Flash Flood Watch 6, NWS Wilmington, NC

678 
WGUS62 KILM 061919
FFAILM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
319 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM MATTHEW MAY LEAD TO FLOODING FROM
FRIDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...

NCZ087-096-SCZ017-023-024-070400-
/O.EXB.KILM.FF.A.0006.161007T0400Z-161009T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROBESON-BLADEN-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...
BLADENBORO...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON
319 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH 
  CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN AND 
  ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...DARLINGTON...DILLON AND 
  MARLBORO. 

* FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 6-9 INCHES FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW.

* GROUNDS WILL BECOME SATURATED INTO THE WEEKEND AS PERIODS OF 
  HEAVY RAINFALL MOVE ONSHORE. THIS NOT ONLY WILL LEAD TO AREAS 
  OF FLOODING...BUT DOWNED TREES FROM WINDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY 
  COULD LEAD TO DAMAGE IMPACTS INCLUDING POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ099-105>110-SCZ032-033-039-053>056-070400-
/O.CON.KILM.FF.A.0006.161007T0400Z-161009T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-FLORENCE-
MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...
LAKE WACCAMAW...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...MASONBORO...
MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH...FLORENCE...MARION...
MULLINS...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
319 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH 
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH 
  CAROLINA...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER...COASTAL 
  PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER AND 
  INLAND PENDER. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL 
  GEORGETOWN...COASTAL HORRY...FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN... 
  INLAND HORRY...MARION AND WILLIAMSBURG. 

* FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 7-11 INCHES FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW.

* GROUNDS WILL BECOME SATURATED INTO THE WEEKEND AS PERIODS OF 
  HEAVY RAINFALL MOVE ONSHORE. THIS NOT ONLY WILL LEAD TO AREAS 
  OF FLOODING...BUT DOWNED TREES FROM WINDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY 
  COULD LEAD TO DAMAGE IMPACTS INCLUDING POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

8

880 
WGUS62 KILM 070356
FFAILM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1156 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM MATTHEW MAY LEAD TO FLOODING BEGINNING
LATE FRIDAY THROUGH MUCH OF THE THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...

NCZ087-096-SCZ017-023-024-071200-
/O.EXT.KILM.FF.A.0006.161007T0400Z-161009T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROBESON-BLADEN-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...
BLADENBORO...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON
1156 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH 
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH 
  CAROLINA...BLADEN AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA... 
  DARLINGTON...DILLON AND MARLBORO. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 6-10 INCHES FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW.

* GROUNDS WILL BECOME SATURATED INTO THE WEEKEND AS PERIODS OF
  HEAVY RAINFALL MOVE ONSHORE AND WELL INLAND. THIS NOT ONLY WILL
  LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING...BUT DOWNED TREES FROM STRONG AND
  GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY COULD LEAD TO DAMAGE IMPACTS
  INCLUDING EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES AND IMPASSABLE ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ099-105>110-SCZ032-033-039-053>056-071200-
/O.CON.KILM.FF.A.0006.161007T0400Z-161009T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-FLORENCE-
MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...
LAKE WACCAMAW...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...MASONBORO...
MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH...FLORENCE...MARION...
MULLINS...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
1156 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH 
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH 
  CAROLINA...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER...COASTAL 
  PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER AND 
  INLAND PENDER. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL 
  GEORGETOWN...COASTAL HORRY...FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN... 
  INLAND HORRY...MARION AND WILLIAMSBURG. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 8-12 INCHES FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW.

* GROUNDS WILL BECOME SATURATED INTO THE WEEKEND AS PERIODS OF
  HEAVY RAINFALL MOVE ONSHORE AND INLAND. THIS NOT ONLY WILL LEAD
  TO AREAS OF FLOODING...BUT DOWNED TREES FROM STRONG AND GUSTY
  WINDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY COULD LEAD TO DAMAGE IMPACTS INCLUDING
  EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES AND IMPASSABLE ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
DCH

793 
WGUS62 KILM 070913
FFAILM

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
513 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL POSE A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-072000-
/O.CON.KILM.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...
BLADENBORO...WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...
LAKE WACCAMAW...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...MASONBORO...
MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...
HARTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON...FLORENCE...
MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
513 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

  IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

  BLADEN...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS...AND
  ROBESON. 

  IN NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

  GEORGETOWN...HORRY...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...
  MARLBORO AND WILLIAMSBURG.

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ALONG THE COAST, AND 7
  TO 10 INCHES INLAND.

* LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING MAY DEVELOP AS HURRICANE MATTHEW
  BRINGS WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. SOILS ARE
  ALREADY WET AND CANNOT ABSORB ADDITIONAL RAIN. THE HEAVIEST
  RAIN AND HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
  THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

TRA

759 
WGUS62 KILM 080102
FFAILM

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
902 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL POSE A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-081100-
/O.CON.KILM.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-161009T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...
BLADENBORO...WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...
LAKE WACCAMAW...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...MASONBORO...
MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...
HARTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON...FLORENCE...
MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
902 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH 
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH 
  CAROLINA...BLADEN...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER... 
  COASTAL PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW 
  HANOVER...INLAND PENDER AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH 
  CAROLINA...COASTAL GEORGETOWN...COASTAL HORRY...DARLINGTON... 
  DILLON...FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN...INLAND HORRY... 
  MARION...MARLBORO AND WILLIAMSBURG. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* STORM TOTAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING COULD
  REACH 10 TO 15 INCHES EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR...WITH 7 TO 10
  INCHES ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR.

* LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING MAY DEVELOP AS HURRICANE MATTHEW
  BRINGS WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST NC AND
  NORTHEAST SC. SOILS ARE ALREADY MOIST AND WILL NOT BE ABLE TO
  ABSORB ALL OF THIS POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST
  RAIN AND HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
  THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ANY ONGOING FLOODING MAY CONTINUE TO
  OCCUR EVEN LONG AFTER WHEN THE RAINS HAVE ENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

DOUGH

586 
WGUS62 KILM 080836
FFAILM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
436 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL POSE A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT THROUGH TONIGHT...

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-082000-
/O.EXT.KILM.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-161009T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...
BLADENBORO...WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...
LAKE WACCAMAW...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...MASONBORO...
MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...
HARTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON...FLORENCE...
MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
436 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

  IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

  BLADEN...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS...AND
  ROBESON. 

  IN NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

  GEORGETOWN...HORRY...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...
  MARLBORO AND WILLIAMSBURG.

* THROUGH TONIGHT

* STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT COULD REACH 10 TO 15 INCHES
  EAST OF INTERSTATE 95...AND 7 TO 10 INCHES ALONG AND WEST OF
  INTERSTATE 95.

* LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING MAY DEVELOP AS HURRICANE MATTHEW
  BRINGS WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHEASTERN SOUTH
  CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. SOILS ARE SATURATED
  AND ARE UNABLE TO ABSORB ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAIN
  AND HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED NOW THROUGH THIS
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

TRA

662 
WGUS62 KILM 090109
FFAILM

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
909 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM MATTHEW NO LONGER EXPECTED....

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-090215-
/O.CAN.KILM.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-161009T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...
BLADENBORO...WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...
LAKE WACCAMAW...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...MASONBORO...
MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...
HARTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON...FLORENCE...
MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
909 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

NO ADDITIONAL EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FROM HURRICANE
MATTHEW AS HE SLOWLY PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT.

AS A RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

HOWEVER...ONGOING FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE 
REGION THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT PERIODS. VARIOUS FLOOD
ORIENTED WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OFFICE TO KEEP PEOPLE UPDATED
OF THE FLOODING SITUATION FOR SPECIFIC AREAS.

$$

DOUGH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
659 AM EDT Thu Oct 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong high pressure will build in from the north, but will slide
offshore by the end of the week allowing Hurricane Matthew to
move across the Bahamas and toward the Florida coast. Matthew
is expected to affect portions of eastern South and North Carolina
with wind, rain, and large surf, however much uncertainty remains.
Cool high pressure will build across the area from the west early
next week in the wake of Matthew.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 700 AM Thursday...An upper level ridge of high pressure
centered just offshore will build stronger tonight. This feature
is supporting a surface high over New England which should also
move east and offshore tonight. A front stalled off the Carolina
coast near the Gulf Stream should move slowly westward, crossing
the coastal waters tonight and moving onshore either late tonight
or Friday morning.

A vertical profile of the atmosphere shows plenty of low-level
moisture due to the onshore flow off the Atlantic. A subsidence
inversion between 3500-7500 feet AGL is trapping this moisture and
is helping produce areas of low clouds. Mostly cloudy skies should
stick around creating a cool day with highs only in the 70s.
Moisture should initially be too shallow for showers, however by
late in the day the potential of showers should grow to 30-50 percent,
especially north of Cape Fear according to the latest two HRRR
runs. Shower chances then should increase to 60-70 percent
(highest along the coast) by late tonight as the warm front
approaches.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM Thursday...Hurricane Matthew will move out of the
Bahamas and approach the Florida east coast Friday. Confidence
becomes lower Friday night into Saturday about how far north
Matthew can make it before turning eastward. In addition to track
questions, there are questions about what Matthew's wind field and
rainfall distribution will look like given the extreme wind shear
that should be buffeting the storm as it moves north of the
latitude of Savannah, GA. Pending any changes based on the 5 AM
NHC forecast, we are anticipating the storm to follow a clockwise-
curving path off the South Carolina coast, approaching to within
~75 miles of Cape Fear before retreating farther offshore Sunday.

Rainfall intensity should increase dramatically Friday night and
Saturday as strong onshore winds north of Matthew advect in deep
Atlantic moisture. It's too early to post a Flash Flood Watch for
what is still a 4th and 5th period event, but the real potential for
6-12 inches of rain exists. Given the very wet September we had (12-
19 inches of rain along much of the coast) soils have little ability
to absorb runoff and and rivers are high.

Heavy rainfall may begin to taper off from west to east Saturday
night, although latest ECMWF/GFS model runs suggest rain may
continue into Sunday, especially east of I-95. Wind shear should
begin to tilt the vertical circulation of Matthew Saturday night,
with the GFS showing the 300-500 mb circulation getting pushed well
east of the weakening low-level center. Matthew is so strong that
even a weakening storm will still be capable of producing
significant wind, rain, and coastal impacts through Saturday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 400 AM Thursday...While the trend of uncertainty continues
with the forecast track for Hurricane Matthew for the weekend, the
concern of potential threats to the area continues. Per the latest
track from the National Hurricane Center as of 2 AM, the center of
Matthew will be roughly south-southeast of the Cape Fear region
Sunday morning, and potentially continue on a southeast track
through early next week. However, the latest ECMWF 00Z guidance
seems to be hinting at a slightly slower and northward adjustment,
while the GFS is similar, but without the slightly northward
adjustment for the weekend.  With that said, expect portions of the
forecast area to still be experiencing gusty winds and precipitation
affects from Matthew on Sunday

Into next week, anticipate fairly quiet conditions to move in on
Monday as Matthew moves farther away and high pressure builds into
the area from the west. A drier and cooler airmass will bring early
fall-like temperatures to the area with high's in the lower 70's and
overnight lows in the mid 50's through mid week. A slight warming
trend to climo temperatures later in the week with high's in the
mid to upper 70's.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 12Z...Look for predominately MVFR conditions for much of the
forecast period as high pressure continues to wedge into the region
from the north. Hurricane Matthew will contribute to the pressure
gradient, with northeast winds expected to gust to around 25 kts by
late morning through the afternoon hours. The HRRR model shows
showers coming ashore at ILM this afternoon which seems fairly
plausible, given the decent moisture and low level convergence. The
main effects from the tropical system will not be felt until after
the end of the forecast period.

 EXTENDED OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR due to low clouds/rain,
along with gusty winds, possible Friday through Sunday near the
vicinity of Hurricane Matthew. VFR Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 700 AM Thursday...1026 mb high pressure centered over new
england has built southward into the Carolinas. A stalled front
sitting out over the Gulf Stream should begin to move westward
today, passing across the coastal waters tonight as the outer
circulation around Hurricane Matthew veers our winds more
easterly. Wind speeds are actually at a maximum right now early
this morning with gusts over 30 knots out at the Frying Pan Shoals
buoy and at the Wrightsville Beach offshore buoy. Wind speeds
should decrease to less than 20 knots tonight as the front pushes
inland.

The large fetch of easterly winds across the western Atlantic has
built seas to 5-8 feet across the coastal waters. Wave heights
should slowly diminish this afternoon, reaching 4-6 feet tonight.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM Thursday...Hurricane Matthew and its exact track will
prove instrumental to the conditions we'll end up experiencing
across the coastal waters. On the latest forecast track from the
National Hurricane Center, tropical storm force winds should develop
along the South Carolina coast Friday night, spreading northward to
encompass the Cape Fear waters Saturday morning. Any deviation in
speed, track, or intensity of Matthew could make huge changes in
wind/wave conditions we'll experience. The only certainty is that
Matthew will produce adverse marine weather conditions through the
period.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 400 AM Thursday...Expect hazardous headlines across the waters
on Sunday into early Monday morning as the latest track of Hurricane
Matthew from the National Hurricane Center illustrates the system
offshore of SC around this time. Dangerous and rough water
conditions will already be in place heading into the forecast period
with seas around 10 to 15 ft Sunday morning and near 15 to 25 ft in
the outer waters. At this point, sustained east-northeast winds will
be near tropical storm force with higher gusts through Sunday night.
On Monday, northeast winds around 25 kts will continue, with seas to
near 8 to 10 ft. Will continue to note that the intensity and
strength of Hurricane Matthew remains uncertain, and will become
clearer as the storm nears the east coast in the next few days.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for SCZ054-056.
NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ106-108.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Friday for AMZ250-252-254-
     256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...TRA
SHORT TERM...TRA
LONG TERM...SGL
AVIATION...DL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
553 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

NCZ087-096-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-071000-
ROBESON-BLADEN-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-
553 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND AS HURRICANE MATTHEW
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 3
TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THESE HIGHER
TOTALS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ250-252-254-256-071000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM-
553 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP AS HURRICANE
MATTHEW MOVES NORTHWARD THROUGH THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF THE
CAROLINAS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. EXTREME WAVE HEIGHTS OVER 15 FEET
ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ099-105-107-109-110-SCZ053-055-071000-
COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-INLAND HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
553 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND AS HURRICANE MATTHEW
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS COULD
RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING. WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY COULD REACH HURRICANE FORCE, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-071000-
COASTAL PENDER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-COASTAL HORRY-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
553 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS, AND A STRONG LONGSHORE CURRENT
  AT THE BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND AS HURRICANE MATTHEW
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS COULD
RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING. WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY COULD REACH HURRICANE FORCE, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS.
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND EXTREMELY LARGE SURF IS EXPECTED AT
THE BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

9