Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 12, NWS Wilmington, NC

May 3, 2016Bladen County, Columbus County, Robeson County, North Carolina

NWS Wilmington, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 3, 2016, 4:43 PM EDT for Bladen County, Columbus County, Robeson County, North Carolina. It was in force for 62 min. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 3, 2016, 4:43 PM EDT (20:43 UTC)
Expired: May 3, 2016, 5:45 PM EDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Wilmington, NC
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Bladen County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Robeson County, NC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 3, 5:10 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 Ese Evergreen, NC	TREE DOWN ACROSS WALTER SHAW RD.
May 3, 5:15 PM EDT	HAIL 1	2 Se Mount Olive, NC	NEAR INTERSECTION OF OLD LUMBERTON ROAD AND PEACOCK ROAD
May 3, 5:26 PM EDT	HAIL 0.88	2 Ssw Wootens Crossroad, NC	NICKEL SIZED HAIL MIXED IN WITH SMALLER PIECES
May 3, 5:30 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	2 Nnw Barb Crest Traile, NC	PORTA-POTTY THROWN 150 FEET
May 3, 5:30 PM EDT	HAIL 1	2 Nnw Barb Crest Traile, NC	SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE TO FIVE ACRES OF STRAWBERRIES
May 3, 5:31 PM EDT	HAIL 0.88	3 N Barb Crest Trailer, NC	DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 27 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 3, 2:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1450 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 726 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.6
Supercell composite: 5.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

287 
WUUS52 KILM 032043
SVRILM
NCC017-047-155-032145-
/O.NEW.KILM.SV.W.0012.160503T2043Z-160503T2145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
443 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN BLADEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN COLUMBUS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN ROBESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 443 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BARNESVILLE...
  OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF LUMBERTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FAIRMONT...CHADBOURN...FAIR BLUFF...BOARDMAN...SOUTHEASTERN COMMUNITY
  COLLEGE...BARNESVILLE...ABBOTTSBURG...EVERGREEN...ELKTON...CLARENDON...
  CLARKTON...CERRO GORDO...PROCTORVILLE AND ORRUM.

THIS INCLUDES US ROUTE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 367 AND 392.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3443 7920 3455 7905 3451 7856 3418 7886
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 284DEG 20KT 3445 7907 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

III

4 follow-up statements

325 
WWUS52 KILM 032058
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
458 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

NCC017-047-155-032145-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160503T2145Z/
BLADEN NC-COLUMBUS NC-ROBESON NC-
458 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN BLADEN...NORTHWESTERN COLUMBUS AND SOUTHEASTERN
ROBESON COUNTIES...

AT 457 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BOARDMAN...OR 14
MILES SOUTH OF LUMBERTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHADBOURN...BOARDMAN...ELKTON...SOUTHEASTERN COMMUNITY COLLEGE...
BARNESVILLE...CLARENDON...ABBOTTSBURG...EVERGREEN...CLARKTON...CERRO GORDO
AND ORRUM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3442 7906 3454 7896 3451 7856 3418 7886
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 284DEG 20KT 3443 7897 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

III

512 
WWUS52 KILM 032107
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
507 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

NCC155-032117-
/O.CAN.KILM.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160503T2145Z/
ROBESON NC-
507 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROBESON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3451 7856 3418 7886 3441 7897 3444 7896
      3446 7890 3450 7885 3452 7886 3453 7884
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 284DEG 20KT 3442 7891 

$$

NCC017-047-032145-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160503T2145Z/
BLADEN NC-COLUMBUS NC-
507 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN BLADEN AND NORTHWESTERN COLUMBUS COUNTIES...

AT 507 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER EVERGREEN...OR
13 MILES NORTHWEST OF WHITEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHADBOURN...BOARDMAN...ELKTON...SOUTHEASTERN COMMUNITY COLLEGE...
CLARENDON...ABBOTTSBURG...EVERGREEN...CLARKTON AND CERRO GORDO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3451 7856 3418 7886 3441 7897 3444 7896
      3446 7890 3450 7885 3452 7886 3453 7884
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 284DEG 20KT 3442 7891 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

III

695 
WWUS52 KILM 032121
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
521 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

NCC017-047-032145-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160503T2145Z/
BLADEN NC-COLUMBUS NC-
521 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN BLADEN AND NORTH CENTRAL COLUMBUS COUNTIES...

AT 521 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SOUTHEASTERN
COMMUNITY COLLEGE...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WHITEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT
25 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHADBOURN...ELKTON...ABBOTTSBURG...SOUTHEASTERN COMMUNITY COLLEGE AND
CLARKTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3451 7856 3426 7879 3439 7888 3444 7886
      3450 7880 3453 7880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 289DEG 22KT 3440 7880 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

III

053 
WWUS52 KILM 032133
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
533 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

NCC017-032143-
/O.CAN.KILM.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160503T2145Z/
BLADEN NC-
533 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN BLADEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3446 7866 3446 7865 3445 7866 3445 7862
      3426 7879 3431 7882 3441 7874 3447 7867
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 283DEG 20KT 3438 7870 

$$

NCC047-032145-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160503T2145Z/
COLUMBUS NC-
533 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL COLUMBUS COUNTY...

AT 533 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WHITEVILLE...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOUTHEASTERN COMMUNITY COLLEGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 7866 3446 7865 3445 7866 3445 7862
      3426 7879 3431 7882 3441 7874 3447 7867
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 283DEG 20KT 3438 7870 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

III

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 3, 3:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 3, 3:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
319 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A
COLD UPPER LOW WILL DROP OVER THE CAROLINAS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SCATTERED GUSTY SHOWERS.
DRYING AND WARMING WILL FOLLOW INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 315 PM TUESDAY...MUCH AS EXPECTED WE ARE SEEING SOME
REGENERATION OF CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON IN THE AREAS THAT
CLEARED THE EARLIEST...AND THUS HEATED UP THE QUICKEST.
HOWEVER...THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN WEAK TO MODERATE IN SCOPE SO FAR
AND THAT IS LIKELY DUE TO THE THOROUGH WORKING OVER THE
ATMOSPHERE RECEIVED LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THIS IS
NOT TO SAY THAT THE THREAT HAS TOTALLY DIMINISHED. WE NOW HAVE THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA COVERED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER
140...WHICH IS GOOD UNTIL 01Z. SOUNDING ANALYSIS SHOWS A RETURN TO
A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO THE IMPENDING...IF VERY SLOW
MOVING...COLD FRONT AND A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER IMPULSES EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE DEEPENING 500MB LONGWAVE TROUGH AND A FAVORABLE WIND
SHEAR PROFILE. SO...WE WILL BE RAMPING UP POPS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH PRECIP POTENTIAL PEAKING LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT.
ANOTHER HALF INCH QPF DOES NOT SEEM UNREASONABLE SHOULD THIS
SCENARIO PLAY OUT. WILL ADD SVR WORDING TO THE ZONES TO COVER THE
LATEST WATCH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 PM TUESDAY...A VERY UNSEASONABLY DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL
DROP SOUTH OVER EASTERN CONUS THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH THE UPPER
COLD POOL SITTING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD BY THURSDAY EVENING. AT THE
SURFACE A COLD FRONT WILL VERY SLOWLY PUSH EAST AND OFFSHORE FROM
THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A COOLING TREND...WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S ON WEDNESDAY DROPPING TO RIGHT AROUND 70 ON
THURSDAY. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL ONLY BE AROUND 50. STEEP LAPSE
RATES INDUCED BY THE UPPER COLD POOL WILL ENHANCE PRECIP
POTENTIAL...WITH SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS...PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM TUESDAY...PERIOD BEGINS WITH OMEGA BLOCK IN PLACE
BUT BLOCK IS SHORT LIVED AND BY THE START OF NEXT WEEK MID LEVEL
RIDGING TO THE WEST WILL BE HEADING EAST. BEST PRECIP CHANCES WILL
BE FRI WHEN MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE HIGHEST. PRESENCE OF ANY
MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE COLD 5H LOW OVER NC/VA WILL ALMOST
CERTAINLY PRODUCE ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION...BUT THE BEST
ACTIVITY MAY END UP NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL
RUN BELOW CLIMO FRI AND FRI NIGHT.

PRECIP CHANCES WILL DECREASE FOR THE WEEKEND. THE MID LEVEL LOW
WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEAST ON SAT. ALTHOUGH SOME MID LEVEL COLD AIR
REMAINS IN PLACE THE LACK OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND WEAKENING MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL MAKE AFTERNOON SHOWERS LESS LIKELY. MID
LEVELS DRY OUT EVEN MORE ON SUN AS THE 5H RIDGE MOVES EAST AND
DOWNSLOPE FLOW/SUBSIDENCE INCREASES. BACKDOOR COLD FRONT TRIES TO
DROP IN FROM THE NORTH MON/TUE BUT NOT SURE HOW FAR SOUTH IT WILL
MOVE BEFORE STALLING. THERE IS LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR SOME PRECIP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT BUT FOR NOW PLAN TO MAINTAIN DRY
FORECAST THROUGH END OF THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES NEAR SO SLIGHTLY
BELOW CLIMO SAT WILL RUN ABOVE CLIMO SUN THROUGH TUE. IF THE COLD
FRONT DROPS FARTHER SOUTH THAN EXPECTED TEMPS COULD END UP NEAR
CLIMO MON AND MON NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 18Z...WIDESPREAD CONVECTION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA WITH
MAINLY MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS CU DEVELOPED.
MODELS CONTINUED TO SHOW SOME REGENERATION OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND AS OF NOW...A COUPLE OF CLUSTERS WERE APPROACHING
THE MYRTLES AND LUMBERTON. EXPECT BEST CHANCE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY AND ALONG AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WILL INDICATE
VCSH/VCTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON ATTM. EXPECT MAINLY VFR THIS EVENING
BUT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH OVERNIGHT THE INTRODUCTION OF
COOLER AIR MAY CAUSE MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS TO DEVELOP.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE FROM CONVECTION THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. VFR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SCT 4SM SHRA THU
AND FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 315 PM TUESDAY...SW FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT ADVANCES UPON THE COASTAL WATERS. FRONT WILL BE SLOW MOVING
AND MAY NOT MAKE IT OFFSHORE BY SUNRISE. GREATEST THREAT TO
MARINERS OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO BE FROM SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY SEVERE...WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE...EXPECTING SW WINDS OF
10 TO 15 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FT. SEAS SE OF
CAPE FEAR MAY RUN A BIT HIGHER THOUGH...MORE LIKE 3 TO 5 FT.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 PM TUESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL VERY SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY
ACROSS THE WATERS ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SW WINDS
EARLY IN THE PERIOD ULTIMATELY BECOMING WEST AND NW BY THE END OF
THE SHORT TERM. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
PRESENT THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE COLD SURGE FOLLOWING FROPA IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BRING ADVISORY CONDITIONS ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY GUST UP
TO AROUND 25 KTS IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM TUESDAY...WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES FRI WITH
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 KT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. SLOW MOVING SURFACE LOW
IN THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION WILL KEEP THE GRADIENT TIGHT INTO SAT.
GRADIENT DOES START TO RELAX SAT AFTERNOON AS THE LOW STARTS
MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. REDUCTION IN WIND SPEEDS SAT IS
ACCOMPANIED BY A LATE DAY SHIFT TO WEST-SOUTHWEST. SOUTHWEST FLOW
CONTINUES SAT NIGHT AND SUN WITH SPEEDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS WILL BE
TRENDING DOWN AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...DROPPING FROM 2 TO 4 FT
FRI AM TO 2 TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WEAKENING OFFSHORE FLOW
EVENTUALLY DROPS SEAS TO 2 FT OR LESS SAT BUT DEVELOPMENT OF
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PUSH SEAS BACK TO 2 TO 3 FT SUN.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 140 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING ALL ZONES.
NC...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 140 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING ALL ZONES.
MARINE...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 140 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING ALL ZONES.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SHK
NEAR TERM...REK
SHORT TERM...REK
LONG TERM...III
AVIATION...RGZ/MRR
MARINE...REK/III/SHK

Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 3:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
301 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

AMZ250-252-254-256-041915-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM-
301 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 140 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ087-096-099-105-107-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053-055-056-
041915-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
301 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 140 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ106-108-041915-
COASTAL PENDER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
301 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 140 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ110-SCZ054-041915-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-COASTAL HORRY-
301 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 140 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 3, 4:24 PM EDT, 19 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
424 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

NCZ087-096-099-032130-
COLUMBUS-BLADEN-ROBESON-
424 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN BLADEN...
NORTHWESTERN COLUMBUS AND SOUTHEASTERN ROBESON COUNTIES...

AT 424 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR FAIRMONT...OR 10 MILES
NORTHEAST OF DILLON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FAIRMONT...BLADENBORO...FAIR BLUFF...BOARDMAN...BARNESVILLE...ABBOTTSBURG...
EVERGREEN...BUTTERS...MARIETTA...PROCTORVILLE...MCDONALD AND ORRUM.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 74 NEAR MILE MARKER 212...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 209 AND
210...AND NEAR MILE MARKER 214.
 INTERSTATE 95 IN NORTH CAROLINA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 9 AND 13.
 US ROUTE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 365 AND 380.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

LAT...LON 3453 7864 3429 7903 3439 7918 3448 7928
      3449 7927 3460 7913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 283DEG 17KT 3449 7920

III

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 3, 3:22 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILM	Robeson	53 min
May 3, 4:16 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILM	Bladen, Robeson	59 min
May 3, 5:16 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILM	Bladen, Columbus, Pender	59 min
May 3, 6:24 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILM	Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Pender	51 min
May 3, 7:19 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILM	Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender	56 min
May 3, 8:59 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILM	Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender	61 min
May 3, 10:11 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILM	Brunswick, New Hanover	3 hr
May 3, 4:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILM	Robeson	66 min
May 3, 4:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILM	Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Pender	61 min
May 3, 5:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILM	Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus	61 min
May 3, 6:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILM	Brunswick, Columbus	23 min
May 3, 6:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILM	New Hanover	67 min
May 3, 7:11 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILM	Cumberland	19 min
May 3, 7:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILM	Brunswick, New Hanover	26 min
May 3, 7:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILM	Bladen, Robeson	52 min
May 3, 7:32 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	ILM		58 min
May 3, 7:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILM	Hoke	36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.