Small Craft Advisory 11, NWS Honolulu, HI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
930 AM HST MON FEB 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE THIS WEEK BUT
RAINFALL WILL BE LIMITED. IN THE WAKE OF EACH FRONT WILL BE TRADES
WITH LIGHT WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONTS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIES ACROSS
THE AREA. SOME SHOWERS HAVE BEEN FALLING OVER KAUAI AND OAHU AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. WINDS WILL REMAIN RATHER LIGHT TODAY
FAVORING A SEA BREEZE REGIME. ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY ACCOMPANIED BY SOME PASSING
SHOWERS. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FILL IN BEHIND THE
FRONT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TO OUR NORTHWEST. THE FRONT IS
FORECAST TO STALL AND WEAKEN NEAR THE BIG ISLAND.

AS THE HIGH PASSES BY NORTH OF THE STATE...TRADE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT WILL LIKELY CAUSE PERIODS OF SHOWERS TO FALL OVER WINDWARD
AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND. WINDS WILL WEAKEN ON FRIDAY AS THE HIGH
MOVES OFF TO OUR EAST. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A FEW PASSING SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
IT. ANOTHER HIGH WILL BE PASSING BY NORTH OF OUR AREA ON SATURDAY
WITH TRADE WINDS ONCE AGAIN RETURNING IN THE FRONTS WAKE.

&&

.AVIATION...
A WEAKENING FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS STALLED AND DISSIPATING OVER THE
NW HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. FAIRLY HIGH BASED CLOUDS WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT CEILINGS EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR POSSIBLE ISOLATED MVFR.
LIGHT WINDS EAST OF THE CLOUD BAND. SOME NORTHWEST WINDS W OF IT.
ANOTHER APPROACHING FRONT WILL PROMPT THE WINDS AROUND THE STATE TO
BECOME SW AND W OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL NUDGE IN FROM THE W
LATE TUESDAY. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST AREAS
TODAY AND TUESDAY. NO AIRMETS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. ONE SIGMET IN
EFFECT FOR CONVECTION FAR SW OF THE STATE CURRENTLY.

&&

.MARINE...
A NEW NORTHWEST SWELL WILL GRADUALLY FILL IN LATER TODAY. THIS
SWELL WILL BE RATHER LONG LIVED WITH IT PEAK EXPECTED TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WARNING LEVEL SURF CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG MOST NORTH AND WEST FACING SHORES FROM KAUAI TO MAUI.
ADVISORY LEVEL SURF IS LIKELY ALONG WEST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG
ISLAND DURING THE PEAK OF THE SWELL.

SEAS WILL EXCEED THE 10 FOOT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRESHOLD OVER
WATERS EXPOSED TO LARGE NORTHWEST SWELLS. ALSO WINDS BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT MAY CAUSE WINDS TO EXCEED THE 25 KT THRESHOLD OVER SOME
COASTAL.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF WARNING UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR NIIHAU-KAUAI
WINDWARD-KAUAI LEEWARD-WAIANAE COAST-OAHU NORTH SHORE-OAHU
KOOLAU-MOLOKAI-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-WINDWARD
HALEAKALA.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM HST
WEDNESDAY FOR OAHU LEEWARD WATERS-KAIWI CHANNEL-MAUI COUNTY
WINDWARD WATERS-MAUI COUNTY LEEWARD WATERS-PAILOLO CHANNEL-
ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR KAUAI
NORTHWEST WATERS-KAUAI WINDWARD WATERS-KAUAI LEEWARD WATERS-
KAUAI CHANNEL-OAHU WINDWARD WATERS.

&&

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...FUJII