Small Craft Advisory 56, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1147 AM CST Fri Nov 18 2016

.AVIATION...
The cold front will be moving into the KCLL site sometime around
18Z...KIAH 21-22Z...and KGLS 23-24Z. However, some of the high res
models are indicating a slightly faster movement. Main hazards
will thunderstorms with a chance of gusty winds in the stronger
storms. Behind the front north winds will develop with a brief
period of gusts to 20 knots possible over the inland sites through
sunset. However, KHOU and KLBX will likely see a long period of
gusts to 22 knots overnight and Saturday morning. KGLS will likely
see a long period of gusts to 34 knots after 05Z this evening
through 15Z Saturday morning.

40

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1047 AM CST Fri Nov 18 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Front is making good southward progress and on the doorstep of
northern counties. Should start seeing band of shra/tstms fill in
as it approaches the coast and merges with moisture/precip moving
up the Texas coastline. Forecast is in good shape...just minor
tweaks based on trends.  47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      72  42  62  37  65 /  70   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)              80  46  64  40  65 /  70  10   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            80  53  63  51  64 /  60  40   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for the
     following zones: Brazoria...Chambers...Galveston...
     Matagorda.

GM...Gale Watch from 9 PM CST this evening through Saturday morning
     for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to
     the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Coastal waters from
     High Island to Freeport out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...
     Matagorda Bay...Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship
     Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to
     Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until noon CST today for the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to the
     Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport to
     the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from
     High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

Discussion...47
Aviation/Marine...40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
417 AM CST FRI NOV 18 2016

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-191300-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
417 AM CST FRI NOV 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY. LOOK FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
BEHIND THE FRONT...WIND ADVISORIES MIGHT BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. COLDEST OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY MORNING WITH INLAND
READINGS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NO FREEZE IS ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-191300-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-
GALVESTON BAY-MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
417 AM CST FRI NOV 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING WITH STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS
DEVELOPING IN ITS WAKE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED...AND
GALE WARNINGS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

OFFSHORE WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ON SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.