River Flood Warning 3, NWS Wilmington, NC

305 
WGUS82 KILM 081432
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
932 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...

  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties 
  SC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-090632-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0003.160112T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.160112T0600Z.160113T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* from late Monday night until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 39.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 44.6 feet by early Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of 
  the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC155-090632-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151225T2339Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  6:55 AM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 14.2 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-090632-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-160113T1800Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.160105T1445Z.160113T0600Z.NO/
932 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

...Flood Warning now in effect until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to rise in the Fork Retch 
  community located near Nichols. Flood waters will begin to affect some homes 
  at Fork Retch. Swampland flooding will increase.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-090632-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.160103T0037Z.160108T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.2 feet by this afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-090632-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.151223T2225Z.160105T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 23.3 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding will affect swamp and timberlands while also 
  disrupting logging operations. Operations will likely cease and equipment not 
  previously moved will remain trapped. Some farmland will have minor flooding 
  especially around Britton Neck.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$

29

384 
WGUS82 KILM 090100
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
800 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...

  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties 
  SC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-091700-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0003.160112T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.160112T0600Z.160113T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
800 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* from late Monday night until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 39.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 44.6 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of 
  the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC155-091700-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151225T2339Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
800 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  6:03 PM Friday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 14.1 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-091700-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.160105T1445Z.160113T1200Z.NO/
800 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

...Flood Warning now in effect until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to rise in the Fork Retch 
  community located near Nichols. Flood waters will begin to affect some homes 
  at Fork Retch. Swampland flooding will increase.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-091700-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.160103T0037Z.160109T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
800 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.3 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-091700-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.151223T2225Z.160105T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
800 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 22.6 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding will affect swamp and timberlands while also 
  disrupting logging operations. Operations will likely cease and equipment not 
  previously moved will remain trapped. Some farmland will have minor flooding 
  especially around Britton Neck.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$
43

365 
WGUS82 KILM 091529
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1029 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties
  SC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-091559-
/O.CAN.KILM.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160109T1529Z/
/STPN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 39.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 41.4 feet Wednesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 42.0 feet...Water levels will top the navigational lock. Operations
  stop and the equipment must be removed. Minor flooding will occur on land 
  adjacent to the left bank of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC155-100729-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151225T2339Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Saturday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by early tomorrow 
  afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-100729-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.160105T1445Z.160113T1200Z.NO/
1029 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to rise in the Fork Retch 
  community located near Nichols. Flood waters will begin to affect some homes 
  at Fork Retch. Swampland flooding will increase.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-100729-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.160103T0037Z.160109T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 12.3 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-100729-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.151223T2225Z.160105T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.8 feet by this afternoon.
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding will affect swamp and timberlands while also 
  disrupting logging operations. Operations will likely cease and equipment not 
  previously moved will remain trapped. Some farmland will have minor flooding 
  especially around Britton Neck.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$

31

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
620 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WEDGE WILL PERSIST ONE MORE DAY WHILE A MID
LEVEL IMPULSE CREATES LIGHT SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE TODAY. A WARM
FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY BRINGING A BETTER
CHANCE FOR RAIN AND MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT WILL
SWEEP ACROSS THE CAROLINAS SUNDAY BRINGING DRY AND MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
REINFORCING THE COLD AIR THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 6 AM FRIDAY...LOOMING AND DAMP OVERCAST WILL COAT THE
REGION WITH A GLOOMY MIST THIS MORNING AS A SATURATED AND TRAPPED
AIR MASS ENCOMPASSES THE LOW-LEVELS OF THE TROPOSPHERE. THE LEADEN
SKIES WILL MASK THE INFLUX OF INCREASING MID-LEVEL CLOUDS AS SHORT
WAVE IMPULSING MIGRATES SW TO NE OVERHEAD OF THE AREA...SEVERAL
HOURS EITHER SIDE OF MIDDAY. THIS WILL SPATTER A PITTER-PATTER OF
LIGHT SHOWERS FROM ALOFT THROUGH THE SODDEN INVERSION. PRIMARY
AXIS OF HIGHEST QPF WILL DEFLECT WEST OF OUR AREA THROUGH THE
CENTRAL CAROLINAS AND VERY LITTLE WATER OVERALL WILL MEASURE IN
THE RAIN BUCKETS TODAY. CONTRIBUTION OF ADDITIONAL VAPOR FROM
ABOVE HOWEVER...FOLLOWED BY A PRESSING SUBSIDENCE ALOFT LATE TODAY
AND OVERNIGHT MAY INDUCE PERIODS OF DRIZZLE. NOT AN IDEAL DAY FOR
PHOTOGRAPHS DESIGNED TO ATTRACT TOURISM. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES
FORECAST TODAY REPRESENT THE COLDER SIDE OF GUIDANCE BASED ON A
TENACIOUS WEDGE AND SPOTTY -DZ/-RA. MINIMUMS TONIGHT DROPPING LESS
THAN 10 DEG F FROM THE MAX TEMPS UNDER A GRIPPING AND CLAMMY CLOUD
COVER WITH NEUTRAL AIR TEMPERATURE ADVECTION AND HINDERED DIURNAL
COOLING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM FRIDAY...WARM BUT UNSETTLED FOR THE WKND AS A LARGE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE GULF COAST INTO THE GREAT
LAKES...DRAGGING ITS WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.
GUIDANCE HAS SLOWED THE TIMING OF THIS WARM FRONT A BIT AS THE WEDGE
REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTN BEFORE ERODING BEHIND THE
WARM FRONT. AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
AFTN...TEMPS WILL CLIMB QUICKLY AS 850MB TEMPS RISE TO 11-12C ON
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WAA. DESPITE INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS...TEMPS SATURDAY WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 60S ALONG THE
COAST...TO AROUND 60 IN THE FAR WESTERN PERIPHERY. WINDS CONTINUE TO
INCREASE AS THE LLJ NOSES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME
GUIDANCE INDICATING UP TO 40 KTS DEVELOPING AT 2KFT. THIS SUGGESTS
SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE QUITE GUSTY...AND ISOLATED THUNDER
CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS INSTABILITY INCREASES FROM PARCELS LIFTED
JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL FEATURE THE BEST CHANCE
FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT OVERALL BASIN-WIDE QPF SHOULD
NOT BE THAT IMPRESSIVE DUE TO THE RAPID MOTION OF THE ASSOCIATED
STORM SYSTEM. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE VERY WARM...NOT FALLING
OUT OF THE LOW 50S.

COLD FRONT WILL BE ON THE DOORSTEP SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL RACE
ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING MUCH DRIER AND MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS ON
SUNDAY. A NON-DIURNAL TYPE HOURLY CURVE IS FORECAST AS HIGHS ARE
LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. WHILE SUNDAY'S HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE MID 60S...WELL ABOVE NORMAL...AFTN 'REALIZED' HIGHS WILL
LIKELY BE COOLER THAN THAT. STRONG CAA DROPS 850MB TEMPS DOWN TO
AROUND -2C...AND AND CLEAR BUT COLD SUNDAY NIGHT IS FORECAST WITH
LOWS DIPPING INTO THE MID/UPR 30S AND EVEN COLDER WIND CHILLS THANKS
TO CONTINUED NORTH WINDS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM FRIDAY...COLD AND DRY FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK AS
EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PART
OF THE COUNTRY DOWN FROM CANADA. A LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NEAR NEW
ENGLAND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS. THIS FRONT WILL BE DRY HOWEVER...AND JUST ENHANCE THE
COLD AIR ALREADY IN PLACE. THIS PERIOD LOOKS QUITE COLD...AND WITH
THE AO FORECAST TO DROP SHARPLY NEGATIVE...THE COLDER ECE NUMBERS
ARE PREFERRED THE ENTIRE PERIOD...CREATING BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FOR
BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS EACH DAY...WITH WEDNESDAY POSSIBLY THE COLDEST
OF THE WEEK WHEN HIGHS AND LOWS WILL BOTH BE AROUND 10 DEG BELOW
NORMAL. WHILE THE PATTERN IN PLACE SUPPORTS COASTAL LOW
PRESSURES...THERE ARE NONE ON THE HORIZON ATTM SO JUST COLD AND DRY
WILL BE THE RULE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 12Z...HIGH CONFIDENCE OF IFR CEILINGS WITH AMPLE LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE ATOP A SURFACE WEDGE. THE CHANCES FOR -DZ AND -RA WILL
INCREASE DURING THE MORNING AS A NEGATIVELY TILTED IMPULSE LIFTS
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. SLUG OF DRIER AIR WILL BRING AN END TO THE
PRECIPITATION BY THIS EVENING...HOWEVER STRATUS WILL REMAIN EVEN
AS MID-LEVEL DRYING OCCURS. THUS A CONTINUATION OF IFR CIGS AND
LOW VSBYS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...POTENTIAL FOR IFR-MVFR EARLY SUNDAY. OTHERWISE
EXPECT VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
AS OF 6 AM FRIDAY...WINDS AND SEAS HAVE EASED JUST ENOUGH TO
DOWNGRADE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO AN EXERCISE CAUTION
STATEMENT SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR...BUT AN ADVISORY WILL REMAIN POSTED
NORTH OF CAPE FEAR DUE TO PERSISTENT HIGHER SEAS OFFSHORE THIS
MORNING. WINDS WILL HOLD BELOW 20 KT IN MOST AREAS EXCEPT FAR
OUTER WATERS FROM FRYING PAN SHOALS NORTHWARD...WHERE GUSTS TO 25
KT WILL LINGER THIS MORNING. E WAVE ENERGY FROM THE STRONG
OFFSHORE LOW ALONG 68 W MAY HOLD SEAS IN ADVISORY RANGE NORTH OF
CAPE FEAR BEYOND MIDDAY AND UPDATES FOR AN EXTENSION OF SCA
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. MIST AND DRIZZLE MAY REDUCE VSBYS BELOW 2
NM AT TIMES TODAY. DOMINANT WAVE PERIODS WILL TRANSITION FROM 7-8
SECONDS TO AROUND 11 SECONDS AS THE LONGER PERIOD E WAVES ARRIVE.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM FRIDAY...MARINERS WILL ENCOUNTER NEARLY THE ENTIRE
COMPASS OF WIND DIRECTIONS THIS PERIOD AS BOTH A WARM FRONT AND A
COLD FRONT PASS ACROSS THE WATERS. LIGHT E/NE WINDS GREET SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH...CAUSING WINDS TO VEER
SLOWLY TO THE SE BY SATURDAY EVENING...AND THEN SW SATURDAY NIGHT.
ALONG WITH THIS CHANGE IN DIRECTION...SPEEDS INCREASE
QUICKLY...BECOMING 20-25 KTS SATURDAY EVENING AND REMAINING ELEVATED
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND THEN CROSS THE
WATERS SUNDAY AFTN/EVE...CAUSING WINDS TO SHIFT FURTHER...FIRST TO
THE WEST...AND FINALLY NW SUNDAY NIGHT. SPEEDS WILL FALL ONLY SLOWLY
HOWEVER...DROPPING TO SUB SCA THRESHOLDS ONLY LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

SEAS WILL RISE QUICKLY WITH THIS INCREASING WINDS...AND THE VARIETY
OF WIND DIRECTIONS WILL LIKELY CREATE A CONFUSED SEA SPECTRUM FOR AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME. THIS WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE POOR MARINE
CONDITIONS ALREADY IN PLACE DUE TO THE SCA EXPECTED FOR A MAJORITY
OF THE WEEKEND THANKS TO WAVES RISING FROM 3-5 FT EARLY
SATURDAY...TO 4-7 FT SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND THEN SLOWLY
FALLING BACK TO 3-5 FT AT THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM FRIDAY...GUSTY NW WINDS AROUND 15 KTS BOOKEND THIS
PERIOD BEHIND TWO COLD FRONTS. THE FIRST WILL BE OFFSHORE MONDAY
MORNING...THE SECOND WILL CROSS THE WATERS LATE TUESDAY. IN
BETWEEN...HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE TOWARDS THE WATERS CAUSING A
REDUCED PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WINDS W/NW AROUND 10 KTS. THE LARGEST
WAVES WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST WINDS BOTH MONDAY MORNING AND
LATE TUESDAY...WHEN 3-5 FT SEAS ARE POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE...WAVE
HEIGHTS OF 2-3 FT WILL BE MOST COMMON ON THE LIGHTER OFFSHORE WIND
FLOW.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR AMZ250.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JDW
NEAR TERM...MJC
SHORT TERM...JDW
LONG TERM...JDW
AVIATION...MJC
MARINE...MJC/JDW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
345 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-090845-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
345 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ252-090845-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
345 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ250-090845-
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
345 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ254-090845-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
345 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ256-090845-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
345 AM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

8