Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Wichita, KS

655 
WWUS53 KICT 250439
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1139 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

KSC115-250500-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160425T0500Z/
MARION KS-
1139 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY...

AT 1139 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LINCOLNVILLE...
OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF MARION...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LINCOLNVILLE AND LOST SPRINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3852 9693 3852 9682 3845 9682 3850 9705
      3860 9702 3861 9693
TIME...MOT...LOC 0439Z 290DEG 22KT 3851 9690 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

JAKUB

856 
WWUS53 KICT 250451
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1151 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

KSC115-250501-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160425T0500Z/
MARION KS-
1151 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1200 AM CDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3852 9693 3852 9682 3845 9682 3850 9705
      3860 9702 3861 9693
TIME...MOT...LOC 0448Z 278DEG 26KT 3851 9690 

$$

JAKUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
708 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 657 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

STARTING TO LOOK LIKE WE MAYBE DONE WITH CONVECTION FOR THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT.

STORMS THAT DEVELOPED LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL KS HAVE
RACED OFF INTO NORTHEAST KS. LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE HAS NOW SET-IN
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KS WHICH IS EVIDENT BY CU RAPIDLY DISSIPATING ALONG
THE DRYLINE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KS. THE EXCEPTION MAYBE FAR
NORTHEAST KS AFTER 04Z AS THE FRONT STARTS TO PUSH SOUTHEAST. SO
FOR NOW REDUCED POPS SIGNIFICANTLY AND WILL START TO CHAT WITH SPC
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO ABOUT CANCELING SOME OF THE WATCH EARLY.

LAWSON

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 220 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT:
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO EJECT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. A DRYLINE WILL BECOME
BETTER FOCUSED BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING FROM CENTRAL KANSAS
TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP EAST OF THE
DRYLINE...WITH INCREASING MID-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS PROVIDING
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. ASCENT FROM THE UPPER TROUGH AND
INCREASING DRYLINE CONVERGENCE...SHOULD ALLOW ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON...WHICH COULD EVOLVE EASTWARD INTO THE FLINT HILLS
BEFORE WEAKENING LATER THIS EVENING. EXPECTING THE GREATER STORM
COVERAGE IN CENTRAL-EAST CENTRAL KS INTO THE FLINT HILLS...WITH
ANY STORMS FURTHER SOUTH MORE ISOLATED. LARGE HAIL OF 1 TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE THE MAIN
THREATS...WITH LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE ON THE MARGINAL SIDE.

MONDAY-MONDAY NIGHT:
A TRAILING...PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE
SOUTHWARD...STALLING OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KANSAS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MODERATE-STRONG INSTABILITY WILL RESIDE NEAR AND
SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY MONDAY AFTERNOON...AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER
WILL LIKELY KEEP THIS BOUNDARY DORMANT VIA CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.
THE BOUNDARY MAY LIFT NORTHWARD SLIGHTLY AS A WARM FRONT MONDAY
NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STRONG UPPER TROUGH IN THE SOUTHWEST.
LOW PROBABILITIES OF STORMS (20-25%) WILL EXIST NORTH OF THE WARM
FRONT MONDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER THE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER MAY KEEP
THE AREA CAPPED TO EVEN ELEVATED CONVECTION.

TUESDAY-TUESDAY NIGHT:

THIS PERIOD CONTINUES TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF A POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT
SEVERE WEATHER DAY ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS. A STRONG UPPER
TROUGH WILL EJECT OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...IN A NEGATIVELY-TILTED FASHION...AS A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET
STREAK (~70 KNOTS) ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. THE WARM FRONT IS
PROGGED TO LIFT NORTHWARD OF INTERSTATE 70 BY MIDDAY...ALLOWING A
MOIST...VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN
TWO-THIRDS OF KANSAS. THERE IS STILL SOME MODEL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY
ON THE EXACT POSITIONINGS OF SURFACE/UPPER AIR FEATURES TUESDAY
PM/EVE. FORECAST CONTINUITY WOULD KEEP THE DRYLINE...EXTENDING
SOUTHWARD FROM A TRIPLE POINT IN NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS...PERHAPS
ALONG THE HIGHWAY 14 CORRIDOR (OR SLIGHTLY WEST) INTO WESTERN
OKLAHOMA. MLCAPES OF 3,000-4,000 J/KG ARE LIKELY IN THE WARM SECTOR
WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND MID 60S TO NEAR 70 DEWPOINTS.
CONSIDERABLE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND THE STRONG MID-LEVEL JET
STREAK NOSING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE REGION...SHOULD ALLOW THE CAP
TO BREAK TOWARD MID-LATE AFTERNOON...WITH INITIAL STORM UPDRAFT
DEVELOPMENT LIKELY TO BE EXPLOSIVE (GIVEN THERMAL PROFILES).
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTORS SPREADING IN
FROM THE SOUTHWEST...WOULD FAVOR ISOLATED-WIDELY SEPARATED DISCRETE
SUPERCELL-TYPE STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE WARM SECTOR MID-LATE
AFTERNOON. A 50 KNOT LOW-LEVEL JET IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY
EVENING...AND STORM COVERAGE MAY INCREASE INTO AN MCS BY MID-LATE
TUESDAY EVENING IN THE WARM SECTOR. ALTHOUGH SOME MODEL
DISPARITIES CONTINUE TO EXIST AND FORECAST DETAILS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE REFINED LEADING UP TO TUESDAY...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
TO SEVERAL HIGH-END SEVERE REPORTS (VERY LARGE HAIL, TORNADOES,
DAMAGING WINDS) ESPECIALLY IN APPROXIMATELY THE 20Z-03Z TIME-
FRAME.

WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
THE NEGATIVELY-TILTED STRONG UPPER TROUGH
ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...IS PROGGED TO LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD REACHING THE CORNBELT (IOWA/EASTERN NEBRASKA) BY LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL EFFECTIVELY PUSH THE DRYLINE EASTWARD OUT
OF EASTERN KANSAS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER MAINLY CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS DURING
THE DAY WEDNESDAY...AS THERE MAY BE A FEW RESIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS
UNDERNEATH THE MID-LEVEL COLD POCKET. SLIGHTLY COOLER/DRIER AIR
SHOULD INFILTRATE THE FORECAST AREA BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER
TROUGH.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOW AN UPPER TROUGH RELOADING OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN STATES BEHIND THE MIDWEEK DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH. A
SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF THIS NEXT UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO EJECT OUT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD FRIDAY/SATURDAY. ALTHOUGH
THE EXACT EVOLUTION IS UNCERTAIN AND THERE ARE SOME PRECIPITATION
TIMING CONCERNS...IT APPEARS RICH GULF MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTHWARD
INTO KANSAS AHEAD OF THIS NEXT TROUGH. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS (SOME STRONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL)...TO INCREASE
TOWARD FRIDAY/SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK NEAR SEASONAL
DURING THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 657 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

MAIN AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE LOW CLOUDS EARLY MON MORNING.

STORMS HAVE PUSHED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH LITTLE IF ANY
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INCREASING LATE TONIGHT WITH SOME LOWER CLOUDS GETTING
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KS AFTER 09Z. CONFIDENCE AT WHAT LEVEL THEY
COME IN AT IS FAIRLY LOW. FOR NOW WILL ONLY MENTION IFR AT KICT
AND KHUT FOR MON MORNING.

LAWSON

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 220 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

DESPITE GUSTY SOUTH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
AND THE FLINT HILLS...THE RECENT GREEN-UP AND HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL KEEP THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER BELOW ELEVATED LEVELS.
GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW MONDAY-TUESDAY AS
WELL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    59  80  63  83 /  20  10  20  40
HUTCHINSON      55  79  58  81 /  20  10  20  40
NEWTON          57  79  60  81 /  20  10  20  40
ELDORADO        58  79  62  81 /  20  20  20  40
WINFIELD-KWLD   60  79  65  82 /  20  20  20  40
RUSSELL         49  77  53  78 /  10   0  20  40
GREAT BEND      50  78  54  79 /  10  10  20  30
SALINA          55  79  56  80 /  30  10  20  40
MCPHERSON       55  79  57  81 /  20  10  20  40
COFFEYVILLE     61  79  65  81 /  20  20  20  30
CHANUTE         60  78  64  80 /  20  20  20  30
IOLA            59  77  63  80 /  20  20  20  30
PARSONS-KPPF    60  78  65  81 /  20  20  20  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ049-051>053-
068>071-083-092>094.

&&

UPDATE...RBL
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...RBL
FIRE WEATHER...JMC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
825 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-252045-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
825 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE
HAIL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO OR
TWO. LOCATIONS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 400 WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO
EXPERIENCE A SEVERE STORM THIS EVENING. STORM INTENSITY AND CHANCES
WILL DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE.

A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK REMAINS POSSIBLE ON
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. SUPERCELL
STORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL AND
STRONG LONG TRACK TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY FROM
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT. DETAILS WILL BE REFINED
IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER AND SOME HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
BY EARLY NEXT WEEKEND. PLEASE CHECK LATER FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS
AS DETAILS BECOME AVAILABLE.

NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO REVIEW YOUR FAMILY AND WORKPLACE STORM
SAFETY PLANS IN PREPARATION FOR THE POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER
THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
919 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HAIL             4 NW MARQUETTE          38.59N 97.89W
04/24/2016  M2.50 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT VIA A TWITTER PICTURE OF TENNIS BALL SIZED
            HAIL. HAIL HAS BEEN FALLING FOR 30 MINUTES.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
927 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     HAIL             4 N LINDSBORG           38.63N 97.67W
04/24/2016  E1.00 INCH       SALINE             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
946 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     HAIL             4 N LINDSBORG           38.63N 97.67W
04/24/2016  M1.50 INCH       SALINE             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL
            COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
954 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 PM     HAIL             BRIDGEPORT              38.63N 97.60W
04/24/2016  E1.50 INCH       SALINE             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL COVERING THE
            GROUND.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1007 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1003 PM     HAIL             2 SW BRIDGEPORT         38.61N 97.63W
04/24/2016  M2.00 INCH       SALINE             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1044 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     HAIL             2 N LINDSBORG           38.60N 97.67W
04/24/2016  M2.00 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT VIA TWITTER OF A MEASURED 2.18 INCH HAIL
            STONE WHICH WAS FOUND OVER 30 MINUTES AFTER IT FELL. THE
            TIME IS APPROXIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

VJP