18Z FRIDAY...A bit of uncertainty regarding thunderstorms
today as various model guidance differs considerably with respect to
timing and placement, and these storms will be strong enough for IFR
visibilities and rather strong winds. The solution we have opted for
breaks out the strongest storms over inland terminals later this
afternoon whereas coastal terminals see the heaviest activity more
towards evening, perhaps even after dark. A little bit of MFVR fog
may form towards the predawn hours especially in areas that see
rain. A cold front may come into LBT and maybe even FLO towards the
end of the TAF period.

Extended outlook...Sct TS overnight Fri, Sat and Tues. Otherwise VFR.

&&

.MARINE...

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

As of 345 PM Friday...Bumpy conditions on the waters with 15-20
KT SW winds, and an exercise caution statement will be needed this
evening ahead of an approaching front. Seas generally 4-5 ft with
dominant wave periods of 5-6 seconds. Strong to severe TSTMS will
likely rake the waters tonight and mariners are urged to obtain a
radar update before heading out even on the ICW.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 345 PM Friday...Easing SW winds Saturday will see a shift to
the N-NE as a weak and slow moving cold front pushed S and E. No
advisories or caution statements are expected but a few TSTMS may
linger over the 0-20 nm waters Saturday. A light onshore wind
expected Sunday and much improved compared to recent days, with
seas 2-3 ft seas, down from 3-4 on Saturday.As of 3 PM
Wednesday...

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

As of 3 PM Friday...Outside of thunderstorms there should be some
pretty quiet marine conditions in place through the duration of the
long term. Easterly winds on Monday will slowly veer as the day
wears on and speeds remain capped at just 10 kt. The piedmont trough
and west Atlantic high pressure will then yield southwesterly flow
of a similarly feeble strength for Tuesday and Wednesday.
Predominant wave heights currently expected to stay at 2 ft and
below though a little swell energy could yield some of 3 ft towards
the outer reaches of our 20 nm zones.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...RJD/DRH
SHORT TERM...RJD
LONG TERM...SHK
AVIATION...MRR
MARINE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
613 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

SCZ032-033-039-053-055-251015-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
613 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT PONDING IN LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME GENERAL AREA.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE 100 TO 104 DEGREES FOR AN
HOUR OR TWO WITH A FEW LOCATIONS UP TO 105.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ087-096-099-105>109-SCZ017-023-024-056-251015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-
DARLINGTON-DILLON-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
613 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT PONDING IN LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME GENERAL AREA.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR 100 TO 104 DEGREES FOR
AN HOUR OR TWO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ110-SCZ054-251015-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-COASTAL HORRY-
613 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT PONDING IN LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME GENERAL AREA.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR 100 TO 104 DEGREES FOR
AN HOUR OR TWO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ250-252-254-256-251015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM-
613 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

27

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1124 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

NCZ096-099-109-241615-
COLUMBUS NC-BLADEN NC-INLAND BRUNSWICK NC-
1124 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR SOUTHEASTERN BLADEN...NORTHEASTERN
COLUMBUS AND CENTRAL BRUNSWICK COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM EDT...

AT 1123 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER WHITEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHITEVILLE...LAKE WACCAMAW...SANDYFIELD...COUNCIL...REDBUG...
SOUTHEASTERN COMMUNITY COLLEGE...FREEMAN...HALLSBORO...DELCO...
HONEY ISLAND...KELLY...ELKTON...CARVERS...MAKATOKA...EMERSON...
RIEGELWOOD...CRUSOE ISLAND...BRUNSWICK...CLARKTON AND BOLTON.

THIS INCLUDES US ROUTE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 387 AND 422.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO MINOR FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 7819 3440 7825 3439 7825 3437 7823
      3438 7823 3437 7821 3436 7821 3435 7820
      3437 7815 3436 7815 3409 7835 3432 7881
      3449 7869
TIME...MOT...LOC 1523Z 276DEG 28KT 3435 7869

JDW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
243 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

NCZ096-105-241930-
BLADEN NC-INLAND PENDER NC-
243 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR SOUTHEASTERN BLADEN AND WESTERN
PENDER COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

AT 242 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ROWAN...OR 17 MILES WEST OF BURGAW...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURGAW...ROWAN...MONTAGUE...CURRIE...THE BOROUGH...MALPASS CORNER...
MURRAY TOWN...WARDS CORNER...KELLY...ROOKS...LONG CREEK...
PENDERLEA...POINT CASWELL...ST. HELENA...ATKINSON...
WATHA AND PENDER MEMORIAL HOSPITAL.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 392 AND 402.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3438 7796 3437 7799 3436 7798 3434 7799
      3433 7805 3434 7806 3434 7808 3435 7808
      3437 7814 3435 7820 3437 7821 3438 7823
      3440 7826 3439 7827 3447 7839 3464 7832
      3463 7832 3455 7825 3468 7816 3467 7781
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 277DEG 19KT 3456 7824

JDW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
304 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

SCZ017-023-024-032-241945-
FLORENCE SC-DILLON SC-MARLBORO SC-DARLINGTON SC-
304 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NORTH CENTRAL FLORENCE...MARLBORO...
DARLINGTON AND WESTERN DILLON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 303 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
FROM NEAR DARLINGTON...TO CHERAW...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLORENCE...BENNETTSVILLE...HARTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...MCCOLL...
QUINBY...CLIO...BINGHAM...MINTURN...CHAVISTOWN...OAK GROVE...
FLORENCE DARLINGTON TECHNICAL COLLEGE MAIN CAMPUS...BROWNSVILLE...
DOVESVILLE...WALLACE...NORTH HARTSVILLE...MONT CLARE...
DARLINGTON RACEWAY...FLOYD AND MARS BLUFF.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 95 IN SOUTH CAROLINA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
162 AND 184.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3449 8005 3449 7989 3453 7983 3461 7981
      3461 7978 3465 7980 3469 7987 3474 7989
      3477 7993 3481 7993 3481 7968 3460 7943
      3425 7953 3425 7955 3421 7954 3419 7957
      3416 7956 3404 7959 3442 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 269DEG 24KT 3461 7986

JDW