Special Weather Statement, NWS Huntsville, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1220 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

.UPDATE...
For 18Z TAFs.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
 (Issued 1050 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016)
Happy first day of Meteorological Summer! Even though seasonable
overnight lows were in the low to mid 60s across the TN Valley, it
felt a little bit more muggy than yesterday morning. The higher PWAT
values around 1.5 inches that were lingering off to our west
yesterday has meandered into our forecast area providing current
dewpoints in the mid/upper 60s. Temps are also slightly ahead of
yesterday's trend with obs at 15z in the lower 80s. However with
increased cloud cover and scattered shower/thunderstorm activity
expected today, the temp trend will be kept at bay. High temps will
be near yesterday's values reaching the lower 90s across the board.
Adjusted cloud cover heading into this afternoon to accommodate
current visible satellite trends and increased pops later this
afternoon in NE AL to scattered showers/storms due to an approaching
shortwave.

JMS

&&

.AVIATION...
For 18Z TAFs: A lot of uncertainties exist and therefore, low
confidence in the coverage and timing of showers/thunderstorms over
the next 24 hours. For now, tried to pick the times with the highest
chances and used a VCSH. There could be thunderstorms with these and
will handle those with amendments. As well, an isolated shower
outside of the forecast times could occur but they should not have
an operational impact on CIGS/VIS if they form.

Otherwise, winds will be light and variable and CIGS will remain VFR
outside of any thunderstorms.

LN

&&

.HUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

For more information please visit our website
at weather.gov/huntsville.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
430 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-021000-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DE KALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
430 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY IMPACTS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXIST FOR THE AREA FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THURSDAY
AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THEN, ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNING
BEFORE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES AGAIN ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT FINALLY PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY, BUT
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT LIKELY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
155 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

ALZ009-010-011930-
DE KALB AL-JACKSON AL-
155 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN DE KALB AND CENTRAL
JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 154 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A FEW RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER PISGAH...OR 10 MILES EAST OF
SCOTTSBORO...MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SCOTTSBORO...HENAGAR...HOLLYWOOD...IDER...PISGAH...FABIUS...
FLAT ROCK...MARTINTOWN...FACKLER AND ROSALIE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3460 8571 3463 8604 3486 8601 3482 8558
TIME...MOT...LOC 1854Z 193DEG 15KT 3470 8584

JMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
204 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

ALZ009-011930-
JACKSON AL-
204 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY UNTIL
230 PM CDT...

AT 203 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR BRIDGEPORT...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRIDGEPORT...STEVENSON...ORME...HIGDON...
RUSSELL CAVE NATIONAL MONUMENT AND LONG ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREE
LIMBS...ALONG WITH OTHER SMALL UNSECURED ITEMS. SEEK SAFE SHELTER
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3482 8563 3484 8581 3499 8582 3498 8561
      3486 8559
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 186DEG 11KT 3487 8570

JMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
219 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

ALZ008-011945-
MARSHALL AL-
219 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MARSHALL COUNTY UNTIL 245
PM CDT...

AT 219 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A FEW RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ARAB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GUNTERSVILLE...ARAB...UNION GROVE...MOUNTAIN VIEW...COLUMBUS CITY...
LAKE GUNTERSVILLE ST PARK...HEBRON AND HYATT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREE
LIMBS...ALONG WITH OTHER SMALL UNSECURED ITEMS. SEEK SAFE SHELTER
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3428 8646 3429 8646 3429 8648 3430 8648
      3430 8650 3448 8643 3449 8641 3450 8640
      3444 8610 3422 8635
TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 207DEG 11KT 3430 8640

JMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
235 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

ALZ009-012000-
JACKSON AL-
235 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY UNTIL
300 PM CDT...

AT 234 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
STEVENSON...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRIDGEPORT...MOVING NORTH AT 15
MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRIDGEPORT...STEVENSON...FABIUS...RUSSELL CAVE NATIONAL MONUMENT...
BASS...HIGDON...FACKLER AND LONG ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREE
LIMBS...ALONG WITH OTHER SMALL UNSECURED ITEMS. SEEK SAFE SHELTER
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 8561 3483 8563 3478 8564 3477 8601
      3499 8605 3498 8561 3486 8559
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 174DEG 14KT 3484 8579

JMS

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