Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
235 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 234 PM CDT Fri May 13 2016

Scattered strong to severe storms are expected to quickly exit
southeast KS by around 03z or shortly thereafter as the front
quickly exits the area. In it's wake...unseasonably cool air will
overspread the region resulting in below normal temperatures
that will linger through the upcoming week.

Sat-Mon...lowered pops Sat night/early Sun as any moisture
transport/isentropic upglide has diminished or has slowed down from
earlier model progs. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to
become more numerous later Sun into Monday as a slow moving
mid/upper trough translates over the Rockies. The better instability
is progged to remain south across the Southern Plains on Monday
where the bulk of severe weather is expected.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 234 PM CDT Fri May 13 2016

Southwest mid/upper flow will prevail across the Central
Plains as we remain downstream of the slow moving mid/upper trough
over the Rockies. Unsettled weather conditions are anticipated with
multiple rounds of deep moist convection expected through the
period. Limited insolation will result in a continuation of below
normal temperatures through the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Fri May 13 2016

Scattered strong to severe storms are expected along a strong
Canadian cold front this afternoon as it moves into central
Kansas. Storms will continue along the front as it moves into
south central and southeast Kansas late this afternoon and
evening...with most of the activity moving out of the area
before midnight. VCTS was inserted in most terminals with
amendments expected as chance for TSRA become more imminent.
Except for brief MVFR and IFR in and near convection...VFR
conditions are expected to prevail for much of the forecast
valid time.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    45  61  47  58 /  30  10  10  30
Hutchinson      44  61  44  57 /  10  10  10  30
Newton          43  61  45  59 /  20  10  10  30
ElDorado        44  60  46  59 /  50  10  10  30
Winfield-KWLD   46  61  48  58 /  60  10  10  40
Russell         41  61  42  58 /  10  10  10  30
Great Bend      40  61  43  57 /  10  10  10  40
Salina          42  62  44  60 /  10  10  10  20
McPherson       43  61  43  58 /  10  10  10  30
Coffeyville     47  61  45  61 /  60  10   0  40
Chanute         45  61  45  61 /  60  10   0  30
Iola            45  61  44  60 /  60  10   0  20
Parsons-KPPF    46  61  45  61 /  60  10   0  30

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...KED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
250 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-142000-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
250 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS,
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS, SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH. THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
RAPIDLY DIMINISH ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS AFTER SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE PERIODIC CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING SUNDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK. THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LOW AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
502 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2016

KSZ069-083-132230-
SEDGWICK KS-BUTLER KS-
502 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  WEST CENTRAL BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 500 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER KECHI...OR OVER PARK CITY...
  MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WICHITA...ANDOVER...PARK CITY...VALLEY CENTER...BEL AIRE...ROSE HILL...
  MAIZE...COLWICH...BENTON...DOWNTOWN WICHITA...KECHI...EASTBOROUGH...
  NORTHEAST WICHITA...EAST WICHITA...MCCONNELL AIR FORCE BASE...JABARA
  AIRPORT...SANTA FE LAKE AND AUGUSTA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 9753 3788 9731 3775 9701 3754 9711
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 301DEG 29KT 3779 9729

LAWSON