Severe Thunderstorm Warning 289, NWS Wichita, KS

102 
WWUS53 KICT 242311
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
611 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

KSC017-242345-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0289.000000T0000Z-160824T2345Z/
CHASE KS-
611 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN CHASE COUNTY...

AT 610 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES EAST OF
BURNS...OR 17 MILES SOUTH OF COTTONWOOD FALLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COTTONWOOD FALLS...STRONG CITY...BAZAAR...MATFIELD GREEN...
SAFFORDVILLE AND TALLGRASS PRAIRIE PRESERVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 9636 3809 9636 3809 9669 3852 9647
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 204DEG 22KT 3813 9659 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

RITZMAN

673 
WWUS53 KICT 242327
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
627 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

KSC017-242337-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0289.000000T0000Z-160824T2345Z/
CHASE KS-
627 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CHASE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3852 9636 3809 9636 3809 9669 3852 9647
TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 214DEG 29KT 3824 9649 

$$

RITZMAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
344 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 338 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

The central United States trough maintains with the main wrapped
up low pressure system across southern Saskatchewan into the
Dakotas with external extents staying along the Rockies. High
pressure over the Southeast maintains its dominance resulting in
persistent southwest flow for the rest of the week in the Central
Plains. A cold front stretching from northern Missouri to
southeast Nebraska into central and southwest Kansas is expected
to help initiate showers and thunderstorms along it this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 338 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Primary focus - Precipitation specifically heavy rain potential
tonight and tomorrow night depending on the activity associated with
the frontal boundary. Flooding could be a great concern the next
couple of days depending on the evolution of the activity.

Morning elevated activity has diminished leading to a clearing in
the clouds for diurnal heating to set the stage for the southeast
moving cold front; the merger with an outflow boundary from the
morning activity very well could lead to convective development.
This front is certainly not off to the races which begs the question
of potential training for areas of central and northeast Kansas. CIN
persists in central Kansas this afternoon following the morning
activity. MUCAPE has increased to around 2000 J/kg across south
central Kansas with 40 to 50kts of effective bulk shear based on
the latest meso analysis. This instability could initiate severe
thunderstorms this evening with quarter sized hail and 60mph
winds possible. Right now widespread severe storms are not
expected. Composite reflectivity model simulations indicate
development around 0z for south central Kansas.

The trough over the central CONUS and high in the Southeast are
keeping a southwest flow regime for the Plains with the faucet of
moisture remaining in the on position for the rest of this week.
Precipitable water values of 1.5 to 2 are forecast for this
timeframe leaving ample available moisture. Given the
thunderstorms across McPherson, Marion and Harvey counties from a
few days ago that generated over two inches, this would be the
area with greatest flooding likelihood highlighted with over four
inches for the next five days from Hutchinson to Emporia to the
Kansas City vicinity by HPC. Areas further north and southwest
have not received the rain in the last ten days or even the month
of August in some cases; this would aid in a diminished flooding
threat at least initially beyond the high rainfall rates in a
short period of time due to any thunderstorms with minimal
movement or training.

Since the models are suggesting that northeast Kansas into the KC
metro will be the target for heavier rainfall tonight while
questions loom in spread and persistence of activity further
southwest tonight, it is difficult to jump on board with any flood
headlines. Thus the thought is to wait to see how things evolve
this evening to see if one would warranted in the next forecast
issuance or even an update before then. Precipitation chances
were tweaked to account for latest guidance, but it is still a
toss up due to the uncertainty in frontal movement and potential
outflow influence. Therefore repeated chances of thunderstorms
exist for the short term.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 338 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

The high pressure system over the Southeast will spread to cover
the eastern half of the CONUS for the weekend. There is a trough
that will strengthen and move down from Hudson Bay while remaining
in Canada which will only squish the high. A ridge is anticipated
for this part of the country for the first part of the week which
means consistent temperatures for the latter periods. ECMWF has
brought in a tightly wrapped tropical system with a track across
the Gulf which has varied between runs. The GFS has started to
hint at something similar. This certainly peaks the interest meter
given the strength at such a point in the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Scattered to numerous strong to severe convection is expected to
develop along a cold front late this afternoon and early evening
over south central Kansas and the Flint Hills. Storms will
fester along the front expanding a bit into southeast Kansas and
eventually develop behind the front across central Kansas tonight.
While mainly VFR conditions will prevail through this evening
away from any storms, some MVFR CIGS are expected to develop
behind the front across central Kansas overnight.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    69  83  66  84 /  60  60  70  30
Hutchinson      66  79  63  82 /  70  60  60  40
Newton          67  80  64  82 /  70  60  70  30
ElDorado        68  83  65  84 /  60  60  60  40
Winfield-KWLD   70  88  67  87 /  50  50  50  30
Russell         62  75  61  78 /  60  50  50  40
Great Bend      63  75  61  80 /  60  50  60  40
Salina          66  76  63  81 /  70  50  60  40
McPherson       66  78  63  81 /  80  60  60  40
Coffeyville     72  92  69  87 /  20  40  50  30
Chanute         70  87  67  85 /  40  50  50  30
Iola            69  86  66  84 /  50  60  60  30
Parsons-KPPF    71  90  68  86 /  30  40  50  30

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

SYNOPSIS...VJP
SHORT TERM...VJP
LONG TERM...VJP
AVIATION...KED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
421 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-252130-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
421 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS,
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL POSSIBLY DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS
CENTRAL TO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND INTO THE FLINT HILLS. THE MAIN
SEVERE RISKS WILL BE LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND DAMAGING
WINDS TO 70 MPH. ANY STORM WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL RATES WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE STATE WILL HAVE PRIMARILY LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 54/400.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY
EARLY ON...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT TRANSITIONING TO VERY HEAVY
RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. PLEASE MONITOR THE UPCOMING
FORECASTS CLOSELY AS AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS
MAY BE NEEDED BY THURSDAY.

OFF AND ON STORM CHANCES COULD LINGER FROM FRIDAY THROUGH AT
LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN, BUT A FEW STRONG STORMS CANNOT BE BE RULED OUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
529 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

KSZ069-242300-
BUTLER KS-
529 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 526 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR EL DORADO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  40 MPH.

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  EL DORADO...CASSODAY...EL DORADO LAKE...EL DORADO STATE PARK AND EL
  DORADO AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL...SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3782 9691 3809 9680 3808 9652 3791 9653
      3774 9676
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 213DEG 34KT 3785 9679

KLEINSASSER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
534 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 PM     TSTM WND GST     EL DORADO               37.82N 96.86W
08/24/2016  E55 MPH          BUTLER             KS   STORM CHASER

            KWCH STORM CHASER REPORTS 50 TO 55 MPH WINDS ON SOUTH
            SIDE OF EL DORADO.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
536 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EL DORADO               37.82N 96.86W
08/24/2016                   BUTLER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DISPATCH REPORTED A 3 TO 4 FOOT DIAMETER TREE WAS DOWN IN
            THE CITY.

&&

VJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
536 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

KSZ068-083-242300-
SEDGWICK KS-HARVEY KS-
536 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  HARVEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 531 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BENTLEY...OR NEAR COLWICH...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS
  LOCATED JUST SOUTHEAST OF BURRTON...ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST.

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NEWTON...HESSTON...MAIZE...HALSTEAD...NORTH NEWTON...SEDGWICK...
  COLWICH...MOUNT HOPE...ANDALE...BENTLEY...
  WALTON AND NEWTON AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3774 9770 3817 9763 3817 9715 3770 9752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 218DEG 24KT 3784 9753

KLEINSASSER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
550 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

KSZ052-242315-
MARION KS-
550 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 547 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER FLORENCE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  35 MPH.

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MARION AND FLORENCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3835 9682 3835 9684 3820 9684 3809 9698
      3812 9711 3852 9693 3852 9682
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 214DEG 29KT 3821 9696

KLEINSASSER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
601 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

KSZ067-068-083-242330-
SEDGWICK KS-HARVEY KS-RENO KS-
601 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  HARVEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN RENO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 558 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEWTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  35 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  HESSTON...ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST.

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NEWTON...PARK CITY...VALLEY CENTER...HESSTON...MAIZE...HALSTEAD...
  NORTH NEWTON...SEDGWICK...COLWICH...HAVEN...BURRTON...MOUNT HOPE...
  WHITEWATER...ANDALE...BENTLEY...WALTON...NEWTON AIRPORT...
  CHENEY LAKE AND CHENEY STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED AS THESE STORMS COULD INTENSIFY.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3773 9781 3774 9783 3817 9770 3817 9715
      3786 9715 3785 9716
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 214DEG 29KT 3797 9733

KLEINSASSER