Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
249 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 247 AM CDT Wed Jul 6 2016

The early morning MCS may linger early in the period over
portions of south central/southeast KS but another round of rain/wet
soils will likely have an impact on temperatures this afternoon
keeping them down a couple of degrees although the dewpoint
temperatures will likely offset any cooling with heat indices easily
reaching/exceeding 105 across much of the area. The heat advisory
will be expanded to include all of the forecast area this afternoon.
Subsidence in the wake of the the early morning MCS combined with
continued H85-H7 warming should result in dry weather conditions
across the area as we move through the day.

A shortwave trough over the Northern Rockies is progged to translate
eastward across the Northern Plains today while shortwave mid/upper
ridging impacts the Central Plains states. As the trough approaches
the Upper Mississippi Valley area late Thursday a cold front will
move into northern KS. Storms may struggle to develop along the
front with strong capping progged across the area. The H85 thermal
ridge will remain anchored over the area resulting in another hot
day with heat indices reaching/exceeding 105 once again.

The front will usher in more seasonable air across the area on
Friday but may also provide a focus for deep moist convection.
Better chances for nocturnal development may arrive Friday night and
maintained higher pops weighted across southern KS.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 247 AM CDT Wed Jul 6 2016

H5 flow is progged to transition to southwest across the
area as a vigorous mid/upper trough moves over the Northern
Intermountain region. This may result in unsettled weather and a
seasonable temperatures as more subtle impulses lift northeast over
the area through the period but timing remains challenging at this
time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1135 PM CDT Tue Jul 5 2016

Strong to severe convection looks to impact parts of central
and perhaps south central Kansas in the first few hours of the
forecast valid period as a developing MCS tracks southeast over
the area. Expect a period of IFR VSBYS and strong/gusty outflow
winds. Otherwise expect a prevailing south wind again during
Wednesday and VFR conditions.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    99  77 100  75 /  10  10  10  20
Hutchinson     100  75 101  72 /  10  10  10  20
Newton          99  76  99  74 /  10  10  10  20
ElDorado        98  77  98  74 /  10  10  10  20
Winfield-KWLD   99  78 100  75 /  10  10  10  20
Russell         99  71 100  68 /  10  10  10  10
Great Bend      99  73 101  69 /  10  10  10  10
Salina          99  76 102  71 /  10  10  10  20
McPherson       99  75 100  72 /  10  10  10  20
Coffeyville     96  79  97  76 /  40  10  10  20
Chanute         94  78  96  75 /  40  10  10  20
Iola            94  77  96  75 /  30  10  10  20
Parsons-KPPF    95  78  97  76 /  40  10  10  20

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...KED

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
420 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 AM     TSTM WND GST     FREDONIA                37.53N 95.82W
07/06/2016  E60 MPH          WILSON             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DEPUTY ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND TORRENTIAL
            RAINFALL IN FREDONIA.

&&

JMC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
426 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

KSZ067-069-082-083-092-093-061030-
SEDGWICK KS-KINGMAN KS-SUMNER KS-BUTLER KS-RENO KS-COWLEY KS-
426 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  KINGMAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHERN SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHERN RENO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 530 AM CDT

* AT 423 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KINGMAN TO NEAR CLEARWATER TO 6
  MILES SOUTH OF LEON...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WICHITA...DERBY...ANDOVER...HAYSVILLE...AUGUSTA...PARK CITY...
  BEL AIRE...MULVANE...GODDARD...ROSE HILL...MAIZE...KINGMAN...
  CLEARWATER...CHENEY...DOUGLASS...BELLE PLAINE...COLWICH...
  CONWAY SPRINGS...GARDEN PLAIN AND UDALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 9846 3783 9841 3775 9664 3741 9675
      3732 9705
TIME...MOT...LOC 0923Z 282DEG 59KT 3755 9821 3751 9742 3760 9682

CARUSO

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