Special Weather Statement, NWS Gray, ME

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
354 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will push offshore overnight. High pressure will
build in from the west Tuesday and will settle offshore south of
New England on Wednesday. High pressure will hold south of New
England on Thursday. A cold front will cross the region late
Friday or early Saturday. A narrow ridge of high pressure will
build over the region on Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Severe weather event on-going at this time across the region with
several severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings already issued.
Expect this activity to continue into the early evening hours as
as strong shear and capes of 1500 to 2500 prevail across much of
the forecast area. Severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect
through 800 pm.

Thunderstorms will gradually lose their punch as heating subsides
later this evening but expect showers and some thunderstorms to
continue through the evening hours...espcially in southern and
coastal zones. This activity should be pretty much offshore by midnight
as the front pushes east. Low temps overnight will range through
the 50s in the north and lower to mid 60s in the south.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure builds in from the west on Tuesday. Cooler and drier
air will be ushered in on gusty northwest winds. Expect a mix of
sun and clouds in the mountains and mostly sunny skies elsewhere.
Highs will range from the mid 60s to mid 70s north and mid 70s to
lower 80s south.

Mostly clear skies and diminishing winds Tuesday night will set
the stage for some chilly overnight lows. Expect temps to bottom
out in the lower to mid 40s in cooler mountain valley in the north
and in the upper 40s to mid 50s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Models are indicating wonderful weather for Wednesday and Thursday
with low humidity and near seasonable temperatures. By Friday the
hot and humid air returns with highs in the lower 90s and dew
points climbing back into the mid to upper 60s with temperature
regime continuing through the weekend. A series of short waves
will be moving through starting Friday with shower and
thunderstorms occurring especially Friday afternoon into early
Saturday. shower will develop again each afternoon as there will
be several frontal boundaries around. Difficult to time these
boundaries but it soes not look like the weekend will be
completely dry.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Short Term...VFR tonight with areas of MVFR ceilings/vsby in
scattered thunderstorms this evening. VFR Tuesday and Tuesday
night.

Long Term...expect VFR Wednesday and Thursday. MVFR/IFR likely in
showers and thunderstorms Friday afternoon through Saturday
morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...No flags.

Long Term...SCA winds and seas possible Thursday afternoon through
Saturday.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
744 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>015-191145-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
STRAFFORD-CHESHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-
744 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MAINE...SOUTH CENTRAL
MAINE...SOUTHWEST MAINE...WEST CENTRAL MAINE...WESTERN MAINE...NEW
HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND POSSIBLY HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE LOWER AND MID 90S FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL OR RADIO IN SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ150>154-191145-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON, ME TO PORT CLYDE, ME OUT 25 NM-
PENOBSCOT BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE, ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH, ME OUT 25 NM-
CASCO BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH, ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER, MA OUT
25 NM-
744 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
331 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EMBDEN                  44.92N  69.87W
07/18/2016                   SOMERSET           ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN .

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1602121

BROWN

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