Special Weather Statement, NWS Gray, ME

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
330 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak low pressure and an associated cold front will push east
through the region today through tonight. High pressure will build
in from the west Thursday. A cold front will approach from the
west on Friday and will cross the region Friday night. A trough of
low pressure will linger over the region Saturday through Sunday.
High pressure will build in from the west Sunday night through
Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A very moist airmass is in place across the region and showers and
thunderstorms are moving across the area from southwest to
northeast. Rain rates of up to several inches an hour have been
observed in these storms. A flash flood watch remains in place for
the northern areas... which received the most rainfall in last
nights storm. The upper level vort max driving the surface font is
digging into Vermont and is expected to push the front through
New Hampshire by nightfall and across Maine during the early
evening. Shower activity will come to an end with the setting sun
and frontal passage.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
Although a generally drier air mass aloft will push into the
region behind the front tonight.. the very moist air will remain
in place at the lower level creating fog in the coastal plain and
river valleys through early morning. As the sunrises fog will lift
and westerly flow will develop ushering in drier air. Temperatures
will climb to the low 80s south to 70s north in full sun.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High impact weather potential: low threat for isolated flooding
wednesday afternoon.

The broad scale pattern will continue to be a ridge over the
western united states with a trough over eastern Canada. After
brief ridging builds in for Thursday a vort max will dive south
out of James bay pushing another front through the region on
Friday night. Ahead of this front moist southerly flow will again
set up. Moisture will help to increase thunderstorm potential
though afternoon... a few storms could be severe as shear
increases to around 30kt. The real concern may again be localized
heavy rainfall producing flooding. PWAT climbs to in excess of 1.5
inches with freezing levels remaining around 12kft... allowing for
plenty of warm rain processes. Have added heavy rainfall wording
to the forecast for this period.

Cold front will push east of the forecast area late Friday night.
Again fog may linger in any areas which receive significant
rainfall.

For saturday the upper level low tries to close off over southern
Quebec. This will put northern New England on the southern
periphery of the system with increased cloud cover and a few
showers possible in the mountains. Looking for a mix of clouds
and sun for a majority of the day with highs ranging from the mid
70s to lower 80s.

Cyclonic flow will continue on Sunday as upper trough axis pushes
east. Looking for clouds to persist in the mountains along with a
chance of showers. Expect a fair amount of cloudiness downwind of
the mountains. Highs will range through the 70s to near 80.

High pressure will build in from the west Sunday night as upper low
lifts out of the northeast. Expect gradual clearing overnight with lows
in the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Short Term... Showers and thunderstorms will continue to impact
all terminals over the next several hours. Ceilings have generally
lifted to MVFR. After sunset expect all terminals to drop to IFR
by 4am... with VLIFR possible at PWM RKD and PSM. LEB will also
likely go down to LIFR.

Long Term...VFR Thursday night. Areas of MVFR/IFR ceilings/vsby
in afternoon and evening convection Friday. VFR Saturday through
Sunday.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...quiet day on the waters with seas and waves remaining
below SCA criteria.

Long Term...Sca's likely on Sunday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the northern mountains through
8pm as showers continue to produce very heavy rainfall. Any areas
which saw heavy rain yesterday will be quick to flood.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for MEZ007>009.
NH...Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NHZ001-002.
MARINE...None.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
446 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

MEZ007>009-012>014-NHZ001>009-011-012-015-300900-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-
NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-
SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-CHESHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-
446 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MAINE...WEST
CENTRAL MAINE...WESTERN MAINE...NEW HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ153-MEZ018>028-NHZ010-013-014-300900-
CASCO BAY-INTERIOR YORK-INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-
INTERIOR WALDO-COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-
KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
446 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...MAINE...SOUTH CENTRAL MAINE...SOUTHWEST MAINE...CENTRAL
NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ150>152-154-300900-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON, ME TO PORT CLYDE, ME OUT 25 NM-
PENOBSCOT BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE, ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH, ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH, ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER, MA OUT
25 NM-
446 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
315 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

NHZ006-009-291945-
SOUTHERN CARROLL NH-BELKNAP NH-
315 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  BELKNAP COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 315 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MEREDITH...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MEREDITH...
  MOULTONBOROUGH...
  WOLFEBORO...
  TUFTONBORO...
  AND BRIDGEWATER.

LAT...LON 4370 7152 4372 7153 4383 7119 4357 7111
      4357 7153 4369 7158
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 257DEG 17KT 4365 7147

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
326 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW PORTLAND          43.69N  70.27W
06/29/2016                   CUMBERLAND         ME   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE UPROOTED ON OCEAN AVENUE. DELAYED REPORT. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1602098

LEGRO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
333 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

MEZ008-009-012>014-292015-
SOUTHERN SOMERSET ME-NORTHERN FRANKLIN ME-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN ME-
SOUTHERN OXFORD ME-CENTRAL SOMERSET ME-
333 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN MAINE
  NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN MAINE
  SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN MAINE
  SOUTHERN OXFORD COUNTY IN MAINE
  CENTRAL SOMERSET COUNTY IN MAINE

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 333 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES SOUTHEAST
  OF JACKMAN TO NEAR KINGFIELD TO 6 MILES EAST OF WELD...MOVING TO
  THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
  THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
  POND ON ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
  STREAMS. EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS LINE
  OF STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FARMINGTON...
  KINGFIELD...
  BINGHAM...
  CARRABASSETT VALLEY...
  AND STRONG.

LAT...LON 4564 6970 4563 6971 4562 6970 4561 6971
      4558 6971 4557 6973 4555 6975 4554 6978
      4546 6975 4470 7000 4457 7039 4542 7011
      4565 6973 4566 6970
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 234DEG 19KT 4539 7006 4501 7019 4468 7029

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
348 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     HAIL             MEREDITH                43.66N  71.50W
06/29/2016  E0.88 INCH       BELKNAP            NH   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1602099

LEGRO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
412 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

MEZ021-022-026>028-292100-
KNOX ME-INTERIOR WALDO ME-LINCOLN ME-COASTAL WALDO ME-KENNEBEC ME-
412 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  KNOX COUNTY IN MAINE
  INTERIOR WALDO COUNTY IN MAINE
  LINCOLN COUNTY IN MAINE
  COASTAL WALDO COUNTY IN MAINE
  KENNEBEC COUNTY IN MAINE

* UNTIL 500 PM EDT

* AT 412 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DAMARISCOTTA...MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST
  AT 35 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LINCOLNVILLE...
  CAMDEN...
  DAMARISCOTTA...
  LIBERTY...
  AND ROCKPORT.

LAT...LON 4426 6902 4421 6906 4418 6906 4418 6907
      4417 6908 4406 6936 4408 6939 4406 6937
      4400 6952 4403 6953 4403 6955 4414 6966
      4451 6917 4430 6900 4427 6901 4425 6896
      4426 6900 4422 6894
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 230DEG 29KT 4411 6952