Severe Thunderstorm Warning 17, NWS Wichita, KS

911 
WWUS53 KICT 110336
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1036 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

KSC099-125-110430-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160411T0430Z/
MONTGOMERY KS-LABETTE KS-
1036 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN MONTGOMERY AND LABETTE COUNTIES...

AT 1035 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF OSWEGO...TO 5 MILES EAST OF
LIBERTY...TO NEAR COFFEYVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PARSONS...COFFEYVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...CHERRYVALE...OSWEGO...CHETOPA...
ALTAMONT...EDNA...MOUND VALLEY...LIBERTY...BARTLETT...LABETTE...ANGOLA...
DENNIS...BIG HILL LAKE...COFFEYVILLE AIRPORT AND PARSONS TRI CITY
AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9535 3708 9576 3738 9571 3738 9508
      3700 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0335Z 262DEG 32KT 3726 9510 3717 9550 3701 9558 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KLEINSASSER

199 
WWUS53 KICT 110400
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1100 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

KSC099-125-110410-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160411T0430Z/
MONTGOMERY KS-LABETTE KS-
1100 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN MONTGOMERY AND LABETTE
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
            
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE A THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3700 9535 3708 9576 3738 9571 3738 9508
      3700 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0357Z 278DEG 18KT 3724 9496 3715 9536 3699 9544 

$$

KLEINSASSER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
922 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A CIRCULATION OVER THE DESERT SW WITH
MORE ROBUST SHORTWAVE ENERGY DIVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN MN.
AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN MN...INTO
NORTHERN KS AND BECOMES A DRYLINE THROUGH THE OK/TX PANHANDLE.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 921 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

INITIAL WAVE THAT MOVED NE OUT OF WRN OK...HAS LED TO A LINE OF
SHOWERS/STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE MAIN SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT AT THIS
TIME. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND LOW LEVEL JET HELPING TO
INTENSIFY THIS LINE OF STORMS...WITH MUCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG
AIDING SOME SEVERE STORMS.  THINK THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE IN
THE CURRENT WATCH AREA...AS LOW LEVEL JET CONTINUES TO FEED UNSTABLE
AIR INTO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WITH BULK SHEAR AROUND 45 KTS.
EXPECT THE SEVERE THREAT TO WANE AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH TRAINING
STORMS POSSIBLY POSING A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT FOR COUNTIES ALONG
THE KS/OK BORDER.

AM A LITTLE CONCERNED HOW FAR NORTH ANY ADDITIONAL CONVECTION WILL
GET OVERNIGHT...AS LOW LEVEL JET FEEDS CURRENT AREA OF
STORMS...KEEPING ANY ELEVATED CONVECTION FROM DEVELOPING FURTHER
NORTH.  WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST POPS GOING FOR AREAS SE OF THE KS
TURNPIKE....WITH A SHARP GRADIENT TO THE POPS TO THE NW OF THIS
AREA. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IF THE ICT METRO AREA SEE ANY
CONVECTION OVERNIGHT...GIVEN THE REASONS STATED ABOVE.

KETCHAM

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

STORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHWARD MOVING
FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY CLOSER TO SUNSET. EVEN IF A
FEW STORMS DEVELOP AFTER 4PM...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT COVERAGE
WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ONCE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS AND
INCREASES AFTER 00Z. ONE OF THE CONSISTENT MODEL THEMES HAS BEEN
TO INCREASE THE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KS IN
RESPONSE TO THIS BACKED LOW LEVEL JET. STILL LOOKS LIKE LARGE HAIL
AND WET MICROBURST WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH STORMS THIS
EVENING. ALSO CANT RULE OUT A FEW FLOOD WARNING FOR COUNTIES BORDERING
OK ALONG WITH SE KS...ESPECIALLY IF WE CAN GET SOME BACKBUILDING
OVER FAR SOUTH CENTRAL KS. BEST SEVERE THREAT STILL LOOKS TO BE
SOUTHEAST OF THE KS TURNPIKE.

MAY SEE A COUPLE AREAS OF RAINFALL LATE TONIGHT. ONE WILL
OBVIOUSLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT AND LOW LEVEL JET
INTERACTIONS...BUT FEEL THERE MAYBE ANOTHER AREA OVER CENTRAL KS
THE RESULT OF MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT. WOULD NOT
BE SURPRISED TO SEE THIS AREA OF PRECIP OVER CENTRAL KS LAST INTO
MON MORNING...BEFORE QUICKLY DISSIPATING AS THE AFTERNOON HOURS
APPROACH. ANY CONVECTION OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SE KS SHOULD ALSO
QUICKLY COME TO AN END MON AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MON EVENING.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION ON MON BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT AS HIGHS TOP OUT AROUND 60. WET GROUNDS MAY ALSO HELP
TO HOLD TEMPS DOWN MON.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

STILL GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THAT ANOTHER IMPULSE WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE DESERT SW AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TUE NIGHT INTO WED.
ANY PRECIP WITH THIS FEATURE IS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA. ATTENTION WILL THEN TURN TO A MUCH MORE ROBUST WAVE
TO START DIGGING OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WED NIGHT INTO THU. IN
RESPONSE...RETURN FLOW WILL COMMENCE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND WILL
GET US BACK TO NORMAL HIGHS BY THU WITH WARMING CONTINUING INTO
THE WEEKEND. UNLIKE THE LAST FEW DAYS...THERE IS DECENT MODEL
AGREEMENT THROUGH SAT...WITH BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS CLOSING THIS
SYSTEM OFF OVER NORTHERN NM/SOUTHERN CO AND LEAVING IT THERE
THROUGH AT LEAST SUN NIGHT IF NOT LONGER. THIS SCENARIO WOULD
RESULT IN INCREASED RAIN CHANCES FRI AND ESPECIALLY FOR THE
WEEKEND...BUT THE BIGGEST IMPACT RESULTING FROM PRECIP MAYBE FOR
THE FRONT RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 633 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

A COLD FRONT HAS OOZED SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE KS
TURNPIKE. TCU DEVELOPING JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
SHRA/TSRA ALONG THE FRONT IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...AS A WAVE IN WRN
OK LIFTS NE ALONG THE BOUNDARY...HELPING TO WEAKEN THE CAP. SO
EXPECT SHOWERS/STORMS OVER INITIALLY OVER SE KS. PLAN ON GOING WITH
VCTS AND THEN PREVAILING SHRA VCTS FOR KCNU AS THIS AREA MAY SEE A
COUPLE OF ROUNDS OF CONVECTION. MAY ALSO SEE SOME MVFR CIGS NEAR THE
STRONGEST STORMS.

AS THE NIGHTTIME WEARS ON...LOW LEVEL JET WILL LEAD TO ALOT OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE OVERRUNNING THE STALLED BOUNDARY IN SRN KS...WITH
MORE WIDESPREAD ELEVATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT...EVEN FOR
AREAS NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY NEAR KICT/KHUT AND POSSIBLY AS FAR NORTH
AS KSLN AND KGBD. SO WILL GO WITH VCTS FOR THESE LOCATIONS FOR THE
OVERNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MON MORNING HOURS.

EXPECT THE SHOWERS/STORMS TO DIMINISH BY AROUND 09-10Z/MON AND BY
AROUND SUNRISE IN SE KS.

KETCHAM

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

FOR THE FIRST TIME IN A WHILE...THE FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL BE
MINIMAL THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

COOL AND WET CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED MON BEHIND THE FRONT WHICH
WILL RESULT IN NO FIRE WEATHER THREAT. WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO
THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST FOR TUE BUT WILL REMAIN IN THE 10 TO 14
MPH RANGE. IN ADDITION...COOL TEMPS WILL KEEP RH'S IN CHECK
PROVIDING A DECENT DAY TO BURN. NOT MUCH IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE FOR
WED WITH WINDS REMAINING OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AND WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY INTO THE 10 TO 16 MPH...WITH THE HIGHER SPEEDS
WEST OF I-135. RH VALUES WILL AGAIN BE ON THE HIGHER SIDE DUE TO
COOLER TEMPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    50  59  34  63 /  60  40  10   0
HUTCHINSON      48  59  32  63 /  50  40   0   0
NEWTON          48  59  33  62 /  50  40  10   0
ELDORADO        50  59  34  62 /  60  50  10   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   52  59  35  63 /  90  50  10   0
RUSSELL         43  59  31  65 /  20  30   0   0
GREAT BEND      43  60  31  66 /  40  30   0   0
SALINA          44  61  31  64 /  30  30   0   0
MCPHERSON       46  59  31  62 /  40  30   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     55  61  36  62 /  90  70  10   0
CHANUTE         51  59  34  61 /  90  60  10   0
IOLA            51  59  33  60 /  90  60  10   0
PARSONS-KPPF    54  60  35  61 /  90  70  10   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...KETCHAM
SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...KETCHAM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
947 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-120300-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
947 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT SOUTHEAST OF THE KANSAS
TURNPIKE AND WILL ATTEMPT TO SPREAD NORTH THROUGH THE LATE NIGHT
HOURS. SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT...
SOUTHEAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE GOLF
BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WINDS. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE FOR AREAS NEAR THE KANSAS-OKLAHOMA BORDER ALONG WITH
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED...NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS MONDAY...EMBEDDED IN A LARGER AREA OF SHOWERS.
THE THREAT OF STORMS WILL END BY MONDAY NIGHT.

DANGEROUS BURNING CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO AREAS ALONG AND WEST
OF I-135 FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AND ESPECIALLY FOR THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

LAWSON/KETCHAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
924 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     HAIL             8 E ARKANSAS CITY       37.07N 96.90W
04/10/2016  E1.00 INCH       COWLEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
946 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     HAIL             ELK CITY                37.29N 95.91W
04/10/2016  E0.88 INCH       MONTGOMERY         KS   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT VIA FACEBOOK OF NICKEL SIZED HAIL. TIME IS
            APPROXIMATED.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
955 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0954 PM     HAIL             INDEPENDENCE            37.23N 95.71W
04/10/2016  E1.00 INCH       MONTGOMERY         KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NORTH SIDE OF TOWN.

&&

BDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1004 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0959 PM     HAIL             6 NE CALDWELL           37.10N 97.53W
04/10/2016  E0.75 INCH       SUMNER             KS   STORM CHASER

&&

VJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1010 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

KSZ092-093-110345-
SUMNER KS-COWLEY KS-
1010 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT

* AT 1006 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF WELLINGTON...MOVING
  EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ARKANSAS CITY...WELLINGTON...OXFORD AND GEUDA SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3706 9743 3723 9748 3734 9709 3707 9703
TIME...MOT...LOC 0306Z 259DEG 18KT 3716 9736

ES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1017 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1013 PM     FLOOD            INDEPENDENCE            37.23N 95.71W
04/10/2016                   MONTGOMERY         KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS FLOODING WITH 6 TO 8 INCHES OF
            WATER OVER LAUREL AND HACKNEY ROADS AS WELL AS FLOODING
            ON BOTH SIDES OF TOWN.

&&

VJP