Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
942 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 941 PM CDT Thu Sep 8 2016

Forecast remains on track through the overnight. Numerous
showers/thunderstorms are expected to continue redeveloping over
southern KS and tracking east, aided by strong warm advection and
moisture transport along/north of a quasi-stationary frontal
boundary near the KS/OK border. Main threats will continue to be
intense rain rates upwards of 2 inches per hour, which will
produce localized flash flooding. The severe threat appears to be
waning some, although still cannot rule out a few storms producing
60 mph winds and dime-quarter size hail overnight, given pool of
instability still over the Southern Plains, and enhanced effective
shear in the vicinity of the boundary.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Sep 8 2016

The primary concern through Friday night continues to be heavy rain
and flooding concerns although a handful of severe storms will be
likely on Friday along a southward moving cold front.

Widely scattered late afternoon storms are expected to become more
widespread this evening and tonight across south central Kansas as
low level moisture transport ramps up once again. This activity
should drift eastward across portions of southeast Kansas after 07-
09z. Given the very moist column...efficient rain production and
flooding concerns will remain possible across the watch area.

After a brief lull during the morning hours on Friday...a southward
advancing cold front will provide a focus for storms after 21z
continuing through the evening and overnight hours for portions of
the area. Heavy rain and damaging winds will be the primary threats
through the evening hours with the potential for flooding across
portions of south central and southeast Kansas.

Sat-Sun...a stable post-frontal regime is anticipated over the
weekend with dry weather conditions and below normal temperatures.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Sep 8 2016

Surface high pressure will translate east away from the area by
early next week allowing breezy southerly winds to return to the
Central Plains. Highs will climb back into the upper 80s by Monday
as another cold front approaches late in the period. This front
may provide a focus for storms late Sunday and lingering into Tue
and possibly Wed as the front meanders over the area. Temperatures
in the wake of the front will fall below climate normals with
highs in the 60s and 70s while lows fall into the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 655 PM CDT Thu Sep 8 2016

Numerous thunderstorms are expected overnight over mainly south-
central and southeast KS, along with southern portions of central
and east-central KS south of I-70, as a strong low-level jet
impinges on a stationary front over far southern KS. Airmass is
very moist and moderately unstable, so intense rainfall rates are
likely. Also cannot rule out a few strong/severe storms with dime
size hail and 60 mph winds this evening. Activity should tend to
gradually shift east by late tonight or early Friday morning. A
lull is expected during the day Friday, before a strong cold
front approaches from the north, increasing thunderstorm chances
by afternoon/evening from the northwest. Strong/gusty north winds
are expected in wake of the front tomorrow afternoon/evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    72  91  60  77 /  80  30  90   0
Hutchinson      71  90  58  77 /  70  50  90   0
Newton          71  90  57  76 /  80  30  90   0
ElDorado        73  91  59  76 /  80  30  90   0
Winfield-KWLD   73  92  61  78 /  80  30  90   0
Russell         68  87  51  77 /  20  70  10   0
Great Bend      68  89  53  78 /  30  70  20   0
Salina          71  89  55  78 /  30  70  50   0
McPherson       71  89  56  77 /  60  70  80   0
Coffeyville     74  92  62  78 /  80  50  80   0
Chanute         72  89  61  77 /  80  50  80   0
Iola            72  88  61  76 /  80  50  80   0
Parsons-KPPF    73  91  62  77 /  80  50  80   0

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for KSZ051>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

UPDATE...ADK
SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...ADK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
849 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-100200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
849 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS,
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH-
CENTRAL...EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. TORRENTIAL RAIN WITH
HOURLY RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES WILL LEAD TO POCKETS OF
FLOODING...WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.
ADDITIONALLY...A HANDFUL OF STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF 60 MPH
WINDS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY
EVENING. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING. HEAVY
RAIN MAY AGGRAVATE ONGOING FLOODING CONCERNS...WHILE WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR
STORMS LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN FRIDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. ADDITIONALLY...RAINFALL AND FLOODING REPORTS
ARE ALWAYS GREATLY APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
943 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

KSZ068-082-083-091-092-090315-
SEDGWICK KS-HARVEY KS-HARPER KS-KINGMAN KS-SUMNER KS-
943 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  HARVEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  HARPER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHERN KINGMAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 940 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER BENTLEY...OR
  NEAR COLWICH...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WICHITA...DERBY...NEWTON...HAYSVILLE...WELLINGTON...PARK CITY...
  VALLEY CENTER...BEL AIRE...MULVANE...GODDARD...HESSTON...MAIZE...
  CLEARWATER...ANTHONY...HALSTEAD...NORTH NEWTON...SEDGWICK...
  BELLE PLAINE...HARPER AND COLWICH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3747 9835 3748 9760 3817 9757 3816 9716
      3714 9715 3712 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 265DEG 26KT 3785 9751

METZGER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
946 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

KSZ067-068-082-083-090315-
SEDGWICK KS-HARVEY KS-KINGMAN KS-RENO KS-
946 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  WESTERN HARVEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  KINGMAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  RENO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 945 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL NEAR KINGMAN...
  MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HUTCHINSON...KINGMAN...SOUTH HUTCHINSON...CHENEY...BUHLER...
  HAVEN...BURRTON...GARDEN PLAIN...MOUNT HOPE...PRETTY PRAIRIE...
  ANDALE...ARLINGTON...CUNNINGHAM...PARTRIDGE...VIOLA...YODER...
  MURDOCK...WATERLOO...WILLOWDALE AND WILLOWBROOK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3773 9847 3817 9795 3817 9758 3748 9761
      3747 9846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0246Z 265DEG 25KT 3764 9820

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1015 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1013 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 N CLEARWATER          37.56N 97.51W
09/08/2016  M4.50 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT. OFF-DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE.

&&

ADK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1020 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

KSZ067-082-083-091-092-090345-
SEDGWICK KS-HARPER KS-KINGMAN KS-SUMNER KS-RENO KS-
1020 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  HARPER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  KINGMAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHERN RENO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT

* AT 1018 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL NEAR
  CHENEY...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GODDARD...KINGMAN...CLEARWATER...ANTHONY...CHENEY...HARPER...
  COLWICH...CONWAY SPRINGS...GARDEN PLAIN...MOUNT HOPE...
  PRETTY PRAIRIE...ATTICA...ANDALE...ARGONIA...NORWICH...
  CUNNINGHAM...TURON...VIOLA...NASHVILLE AND MURDOCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3702 9835 3738 9835 3738 9842 3767 9847
      3785 9847 3790 9754 3717 9748
TIME...MOT...LOC 0320Z 265DEG 49KT 3758 9781

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1021 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1018 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 N CLEARWATER          37.56N 97.51W
09/08/2016  M4.58 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT. OFF-DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE.

&&

ADK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1021 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

KSZ052-053-068-069-083-090345-
SEDGWICK KS-CHASE KS-HARVEY KS-MARION KS-BUTLER KS-
1021 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  CHASE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...
  EASTERN HARVEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
  BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT

* AT 1018 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
  POTWIN...OR NEAR WHITEWATER...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WICHITA...DERBY...NEWTON...EL DORADO...ANDOVER...HAYSVILLE...
  AUGUSTA...PARK CITY...VALLEY CENTER...BEL AIRE...ROSE HILL...
  HESSTON...NORTH NEWTON...TOWANDA...PEABODY...COTTONWOOD FALLS...
  BENTON...WHITEWATER...LEON AND STRONG CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3751 9741 3817 9738 3819 9684 3852 9682
      3852 9635 3809 9636 3808 9652 3769 9653
TIME...MOT...LOC 0321Z 265DEG 49KT 3797 9706

METZGER