Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Austin County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Polk County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
416 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AS WE OFFICIALLY START SPRING...SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL SEE A COUPLE DAYS
(TODAY AND MONDAY) OF SUNNY SKIES AND COOL TEMPERATURES AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. NORTH WINDS TODAY WILL BE ON THE BREEZY
AND GUSTY SIDE WHILE HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM INTO A 60-65 DEGREE RANGE.
WITH THE SURFACE HIGH CENTERED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVERHEAD TONIGHT/MONDAY
MORNING...MUCH LIGHTER WINDS WILL ALLOW LOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL CLOSE
TO FREEZING ACROSS PARTS OF OUR NORTH/NORTHEAST COUNTIES AND BOTTOM
OUT IN THE MID 40S AT THE COAST. MONDAY NIGHT WILL NOT BE AS COOL WITH
THE SURFACE HIGH HAVING MOVED OFF TO THE EAST AND BRINGING THE AREA
SOME ONSHORE WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
UNDER A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WILL ALLOW MOISTURE LEVELS
TO RISE. RAIN CHANCES ARE BACK IN THE FORECAST BEGINNING ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT THAT WE NOW HAVE MOVING THROUGH
SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON THURSDAY. THE AREA DRIES OUT AND COOLS DOWN BEHIND
THIS FRONT ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.  42
&&

.MARINE...
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS....WEAKENING OVERNIGHT EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS INLAND HIGH
PRESSURE EXPANDS IN OVER THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S.. ROCKY MOUNTAIN LEEWARD LOWERING PRESSURE...IN RELATION TO A
FLORIDA BASED HIGH...WILL STRENGTHEN THESE ONSHORE WINDS TO A GULF
SCEC TUESDAY. THIS SOUTHERLY FETCH IS FORECAST TO REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS WEDNESDAY...PULLING IN AN AVERAGE 6 TO 8 FOOT SWELL. THE NEXT
COLD FRONT IS TIMED TO COME ACROSS A DAY EARLIER THAN PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT...FRONT TO PASS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN GULF LATE THURSDAY
MORNING INTO AFTERNOON. 31

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE LACK OF WETTING RAINS LEADING TO MORE CURED FUELS...IN TANDEM
WITH A BRIEF AFTERNOON WINDOW OF LOW TO MID 20 %RHS AND GUSTY NORTH
WINDS...HAS LEAD TO THE DECISION TO ISSUE A SHORT FUSE RED FLAG
WARNING. AGAIN...THE THREAT FOR ANY FIRE TO BECOME OUT OF CONTROL
WILL BE THE HIGHEST DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      61  37  65  50  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              63  38  66  49  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            63  47  64  57  71 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
     LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT
     TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE...31

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
527 AM CDT SAT MAR 19 2016

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-201200-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GALVESTON BAY-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-
MADISON-MATAGORDA-MATAGORDA BAY-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-
TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-WHARTON-
527 AM CDT SAT MAR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
IT WILL BE BREEZY. WITH THE STRONG NORTH WINDS...WIND ADVISORIES ARE
IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES. CAUTION
FLAGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AT THIS TIME...THERE MIGHT BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR POSSIBLE STRONG OR
SEVERE STORMS IN OR CLOSE TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS THURSDAY AND MAYBE FRIDAY
WHEN THE NEXT STORMS SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MIGHT BE NEEDED ON THURSDAY AND MAYBE FRIDAY.